George J. Carter
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets
Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for taking the time to listen to our first quarter 2013 earnings call. As usual, my remarks today will generally follow my written commentary that was released in last night's earnings press release. After my comments, we will open the call for questions. For those of you who have listened to past earnings calls, you know that John talks usually year-over-year quarterly numbers, and I usually talk sequential. And we plan to continue that this year, so my comments usually are on a sequential quarterly basis. For the first quarter of 2013, FSP's profits, as represented by FFO, totaled approximately $20.6 million or $0.25 per share, which was essentially flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2012. Our directly owned real estate portfolio of 37 properties, totaling 7.8 million square feet, was approximately 94.4% leased as of March 31. That's up from approximately 94% leased at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012. We anticipate organic growth in rental revenue and FFO from our existing portfolio properties in the second half of this year as we begin to realize the benefit of significant new leases signed in recent quarters and as continuing same-store rental increases positively affect profits. We have about 176,000 square feet of recently leased space that will actually commence their leases in rental contribution to FSP during the balance of 2013, the vast majority of that in the second half of the year and at an average GAAP rent of somewhere between approximately $23 and $24 per square foot. Another 44,000 square feet, which we have, again, already leased, will commence -- actually their leases and their rental contribution to FSP in 2014, at about the same average rents as I mentioned before. So we have what we would call some embedded organic growth to look forward to, we believe, for the balance of 2013 and into '14. Broadly speaking, the rents on FSP's portfolio properties are rising. Now that's not on every property and it's not on every leased maturity, but the overall trend is up. The overall trend is certainly our friend. Same-store rental growth was up 5% last year and is up over 1% in the first quarter of this year. We believe this trend is likely to continue. We have, on a portfolio basis, sort of made the turn. Our general mark-to-market is up. Our property portfolio of office assets has relatively modest lease expirations over the next 2 years, and we continue to proactively reduce that potential upcoming vacancy. As of the end of the first quarter on a 2.2% of our commercial square footage is scheduled to expire during the balance of 2013, and that is down from 3.6% at the start of the year. The 2.2% that's remaining, some of that -- a lot of it actually is month-to-month leases. Overall tenant improvement expenditures and leasing costs continue to moderate in relation to the level of rental revenues being achieved, and we are optimistic that by year end, our portfolio's lease percentage can exceed its current 94.4% level. Recently, we put under purchase and sale agreement 2 new real estate investments in long-standing FSP core investment markets for a total acquisition cost of approximately $341 million. We believe both properties have superior near-term growth and value-add opportunities and are being purchased at substantial discounts to replacement costs. We expect to close on the purchase of both properties on or before July 1. The first property is located at 999 Peachtree Street in the midtown submarket of Atlanta, Georgia. It's 28 stories, totals approximately 621,000 rentable square feet and is under agreement to purchase for $157.9 million. The second property is located at 1999 Broadway in the central business district of Denver, Colorado. It's 43 stories, totals approximately 680,000 rentable square feet and is under agreement to purchase for $183 million. We believe the successful acquisition of these 2 properties has the potential to add significantly to our anticipated growth in rental revenues and FFO this year and in the future. I think shareholders should know that at the core of our current property acquisition strategy is our view of the most likely path the U.S. economy will take going forward. And again, we have a large matrix of views and tried to anticipate all the potential scenarios. But when we're talking about an acquisition strategy, I think you have to pick one you believe in, and this is our most likely view and is directing our current acquisition strategy. And that view is that we believe the U.S. economy is in for a fairly long up cycle, very slow growth with probably some numerous soft patches in that upward cycle. However, again, our best and most likely scenario is that we don't see any significant long-term or deep recessions occurring in this up cycle or a significant and dramatic financial crisis like we -- that occurred in 2008 in this view. So long is we think 10 years, slow, growth, think 1% to 3% GDP, slow, very slow employment growth. In that views perspective then, property acquisitions in our core markets, markets that have strong overriding macroeconomic drivers are really where we are headed. Macroeconomic growth drivers, for example, like energy and housing, would be example, and energy can relate to our Denver acquisition, and housing has always been one of the big drivers in Atlanta that can relate to our Atlanta acquisition. We are definitely focusing on acquiring in our core markets, urban -- more urban infill and CBD edge city type of properties. We are looking to buy value, that is properties significantly below estimated replacement costs, properties that have, on a property level, current rents that are below the market's -- market rents, and properties that have some nearer-term value add opportunities. We believe that these, in our economic view perspective, will be better long-term holds, that they will show better long-term rent growth. And eventually, and this may be some time out, when new properties start to get built again, that the value basis that we purchased these properties at will put us in good stead to be very, very competitive. There are value buys today that I think will give excellent current rates of return and great long-term inflation protection, and that is really driving our acquisition thoughts at this point. I also think that shareholders should -- or might be interested to know that we are seeing a continuing strong property acquisition pipeline in our core markets, where we have very positive macroeconomic drivers, and where we are very well known in those markets to sellers of properties. And we've seen a change in the last few years of the sellers in terms of properties that are coming to market. If you go back to 2008, '09 and '10, where we did some acquisitions in those real, real tough years, we were definitely seeing distressed sellers. Now it might not have been a distressed asset per se that we acquired, but there were distressed sellers that had either a distressed asset or other real estate assets that were causing them to sell properties, good or bad. And the fear from those sellers there was a potential loss of capital, and again, we did some acquisition in that time frame. If you move forward to the -- starting in 2011, '12 and now '13 and we think and beyond, the sellers in our core markets with properties have basically gotten over the abyss. They've made it to the other side, and so you don't have this fear of loss of capital. But what you have is owners of properties that have had their money tied up, their capital tied up, much longer in those properties than they ever anticipated. The properties that we're seeing are not properties from liquid REITs where capital can sell shares to get liquidity. They're in funds, foreign funds, domestic funds. There's simply books of owners or partnerships that have owned properties that, again, have made it to the other side of the canyon with their properties, have had to lower rents to lease up vacancy, consequently, lowered NOI and values -- near-term values on the property but, again, have gotten to the other side of the canyon and see now to the potential to get liquidity, liquidity that they had hoped for -- hoped to achieve, long, long ago. We are getting the calls from those sellers, and those calls are for properties like Atlanta that we have under P&S now. And like Denver, we have under P&L -- P&S now that have what we believe to be great values relative to replacement cost and extended rental growth in our view of a long slow growth up cycle. So we're very positive about our acquisition opportunities going forward. At the second quarter of 2013 begins, we will maintain our focus on continuing to grow profits by increasing occupancy and rents in our existing property portfolio, while acquiring additional real estate investments that have the potential to meaningfully contribute to that effort. With our occupancy and rents rising and with a strong acquisition pipeline, we continue to be very optimistic about our prospects for growth about 2013 and beyond. With that, I will open the call for questions.