Karsten Voermann
Management
Hey, John, it's Karsten. A couple of things. First of all, I think your core assumption going in, I think you phrased it as blowing up relationships with a number of PBMs at the same time. It's -- as Trevor said earlier on, it's quite unusual for something like that to happen. And that is a reasonably accurate characterization of the situation, I'd say. In terms of impact, yes, the revenue impact we talked about earlier on is a manifestation of what we -- how we expect the situation to potentially evolve. Right now, new user growth should remain largely unaffected. And what we've seen after taking action is that we can be highly effective at moving new users to other pharmacies. In fact, many of the groceries competitors saw new user growth rates of over 20% to 30%, offsetting new user decreases at this grocer, and it specifically goes to your marketing point because with new user growth rates or new user acquisition more pointedly and specifically continuing to be robust, it means that continuing to market makes a lot of sense. I think the real issue is that we have strong repeat activity, as most folks on this call probably know, which is a good thing. But some of those repeat users don't check GoodRx every time before they go into a pharmacy and hit the point of sale. So we have put communications in front of those existing users as well so they know that they can get great pricing at other pharmacies instead, but it could take more time and be less effective to move the existing users than the new users. And that's why until the issue is resolved, we'd expect to see a slowdown of returning user activity at this grocer. And given it made up just under one-fourth of our prescription transactions revenue, that's a significant amount, which makes it a little tough to estimate the full year impact since that will depend on how and when the issue gets resolved. There's decent positive progress, but there's no full resolution and that's why we're estimating impact assuming resolution does not happen before the end of the quarter. And that's why we said in that case, we may lose up to 75% of the revenue related to this grocer or about $30 million. Again though, it's important to note that this is very unusual, as you put it, again, blowing up a number of PBM relationships at the same time. Number two, we think it's going to impact near term prescription transaction revenue. But given the new user information I shared earlier, we do not believe this impacts the growth rate of the business in future years or the total market size. We're also continuing to see great momentum with our subscriptions and pharma man sol businesses as well. So from those perspectives, too, I think we see strength in the business. Hopefully, that's helpful.