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Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Thu, May 10, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to Fortuna Silver Mines First Quarter 2018 Financial and Operational Results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Carlos Baca, Investor Relations Manager. Thank you Mr. Baca, you may begin.

Carlos Baca

Analyst

Thank you, Dough. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I would like to welcome you all to Fortuna Silver Mines and to our First Quarter 2018 Financial and Operational Results Call. Today, we will be using a webcast presentation, which will be controlled by us. You can download the presentation at our website. Please click on the Investors tab then click on Financials and under Q1 2018, click on Earnings Call webcast. Jorge Alberto Ganoza, President, CEO and Director; and Luis Dario Ganoza, CFO, will be hosting the call from Lima, Peru. Before I turn over the call to, Jorge, I would like to indicate that this earnings call contains forward-looking information that is based on the Company's current expectations, estimates and beliefs. This forward-looking information is subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors. Actual results could differ materially from our conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection, as reflected in the forward-looking information. Additional information about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection, as reflected in the forward-looking information, is contained in the Company's Annual Information Form, which is publicly available on SEDAR. I would now like to turn the call over to Jorge Ganoza, President, CEO and Co-Founder of Fortuna.

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

Thank you, Carlos, and good morning to all. In this first quarter of the year, the Company produced 2.4 million ounces of silver and 15,000 ounces of gold, up 18% and 14% respectively when compared to Q1 2017. The higher production was a result of 25% and 16% increase in silver and gold acreage at the San Jose mine in Mexico. We're starting the year on target to meet and potential exceed our consolidated annual guidance of 8.2 million ounces of silver and 48,300 gold ounces. By-product zinc and lead production were in line with Q1 of last year. Silver accounted for 47% of sales and gold for 23% and zinc and lead contributed a combined 30%. Measured against the comparable quarter or realized price for silver was around 5% at $16, gold was up 9% at $1,329 per ounce. We got a boost to sales from the Caylloma mine derived from the significant increase in base metal prices in the period. Zinc was up 23% at £1.55 and led up 11% at £1.14. These higher realized metal prices for base metal [indiscernible] significantly improvements in commercial terms for the sale for concentrates which further boosted our net realized prices. Sales in the quarter were up 7% at 70 million with an EBITDA of 31.8 million. I want to highlight here a strong 45% margin on EBITDA, something that's fix for the quality and receiving for business. Adjusted net income was down at 7% at 13 million or $0.08. The drop in adjusted net income is explained by lower tax expenses in 2017. Luis will provide you further details here down through the call. At the San Jose mine, cash cost per ton of processed ore was $65 being 15% above the $56.85 cash cost for the comparable quarter in…

Luis Ganoza

Analyst

Thank you, Jorge. On Slide 14, we recorded net sales of $70.4 million, up 9% from the prior year, as Jorge mentioned driven by higher precious metal sales and the higher zinc and gold prices. We reported net income of $13.8 million compared to $13 million in 2017 and earnings per share of $0.09 compared to $0.08. Adjusted net income was down 7% due to a lower effective tax rate in 2017 as our adjusted income before tax not shown in the slide was actually 15% higher. Net cash provided by operating activities amounted to $20.1 million, reflecting a strong quarter with a positive impact from changes in the working capital. Free cash flow for the quarter was $12.2 million and free cash flow excluding the later expenses was $19 million. You can find that our reconciliation of free cash flows with net cash provided by operating activities in the appendix of the presentation. Cash equivalents and short-term investments as at the end of March 2018 added up to $217 million. On Slide 15, when breaking down our sales performance, we had the higher total sales of $5.6 million with $4.5 million of contribution from higher metal volumes, $3.3 million from improved gold and base metal prices and $2.5 million of improved treatment and refining charges. We recorded negative sales adjustments of $2.8 million in the current quarter compared to positive adjustments of 1.1 million in 2017 for a total different shown in the slide of $4.8 million year-over-year. Also worth pointing out, we had a visible concentrate inventory at the San Jose mine corresponding to around 80 days of production with a net value of $4.1 million based on realized prices during the quarter. On Slide 16, our operating income and adjusted EBITDA reflect our stronger sales in the…

Carlos Baca

Analyst

We would now like to turn the call over to any question that you may have.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin to asking a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Chris Thompson with PI financial.

