Jay Johnson
Analyst · Royal Bank of Canada
Thank you, Amy, and good morning, everyone. General Dynamics performed well in the second quarter, delivering $7.9 billion in sales and $949 million in operating earnings. Sales and earnings improved from last quarter, with Combat Systems volumes leading the top line growth. Excellent performance across our 3 Defense groups in the quarter drove 12% company operating margins. Earnings per share totaled $1.79 on a fully diluted basis, $0.11 ahead of last year's second quarter and $0.15 ahead of last quarter. Second quarter free cash flow after capital expenditures was $658 million, nearly 100% of earnings from continuing operations. Year-to-date, free cash flow is $924 million, well ahead of last year. I expect this robust cash performance to continue in the second half. Regarding capital deployment, we took advantage of our healthy balance sheet and market conditions to repurchase 11.1 million shares of GD common stock this quarter. Through the first half, our EPS growth has been enhanced by the repurchase of 14.2 million shares. Subsequent to the quarter, we also took advantage of favorable market conditions to issue $1.5 billion in new debt. This issuance increased the average maturity of our debt, reduced our average coupon rate, covered $750 million of notes that matured 2 weeks ago and provided additional flexibility for future capital deployment. Orders this quarter were nearly $7.5 billion, $300 million more than last year's second quarter, due to particularly strong demand for our Aerospace products and services. Defense bookings were more modest than anticipated because of slower than expected award activity, following the delayed passage of the 2011 defense spending bill in late April. With that said, I anticipate healthier order activity across our Defense segments in the second half. At the end of the quarter, funded backlog was $44.3 billion up $400 million from the first quarter, while total backlog stood at $57.1 billion. Total estimated contract value, which includes opportunities to provide products and services under IDIQ contracts and options, was $78.3 billion. Now let me turn to the results and outlook for each of our groups. First, let's talk about Combat Systems. Combat Systems sales and earnings improved this quarter when compared with last quarter and the second quarter of last year. Sales totaled $2.1 billion, reflecting growing international vehicle volume, particularly foreign military sales of light armored vehicles and somewhat lower U.S. vehicle and engineering volume. Earnings were $299 million, resulting in 14.1% operating margins. This healthy operating margin reflects excellent performance across the group's portfolio of mature production programs. In addition, the group's profitability has been enhanced by ongoing continuous improvement and business optimization initiatives, aiming at ensuring that we remain a competitive, high-quality provider in a tightening market. These efforts were illustrated by several actions taken in the quarter, such as the decision to relocate our European Defense business headquarters to Spain by year-end and the consolidation and resizing of our Guns and Weapons businesses to align with anticipated demand. We also continued our focus on core businesses by divesting the successful but non-core detection business. Combat Systems' backlog totaled $10.8 billion at quarter end. Orders in some of Combat's businesses were somewhat lighter than anticipated this quarter, in part due to the impact of the sluggish contracting environment on our Ordinance and Weapons Systems businesses. Notable orders that were received included approximately $286 million for Hydra rockets, $124 million for MRAP upgrades and $62 million for Stryker Double-V hull engineering. In the second half, we expect additional U.S. awards for more Strykers, additional MRAP upgrades and a Ground Combat Vehicle development contract. We also expect international production contracts in the second half, including the Canadian LAV upgrade program, 2 awards for an FMS tank upgrade program and a possible launch customer for the newest upgrade to our PIRANHA family of vehicles. Additionally, requests for the next increments of 72 FMS LAVs and 125 Egyptian tank kits are now proceeding through the appropriate approval channels. In total, these international awards could add approximately $1.5 billion to backlog before year-end. Given year-to-date performance, current backlog and anticipated orders, Combat remains on track to achieve my guidance of around $9 billion in sales this year and a 14% operating margin. As we look to the future, the Combat Systems group will be both challenged by an uncertain market environment and bolstered by an array of opportunities. Domestically, our incumbency and unique experience in designing, producing and servicing combat-proven vehicles positions us well. For example, Stryker Double-V, which arrived in Afghanistan in early June, is already saving lives, and the Double-V hull itself is quickly becoming a survivability requirement for all armored vehicles. We will continue to leverage our investment in Double-V in order to offer more survivable, lower-cost solutions for future combat and tactical vehicle fleets. The Abrams tank offers similar potential for further adaptation and