Brian Comstock
Analyst · Bank of America
Thanks, Lorie, and good afternoon, everyone. During the fourth quarter, commercial activity took a meaningful step forward. We received orders for 3,400 railcars valued at approximately $600 million, our highest order value of the year, spanning a range of railcar types and end markets. These orders resulted in a book-to-bill ratio of nearly 1, the highest we've seen since Q3 fiscal 2024. For the full year, orders totaled 12,200 railcars valued at $1.9 billion. With many customers deferring purchasing decisions this year, I'm extremely proud of how our commercial team continued to win business. Greenbrier's backlog increased to 14,000 railcars valued at $2.1 billion, the first sequential increase since fiscal 2024, with deliveries extending into fiscal 2028. Lease originations represented about 40% of orders for the year, reflecting the value of an integrated commercial model that offers customers both direct sales and leasing solutions. As a reminder, programmatic railcar restoration work is excluded from our orders, backlog and deliveries. In fiscal '26, we performed this work on approximately 2,200 railcars, making Greenbrier a clear market leader. Looking at the broader market, conditions are becoming more constructive. Rail traffic has grown across a broad range of commodities this year and elevated fuel prices have improved rail's cost competitiveness relative to trucking. Recent operating results from the Class 1 railroads provide encouraging signs for the broader rail freight market. Several major railroads reported solid volume growth in the third quarter, while intermodal traffic has been particularly strong, reaching record levels and posting double-digit year-over-year growth in recent weeks. At the same time, railcar scrapping has outpaced new builds in North America over the past 2 years, reducing overall fleet size. Railcars in storage have fallen for 4 consecutive months and now are at the lowest levels in over 4 years. We believe these trends point to strengthening underlying freight demand and support a more constructive outlook for railcar manufacturing as customer confidence and capital investment recover. Additionally, tighter fleet supply supports improved lease rates and secondary market values and increases demand for railcar conversions, tank requalifications and rejacking as well as routine maintenance. FTR projects North American deliveries of 23,000 in 2026, growing to 31,400 in 2027, an increase of 37%, driven mostly by replacement demand. Our fiscal '27 straddles these periods and based on industry order level observed over the past few quarters, we expect deliveries to be stronger and back half weighted. These dynamics are creating momentum for our commercial activity. Over the past several weeks, inquiries have increased across railcar types, and we are converting more of them into orders. The tariff and trade matters Lorie discussed are weighing on tank car demand, but we expect orders to resume as greater certainty emerges. Our leasing and fleet management business benefits directly from these fundamentals and delivered an outstanding year. We grew the owned lease fleet by roughly 4,000 railcars or 23% to approximately 21,000 railcar fleet, primarily through disciplined secondary market acquisitions while maintaining utilization at 98%. Renewal rates remain well above expiring rates and recurring revenue reached $175 million for the year, up from $113 million when we established our goal of doubling recurring revenue. Turning to manufacturing. We optimized production rates in the fourth quarter to align with demand and adjusted headcount accordingly. Our teams designed and produced several new railcar types, which will benefit and support our back half forecast. Our in-sourcing investments continue to lower costs across our North American network. In maintenance services, wheel shipments exceeded our expectations with strong forward demand. Outside North America, demand in Europe remains muted. 2 years ago, freight wagon deliveries in the region were nearly 14,000 units. The industry will deliver fewer than 10,000 in 2026, and the 2027 outlook is similar. Our lease syndication capabilities have been important in supporting our European backlog, while large operating lessors have limited their purchases, and we continue to align our footprint and cost structure in the region with demand. In Brazil, Greenbrier-Maxion delivered another strong quarter with more than 400 railcar deliveries, including export orders supported by a favorable product mix and continued manufacturing efficiency. Across Greenbrier's businesses, our capital markets team played an important role this year. Its syndication and secondary market activity generated liquidity, supported the growth of our lease fleet and expanded our relationship with investors and operating lessors. In summary, fourth quarter orders and backlog improved, our lease fleet grew significantly, and we kept production aligned with demand. We remain focused on order quality, disciplined fleet growth and operating efficiency, and we enter fiscal '27 encouraged by the activity we are seeing. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Michael.