Ron Kisling
Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open
Thank you, Todd, and thanks everyone for joining us today. I'll discuss our business metric and financial results and then review our forward guidance. Note that unless otherwise stated, all financial results in my discussion are non-GAAP based. Total revenue for the third quarter increased 18% year-over-year to $127.8 million, coming in at the top end of our guidance of $125 million to $128 million. Revenue from Signal Sciences products was 14% of revenue, a 33% year-over-year increase or a 31% increase, excluding the impact of purchase price adjustments related to deferred revenue. Also, note that we calculate growth rate off of the actual results with the percentage of revenue rounded to the nearest whole percent. In the third quarter, we saw traffic expansion at our major customers, as well as strong upsell and cross-sell activity. Our trailing 12-month net retention rate was 114%, down from 116% in the prior quarter and 118% in the year ago quarter. We continue to experience very low turn and our customer retention dynamics remained strong. Turning to RPO, as I discussed last quarter, our consumption-based revenue model is now being augmented with predictable revenue packages. For the third quarter, our RPO was $248 million, up 7% from $231 million in the second quarter of 2023 and up 43% from $173 million in the third quarter of 2022. As Todd shared, we had 3,102 customers at the end of Q3, of which 547 were classified as enterprise, a net, decrease of 4 compared to an increase of 11 in the second quarter. As a reminder, we changed our calculation of enterprise customers this year to customers with an annualized revenue run rate of $100,000 or $25,000 in the current quarter, which results in more quarter-to-quarter volatility than the previous 12 months trailing $100,000 definition. Using our prior methodology, enterprise customer count increase by 10 customers in the third quarter to 530, compared to an increase of six in the prior quarter. Enterprise customers accounted for 92% of total revenue on an annualized basis in both Q3 and Q2 and enterprise customer average spend was 858,000, up 5% from 818,000 in the previous quarter and up 11% from 771,000 in Q3 of last year. Our top 10 customers comprise 40% of our total revenues in the third quarter of 2023, an increase from the 37% contribution in Q2 2023, reflecting in part the impact of vendor consolidation and expansion of our traffic at some of our largest customers, which also drove one customer to account for 12% of revenue in the third quarter. I'll now turn to the rest of our financial results for the third quarter. Our gross margin was 55.9%, compared to 56.6% in the second quarter of 2023, slightly above our expectation of 100 basis point sequential decline. We saw increased bandwidth costs from higher than expected growth in traffic from customers outside the US and EU, which was partially offset by reductions in our other variable and fixed cost of revenue. As we've discussed in 2022, we implemented new and more robust network capacity planning to better align network capacity investments with our expected traffic demands. These steps have driven significant reductions to our cash CapEx investment as a percentage of revenue, which declined from 14% in 2021 to a current range of 6% to 8%. As part of this capacity planning, we identified approximately $4.3 million of hardware, software and related commitment, primarily acquired or committed to in 2021 that are in excess of our requirements. We recorded an impairment charge for $4.3 million in Q3 to reserve for this excess equipment and commitment. We excluded the impact of this charge in our non-GAAP results. Operating expenses were $84 million in the third quarter, an 8% increase compared to Q3 2022 and up 9% sequentially from the second quarter. A portion of this growth was a tax benefit of $3.4 million recorded in the second quarter that did not recur in Q3 and one-time marketing expenses related to events and fees in addition to our normal investments in R&D and sales and marketing. The benefits from our continued focus on cost discipline and financial rigor offset these investments resulting in OpEx coming in slightly below our expectations. This favorability, combined with revenue at the upper end of our guidance range and gross margin slightly ahead of expectations resulted in an operating loss of $12.6 million, exceeding the high end of our operating loss guidance range of $15 million to 13 million. Our net loss in the third quarter was $8 million, or a $0.06 loss per basic and diluted share, compared to a net loss of $16.8 million and $0.14 loss per basic and diluted share in Q3 2022. I am pleased to report that our adjusted EBITDA was positive in the third quarter coming in at $0.7 million, compared to negative $9.1 million in Q3 2022. