Earnings Labs

Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. (GDYN)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 6, 2023

$5.59

+0.00%

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Transcript

Bin Chiang

Management

Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Grid Dynamics Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Bin Chiang, Head of Investor Relations. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Joining us on the call today are CEO, Leonard Livschitz; and CFO, Anil Doradla. Following their prepared remarks, we will open the call for your questions. Please note today's conference is being recorded. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements. This includes our business and financial outlook and the answers to some of your questions. Such statements are subject to the risks and uncertainties described in the company's earnings release and other filings with the SEC. During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures of our performance. GAAP to non-GAAP financial reconciliations and supplemental financial information are provided in the earnings press release and the 8-K filed with the SEC. You can find all the information I have just described in the Investor Relations section of our website. With that, I will now turn the call over to Leonard, our CEO.

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Thank you, Bin. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. As you have seen from our published results, Grid Dynamic's second quarter revenue was in our guidance range and non-GAAP EBITDA significantly exceeded expectations. Also, on a GAAP basis, we achieved record net income since becoming a public company. Our results are commendable and reflect the company's un-relentless commitment to our clients. There were some noteworthy trends, including strong new logo wins, meaningful contributions from logos that we won over the past couple of quarters, and deeper relationships with our partnership ecosystem. This has been a recurring theme for the past several quarters and reflects the strengths of our offering. Additionally, a significant interest and engagement with our clients on artificial intelligence initiatives continued to positively impact our business. With our GigaCube initiative, we operationalized many KPIs across the company. On the macro, our opinions have remained unchanged. During the quarter, with many of our clients, we witnessed continued recalibration of spending priorities and investments. Also, customers continued to transition their projects from higher cost locations to lower cost offshore locations. And this is in plain to our favor, as we have a global delivery footprint in locations of choice for our clients. During the quarter, we ensured our spending level aligned with the current demand environment and this discipline paid off with our second quarter profitability. We're also witnessing three important trends that lead us to the incrementally positive conclusions. These trends are expected to play out in the third quarter too. First, the magnitude of resets across our customers are diminishing. Second, we're seeing stabilization in business across the majority of our accounts. And finally, thirdly, our forms of new engagements, both with the new clients and existing clients, are on the rise. This includes…

Anil Doradla

Management

Thanks, Leonard. Good afternoon, everyone. Our second quarter revenue of $77.3 million was within our guidance range of $76 million to $78 million that we provided to you all in our earnings call in May and reiterated it on June 6. On a year-over-year basis, both on a reported and constant currency, the growth was flat as the impacts of currency movements were negligible. On a sequential basis, our revenue declined by 3.4%. During the quarter, we witnessed headwinds from some of our customers as they continued to rationalize their spending levels. During the quarter, new logo revenues contributions offset macro-driven caution from others. During the second quarter, retail, our largest vertical representing 33.7% of our revenues, increased by 2.5% on a sequential basis and grew 2.3% on a year-over-year basis. Within the retail vertical, on a sequential basis, we witnessed growth from areas such as home improvement, department stores, and specialty retail. TMT, our second largest vertical, represented 31.2% of our second quarter revenues, decreased by 10% on a sequential basis, and grew 3% on a year-over-year basis. On a sequential basis, we witnessed continued caution at some of our large TMT customers. This was offset by growth both from existing and new logos. Here are the details of the revenue mix of other verticals. Our CPG and manufacturing represented 14.1% of our revenue. In the second quarter, a decrease of 14% on a sequential basis and 32.4% on a year-over-year basis. The decline on a sequential and year-over-year basis came from some of our large customers, as they readjusted their spending levels to the current macro environment. The finance vertical represented 8.7% of revenues, an increase of 3.6% on a sequential basis, and 33.7% on a year-over-year basis. The growth in the quarter came from a combination of…

A - Bin Chiang

Operator

Thank you, Anil. As we go to the Q&A session, I will first announce your name. At this moment, please unmute your line and turn on your camera. Our first question comes from the line of Puneet Jain from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Puneet Jain

