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GDS Holdings Limited (GDS)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, May 19, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by for GDS Holdings Limited's First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After managements prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. Today's conference call is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to your host, Ms. Laura Chen, Head of Investor Relations for the company. Please go ahead, Laura.

Laura Chen

Management

Thank you. Hello, everyone. Welcome to the First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call of GDS Holdings Limited. The company's results were issued via Newswire Services earlier today and are posted online. A summary presentation, which we will refer to during this conference call can be viewed and downloaded from our IR website at investorsgdsservices.com. Leading today's call is Mr. William Huang, GDS Founder, Chairman and CEO, who will provide an overview of our business strategy and performance; Mr. Dan Newman, GDS CFO, will then review the financial and operating results; Ms. Jamie Khoo, our COO, is also available to answer questions. Before we continue, please note that today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. As such, the company's results may be materially different from the views expressed today. Further information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties is included in the company's perspective as filed with US SEC. The company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required under applicable law. Please note that, GDS earnings press release and this conference call, includes discussions of unaudited GAAP financial information as well as unaudited non-GAAP financial measures. GDS press release contains a reconciliation of the unaudited non-GAAP measures to the unaudited most directly comparable GAAP measures. I will now turn the call over to GDS Founder, Chairman and CEO, William. Please go ahead, William.

William Huang

Management

Thank you. Hello, everyone. This is William. Thank you for joining us on today's call. We are operating in a difficult environment. Everyone is having to deal with unprecedented challenges, including the recent COVID lockdown in China. GDS business is resilient and defensive. We generate recurring revenues, underpinned by long-term contracts with high quality customers. Despite the challenges, I'm pleased to report a solid set of results for the first quarter. We grew revenue by 32% and adjusted EBITDA by 29% year-on-year. We continued to win new business with 18,000 square meters of net additional customer commitments. We strengthened our funding position by raising US$620 million from a convertible bond issued to strategic investors, and completed a further US$530 million of project financing. In the near-term, we must deal with the challenges to the best of our ability. However, at the same time, we will remain focused on strengthening our strategic position for the medium-term and the longer-term through further developing our customer franchise, adding to our resource pipeline, consolidating the market as opportunities arise and accelerating our regional expansion. With scarce resource already secured, greater customer relationships and a proven track record, we have locked in enormous growth potential, which will materialize in the future. It is just a matter of time. So turning to the slide 4. Starting from the late February mass city lockdowns happened in many areas of China because of the COVID outbreak. We have a total of 82 data centers in service out of which 58 data centers have gone through lockdown situations. And over 30 are still locked down today. During these lockdowns around 880 people were isolated inside our data centers including 660 GDS employees and 220 from our customers. We needed to keep our data centers in continuous operation, while keeping…

Dan Newman

Management

Thank you, William. Starting on slide 15, where we strip out the contribution from equipment sales and the effects of FX changes. In 1Q '22, our service revenue grew by 2.6%, underlying adjusted gross profit grew by 2.3% and underlying adjusted EBITDA grew by 2.4% quarter on quarter. Our underlying adjusted EBITDA margin was 47.1% compared to 47.2% in the previous quarter. Turning to slide 16. Service revenue growth is driven mainly by delivery of the committed backlog and closing of acquisitions. Net additional area utilized during 1Q '22 was 12,545 square meters. Around 7,500 square meters was in Tier one markets affected by lockdowns and 5,000 square meters was in BOT projects in unaffected remote areas. During the second quarter, we expect a similar level of net additional area utilized. Monthly service revenue per square meter was RMB2,296 per square meter, per month, down by 2.4% compared to the previous quarter. It is mainly due to dilution from move-in at BOT and edge of town projects. For FY 2022, we still expect MSR to decline by mid-single digits in percentage terms year on year. Turning to slide 17. Our underlying adjusted gross profit margin was 52.4% for 1Q '22 compared to 52.5% in the previous quarter. As a result of higher coal prices and a raising of the ceiling on thermal power tariffs in China, we experienced around 10% increase in unit power costs in 1Q 2022 as compared to the prior quarter. On a per kilowatt hour basis, we are now paying around 15% more than we were a couple of quarters ago. Thermal power tariffs appear to have stabilized at the current level. As we indicated on previous calls, we estimate that elevated power tariffs will have around a 1 to 1.5 percentage point impact on our…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Tina Hou at Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Tina Hou

Analyst

Hi. Good morning, management, and thank you very much for your time. One question from me is that in terms of the overseas market, especially in Southeast Asia, in the longer term, say, five to 10 years, how big of a potential market do you think it could be versus the domestic China market, and what kind of growth rate can we expect from our projects and presence there. Thank you.

