Joe Adams
Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open
Thanks, Alan. To start, I am pleased to announce our eighth dividend as a public company and our 23rd consecutive dividend since our inception. The dividend of $0.33 per share will be paid on May 26 based on a shareholder record date of May 18. Let’s start now with the numbers for the quarter. The key metrics for us are adjusted EBITDA and FAD, or funds available for distribution. Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2017 was $22.1 million compared to Q4 of 2016 of $22.4 million and Q1 of 2016 of $12.3 million. FAD was $21.7 million in Q1 versus $20.5 million in Q4 of 2016 and $32.9 million in Q1 of 2016 when we had a one-time increase in FAD of $24.9 million from the sale of a container finance lease portfolio. During the first quarter, the $21.7 million FAD number was comprised of $35.8 million from our equipment leasing portfolio, a negative $3.7 million from our infrastructure business and negative $10.4 million from corporate. $9.8 million of the $35.8 million for the equipment FAD was the result of a sale of one aircraft and one engine for a gain of $2.0 million. Most important takeaway from the normalized Q1 FAD and adjusted EBITDA numbers is that our ability to generate adjusted EBITDA and FAD continues to strengthen and I see that growth continuing and accelerating. Let’s turn to aviation, first, our largest business segment. Aviation had a very good quarter. In fact, our best quarter ever. Aviation FAD was $40.5 million, which included $9.8 million from sale proceeds that I mentioned. Excluding asset sales, Q1 aviation FAD and EBITDA was $30.7 million or $122.8 million annualized. The portfolio is performing as well or better than expected and we had a very active quarter for investing. We closed on $73 million in new asset acquisitions consisting of 6 aircraft and 12 engines. Our annualized adjusted EBITDA and net income without gains as a percentage of average equity were 21.3% and 11.7% respectively slightly less than last quarter and our targets of 25% and 15% respectively. We expect to get back to our target return levels quickly as 5 of the aircraft that we purchased off-lease as part of the China deal that we referenced on our last call will be on lease by the end of Q2 of this year. At the end of Q1, we had letters of intent, or LOIs, covering $220 million in additional assets, our highest LOI count since we started the aviation business. Of the $220 million in LOIs at quarter end, we have since closed $68.5 million of those to date. And once the remaining equipment under LOI are purchased we expect run-rate aviation FAD to be over $200 million per annum, up from $160 million we discussed last quarter. With respect to lease terms, let me update you on that as well. We have been running an average lease term on our engine portfolio of approximately 1 year. We don’t see that changing and its right where we would like it to be. It’s in a sweet spot that gives airlines the flexibility they desire and it gives us the returns that we want. As to the aircraft lease term duration, those are changing and lengthening. Last call, I outlined for you an 11 plane deal that we were awarded in China. We have already acquired 5 of those planes and they will be out of maintenance shortly. During May and June, the 5 newly acquired aircraft will go on 6-year leases. Two of the airframes will be sold to be scrapped and other four planes will go into maintenance shortly. And we expect those last 4 aircraft to be flying in Q3 and are already contracted for 6-year leases as well. Also, three other planes which we recently acquired have just had leases extended. And when all of this is complete, our average remaining lease term will lengthen from approximately 32 months today to approximately 46 months after. Before I leave aviation, let me make two important points. First, our reputation and franchise in the industry is increasing. If there is a deal anywhere in the world for 12 to 20-year-old commercial aircraft, we are almost always on a shortlist and are often the first call. We have built a brand with a reputation for speed and certainty with the ability to connect capital in complex situations. The result is high-quality and expanding deal flow in our growing market segment. Second, increased deal flow allows us to be even more focused on what we do, while maintaining our return standards. The yield compression, which is manifesting itself in the more standard new aircraft leasing market, is not being seen in our market. Now, let me turn to offshore, next, offshore remained weak for us in Q1 with 2 of our 3 vessels mostly off-hire. We also had some re-flagging and repositioning charges, which contributed to the poor performance. I am glad to have Q1 behind us. And as of today, all 3 of our vessels are now on charter. One of the most important indicators in this space is Subsea Tree Awards and we are seeing evidence that the subsea market is turning up. After falling consistently and rapidly since 2013, orders for 2017 are up and the projected orders for ‘18 are even higher. One of the good things about the type of vessel that we own is that owners and operators of subsea installations can’t put off maintenance forever. The Pioneer, one of our vessels, is now on a 6-month lease in the Middle East and the Pride is currently working in Malaysia and we will be starting a new 5-month job in June. As a result, we expect every quarter for the balance of the year in this segment to be EBITDA positive. Having said that at the end of the year we will make an assessment as to our long-term plans in this area. Let’s turn now to infrastructure and Jefferson. Construction is on schedule for all three of our announced projects and expenditures are tracking at or below budget. As such, our expected $15 million to $20 million annual run-rate EBITDA number for Jefferson for Q4 remains in place. Turning to crude, apportionment which occurs when crude supply exceeds pipeline takeaway capacity has started in the Canadian pipeline market and is on everyone’s radar. We do not have a deal to announce yet in the heavy Canadian crude space, but the number of opportunities