Chris Thompson

Analyst

A couple of quick questions here. The first one looking at the CapEx cost for Lindero obviously noted, there are not too much we've spent in the Q1, but I guess 50% of the year the total capital cost was committed. So how do you see -- how should we be modeling this on a quarter-by-quarter basis moving forward?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

You should expect to see the impact from on all of this committed funds starting to show and coming down into our financial for the second half of the year. I think third and fourth quarter of the year, we should start with equipment deliveries and we are already working on the field with one of the largest contracts, which is earth movement and that's a $22 million awarded contract. And for example that one is executed through the next 10 months. So, we'll start to see those moneys showing in our financials and we also have all large contracts awarded like concrete. We should start large concrete awards should start in the month of June, July. So second half of the year is where you'll see that bulk of that reflected in our numbers.

Chris Thompson

Analyst

Thanks, Jorge. Just moving on to San Jose, I know you spoke about the higher unit costs in the quarter. There was also obviously some good grades, head grades. Are we going to expect to sort of back off a little bit or is that sustainable at those sorts of levels?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

As we stated, we expected -- we have seen -- we have shifted – made a shift in the plan for the year, at the beginning of the year. So, this grade should be maintainable. We should be able to maintain these grades and that's why I'd say that we’re on target to meet and potentially exceed guidance. We believe that this 15%, 20% higher grades compared to what we guided are sustainable because of the changes we have accommodated in the mine plan for 2009.

Chris Thompson

Analyst

That's encouraging. Thank you for that. Just quickly, Caylloma, obviously, great unit cost. We saw those tick downwards again, not sustainable at these sorts of levels throughout the remainder of the year?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

You’re asking about sustainability of cash cost?

Chris Thompson

Analyst

Unit cost, I would say at Caylloma.

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

Yes, cash cost per tonne?

Chris Thompson

Analyst

Yes.

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

Yes, we’re not guiding any different.

Chris Thompson

Analyst

Okay, perfect. And then the final question, I've just come off the PanAm call and a fair amount of conversation related to Argentina and peso devaluation and inflation prices. Can you just comment on that relating to I guess costs and expectations at Lindero?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst

Well, we monitor closely the impact of inflation and currency depreciation. And the net impact on our purchasing power to put it in simple words is those two are netting them self out that's what we're seeing. Now, the currency is being depreciating, but there has also been significant inflation. So we currently -- there has been a spike in currency depreciation over the last weeks and days. Of course, it does not followed by inflation. We can see a short-term benefit, but medium and long term, I don't think what we're seeing is positive for the country as a whole and it can lead to political instability. And of course, we shouldn't we don’t like that, right.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Don Demarco from National Bank Financial. Please proceed with your question.

Don Demarco

Analyst · your question.

Maybe if I could just circle back to a question that the previous caller had and it was on the CapEx spend at Lindero. My question is, how much should we model for Q2? I understand the bulk of the CapEx will be spent in the back-half of the year but what are you looking at for Q2?

Luis Ganoza

Analyst · your question.

So for Q2, we do expect a significant increase with respect to Q1, but as Jorge mentioned, out of the $200 million forecasted for 2018, both of that will be spent in the second half of the year. And given the delay as Jorge mentioned on the pick upon the earthworks in the first as far recommends another site work. Of course, on a $200 million could well spill into 2019, right. So, if you need a number, I would say something in the range of $30 million would be reasonable for Q2.

Don Demarco

Analyst · your question.

And maybe if you could just provide a little bit more color on that delay, obviously, the delay has been resolved. You don’t expect any further delay, but maybe if you could just shed some light on the reasons for the delay and how it's resolved?

Luis Ganoza

Analyst · your question.