Analyst

Hey, thanks for taking our question. Leonard, like you talked about like 20 clients who you are providing some sort of AI services, which I believe is out of a total of 100 enterprise customers, so that would be like 20% of total customers to whom you are providing generative AI services. So can you talk about what type of services you are providing to those clients in AI? And since some of these customers also outsource to your peers as well, how are you going to win share in AI at those clients?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Hey, Puneet. Well, it's quite a comprehensive question, so thank you for pointing out the percentage to. We're quite proud that we're still basically at the cradle of AI expansion revolution, so we already captured a substantial percentage of our client base. The projects we have started, some of them actually run from before the AI was defined as a modernization of technologies. We've been knowing of our own investments in machine learning, data science, large models, data formatting, and other features. So now when it kind of becomes more as a part of creating some tangible monetization for the clients, we've seen some trends where we actually participate. First and foremost, generative AI is only a subset of what we do. Since we are focused on large enterprises mostly, the ultimate definition for us, is the enterprise artificial intelligence, which comes with a supply chain of predicted models for the supply and demand, logistic travel, the variances of the forecast, and others. When it comes to the wealth management financial companies, it's basically accelerating the adjustments, which relate to the personal bespoke portfolios. When we talk about medical clients in areas of pharmaceutical life science, those relate to their own models, which help them to accelerate the decision on certain internal critical development, and so on and so forth, not to forget about our beloved consumer world, where most of the work is B2C. So far, I've mentioned B2B mostly. In the B2C world, it's a lot of customer and consumer behaviors, which are scaling to the very large amount of the preparation. We anticipate a significant cost savings associated with those businesses. Now, in terms of our competition, it's absolutely true. I mean, everybody stands up and says, we are the leaders in artificial intelligence. We are taking a more modest approach. We're looking at more and more proven cases of the ROIs, in other words, where the customer financial gains start to become intangible. So, we do quite a few proper concepts, but I think one of the key advantages of to Grid Dynamics, since we started this initiative over seven years ago, some of the proven convertible analytics comes into fruition even as we speak. So, we'll continue to update you if we need a new team, and we look very bullish on expansion in the United States.

Puneet Jain

Analyst

No, thanks for a comprehensive answer as well. So, let me ask about a new logo contribution you have talked about in the past 85-15, 85-10-5 model. So, given like the strong client activity, new logo contribution that you are seeing, is that at a point where you'd expect to be in any normal year, like the new client contribution? And I understand the remaining 95% of business is weak, but our new clients are at a point where you'd expect them to be in a normal year?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Very good question, very good memory. The reality is, you know yourself well that some of the traditional clients, which started at a high a year ago have reduced their spending, right? So, the reason why it's important that we reported 18 new clients in enterprise level since the beginning of the year, we expect that second half of the year monetization will come at a full swing. Now, we tend to be continuously cautious because the first projects were not all of them, but quite a few of them were still in the lend and expand mode. There are hyperscaler engagements for their cloud transformation with some notable ISVs. Some of them come into the work related to the defined project, like in the payment systems, but there are a few we started much higher level. So, we see that the numbers are increasing, but I want to make sure that five is beaten, not because the 85 goes down, but because the absolute value returns. So, but the answer is, yes, more likely we'll see the higher contribution.

Puneet Jain

Analyst

Thank you.

Bin Chiang

Management

Thank you, Puneet. Our next question comes from Josh Siegler from Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Josh Siegler

