Joe Adams
Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open
Thanks, Alan. To start the call, I'm pleased to announce our 13th dividend as a public company and our 28th consecutive dividend since inception. The dividend of $0.33 per share will be paid on August 28, based on the shareholder record date of August 17. So first, let's discuss some numbers. The key metrics for us are adjusted EBITDA and FAD or funds available for distribution. Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2018 was $52.2 million compared to Q1 of 2018 $48.1 million and Q2 of 2017 of $28.8 million. FAD was $44.8 million in Q2 versus $34.4 million in Q1 of 2018, and $34.6 million in Q2 of 2017. During the second quarter, the $44.8 million FAD number was comprised of $73.2 million from our equipment leasing portfolio, negative $11.2 million from infrastructure and negative $17.2 million from corporate. The overall infrastructure number was better this quarter due to improved results at Jefferson. Corporate FAD was slightly higher than Q1, primarily due to increase in interest expense, resulting from the new $100 million bond issuance in May, and higher corporate G&A expenses. Now, let me turn to Aviation. Our Aviation business continues to exceed our expectations for growth as we maintain and even exceed our expectations for profitability. Aviation normalized adjusted EBITDA was $59.8 million versus last quarter of $56.2 million. We closed on $113 million of new investments in Q2, or $194 million year-to-date. And as of this call, we have added about $280 million of new deals, which brings our total outstanding LOIs to $313 million, which is our highest ever. Our Aviation businesses expanding and our ability to source and make new investments, which meet or exceed our return standards is keeping pace with that growth. We now expect our run rate Aviation FAD to be approximately $315 million per annum after closing all these LOIs over the next two quarters, up from $265 million last quarter. Aviation EBITDA will be growing over the balance of 2018, because most of the equipment that we have closed on, and expect to close on this year, is already on lease. In addition, 8 of the 9 Air China planes, which in some cases were off-lease for over years and they went through heavy maintenance, are now on lease and the 9th and final plane, we expect will go on lease this quarter. So even if we did not do any more aviation deals for the balance of 2018, you should expect continued growth in EBITDA and FAD from aviation in Q3 and Q4 of this year. The engine market is extremely strong currently and the conditions to create this tight market are highly likely to continue for at least the next three to five years. As a reminder, we currently own 126 engines and 57 aircraft, which also have engines on them. And because we focus on older aircraft by design over 80% of the value of the aircraft fleet is engine value. So overall, approximately 90% of our total aviation portfolio by asset value is engines. And we’ve chosen to focus on the engines that power the 757, the 767, the A-320 and the 737 aircraft, which are in our opinion, the best of the best and the market agrees with us, illustrates on the engines in which we specialize are up. The factors driving this market growth are; one, overall growth in global passenger air travel and e-commerce growth driving higher air cargo; second, a large number of 737 and A-320 engines are coming up on their first major shop visit; third, there has been an increase in mandated inspections as a result of regulatory directives for maintenance; and fourth, the life extension of 757, 767 and 747 engines due to aircraft being proven moneymakers extremely reliable and freighter convertible; and fifth and finally, there is a tight supply of independent maintenance capacity and parts availability, which result in cost inflation for major shop visits comprised of parts and labor, which means engines go up in value, which is good for us. Given the math around the engines in our relevant market space, it's easy to feel good about the value of everything we own. The prospects are stable and even increasing returns available through our advanced engine repair proprietary products and the opportunity to grow the fleet faster through larger acquisitions from airlines and other owners. Now, talking about offshore, as we discussed on last quarter’s call, we are in the process of repositioning our advanced construction vessel, the Pride, into the more profitable and less over supplied well intervention market. The vessel completed its most recent project in May of 2018, and it's currently in shipyard in Singapore undergoing repairs and maintenance. We expect to use these vessels down time in the yard to undertake modifications for well intervention and we’ve begun the process of procuring the necessary well intervention equipment for the vessel. While we continue to market the vessel for interim work, our 2018 results will reflect the lower utilization on the Pride as we ready it for well intervention work in 2019. Turning now to infrastructure and starting with Jefferson, Jefferson had an excellent Q2 on a couple of levels. One, operationally we handled over 3.3 million barrels of product through the terminal with strong growth in refined products and crude. And secondly, strategically the expansion plans advanced on all fronts around pipeline connectivity, new storage customers, crude by rail and refined products to Mexico. It’s a great time to own an energy terminal on the U.S. Gulf Coast. Firstly on refined products, we have been loading approximately 15,000 barrels per day starting in Q2, and with the addition of a tank, which will come on soon. We will increase that to 20,000 barrels per day. We will be offline for several weeks in August as we do undertake more CapEx investment to take our existing customer to 40,000 barrels per day capacity. And the outlook for additional demand remains excellent. We could sell every barrel of capacity