Bob Bauer
Analyst · FBR. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Jim, and hello, everyone. I appreciate everyone joining us today as we attempt to provide as much insight as possible around the recent quarter's results as well as how we see our markets being affected by the actions that have been taken around the world to stop the spread of the virus. Unfortunately, there's a lot of uncertainty but we'll do our best to help you understand what we're seeing. I want to start by giving you some insight into our operating environment and the changes that took place in March as news of the virus led to many countries declaring a state of emergency. Before I get into these details, I feel compelled to recognize all of those around us in the medical community that made it possible for us to operate and do our part in supporting the economies that depend on us. During the month of March, the company reacted to several stay-at-home orders across North America and Europe as well as recommended preventive measures to help stop the spread of the virus. L.B. Foster was widely considered an essential business and allowed to continue operating under these orders. We took a number of steps to follow recommendations on social distancing and reduced close interaction among employees while continuing to operate. Our employees did a terrific job adapting to the circumstances, working remotely in some cases and also making adjustments in operations to respect the health and well-being of their co-workers. We are extremely proud of our people and the efforts they made to put us in a position to continue supplying products and services to our customers. I can't say enough about the efforts everyone has made. Our people take great pride in continuing to operate for the very reasons we were deemed an essential business. Governments and people around the world depend on support from us to keep infrastructure operating and moving forward in our railways, highways, ports and pipelines, where people, products and commodities are transported every day keeping our world moving. Assuming we will continue to operate while keeping our people safe, we believe we are also making a contribution to the health of the global economy, which is needed for the long-term well-being of everyone not just our stakeholders. As I'm sure you've heard from so many other companies already and we're no different, our top priority is the health and well-being of our employees and guarding against the risk of infection. We did not experience any sickness in the U.S. and Canada up to this point and only a few cases emerged in the United Kingdom, which are headed toward a favorable outcome. In order to give you a sense of the impact the stay-at-home orders had on our business, I'll begin with four anecdotal reports. One, we experienced minor disruption in our supply chains, typically in areas where we served -- source circuit boards, controls, cameras and other sensors for railway automation solutions. A portion of these are sourced from China and did not meet delivery requirements for projects we had scheduled. Second, we experienced some interruptions on customer acceptance of shipments as local governments called for a shutdown of the industry or customer type we were serving. Certain construction projects did not move as smoothly as they otherwise would have due to the adjustments being made to follow local orders or address local virus concerns. Third, there have been some delays and cancellation of service work as customer willingness to have us work on-site changed. In some cases, customers were developing new procedures for accepting third-party service providers. And in other cases, customer opinion changed toward acceptable social distancing practices and the risk associated with third-party providers. Some of the service work was stopped as in the case of London Underground and some customers have delayed non-critical work as a way to cut back. Fourth and finally, there was some general weakness in demand as customers did not get around to moving certain projects forward and in some cases were unable to conduct business in a work-from-home environment or with people unable to perform. There was also some decline in volume associated with markets that are experiencing lower volumes such as the North American freight rail market. To precisely quantify the impact from all of these virus-related issues is difficult. We estimate that sales revenue in the first quarter fell short of our expectations in the range of $10 million to $17 million largely due to the impact the virus had from previously mentioned issues. This shortfall includes the impact from weakness in the energy markets, which started before any actions were taken to combat the spread of the virus, but were exacerbated as the demand for oil dropped substantially once the public around the world stopped traveling driving to work and engaging in other activity that resulted in reduced mobility. Looking ahead, we anticipate continued disruption through at least a portion of the second quarter. The second quarter is an important quarter for the company to see a ramp-up in orders and backlog as construction projects are planned and started. The Rail and Construction segments are currently experiencing good proposal activity, despite pockets of weakness that are typically related to traffic volume or working conditions. We expect to experience continued shortfalls in service work that can't be performed. We have some customers that haven't gotten back to work. And there is likely to be some project deferrals for budget and schedule reasons. The energy market does not have a favorable outlook and the industry expects significant trouble funding ongoing development activity that drives demand for our services. We are revising our outlook for the energy market and forecast sales to decline significantly for this segment. The changes in supply and demand for oil which have been changing very rapidly have led to a supply demand imbalance causing our customers to make dramatic changes that are significantly impacting forecasts for our services. As I discuss the quarter and what we expect to see unfold, there are striking differences among our reporting segments. New orders of $137 million declined $43 million or 24% from prior year. The largest percentage change is in the Tubular and Energy segment with every division declining from widespread slowing across upstream and midstream operations. Customers we serve are reducing capital spending and deferring projects wherever they can. The Rail segment was driven by a reduction in transit rail project orders, a decline in services on track and a decline in certain consumable