Analyst

Yes, hi. Thanks for taking my question today. First, I'd like to start on AI, just given its significance, and obviously it's gaining a lot of traction. So, are you seeing any specific interest from any 1 vertical over another for AI solutions, or is it broad demand? And further, you know, is Grid's AI solutions helping to provide a nice strong pipeline for future new logo additions?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Okay. Well, the area we've been known for a very long time with the retail, the bespoke brands, the more of the B2C side of business, the momentum is enormous, because the results are easy to verify on a very short-term, right? So, we've been leaders in natural language processing for a long time, and now when it comes to large language models, we continue to be in a leadership position. So, that space, just from the percentage of our businesses, is pretty significant. The upcoming and expanding the business in the supply chain, that's obviously, it's a subset of the manufacturing, it's becoming more and more substantial for us. We see the notable momentum in the life science, that's certainly a big momentum, which is going to be what I tell my team, with or without us. So, we'd better be sharpening our pencils with a custom bespoke models for them, which we are in the early stage, but it's working. And the area of the, pretty much everything by, but the tech itself, and the reason I want to emphasize the tech part is, because we are together partnering to provide the solutions for the enterprise AI. So, enterprise AI really falls on the enterprise side, the tech companies have their own models, right? So, there is a combination of the open source models, and the proprietary models with the manufacturing, and the fintech, and what I said, the life science is becoming more and more trend. Those two would be very competitive races, which would participate on both sides with the partners. And the other part which becomes very critical for us is actually cybersecurity. We've been investing into cybersecurity for a while, now it becomes even more critical where some of the notable AI discoveries are happening simultaneously with a massive number of data sets being provided. And finally, the cloud is one part of it, but a lot of computational and capable capabilities will run on a defined and continue to grow enterprise. And working on enterprise capabilities become more and more critical. So, it's really attacking from all the fronts, and we are very bullish in terms of our positioning with our partners.

Josh Siegler

Analyst

Understood. That’s helpful color. Thank you very much. And then in your prepared remarks, I believe you mentioned driving higher utilization from your employees, which is helping to foster those higher gross margins. Can you provide some more color on this? And do you expect these levels of elevated utilization to remain as we move into the back half of 2023?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Well, it's never good enough, right? You're building your business momentum and you always think about what is going to be the business momentum to the next level when the inflection point does hit a material return to growth. So, we are doing massive retraining of the people. But at the same time, our own predictable models, which we build internally in terms of understanding the probability and variance of the business, help us to tailor better the skill sets of the people. So, in other words, when we get projects going, we have much lower level of delays between turning people into profitable business versus the involvement then into intro to new project. And it's notable when you get a new enterprise clients, you can't wait for months till the people become trained and capable to implement. So, that's probably the biggest impact, which will continue to foster internally how to fit the training and capability of our engineering workforce on the project level, the system level with the clients.

Anil Doradla

Management

Just adding one statement to that, Josh, I think that's a very key statement that Leonard put, because that's the leverage in the model going forward, right? We have the resources. We have the capabilities, and as we see some of these demand trends come back, you'll see all these people put to work and then that will have an impact, a positive impact.

Josh Siegler

Analyst

Understood. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.

Bin Chiang

Management

Thank you, Josh for your question. Our question comes from Maggie Nolan from William Blair. Your line is open.

Maggie Nolan

Analyst

Hi, Leonard. Hi, Anil. So, on AI, it's pretty clear that you have years worth of expertise kind of building up to this moment. Should we expect to see any perceptible pickup in dollar spend or investment in AI or Gen AI, and then what would that look like in terms of magnitude?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Yeah, so, the magic wand is here, but the crystal ball is not. So, we do have all the tools necessary to scale the business. It's really how it's become more as a consultancy, right? Because the ability to build the model, scale the model, creating the predictable recommendation is there. Depending on the business, the financial benefit may vary because it takes some time not only to train the model, but verify the financial impact. Because there are other variances besides just optimization of the forecasting and other stuff. For example, the market trends, the competitive trends for all clients. So, what they try to do, they try to take projects rather than massive transformation at this point, and they want to run those cases, at least what we are involved. So, there are sizable dollars, but I almost remember when we moved the cloud transformation from on-prem to a private cloud, to hybrid cloud, to the public cloud, now kind of reversing the trend for a lot of those computational capabilities. So, I see that we're going to have a bit of a step function. Right now, we're in the early stage where dollars are still limited, but the projects are notable, but I think it's going to roll up into the sizable part of the business, which means one of the important factors for us, there are many questions I ask, what's the role of the software engineers? Will the future require less of IT people, and how would those IT people look like? And we would not call Grid Dynamics, IT engineers. We are highly trained, intellectually developed professionals in a data and software development space, in a cloud space, which means that while the industry goes through transformation, we are expanding more and more into meeting the match from the capabilities, and it's relatively beneficial to us versus some more traditional IT suppliers.