we could deliver. Regarding ethanol, we experienced a decrease in volume in Q2 due to capacity constraints during our transition to the new operator and the expected seasonal fluctuations in that market. But we have been running at 20,000 barrels per day in Q3 and expect to go to 35,000 per day by Q4 and onward. Demand for ethanol internationally remains high. To that point, we expect to sign in the next few weeks a terminal service agreement with our first third-party customer. If this deal is executed, the terminal will be fully sold out with commensurate volume commitments with respect to the existing infrastructure. On crude, with WCS, Western Canadian select spreads to WTI very wide crude by rail from Canada is a very attractive move. We moved approximately 250,000 barrels equivalent to five unit trains in Q2 and we’ll move 500,000 barrels equivalent to 10 unit trains in Q3, on behalf of a new customer, one of the major refiners near us in Belmont. In September, we began the new crude by rail service where we originate barrels in Canada directly from producers and arrange all of the transportation to Jefferson with committed rail capacity provided by CN, running for 14 months. On that move, we will be delivering approximately 10,000 barrels per day with enhanced economics. Regarding the bigger expansion of the crude system, we have completed a significant amount of the engineering, permitting and write-away acquisition for the $400 million investment in the TransCanada and Zydeco pipeline connections, a construction of a new ship dock and 3.5 million barrels of new storage. On the commercial side, we've made great progress with three major potential tenants with the crude and are working on timing and engineering with a goal of having commitments in place by the end of 2018, for this expansion, which would be operational by the end of 2020. In the interim, we are under construction with 8,000 barrels of new storage, which has been slightly delayed a couple of months, due to the timing of steel deliveries. We've made very strong demand - we have very strong demand for that capacity from multiple parties and expect to execute a contract shortly, which will give our newest customer access to the entire 800,000 barrels. As a result, we expect to start construction on an additional 1.4 million barrels of storage with an expected in-service date of fourth quarter 2019 for that capacity. To roll that up, we currently operating with 2.1 million barrels of storage today and we expect to increase to 2.9 million barrels by the end of Q1 2019 and 4.3 million by the end of 2019, and 6.5 million barrels by the end of 2020. In the addition, in the last week, we executed and have ratified our amended agreement with the Port of Belmont, which will give us the additional property that will make it possible to develop Jefferson to between 26 million and 29 million barrels of storage in total. All the pieces are coming together quite nicely and we've made great strides by executing contracts with key new customers. Best of all, as we execute these new contracts, conversations are already proceeding on expanding those relationships. With refinery expansion in full swing near us and with Jefferson’s locations and capabilities, we’re in a very strong position now. Let’s turn to CMQR, the Central, Maine and Quebec railroad. The railroad has another good quarter. Total revenue, adjusted EBITDA and revenue per car load, were all up in Q2 2018 versus Q2 2017. The car cleaning operation started this quarter and is off to a promising start. We continue to look at opportunities to purchase other short line railroads, but the competition for these assets is only getting more intense. In one recent auction, we understand that over 30 parties submitted bids. So we’ll continue to pursue opportunities in this space, but at this time, we are not seeing the value opportunities that we like. Turning now to Repauno. We had a busy and collective quarter at Repauno. Our deepwater multipurpose stock construction is going well. The dock will be completed on time by this December and on budget. The new dock will give us the ability to handle both the growing LPG liquids export market and roll-on, roll-off cargo. The core sample analysis of the granite formation under our property is complete, and the results are even better than we or our geologists had hope for. The study confirmed that the granite formation under our site would easily accommodate an initial 3 million barrels of LPG cavern storage with the potential for incremental 3 million barrels in the future. Our core in program also confirmed our initial cost estimates - cost estimates of $125 per barrel for the first one million barrels of storage and $85 a barrel for the second and third million barrels of storage. So taking into account, the above ground rail, piping and handling infrastructure, the total cost for the first three million barrels of storage and handle the infrastructure is estimated to be approximately $450 million and should generate approximately a $150 million in annual EBITDA. We are now working on permits and engineering and expect to be operational with the first three million barrel cavern by early 2021. We mentioned on our last call also that we were pleased and somewhat surprise by the level of interest from Europe for LPGs. And over that last quarter that interest has become even stronger. As such, we are in the process of developing a unit-train transloading system that will allow us to transload LPGs directly from rail to ship and allow us to get into business sooner. We’re moving forward with this project due to the immediate desire buy buyers in Europe to secure alternative and new sources of LPGs, and buyers are willing and able to enter into long-term contracts before our caverns are operational in 2021. We expect this rail to ship system to be operational by -- at the end of 2019, for a total cost of approximately $70 million and expected $25 million to $30 million in annual