William Huang

Management

Yeah. I’ll answer first. I think the Southeast Asia market, are mainly driven by the Chinese customer and the US payer. And what we see is the huge potential for the local domestic market because a lot of the unit count, the number of the unit count there increased very significantly in this region. That will -- that’s indicated the future market has a huge potential. In terms of the population in this area is around 600 million population in this region. I think the -- over the time, I think the market will grow to the similar level of the Chinese market because, let's say, at least 50%, right, around 50% of the Chinese market is outside. That's my view. But the market is still in the early stage. It's more like eight years ago in China and -- but the potential is high, yeah. So in terms of the growth rate, I think the Southeast Asian market is the most fastest growing market in the world based on some analyst report, right? So, now the total amount -- demand in current stage compared with China is still small, but we should well positioned in this region. That's our thinking, yeah.

Tina Hou

Analyst

Thank you, William. Can I just have a quick follow-up? So...

William Huang

Management

Yeah. By the way, based on my understanding the current total market in Southeast Asia -- Southeast Asia is 2,000 megawatts totally, existing market, I mean.

Tina Hou

Analyst

Got it.

William Huang

Management

Yeah.

Tina Hou

Analyst

Thank you, yeah. So my follow-up would be is our project customers also including the local and international companies in addition to the domestic Chinese customers, and also what kind of IRR, project IRR, should we expect for the Southeast Asia projects?

William Huang

Management

Yeah, in terms of customer, I have been very clear. GDS, our methodology is serve for all kinds of customers in this region, but of course, the first priority is serving our installed base customer, which they have implementation, the business implementation in this region already. So I think this is our first target. As you said, we are not just serving Chinese customers. We, potentially we’ll also talk to all the international players and also local internet and car player as well. In terms of the return, Dan, maybe you add on some color?

Dan Newman

Management

Yeah. I think the returns will be well up to the levels in China, probably towards the top end of the range of what we typically achieve in China right now. We have a favorable dynamic where the Singapore market is very constrained and there's a very substantial amount of excess demand. In the adjacent markets in Malaysia and Indonesia, development cost and the operating cost including power tariffs are substantially lower than Singapore. We already have a very good handle of what the development cost is going to be for us. We also have a pretty good idea of what the selling price is going to be for the initial orders, because of course we've been in dialogue with potential customers for quite some time. So based on those inputs, we believe that we can offer a very competitive price for this nearshore capacity and still generate returns as I indicated, which are compare at least on par if not towards the top end of the range of what we can achieve in China these days.

Tina Hou

Analyst

That's very clear. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jon Atkin of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jon Atkin

Analyst

Thank you. Two questions. One is I think the CapEx spend is unchanged, but you talked about a slowing – schedule, so what is the offset there? And then on M&A, just your view on the M&A environment, and how you view financing options going forward in case you needed…?

Dan Newman

Management

Yeah, so I'll answer the questions, William.

William Huang

Management

Yeah.

Dan Newman

Management

Firstly just to remind, we gave CapEx guidance a couple of months ago in the previous quarterly earnings of RMB12 billion for this year, and in the script I gave a breakdown, saying that it would be RMB8 billion organic, which RMB 6 billion was in China and RMB 2 billion is in Hong Kong and Southeast Asia, RMB 6 billion in Mainland China and RMB 2 billion in Hong Kong and Southeast Asia. And then the balance of RMB 4 billion would be acquisitions and land bank. So the acquisitions and land banking is a bottom-up estimate. So that's deals which have already been done. So that number is no change. Out of that RMB 4 billion, we already incurred around RMB 2.7 billion in the first quarter, and we have the balance of payments, acquisition consideration and land purchase payments, which will mainly be made in the second quarter. For the remaining part, the RMB 8 billion, which is organic in Mainland China and regionally, we only incurred just over RMB 2 billion out of the RMB 8 billion in the first quarter. So that part, you can see, is in line with the kind of quarterly run rate. I mean four quarters at that run rate would add up to RMB 8 billion. And in actual fact, because we've made adjustments to the delivery schedule, which, of course, involves a lot of coordination with customers as well. It takes some time for that to work its way through to CapEx paid. First of all, we have to slow down the incurrence of CapEx, and then it gets reflected in the timing and the amount of CapEx payments. I think that the CapEx in the second half of the year could be somewhat less than it will be…

Jon Atkin

Analyst

And if I could ask one last question then, so the mix of Internet, versus Enterprise, versus Cloud inside of China, you talked a little bit about FSI demand and so forth. But maybe just a little bit of an update on what you talked about in the script as well as last quarter?