Maggie Nolan

Analyst

Thanks, Leonard. And Anil, the margins were strong this quarter. I'm wondering, if you can talk a little bit about specific drivers of operating expenses. Is there a possibility that these trend lower over the next couple of quarters?

Anil Doradla

Management

Thanks for the question. Maggie, so, as you saw, this quarter, we had roughly almost 200 bps of expansion on the EBITDA side, right? We saw gross margin expanding, driven by comments that we had in our prepared remarks around greater utilization of engineers. And then also, on the operating front, you saw it go down by about a million dollars, largely driven by the fact that given the environment that we're in, we're just prioritizing our investments and spend. Now, as we go into the back half of the year, our approach continues to be cautious on the spending. But that said, certain initiatives and projects that we deem as essential are being prioritized. So, we will see how things play out on the revenue side, on the demand side. Obviously, there's going to be a lot of leverage there. But, you know, we'll go one quarter at a time. And the hope and the aspiration is, from a margins point of view, we should see some tailwinds.

Maggie Nolan

Analyst

Thank you, guys.

Bin Chiang

Management

Thanks, Maggie. Next question comes from Bryan Bergin from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Bryan Bergin

Analyst

Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Good to see you. Wanted to start on kind of existing base and industry expectations as you go into the next quarter. So, can you talk about what you're seeing in the existing client base, whether you are seeing signs of stabilization that are becoming a little bit more broad-based? And specifically, if you can kind of key in on TMT and CPG as you plan for the third quarter?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

So, Bryan, I would not select any specific vertical. I think it's pretty much goes across all of them at this point. We do see stabilization. On the technology space specifically, it's a little bit more client to client, very, but mostly because they're giants, right? So one department goes a little bit more active in spending, the other one takes a little bit backseat. But from the CPG, it's no different than manufacturing or life science. We see that dynamics of conversations start becoming more deterministic by dollars for investment. And recently, we won a couple of very notable RFPs, which is kind of great for us anyways, because that's something we are doing a little bit more aggressive. And we see that the companies start preparing, there's anticipation, then there will be an inflection point in Q4, and maybe even late Q3. But those are a little bit more speculative. We reflect our guidance based on the facts. But I would say that, from the dynamics of the engagement with existing customers, because new customers you already know we're doing fine, but it doesn't create that, inflection from the short-term revenue perspective. So, we do believe there is going to be some positive momentum coming in.

Bryan Bergin

Analyst

Okay. That's good to hear. And then a generative AI question for you, but more so internally. So, can you just talk a bit more about how you're applying generative AI, obviously early proof of concepts internally, any early measures of success you can share around developer productivity? And I also wanted your viewpoint on really a high-level question, whether you think that this technology can potentially reduce the competitive benefits of scale? Meaning, do you see this as an opportunity for some of the smaller, more specialized vendors to have a leg up in competitive positioning versus some of the large-scale global players?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Well, let me start with the last one. Of course, I would love to tell you there is nobody in the world better than us, right? That saying, the big guys can invest big dollars. Big dollars can lead to big failures, because this is not the time to compete on the size of investment per se. It's how smart you invest. The models must be proven. You can't prove the models till there is a, sizable result in the industry, and you need to remove the bias, the noise. I hope anybody who's done their modeling, they realize that how sensitive the environment of the forecasting to the boundary condition, to the variance, and all this stuff. And you need to really look at the consistent correlation. So that's on a more technical side. See, I do believe on a laser-focused engagement rather than a broad-based announcement that we're going to put X billion of dollars. Now, seeing what we do internally, there are a lot of things happening. So first of all, on the code itself, it's not a secret. People say, you know, the code can be developed -- with natural commands, with, augmentation of the code, the quality controls, the automation to the next level where there's, I would say, artificially driven factors. Again, internally, it always works great because, you know, we're paying for ourselves. But the importance to test those samples of the codes with the clients what did say, and I mentioned just before you asked this question, in terms of the productivity, in terms of selection of skill, I mean, the skill set map, which we've been using for a long time, there's a lot of guesswork there. I think it's becoming a little bit more deterministic by using the stochastic processes on the large models. So we do believe that internal productivity increases, but our focus is on experimenting the models, also on code substitutions and the ability to implement the, independent software vendor products into the major stream.