Lindero is a project that enjoys a tremendous goodwill at our provisional level in Salta, and that’s something that we treasure. We are trying to incorporate into a project as many local providers and contractors from the province to the creek as we can. But we have seen that a lot of these providers, service providers, contractors were failing to meet and be competitive in the bidding processes that we were launching. And it was a concern to us that we might end up giving, providing local contractors no opportunity to participate in the construction of Lindero. We identified the mass earthworks as a big opportunity to incorporate local contractor but we realize that a local contractor from Salta would not tackle this work alone. So what we foster was the confirmation of the joint venture of Salta contractor with a larger contractor from outside of the province, more seasoned with broader financial shoulders and the confirmation of that we were ready to award a contract on time, on schedule but realizing that the contract was going to be awarded to someone from my federal province. We decided to make up and be strict with the dealers, ask them to form a joint venture and that will incorporate Salta contractor. And then we have awarded now the contract to the joint venture, all of this has been the main source of the delay in the start of earth works. Earth works have started. We have equipment moving dirt on site, but there is a two month delay there. And as I explain, we don’t expect this two month delay will translate into a delay in the backend with respect to a commissioning and commercial operations targeted date. And as I also stressed, the order tasks of the project have continued to advance within schedule for the most part, and all mission critical tasks are on schedule and show that is a 50% of the funds are committed by now.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line Trevor Turnbull with Scotiabank.

Trevor Turnbull

Analyst · Scotiabank.

I just wanted to go back to something you talked about with respect to Salta and some of the projects in addition to Lindero that you have. I know that you've got some joint ventures and you've inherited a lot of prospective information and land when you took over the project. I was just wondering in terms of what we can look for initially in terms of results, if you could talk about -- you said there is some drilling taking place this year, exactly, which projects might we be keeping our eye open for to, to see the first results of exploration?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst · Scotiabank.

We have -- just the clarification, when we acquired Goldrock, what we had was the earnings concession which holds Lindero and Arizaro, and no more ground came with that acquisition, but we also inherited over 20 years of exploration something throughout the province of Salta. Significant geochemical database or rock, soil sediment, so we are using that data it's become an important tool to guide our generative efforts. So we have an ongoing program outside of Lindero. I can give you a bit of color. We have moved out of the porphyry belt more into the epithermal type terrains higher in the volcanic column. We are looking at the silver and gold prospect. We have a two prospects to projects in [indiscernible] and Nueva Esperanza. These are out of in vein systems with little work carried on them over the years. We have concluded by now our first path work on geochemical sampling and mapping, and we have identified a drill target and we expect to be drilling probably in the second half of -- early in the second half of the year.

Trevor Turnbull

Analyst · Scotiabank.

And so, those are for epithermal targets. And then at Arizaro, are we expecting exploration results or further work to be announced on that this year?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst · Scotiabank.

Yes, we currently have a drill rig turning at Lindero. We are infilling right now a year one of production. What we or year one production blocks are being infilled. Once that rig is concluded with the infilling of year one production for Lindero, we will move to Arizaro. So, we also expect to be drilling at Arizaro within the next two to three months.

Trevor Turnbull

Analyst · Scotiabank.

And just as a reminder, how much drilling has been done at Arizaro over the years? How much of a historic database do you have there?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst · Scotiabank.

It’s about 20 holes and 1,000 meters of drilling is what being done on Arizaro. As a reminder, when we acquired Goldrock, Goldrock reported 0.5 million ounces of gold in the inferred resources at Arizaro. When we look at that, it was our conservative estimation that even though they have significant results in the drilling, the geologic understanding, the geologic model had weaknesses and based on that we decided to takeout those 0.5 million ounces out of our inventory. So we do not report resources at Arizaro. The expectation of the plan right now is to focus on improving the geologic understanding with a focus on a near surface gold mineralization that can help improve or contribute through a satellite deposit -- potentially a satellite deposit through the Lindero production.

Trevor Turnbull

Analyst · Scotiabank.

And I understand you want to go back and do your own work and you've removed the resource that Goldrock had. But would you have considered what they had delineated to still be open? Or did it -- are you in the process of looking to expand on that original area?

Jorge Ganoza

Analyst · Scotiabank.

I have to say first that we are very conservative with our resource evaluations and resource reserve assessments. I have to say that. And based on that conservativeness of our technical service group, we decided to take out the inferred resources. There is drilling, you can make a case for the 0.5 million ounces. They are open in several directions. That model was open in several directions. But we believe it requires more drilling to improve the geologic model, not to improve the certainty on some of the drills, but to improve the geologic model and get a better sense for the morphology, continuity of this and that's what we plan to do.

Trevor Turnbull

Analyst · Scotiabank.

Okay. Yes, look forward to hearing about both the epithermal generative work as well as Arizaro style going forward.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions in the queue. I’d like to hand the call back over to Mr. Baca for closing comments.