Jamie Khoo

Analyst

I don't know if we want to add, but we talked last time when we talked actually for quite a few quarters about being positioned for where demand comes from, and the demand profile changes over time. So during last year, we saw significantly increased new business from financial institutions, both, Domestic, Chinese and Foreign. We had some tremendous wins, including most of the top 10 global banks and better banks on Wall Street. In the first quarter, FSI and enterprise business was 45% of new bookings. And in the second quarter, it will probably be a similar level, maybe 40%. So that demonstrates that we've positioned our sales effort and our asset base correctly. William, would you like to add what something what we're doing on the FSI enterprise side?

William Huang

Management

Yeah. I think diversify our customer base, always our goal, right from day one. So that's why let us catch up any kind of growth from the different industry. If you look back last 10 years, we start from the enterprise customer, and then we catch up the Internet booming. Then we go to the Cloud takeoff. And now the demand also more balanced from the Cloud, Internet and also the Enterprise as well. So I think we are very, very -- we have a very solid customer base. That's allowed us to capture any kind of the demand from the -- because the market always change. So the only thing -- the good -- the right thing to do is that build -- always build our solid customer base which we had. So now since last quarter and this quarter, maybe last quarter and last few quarters, I think the growth -- we saw the growth from the enterprise and financial institution. Obviously, the cloud a little bit of slowdown right, but we still can meet our target. So, since last year, we already saw that change. So last year, we started to hire more increase our sales people to penetrate to the enterprise customer and the financial institute. Now we saw the effort coming and we did the right thing last year.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Michael Elias at Cowen. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi. This is Jess Con [ph] from Michael. I just wanted to touch on the organic leasing target and you noted in your prepared remarks that you could see a little bit more coming from Southeast Asia in 2022. I wonder if you could provide a little bit of color around the exact split between Southeast Asia/Hong Kong along with Mainland China. And secondarily, your guidance does imply a step up in leasing to reach that 90,000 square meter target. What are you hearing from your customers' that indicates an acceleration is coming as part of that? What level of visibility do you have in your existing pipeline for that leasing to come on? Thank you.

William Huang

Management

Dan, you go ahead.

Dan Newman

Management

Yeah, I’m sorry. On the first part of the question, we deliberately didn't provide any quantification of a split. We can make our targets a number of different ways, right, so it's not really appropriate for us to put some kind of quota on orders from a particular type of customer or particular region. We have a couple of projects in Hong Kong, where we haven't yet disclosed anchor custom orders and we have three major projects around Singapore, three campuses, two in Johor and one in Batam. So that's five projects in total. Of course, we've made these investments in close consultation with our leading customers, and there's been a sale dialogue going on for a long period of time. But when we actually disclose the sales order, depends on there being a firm commitment. It's too hard to say right now how many of those projects will have, firm commitments within this financial year. It could be a combination, so that's why it wouldn't really be meaningful or appropriate to put a number on it. I think we will have enough anchor orders in Southeast Asia to give investors a very strong feeling about, call it, proof of concept as to what we're doing. I think that's probably the most important thing. Your second question was about visibility on the 90,000 square meters. William would you like to add something?

William Huang

Management

Yeah. I think number one, at 90,000 square meters, we confirmed we still can achieve, right, we are confident of that. But if you think about -- it's early to talk about -- a little bit early to talk about it accelerates. But in general, I think our customer is still prepared for the future -- all our customers are preparing for the future growth. We monitor our customer's business plan very closely, so -- in order to well position to catch up, whatever its accelerate or still maintain the current demand profile. So I think our goal is short-term, we cannot say what happens accelerate, it will accelerate or not, but still we are confident for the mid-term and long-term, right. The demand still will not change.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Frank Louthan at Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Frank Louthan

Analyst

Great, thank you. I just want to go back to the guidance. So when you came in at the end of the year the guidance was a little bit lower because of supply chain issues, your customers were having supply chain issues and getting inflation. Now obviously, they've been precluded from installing because of the lockdowns. What's the bigger factor now in your mind that if there's something that would keep you from hitting the guidance or have to have you lower it later this year? Are you confident that they do have the equipment and they have gotten through the supply chain issues, they'll be able to do the installations and now is it just the assumption that the lockdowns will bolster it or how should we think about those two factors?