Bryan Bergin

Analyst

Okay, that's clear. Thank you.

Anil Doradla

Management

Thanks, Bryan.

Bin Chiang

Management

Thank you, Bryan. Our next question comes from Ryan Potter from Citi. Please go ahead.

Ryan Potter

Analyst

Yeah, hey guys. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to start on pricing. I was wondering if you could give some color on how pricing trends have kind of evolved over the past few quarters. Are clients pushing back more on price, or is it becoming more of a paring criteria in the new logo wins? And have you also seen any increased adoption of your fixed fee or pod models? Yeah.

Anil Doradla

Management

Sure. Thanks for the question. Look, this is a question that we've answered in the past, and there's no exception to that even today. Clients always want better price, right? I mean, that is always one of those internal themes. I think what we go back to every client is value per dollar spent, whether it's on some of these cutting edge technologies, whether it is some of these difficult problems to solve. And time again, we prove ourselves to be a partner of choice where the value of dollar that they spend is high. Now, in the current environment, as we have macro headwinds play out, as we've seen in the past, if there is some incremental pressure with the clients, we have a talk with them on one-on-one basis. We have sometimes short-term arrangements where we accommodate some of their requests, and then we revert back to historical levels. I would say that from a pricing point of view, nothing has fundamentally changed long-term. But in the short term, there's a little bit of a give-and-take as some of our clients also face pressure, and we being good partners of them, help them out. I don't know, Leonard, whether you want to add something.

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Yeah, I think the color is probably on the back of the mind of all you guys. How are we dealing with the pricing coming out of India? Did I take it out of your mouth or I'm just volunteering too much? Because it's no secret when you move your force from Central Eastern Europe and you scale India, the biggest question becomes, what's your pricing position? Well, we've done a few acquisitions already. We're expanding an existing team. I think we're holding the pricing well, and this is because our teams are extremely well-trained and intervined. We hire good quality people intervined with European organizations. So we don't necessarily run just projects from one region. We're truly global, follow the sun strategy. As we're getting more and more involved with the Indian offices of our clients, which is, by the way, a great addition to our business, we'll see how it's going to hold. But we maintain the focus on hiring top people, creating the consultancy approach that all people kind of work the same quality around the world, and also maintaining the high quality of the interns. So, right now it's fine. I think what Anil was telling you, it's a generic trend, but I'm quite proud that we implement our GigaCube approach with the follow the sun very consistently across all the regions.

Ryan Potter

Analyst

Got it. A follow-up on delivery and GigaCube, in the earnings deck, it looks like you added 5 additional countries to your delivery mix, like Spain, Portugal, Turkey, were these organic additions, or did they come through acquisitions? And then more broadly, can you kind of discuss your strategy around delivery expansion and diversification?

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Well, we have not added these countries as a big centers of engineering yet. There is a mix of local hires with some of the relocated people. And we review each center with a great filter in terms of the synergies with other locations. And we also have a lot of people who are locations. And I recently visited pretty much all of the countries you just named. And I'm not a collector of the geographies. It's one of those things you put a, you walk with a suitcase, which has a little sticker from every country you visit, right? That's for the tourists, not for the business. We need to make money in every place we go, and we need to bring the value with the local partnership. So number one guiding factor for the new countries is the relationship with the universities, that's in the early stage, we met some very key notable universities. And as those relationships will prosper, then we can say definitively how scalable those new countries will be. But certainly the young talent is there. I would say that, as I repeated multiple times, we're not creating shelters for people to relocate. I mean, that's just the one part. We need to be a homegrown organization with a homegrown relationship with universities. So I will stop and we'll keep you updated. But right now, the focus from the overall growth is unquestionably India, Mexico, and in Central Europe is going between Poland, Romania, and Serbia to some extent. We have a good team in Armenia, we have a still good team in Ukraine and a few other places. But as we expand, we need to take all these factors into consideration. But we'll keep you posted.