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with approximately $461 million in cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and investments, including those classified as long term. Our free cash flow for the third quarter was negative $19 million from positive $7.8 million in the second quarter. This decrease was primarily driven by changes in working capital and lower operating margins as compared to Q2, which benefited from the aforementioned non-recurring sales and use tax refund of $3.4 million. Our cash capital expenditures were approximately 4% of revenue in the third quarter below the low end of our outlook of 6% to 8% of revenue for 2023. We expect to accelerate the purchase of certain hardware in the fourth quarter for deployment in 2024, which will drive our annual CapEx for 2023 as a percentage of revenue to the high end of our 6% to 8% range. As this demonstrates, we expect to continue to see quarterly fluctuations in the timing of our capital expenditures, but for them to align with our range on an annual basis. As a reminder, our cash capital expenditures include capitalized internal use software. I will now discuss our outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2023. I'd like to remind everyone again that the following statements are based on current expectations as of today and include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ material. We undertake no obligation to update these forward looking statements in the future except as required by law. Our fourth quarter and full year 2023 outlook reflects our continued ability to deliver strong top-line growth via improved customer acquisition, upsell and cross-sell expansion in our existing customers driven in part by new and enhanced products. Our revenue guidance is based on the visibility that we have today. Historically, our revenue experience is sequential growth in the second half that accelerates into the fourth quarter. For the fourth quarter, we expect revenue in the range of $137 million to $141 million, representing 16% annual growth and 9% sequential growth at the midpoint. As we shared on our previous calls, we saw some increase in price declines in the first half as a result of winning additional traffic from a major customer. As we entered the second half of 2023, we experienced increased traffic in the international markets where we saw favorable pricing. As a result, our pricing trajectory was more favorable than this normal course and we expect that to continue to the remainder of 2023. And recall that normal reductions in our bandwidth cost and ongoing network optimization, combined with increasing traffic into our fixed cost base typically offset our pricing declines. Looking more closely into these dynamics on the cost side. In the second half of 2023, we saw a larger increase than previously expected in traffic from customers outside the US and EU markets. Within these markets, our bandwidth cost today are higher than those in the US and EU markets and it had a modest adverse impact on our gross margins. While this increased traffic gives us the opportunity to renegotiate our bandwidth rate and increase peering reducing costs for all customers in these regions, it will have a modest near-term impact on growth margins while we complete these negotiations. We continue to be very disciplined in our network investment and cost of revenues, which contributed to our third quarter gross margins being approximately 30 basis points better than we initially expected. For the fourth quarter, we now anticipate, our gross margins will increase approximately 100 basis points relative to the third quarter, plus or minus 50 basis points. As we mentioned previously, our Q3 operating loss was moderately better than our earlier expectations, as our continued cost controls offset increased seasonal spending in marketing. For the fourth quarter, we will see the benefit of increased revenue as we continue our cost control efforts. As a result, for the force quarter, we expect our non-GAAP operating loss to decrease by approximately $3 million to $7 million to $10 million to $6 million and our non-GAAP loss to be $0.5 to $0.01 per share. We reported nominally positive EBITDA in our third quarter and expect our adjusted EBITDA creating positive and to improve materially in the fourth quarter. For calendar year 2023, we are raising the midpoint of our revenue guidance from a range of $500 million to $510 million to a range of $505 million to $509 million. This increase represents 17% annual growth at the midpoint. We expect our non-GAAP operating loss to improve to a range a $44 million to $40 million, reflecting an operating margin of negative 8% at the midpoint, which compares favorably to our prior guide of negative 9% at the midpoint and our operating margin of negative 18% in 2022. We expect our non-GAAP net loss per share to improve to $0.23 to $0.19, reflecting the improvement in our operating loss expectations, compared to our prior range of a net loss per share of $0.27 to $0.21 and we expect our adjusted EBITDA for calendar year 2023 to be positive, compared to negative $32.9 million in 2022. 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