we are vetting and the urgency on the part of our counterparties has never been higher. The demand for refined products to Mexico continues to grow and we expect this revenue stream to commence in late Q3. Since our last call, we now have a long-term contract in place with one of the major refineries to load and transport both gasoline and diesel to Mexico by rail. We expect that operation to start late Q3 of this year, also. Demand for ethanol, especially in the international markets is growing beyond what we and Green Plains had originally envisioned. If this demand continues to manifest itself, we and Green Plains may expand our already expanded plans once again. And we will commence our ethanol operation in July of this year. Three macros are providing significant tailwind and increased activity and support for the value of our Jefferson investment. One major investment in an expansion of Gulf Coast refineries is happening, which will drive greater demand for all terminal services in the area. Second, growth in export activity of both crude and refined products from the Gulf, following the lifting of the export ban is generating meaningful additional demand for storage and port facilities in the Beaumont, Port Arthur area. And third, the deregulation of the Mexican energy market, which is one of the largest and fastest growing refined product import markets in the world, is presenting a major growth opportunity to Gulf Coast refiners and terminal operators. These favorable macros, combined with Jefferson’s unique rail capabilities, multiple deepwater docks and connectivity and proximity to one of the largest and most vibrant refinery complexes in the world, presents us with dramatically more upside than we ever envisioned. Turning now to the Central Maine and Quebec railroad, the railroad continues to perform on plan. Q1 revenue was up 5% versus Q1 of 2016. We expect 2017 EBITDA for the year to be approximately $5 million versus $3.6 million in 2016. We are involved in multiple industrial development projects along the railroad, which should add several million in annual EBITDA. Longer term over the next 2 years to 3 years, with an excellent service that we have today, a diversified customer base and connectivity to ports, the Central Maine and Quebec railroad should consistently generate $35 million to $40 million in annual revenue and $10 million to $12 million in annual EBITDA, which is in line with many top tier U.S. short lines. As to the overall short line railroad space, we continue to look for acquisition opportunities, but available assets are trading at levels that we feel are very rich. Turning now to Repauno, we expect that butane storage cavern to be completed and operating in June of this year and to generate annual EBITDA of at least $2 million. We are exploring and discussing larger opportunities to store and distribute natural gas liquids, NGLs coming from the Marcellus, Utica region and products used or generated by the Philadelphia area refineries. Given the significant growth in production in the Marcellus combined with our geographic advantage, Repauno is in a great spot to capitalize on this growing trade. The auto import-export terminal discussion is progressing as planned and we hope to have something concluded by Q3 of this year. As in the case of Jefferson, I think Repauno is we are in the right place at the right time with the right asset. Hannibal, next I am pleased to announce that we have agreed to all the subs of business points and expect to execute a purchase agreement very soon and hopefully close later this month. The site is currently generating just over $1 million in annual EBITDA from frac sand, pipe and industrial storage tenants for the oil and gas industry. Our main focus for this investment at this time is the power plant. We have filed our application formerly with the Ohio Power Siting Board and we expect to have all the necessary permits for the construction of the 485 megawatt gas fired combined cycle power plant by Q3 of this year. We would anticipate construction to begin in Q4 of 2017 and to be completed in late 2019 or early 2020. Once completed, the plant should generate approximately $70 million in annual EBITDA. The investment in the plant will total approximately $500 million and we are currently reviewing multiple financing and partnering opportunities, more on that on the next call. Let me spend a couple of minutes on financing. We are putting in place a new $75 million revolver at the corporate level. And we are also finalizing a $20 million revolver at Repauno. We completed our inaugural high yield bond offering in February with a $250 million 5-year note offering and those bonds are trading well and we now have access to that market at any time. In short, as our growth accelerates, we have multiple financing options available, which is a good spot to be in. As a conclusion, as I look at FTAI today, this is what I see. The growth in our aviation business is accelerating. We are maintaining our return targets and performance in the macros that drive global passenger traffic remain very strong. It has taken us 5 years to build this brand and we couldn’t be in a better position than we are today. The offshore market is seeing an up-tick. And due to the sizable amount of deferred maintenance on existing installations and a pickup in sub-sea tree orders, we are seeing growth in charter opportunities, which is good news. All of our infrastructure assets are now performing as we had hoped. In the second half of 2017, we expect Jefferson to become a meaningful EBITDA contributor. In 2018, we expect to see Repauno become a meaningful EBITDA contributor. And in late 2019 and early ‘20, we expect Hannibal to contribute. As these infrastructure assets become significant EBITDA producers, we would have in essence created our own dropdown pipeline. In short, the plan that we set out for FTAI years ago is now in full swing. Growth in all of our sectors is accelerating, multiple macro events are playing into the strengths of our assets and our financing options have never been better. So as a company, we are in a strongest position ever. With that, I will turn it back over to Alan.