Dan Newman

Management

Yes. The main difference is the lockdowns. I think when we gave guidance in mid-March, it was still relatively early. I don't think anyone had anticipated then that Shanghai would be in lockdown for two months. And I don't know how much specific detail investors have about the extent of the lockdowns but what we saw was the lockdown in Shanghai, which is quite well known but also the surrounding areas where the government I think as a precaution went into lockdown, that's in Changshu Province. Then there's quite a bit of news about some restrictions in Beijing but what I don't think is necessarily so well known is that Langfang, which is in Hebei Province just outside Beijing, that's been in lockdown for an extended period of time as well. If you look at the page in our earnings presentation and it's in the appendix where we show what we call ramping up datacenters. Ramping up datacenters is where most of the move-in is taking place. If you just scan down that table and you just look at the number of datacenters which start with SH or CS, which is Changshu or NT, which is Nantong, that's all in the Shanghai area and surrounding area affected by lockdown. Then you look at Beijing and Langfang LF, you'll see that a very substantial part of our ramping up datacenters are in the areas, which have been amongst the worst affected by lockdowns. We may be coming to the end of that, right, certainly from government comments and when we looked at our guidance, we assumed as I have said during the prepared remarks that lockdowns come to an end progressively in the next one to two months and thereafter we assume that move-in would recover to the level that it was at last year. Last year was not affected by lockdowns but it was affected by a number of other factors. So if you look at the quarterly move-in last year excluding acquisitions it was in the high teens in terms of thousands of square meters per quarter. So we would assume that that's what will happen in the second half of the year and then if that happens we will come out with revenue roughly are within our guidance. And I think that everyone can probably do their own cross-check mathematically, because we have given a direction saying that our MSR will decline by mid single-digits and we have revenue guidance, so if you divide one by the other, you can calculate the average area utilized and then construct a kind of quarterly progression for that metric.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gokul Hariharan at JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Gokul Hariharan

Analyst

Yes. Hi. Thanks, William and Dan. First of all, on cloud, one of your biggest cloud customers yesterday mentioned that they are becoming a lot more selective in terms of their cloud investments and looking for quality growth rather than growth at any cost. Could you talk a little bit about the discussions you are having with customers, cloud customers in terms of how they think about growth going forward? Is there a meaningful step down? And what kind of expectations do you have, let's say, in the next three four years in terms of cloud growth? And secondly on the FSI financial services customers, is there any different profile in terms of financial service customers in terms of the kind of demand that they have on the engagement models that you have? If that becomes a significant part, a much bigger part of your revenue, does that mean anything for IRR or MSR? Thank you.

William Huang

Management

Yes. I think the cloud service provider still is a major driver -- main driver to drive the data center demand and growth. I think even they talk about the selectively, they still pursue the high growth rate. I think this does not mean they will slowdown, let's say, dramatically. I think that still they maintain, I think, 20%, 30% growth still, I think, is the number they pursue at least. So this is still a big number, right, in my view. But on the other hand, things we talk about the demand profile a little bit change, and because a lot of the enterprise or Internet giants they start to do their hybrid cloud model. So the demand from the cloud a little bit shifted to our end user to direct purchase data center. I think in total from our perspective, the market total demand still maintained a similar size compared with last year, but the demand shifted from one industry to another industry. That's the current trend we saw. In terms of the enterprise customer and the financial institutions, I think the DI [ph] model traditional colo demand a small size. They also represent very big demand, let's say, 1,000 racks, 2,000 racks a lot of gear, because they changed their IT structure from the typical from the mainframe to the server base. So the demand profile for each order still very, very big. You can call it's like a semi-hyperscale data – the demand, right? So in terms of price there you want to add some color?

Dan Newman

Management

Semi-hyperscale more or else answers the question about price as well actually. It's almost entirely. I'm trusting, it is entirely actually what we would call downtown data centers. So unless, we had continued to pursue the strategy of sourcing data centers within Beijing, within Shanghai, which we have done – I'm sorry, within Shenzhen, which is very time consuming and challenging. Unless, we've done that, we would not have been able to get this business. So, it's mostly downtown. There is still a significant differential between the pricing for downtown and edge town, which I think all customers recognize and accept. I think, the IRRs are probably quite – quite similar now between downtown and edge of town. So, I don't think, this FSI business makes much difference to our average IRRs, or to our operating cost structure and so on.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Joel Ying at Nomura. Please go ahead.

Joel Ying

Analyst

Thanks, management for taking my questions. So, actually, I actually saw a tightening policy trend for the PV monitoring and cover emission quota management in Beijing area. So should we expect any impact to the company or industry into mid long term? Maybe some old data center, they need renovation. So we might need some time or might be extra capital to solve such issues maybe in long run. Can Management talk about that? Thank you.

William Huang

Management

So, pardon, what's your question?

