Steven W. Streit
Analyst · JMP Securities.
Sure, happy to help best I can. If I had to give you a good high-level, I would say maybe $4 million to $5 million of it is more timing-based. In other words, if the invoice had arrived differently or if the merchandising run had been hit a month earlier could've been in a different quarter. Let's say, it could've been this quarter. So some of it is, just as those invoices come in, as you cause printing and manufacturing to happen and as you ship it. And on the Green Dot side, we have a new initiative on having better in-stocks at all those locations, which is really, really hard. I can't overstate that because my supply chain team would be angry if I did. It's hard. You're looking at, if you say you have 4,200 Walmarts in 92,000 locations. So think about that: 88,000 freestanding buildings of the parking lots and locations and everything else that you have to make sure your products are on the shelf. And that's hard. So we've done a way better job of sort of superservicing our high-selling locations, if you will, underservicing our low-selling locations and trying to find the right balance, and that means we're making a lot more packages than we were. And if you do have some of that, that's about timing and catch up that could have hit somewhere. So you're right, it's the normal course of doing business, but the timing is that it's in the second half this particular time and another year could've been in first half. So you're right, that's sort of the normalized cost of running your business. I think the remaining, call it, $7 million is about specific merchandising efforts and specific growth-oriented activities that we believe will be incremental and onetime in nature as we launch a new initiative here or there, and so we're saving that for dry powder. Now it could be that we don't use it, or something else, and we end the year better, we don't know. But generally, we've been pretty good at estimating those kinds of costs and we're getting better at it all the time. So I wouldn't guess much beyond our range. I think we've guided appropriately and I do think we'll end up spending that money for this initiative or that initiative.