EBITDA, beginning in 2020. Also worth noting is that we expect to be able to originate these unit trains of LPGs at our Long Ridge Terminal in Ohio. As to our existing 200,000 barrel butane cavern that business is going as planned, we are storing butane for a number of local refiners and gasoline blenders, and we are now 90% full going to a 100% by the end of August, and expect to generate approximately $3 million of EBITDA in Q4 of this year. Repauno is turning out to be bigger, better and happening sooner than we expected. Now on Long Ridge, much like Repauno, Long Ridge is coming together faster than we had expected. Let me start on the frac sand business. We now expect a run rate of 1.1 million tons a year to be reached by Q4 of this year. June was a record volume for us handling 70,000 tons, which exceeded our initial estimates, which we had expected to reach that level in September - by September or October of this year. Importantly, we are now signing up new high quality customers at translating fees, which are 25% higher than we originally forecast. On the CapEx costs of $4 million, we're now projecting frac sand to generate $3 million of EBITDA in 2018, and $6 million to $7 million in 2019. We're receiving inbound requests for that capacity almost daily for two reasons. One, the market demand for frac sand is increasing dramatically as drillers have realized that more sand equates to more productive wells. And two, Long Ridge is strategically positioned as the only terminal in the Marcellus and Utica region that offers barge, truck and unit train shipping capabilities. As to frac sand, we have the perfect asset in exactly the right location. We've added 7 new customers in the last 90 days. Now that we have unit train capabilities, which we built for the frac sand operation, we're also in the process of developing a unit-train LPG rail loading system, which will take advantage of that infrastructure already in place. And we're well along in discussions with a nearby fractionation facility to build a pipeline from the facility to our terminal and Long Ridge to load unit trains of LPG, which same can be rail to the east coast including Repauno. And as I mentioned in the Repauno discussion, the need for LPGs in Europe is acute and growing. Given Long Ridge's proximity the sources of LPG and access to direct rail, we can offer a transportation solution that is competitive with pipelines. And if we land these trains at Repauno, we win twice. Now, let me turn to the power plant at Long Ridge. We are well along in negotiations with multiple long-term offtakers of that power from the new 485 megawatt plant that we were planning to build. Most of those contracts will be fixed price with 10-year taker page terms. Based on current negotiations, we expect to have the plant fully contracted by this fall. And it began the process for securing non-recourse project debt, which we hope to have in place by Q4 of this year. Once financing is arranged, our current intention is to offer to sell a 49% interest in that plan in Q1 of 2019, whereby we would take out all of the capital currently invested by us in Long Ridge plus some. So at that point, after that transaction, we would own a 51% interest in a fully contracted power plant, which we commence operations in late 2020. And still own a 100% of the rest of the terminal and operations. So to conclude on Long Ridge, it is ramping faster than we had expected, and as of today, it looks as if the EBITDA stream is going to be higher than we expected. And on the other side, our net equity capital needs are going to be lower than projected. And we're hopefully going to be able to take all of that equity out, plus some fairly soon, which feels like a very good investment. So in conclusion, our Aviation team is executing on the business perfectly. Five years ago, we made the decision to stay away from wide bodies and to focus on midlife narrow body aircraft, as a means of cost effectively acquiring engines. And that was a good choice and we continue to reap the benefits of that decision today. Also, our plans to widen the mote to defend that business are coming together exactly as we've laid out two years ago. In short, I could not be more pleased with our team, our strategy, and our execution. As to the infrastructure, the plans and strategies for all of our assets are now firmly in place and we are in execution mode on all four. In the last 90 days, we’ve acquired a total of 13 new customers at these growing businesses. Some of these deals like frac sand at Long Ridge are coming together quickly, some like the more complex deals at Jefferson, can take months to bring together. The point is that they are all happening and they are happening at an accelerating pace. With respect to Jefferson, Long Ridge and Repauno, all three of these assets are in the perfect location geographically and have the products to meet the current and long-term needs of our industrial customers. In multiple cases, customers that we’ve had difficulty engaging with two years ago are now meeting with us weekly. And these meetings review current operations and importantly often include planning sessions for much bigger initiatives yet to come. Division setting is complete and we’re in execution mode. Using hindsight, we made the right choices about where to acquire infrastructure and the capabilities and attributes of those assets. Our current and future customers recognize that as a result of the frequency of new customer signing and the size of the contracts involved are growing. Finally it's taken a lot of hard work from very talented and dedicated team of people who have kept their eye on the long-term goals that we are collectively set for FTAI. We set out to build a company where it leasing will cover our dividend and our infrastructure assets would provide long-term growth to increase that dividend. And I could now be more proud of our team and how we are positioned today. So with that, let me turn the call back to Alan.