Dan Newman

Management

Yeah. Yeah. William, there was – yeah, I think it was yesterday, I'm trying to think was it municipal government or NDRC announced implementation of the this years monitoring of PV levels and list out like 8 or 10 actions that they would take to try to increase efficiency of small old data on it. It's a follow through from strategy policy, which they have announced several times, previously to try to be more assertive in forcing data center operators to become more efficient, or even creating a kind of economic push for older data centers to shut down. It doesn't affect us at all. Joel, I mean, not negatively. I mean, maybe positively, if there's some demand that shifts from that. And a natural fact, I think we've played a very constructive role with the government in helping to establish this exercise, right, because it requires some IT and integration to create the platform for the monitoring of PVs.

William Huang

Management

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I should add on some think like, I think because GDS, it's the most efficiency data center player in the market. I think this is not just a government asked us to do from our benefit -- our self-benefit point of view to just improve the power efficiency always our goal our day-to-day job. Just like what Dan mention it would not affect us.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Alex Weng [ph] at Daiwa. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, management. Could you hear me? Yes.

Dan Newman

Management

Yes.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Congratulations on strong results. Its Wong Hung [ph] from Daiwa Capital Markets. I will ask a question on behalf of John Choi. And the first question regarding our customer diversification as we just mentioned earlier. As we are trying to diversify our revenue mix towards international structure, do we have maybe a target for revenue mix from enterprise and the financial structure in the next one to three years. And also, we have observed your target of MSR of middle single point decline in this year. And with our observation on new contracts occurred in the first quarter, is there any winning showed by the account to negotiate the new cloud contract? My second question is regarding our capacity injection plan as we see this year is more back on the low days. So into the second half, what's our observation on the biggest downward risk for our capacity injection in the second half because we have seen that over 80% of our capacity actually added in the second half? Thank you very much.

Dan Newman

Management

Okay. Alex, we have sales targets, of course. But from a strategy and planning point of view, we don't set quotas for particular kind of customers or particular markets. So I mentioned that previously. I mean that I don't think that would be the right approach. I mean we have tried to position to address demand from what we consider to be strategic, high-value customer base, and we want to be in the right place at the right time to capture that demand. The comments I make about MSR reflects some internal assumptions about particularly about the pricing for new contracts, which itself is reflecting the location of that capacity, whether it's downtown, edge of town or remote. And renewals also goes into that, although I'd say the renewals is a pretty small part of both the change in MSR. Now you've commented quite a few times before that overall renewals are close to flat. We do have some older contracts like five to seven year old contracts, particularly for what -- for our first few data centers in each market. So it would be like the data center number one, two, three, four in a particular market, where we had some, what we would call today hyperscale customers. But at that time, their order size was a few hundred square meters, not -- and the total volume of their business with us has increased by 10 or more than 10x since then. So, those customers typically they have downtown capacity and edge of town capacity. So, when those contracts come up for renewal and it's only a pretty small part of our total contract base, we've seen some very small decline for that there, but once you factor that into our overall MSR, it doesn't make much -- it…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Sara Wang at UBS. Please go ahead.

Sara Wang

Analyst

Hi. Thank you for the opportunity to ask a question. So I recall during our last earnings call that Management shared that the outlook into next year should be better than this year. So given what happened so far are we still holding the same view towards next year? Then what are our key assumptions for the outlook into next year? Thank you.

Dan Newman

Management

Sara, I can't remember exactly what I said, and I'm giving you the benefit of the doubt if I said next year would be better. I don't know if I specifically meant year because that's just a - you know an arbitrary start and end date, but I mean clearly, we're going through a cycle, right? Everyone knows that. And we will -- the cycle will bottom at some point and there will be recovery. We have got many quarters of historic data on the ratio of move-in to backlog and the - although there's quite a wide range that has held for a long period of time. Currently, we see move-in to backlog ratio has fallen to a level that we've not seen historically. So it's well below historical levels. I don't think that – yes, I don't think anything fundamental has changed or structurally has changed. I think that's cyclical and a reflection of some of the unprecedented factors, which are currently affecting the market. So once that -- once those go away and once we see the cycle turn, I don't see why the historical ratio moving to backlog should not return and if that's the case then we will see higher growth rates than we're seeing currently.

Sara Wang

Analyst

Thank you. Thank you. That's all the time we have for questions. I'd now like to turn the call back over to the company for closing remarks.

Laura Chen

Management

Thank you all once again for joining us today. If you have further questions please feel free to contact GDS Investor Relations through the contact information on our website or the Piacente Group Investor Relations. Bye.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes this conference call. You may now all disconnect.