modernization. We are encouraged by the strong congressional support we have received thus far in the 2012 budget process. This support will help ensure that the U.S. maintains a healthy and reliable tank industrial base. International vehicle markets and the growth that we expect to arise from several indigenous and foreign military export programs are key to providing relative stability in Combat's outlook over the next several years. We have a $2 billion, multiyear FMS LAV program already in backlog, which helps to mitigate some softening in the U.S. vehicle program sales. In addition, the Canadian LAV upgrade program and FMS tank upgrade program and the expected Spanish 8x8 LAV program will help to further offset pressure in our U.S. vehicle market. In summary, Combat Systems is performing well and continues to build on the success of our franchise programs. As we begin to look into 2012 and even 2013, we certainly have some work to do. But with that said, I remain confident in our ability to provide best-in-class vehicles and weapon systems to U.S. and international customers at affordable prices for years to come. Next, Marine Systems. Marine Systems delivered a solid quarter. Sales in the quarter were down modestly, while earnings were consistent with the prior-year period at $1.6 billion and $161 million respectively. Marine sales reflect lower Destroyer, commercial shipping and T-AKE volume, partially offset by higher submarine, mobile landing platform and repair volume. The lower Destroyer volume is really a timing issue as we fully expect several Destroyer awards in the second half. Margins in the quarter were steady at 10.2%, driven primarily by improved performance on the T-AKE program. The group's funded backlog totaled $9.2 billion at the end of the second quarter, up $1.1 billion from the end of last quarter. This increase reflects funding for the second FY '11 Virginia-class submarine, several NASSCO repair contracts, additional funding for the DDG 1000 program and an $800 million award for construction of the first 2 MLP ships and long lead material funding for the third. We were very pleased to add these 2 MLPs into our backlog and look forward to another successful program. Total backlog at the end of the quarter was $18.4 billion, down modestly from last quarter. We now have an agreement with the Navy on DDG's 1001 and 1002, the second and third ships in the class, and expect a contract to follow shortly. Additionally, we are preparing a bid for the Navy's DDG 51 restart Destroyers, and anticipate an award announcement late in the third quarter or perhaps early in the fourth. We also continue to see the need for replacing aging Jones Act commercial ships, but that has yet to translate into orders at NASSCO. For the remainder of the year, group sales will grow progressively due to continued growth on the Virginia and SSBNX programs and incremental Destroyer volume once we're able to add these ships to backlog. Overall, 2011 sales should be similar to last year, consistent with my prior guidance. Given the group's performance through the first half, Marine margins for the year should be in the high 9% range, better than my earlier guidance. The group's excellent track record of taking cost out of this business and its continued dedication to process improvement, positioned it to remain a leader in designing and constructing the most affordable, reliable ships moving forward. Now to IS&T. Our IS&T group had a good second quarter. Sales were $2.8 billion, while earnings were nearly $300 million. The group's IT service business realized growth throughout the first half, primarily attributable to large IT infrastructure support projects in the DC area, such as the DoD's Mark Center, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center and the relocation of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency headquarters. IS&T's Tactical Communications business did experience lower volume, particularly in its Shorter Cycle Product business, which includes encryption, mobile and ruggedized computing products. This lighter-than-anticipated volume is primarily a timing issue, the result of both prolonged acquisition cycles and the aftermath of the continuing resolution. We anticipate volume to increase materially in the second half. IS&T operating margins were 10.7% in the second quarter, 20 basis points better than last year's second quarter and 90 basis points improved from the last quarter. This margin improvement is a direct reflection of the group's ongoing response to top line pressures. In reaction to the new reality of slowed acquisition cycles and less predictable customer award activity, our IS&T businesses are taking prompt action to ensure they remain competitive, including consolidating and adjusting staffing levels across the portfolio. The group's backlog totaled $9.6 billion at the quarter-end, consistent with the prior quarter as book to bill was very nearly 1x. Our IT Service business enjoyed its best order quarter in almost 3 years and helped offset the more sluggish award tempo in our Product and System Integration businesses. IS&T's opportunity pipeline is very robust, and we anticipate full year book to bill to be at or very near 1x. Even with some of the award sluggishness just mentioned, the Tactical Communications business has recently