Sean Hunkler
Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is now open
Thanks, Bill and good morning everyone. I’m excited to be speaking with all of you for the first time in my capacity as CEO of FTC Solar. I have had the pleasure of previously working with several members of our Board of Directors, the management team and other FTC Solar employees at other companies in the past. Prior to joining, I watched the company’s strong growth and progress and admired how it was positioning itself for the future. It’s for these reasons that I was so interested and excited to take on this new role. FTC Solar has so much growth potential. I am also genuinely excited about the role the company plays in supporting the transition to renewable energy. In short, I couldn’t be more pleased to join as CEO and spearhead the next phase of our growth and to work with all of you. Over the last 6 weeks, in addition to spending a lot of time with employees and visiting sites as well as some suppliers, I spent quite a bit of time with customers, with many face-to-face meetings. It’s clear that the long-term demand drivers for solar are in place and customers love our products. Our bookings reflect that. At the same time, there is also, frankly, a little bit of chaos in the marketplace as developers and suppliers work to navigate things like AD/CVD, WRO, polysilicon pricing, commodity pricing and logistics challenges. This is causing some to have uncertainty and push out project time lines. So we are navigating through this environment in the near-term, but hope to see some of the disruption settle as we enter the new year. Overall, I believe we are well positioned, have incredible potential as a company and are working to position the company for strong long-term growth. We have a lot to cover today, including third quarter results and our outlook. So let me jump right to that. I will start with a few recent highlights. First, revenue grew approximately 6% sequentially in the quarter. While this was lower than our target range as some tracker production shifted between the third and fourth quarters, lower operating expense as well as some corresponding shift in logistics expenses enabled adjusted EBITDA to come in towards the high end of our guidance range. We are pleased to report that FTC Solar has continued to see strong growth in our executed contracts and awarded orders, which have grown by about 580% on a year-to-date basis through today with another $267 million added since our last update from August 1. Of note, since June 1, we’ve added more revenue to our backlog than we’ve recorded in the entire history of the company to date. That’s really a telling statistic and is another proof point of the growing demand for our products in the industry. On the domestic customer side of our business, we’ve recently reached indicative terms on a transaction to supply trackers to multiple projects being developed by a top-tier developer, which represents a meaningful portion of pipeline under development by them. As part of the transaction, FTC intends to make a limited amount of development capital available to some of the projects. Each project will have a separate supply agreement with the total transaction expected to reach 1.7 gigawatts over the next 3 to 4 years with the option to upsize it both sides agree. We’ve done projects with this developer in the past, but we are proud to report that this represents a healthy expansion of our working relationship. This growth also reflects well on their confidence in FTC Solar, our team and the good real world experience they have had with our tracker solutions. We have reached agreement on indicative terms for the transaction and expect to execute the definitive agreement in the near future. In the meantime, we’ve already entered into binding tracker supply agreements for two projects totaling 200 megawatts under development by this developer. Internationally, we’ve recently seen additional growth and progress, including 3 more projects in Australia, including our largest there to date as well as our first 2 projects in Africa. Expanding internationally is an important growth driver for FTC Solar. And I know that adding initial international projects this year was one of the milestones mentioned at the time of our IPO. We are pleased to report continued progress on that front. We also sold another contract for our SunPath performance-enhancing software during the quarter. This is the fourth contract sold since launching the product earlier this year. SunPath essentially provides additional risk-free revenue to our customers while also providing FTC Solar with an additional high-margin software sale opportunity. We continue to be excited about the long-term potential of this offering and in software in general as a revenue, profitability and value creation driver for the company. To wrap up our brief review of highlights, we continue to see strong sequential revenue growth in the fourth quarter of between 30% and 50% despite the challenges of project delays or push-outs in the industry. Expanding a bit more on the current environment since our last update in mid-August, steel pricing has continued to remain elevated. The global logistics environment has continued to deteriorate with freight near record highs, and perhaps the biggest change has been in the module space, where pricing has increased significantly. For example, polysilicon pricing is up 40%, and there has been increasing uncertainty around module availability due to several factors that you were all well aware of, including the introduction of the AD/CVD complaint and WRO enforcement actions. As I alluded at the top of the call, we believe this additional module pricing and availability uncertainty on top of the already elevated commodity and logistics pricing is causing an increasing number of developers to reevaluate their construction time lines for certain projects. Last quarter, we talked about seeing reports indicating that maybe 15% or so of uncontracted project time lines were being pushed out by a quarter or 2. Now we’re seeing reports estimating that number could be even higher, perhaps 50% or more. We are closely monitoring the AD/CVD issue and are hopeful that it will soon be resolved in a manner that limits further disruption for the industry. During all of this, we will not lose sight of the fact that long-term demand drivers for solar remain intact and in fact, continue to strengthen. For example, in the U.S., we are closely monitoring developments related to the pending Build Back Better Act and the incentives for solar energy therein, including a proposed extension and increase to the ITC. We believe FTC Solar is well positioned to successfully navigate through these near-term market disruptions while continuing to position the company for strong long-term growth and value creation for our stakeholders. For example, in addition to our continued strong backlog growth, our overall project pipeline or the total amount of uncontracted projects in the solar energy market, to which we have visibility as a potential sale opportunity for our trackers is now at record levels at more than 68 gigawatts. This is further evidence of the continued and expanding market acceptance and interest in our tracker solution. We continue to have a strong balance sheet, which allows us to withstand short-term market dislocation. Our transition to breakbulk logistics for international shipments will begin to be realized in the current quarter, providing our customers with price certainty, helping to reduce our overall cost structure and eliminating unexpected price escalations during project execution. Regarding steel, while lead times have extended, the relationships we have with our expanded supplier base have enabled us to secure the entirety of our new project requirements at the time of the project contract as we have done in the past. As it relates to the U.S., we have had qualified steel supply in the U.S. since 2019 and have and will continue to enhance that positioning to ensure we’re ready to meet any potential request for higher domestic content should the related legislative provision be passed. And finally, we have a cost reduction roadmap with a long runway that is just beginning to yield results. This includes our design-to-value initiative, which is sharply focused on improving project margin by reducing manufacturing and materials costs. Initial results from this initiative became evident in Q3, and these improvements are expected to be an increasing contributor to improved profitability in future quarters. The design-to-value initiative is also expected to leverage our emerging R&D pipeline, where I see the potential to accelerate certain opportunities. In summary, while there are a number of external factors impacting the solar market today, the long-term demand drivers for solar are firmly in place. I believe the underlying fundamentals of FTC Solar’s business are strong and improving, and I see a great deal of opportunity for business growth and value creation, particularly over the medium to long-term. We are well positioned in a growth market with differentiated offerings and are seeing rapid customer adoption of our solutions. We have strong and expanding customer relationships, which is showing up in the new customers we are adding, including in new international markets as well as in our contracted and awarded orders that have grown rapidly, and we believe have outpaced the market. We have a lot of opportunity to continue to operate more efficiently as we scale and take costs out of our products, and we have an asset light model with a strong balance sheet, which gives us plenty of flexibility and sets us up for strong future cash flows. With that, I will turn it over to Patrick.