Ryan Potter

Analyst

All right. Thanks.

Anil Doradla

Management

Thank you, Ryan.

Bin Chiang

Management

Thank you, Ryan. Our next question comes from the line from Mayank Tandon from Needham. Please go ahead.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst

Thank you. Good evening. I had a couple of questions. First was, you didn't comment on the fourth quarter specifically. So just curious, are there fewer billing days as we're modeling our fourth quarter revenue off the third quarter? Just want to make sure we check on that one. And secondly, we've been hearing from certain companies, some of your peers, that there's that potential for a budget flush given the sort of pent-up demand that's building. Any comments around that to help us frame the fourth quarter?

Anil Doradla

Management

Sure. So you bring two things which have opposing effects, right? You're absolutely right. You're absolutely right. Fourth quarter tends to be from a billing based point of view across the industry. And we're no exception. Now, in the past, being a smaller company with high growth, one-off climb, if they start growing, also the timing of some of these projects can actually impact the movement from Q3 to Q4. But in general, yes, from a number of days point of view, there's a little bit of a decline. Now, the second point that you bring up is budget flush, which is a very good point. And that is something we all have to see as an industry. Like what we saw in previous cycles, if you don't spend it, you lose it, right? There's a little bit of that going on. So I don't want to comment upon, Q4 at this stage, right, we're doing one quarter at a time. But these two points that you bring up are very valid and is part of our planning process as we look into the business.

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Yeah. One more discreet comment on that. In the very early of this session, Puneet asked a question about the contribution of the new clients. So that's one of the areas where we see also the contribution later in the year, whether it's going to be a larger or medium time will tell be a larger or medium. Time will tell in a month or two, so we'll talk about this in November. And from the existing customers, I would not call it the budget flush. And the reason being is we find that more and more as we grow through the diversity of the industries, they tend to have fiscal years not necessarily aligned with calendar years. What we do see for the Q4, it's what's missing from the investments earlier in the year, they may consider to start this slightly earlier. But again, as Anil said, it's a bit speculative, but it's not without a reason.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst

That's a helpful color. Then my second question is really more housekeeping. One, Anil, what was the revenue contribution from the acquisition in the second quarter? Was that for the full quarter? And then also, really good to see the stock compensation expense come down as a percentage. Should we assume that is the run rate going forward or should we expect further drops maybe more in line with industry peers?

Anil Doradla

Management

So I'll start with the second question. Yes, the way you should model is, I'll leave seven-- we had about 7.1 at the end of this quarter, right? So plus minus around that range for the remainder of the year. So that's a good observation that you made. In terms of the new logos and I mean new acquisition revenue contribution, as you know, next year was acquired on April 18, right? And as we said in the last quarter too, kind of, low to mid-single digits is what you should be looking at for my contribution.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst

Sorry, just to be clear, low single digits in terms of absolute dollars, right?

Anil Doradla

Management

Percentage.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst

Got it. Great. Thanks so much.

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Thank you.

Bin Chiang

Management

Thank you, Mayank. Thanks for your question. Ladies and gentlemen, that will be all of the Q&A session today. At this moment, I'll pass the line back to Leonard for closing remarks.

Leonard Livschitz

Management

Thank you, everybody, for joining us on the call today. We continue to focus on executing towards our stated goals. There are many reasons to feel positive about our business. Great dynamics, strong execution, technology leadership, and flawless delivery set us up extremely well coming out of this economic spike. Our clients continue to place their confidence in our abilities and we continue to execute towards our plan, gearing for a $1 billion revenue company. Recent trends with AI only validate our technology strengths and I look forward to sharing with you many new and exciting updates in November. Thank you.