sales as railway traffic declined. We believe transit project investment should continue as these are projects with long-term planning. However, ridership volume is likely to remain low for some time and therefore could impact the timing to fund follow-on projects. Construction declined the least, the decline all driven by lower order input for Bridge Decking projects. We believe the Bridge Decking projects are being held up due to obstacles presented from stay-at-home orders. The first quarter ended with a slow pace of order increase, as we approached our typical seasonal peak period. Orders in March were well below expectations, accounting for more than half of the year-over-year first quarter decline. This leads us to believe that March was clearly impacted by lost days at work on the part of our customers, project delays and other virus-related matters such as people adapting to working from home. Under that backdrop, it's worth noting two positive items. First, our backlog sits at $238 million with roughly half of it scheduled for shipment in the second quarter. This includes Rail segment backlog that is up by $5 million and Construction segment backlog that is up by $10 million from the beginning of the year. And second, proposal activity has not deteriorated in many parts of the Construction and Rail segments. Construction projects in the U.S. have been affected by delays in some cases, but the overall projections for existing and new projects remain the same as it was earlier in the year. Similarly, the rail industry both transit and freight rail have projects that are expected to move forward. We have not received any indication yet that major Rail and Construction projects are being canceled at this point. We realize that it's still early and the broad economic impact from the stay-at-home orders has yet to be fully understood. But at the moment, we are not getting signals from customers in these two segments that indicate a widespread reversal in direction from what was planned for 2020. I expect that if there is broad economic decline associated with rising unemployment, along with fear directed toward the transportation industry, then we may see some reversal in this activity in the months ahead. We are revising our forecast for the Tubular segment for the year in anticipation of a very weak energy market. The Tubular backlog stood at $27 million at the end of March down $7 million from the start of the year as we completed pipeline projects in our Protective Coatings operations. The backlog is roughly where it was last year at the end of Q1, but the expected decline in future orders in 2020 leads us to estimate that sales revenue will decline by at least 25% in this reporting segment. Our most challenging area is in the upstream market where the Test and Inspection Services division had an EBITDA loss of $2.1 million in the first quarter. The magnitude of the loss illustrates how severely the upstream market has deteriorated. Last quarter, we announced actions we were taking to close certain operations in Oklahoma and Louisiana, where we did not expect to see the market recover in any way that would support continuing operations. We have added two more territories where we see little potential to return to promising sales levels. As a result, we plan to close the service centers we have in North Dakota and Nebraska along with a satellite operation in Colorado. And as Jim noted, we will take charges in the second quarter for the closure of these facilities. We will continue to take action intended to eliminate losses associated with this division. Following the closure of these sites we will have one site in Wyoming, three in Texas and one in West Virginia remaining. Jim also mentioned the impact of moving our Precast plant from Spokane, Washington to Boise, Idaho, which started in October last year. We also lost production time as we completed the start-up of our new facility in Boise, Idaho. Sales in Boise were about half of what sales in Spokane were in Q1 last year. In addition, we had start-up costs without the sales volume. This was forecasted but it does weigh on first quarter results for the Construction segment. As you review segment profit results, the year-over-year decline in segment profit in Construction was almost entirely due to the Precast Concrete division and nearly all of that was associated with the Boise relocation. We expect that to change in the second quarter. And by the third quarter we expect the Boise facility to be operating at much higher efficiency levels. The segment profit for Rail Products and Services was the result of lower volume on new transit projects, a significant decline in consumable friction management materials related to declining rail customer traffic and reduced services at Class one U.S. carriers and London Underground. These conditions are likely to persist for at least a portion of the second quarter. And in the Tubular segment, half of the segment profit decline was related to the Test and Inspection Services division. I just spoke about our plans to address that as quickly as possible. The Tubular segment accounted for $4.1 million of the $7 million consolidated decline in segment profit. I'll close with a comment on our balance sheet strength. Jim spent time outlining the strength we have today and what our liquidity position looks like. We've worked hard to improve this position. We generated $29 million in operating cash flow in 2019. And on a trailing 12-month basis from March of 2020, we generated $36 million of operating cash flow. We have some key projects we started last year requiring capital that we intend to complete. We do plan to defer other projects out to 2021. But whether you're looking at 2019 or our trailing 12-month results, our net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA is in the 1.0 to 1.5 range, again supporting our position that our balance sheet does provide us with a good starting point from which to react to the anticipated weakness. Our priority right now from a business standpoint is to act as quickly as possible to the new reality of the energy markets. The upstream segment will get significant attention on actions to mitigate the impact of this weakness and the divisions serving pipeline applications are proactively planning for an expected decline in the second half of the year. Our other priority is to keep everyone in good health, get through the next quarter without any troubling illnesses and continue to support the economy by doing our part to support critical infrastructure. I'll end my remarks there and I'll go ahead and turn the call back over to the operator and we'll be happy to take any questions you might have.