secured several notable contracts. In the United Kingdom, we received a $174 million Bowman support and enhancement contract, critical to maintaining and evolving this franchise product for the British Army. Similarly, following a key Pentagon milestone decision, we were awarded a contract for 6,250 JTRS HMS Rifleman radios and 100 Manpack radios. Our HMS products continue to perform well in testing to include success in a recent Army network integration exercise for the handheld and Manpack variants demonstrated their ability to provide transformational networking capability. The group's IT Service business was also selected from several multiyear IDIQ contracts in the second quarter, including an award to build the IT backbone for the new Department of Homeland Security headquarters. These awards drove a nearly $600 million improvement in the group's potential contract value. In the second quarter, we announced the acquisition of Fortress Technologies, a provider of secure, wireless networking equipment for the U.S. Military and other government customers. Fortress' product portfolio provides secure, Wi-Fi hotspots for battlefield logistics, convoy and command post users that do not currently enjoy this capability. We also recently announced the acquisition of Network Connectivity Solutions, a provider of enterprise services, cloud computing, and cyber information assurance solutions to the Department of Defense. IS&T's volume in the second half will exceed both last year's second half and this year's first half. For the full year, I expect group sales to be flat to modestly up from last year, a revised outlook that reflects the realities of contract award activity in the first half. Margins will be in the mid-10% range, somewhat higher than my previous guidance. Looking ahead, IS&T's highly diverse portfolio positions the group to leverage its prudent capabilities to capture new business in fast-growing market segments. Now let's move to our Aerospace segment. The Aerospace group's second quarter sales were $1.38 billion, consistent with the year-ago quarter and up modestly from last quarter. Earnings totaled $209 million, resulting in a 15.2% group operating margins. The group's operating margins are down through the first half when compared with last year's period, primarily because of the timing of R&D spending and supplier payments at Gulfstream and to performance challenges at Jet Aviation. Even with the impact of R&D expenditure timing, Gulfstream margins remain robust, and the business is performing extremely well. In my last quarterly earnings remarks, I noted the problems that Jet is confronting in its Completions business. Specifically, I highlighted that as a result of the economic downturn, Jet's OEM business jet completions volume deteriorated markedly. This loss of OEM volume is aggravated by less than optimal performance on several narrow-body, wide-body contracts. While underperformance is not related to the quality of the products delivered, it has impacted throughput and subsequent volume. Therefore, to better align jet completions to the realities of today's market, we are restructuring the business, eliminating overhead and transforming the management team. We will see continuing improvement in Jet's Completion business as the year progresses. Jet service operations continued to do well, especially the FBO business, as flying hours increased globally. I have great confidence that new management at Jet Aviation and healthy demand for its completions, MRO, FBO and management services will help to ensure improved performance moving forward. Broader Aerospace market indicators were generally positive again this quarter, when in fact, second quarter Gulfstream orders were the largest we've seen since the economic downturn began. When combined with low customer defaults, this strong order book drove a $428 million increase in the group's backlog in the second quarter. At $18 billion, including an 18 to 24-month delivery window for our in-service large cabin aircraft, our backlog is solid and sustaining. For the year, large and mid-cabin in-production green deliveries remain on track at 80 and 15 to 20 respectively. Orders through the first half reflect the reality of today's market environment. Customer appetite for large cabin aircraft remains very healthy, while mid-cabin demand continues but at lower levels. International customers represented over 70% of our order book in the first half, with Asia Pacific customers accounting for 50%. When compared with the first half of last year, Asia Pacific orders have more than doubled their share of the order book. We were also particularly pleased to see a doubling of North American customer orders from the first to second quarter. It's good to see our domestic markets slowly coming back, particularly given recent political rhetoric, which is very harmful to our industry. Gulfstream flying hours continued to improve and have now returned to prerecession levels. This has driven additional growth in our Aircraft Services businesses, which enjoyed another quarter of record-setting service demand. Year-to-date, the group service sales are up almost 20%, with both Gulfstream and Jet Aviation delivering double-digit growth. We're working diligently to ensure that our service network remains well positioned to serve our customers and a growing installed global fleet. In pursuit of this goal, we added 2 new European warehouses this quarter, enhanced our Air Products Support program and introduced new fast teams, able to deploy around the world to deal with customer maintenance needs. Market preowned aircraft levels continued to slowly decline. We had 2 aircraft in inventory at the beginning of this quarter, took 2 additional preowned aircraft in trade during the quarter and have sold all 4 at a modest profit. On the product development front, the G650 returned to flight in late May, and our 4 test aircraft are busily progressing toward certification. While the 2-month delay in flight testing introduced some additional risk into our plan certification schedule, we are pleased with the progress we made since returning to flight. We continue to believe that we can obtain our objective of delivering 10 to 12 green G650 aircraft this year. However, it is fair to assume that these deliveries will happen later in the year than previously planned. The G280, which was recently renamed, also continues to make progress towards certification, having achieved several critical milestones in the quarter to include obtaining engine certification. For the year, I expect the group's sales to grow approximately 14% to 15%, slightly below my prior guidance. Margins will be around 15%, somewhat lower than previously expected, given Jet Aviation's performance through the first half. As we look to the future, our current order book, healthy pipeline of potential customer orders and continued investments in new aircraft development bode well for the future of our Aerospace group. In summary, General Dynamics delivered a solid first half and is well positioned for success in the second half. I now expect earnings per share from continuing operations for the year to be $7.15 to $7.20, an increase from my prior guidance. This revised guidance reflects the changes to segment guidance I provided this morning. The sale of the Detection Systems business, additional interest expense resulting from our debt issuance and share repurchase through the first half. As is our practice, this guidance does not presume further deployment of capital, although our healthy balance sheet affords us great flexibility to do so. Before I turn the call over to the Hugh, I want to comment briefly on today's dynamic business environment, particularly as it relates to our Defense businesses. As we speak, talks on resolving the nation's debt challenges continue. Although it's not yet certain today how or when the debt ceiling is raised, it is clear that defense spending will play a role in helping to ease the country's economic challenges. The President's recently announced plan, for example, would cut national security spending by $700 billion over the next 10 to 12 years. The distribution of this reduction has not yet been detailed, although it is probable that the largest cuts will target budgets in the second half of the decade, rather than those in the nearer term. The Pentagon under the guidance of the new Secretary of Defense, is in the midst of a roles in mission study, which will identify an array of options for capturing savings commensurate with the President's plan. While we have no insight into the study it is apparent that senior leadership in the Pentagon intends to make sure that any cuts are made deliberately and with known strategy and capability consequences. Secretary [Leon] Panetta who most certainly understands the multiplicity of threats facing our nation has clearly expressed that he will not create a hollow force. The Secretary has also stated that while he understands the defense cuts are necessary, he does not believe that the country must choose between strong fiscal discipline and strong national security. As we continue to closely track the conclusions of this study, which will predominantly inform the fiscal year 2013 budget submission, the 2012 defense budget request is proceeding through the Congressional approval process. We have been pleased with the support our programs have received to-date While there are several steps remaining before the 2012 defense bill is enacted, I remain confident that GD's core programs will receive solid Congressional support. Furthermore, in the event that the 2012 Pentagon budget is funded through a continuing resolution, we remain relatively confident in our outlook, given the robust funding for our programs in the 2011 spending bill. General Dynamics is particularly well positioned to excel in this fast-changing, high-pressure environment. The platform incumbency that we've established, particularly with our Army and Navy customers, will afford us significant opportunities to evolve our defense products in a manner that both addresses emergent warfighter requirements and minimizes costs in the expanding global business jet market and continued investment in our product and service portfolio will help to ensure that our Aerospace segment is the company's growth engine for the next several years. We are taking appropriate actions across this corporation to ensure that we can continue to provide the most capable and affordable products to our customers as we enhance value to our shareholders. With that, I'll now ask Hugh Redd to touch on some additional financial details. Hugh?