Dan Pietrzak
Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is now open
Thank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. Despite the recent noise surrounding the presidential election, the U.S. economy continues to remain on solid footing. Since the Fed began raising rates in early 2022, the U.S. economy has experienced a 6.8% growth rate in real terms. Recent economic data released through September illustrates that the labor market has remained resilient, boosting income levels for workers, which continues to support consumer spending. At the same time, inflation has declined from 9.1% in June of 2022 through approximately 2.4% today. Both of these inputs create a favorable backdrop for a sustained economic expansion. As Michael alluded in his comments, we believe that M&A activity will increase meaningfully in 2025 as the market has seen interest rates peak and economic sentiment improve. In line with this, we have seen greater momentum in middle market deal volumes and our pipeline of new investment opportunities continues to grow. The bar remains high when looking for new opportunities to deploy capital. The market continues to be competitive, which has resulted in tighter credit spreads and more borrower-friendly terms. Nevertheless, we remain prudent and disciplined in our underwriting and have continued to pass on opportunities that do not meet our credit standards. We continue to see compelling opportunities in asset-based finance as banks strategically reposition their portfolios, largely due to regulatory requirements. As we have discussed previously, our ABF investments are often structured as fixed rate, which helps offset the impact of declining rates in the direct lending portion of our investment portfolio. During the third quarter, FSK originated $1.1 billion of new investments. Approximately 57% of our new investments were focused on add-on financings to existing portfolio companies and long-term KKR relationships. Our new investments, combined with $1 billion of net sales and repayments when factoring in sales to our joint venture equated to a net portfolio increase of $185 million. New originations consisted of approximately 84% in first-lien loans and 16% in asset-based finance investments. Our new direct lending investments had a weighted average EBITDA of approximately $211 million, 6.3 times leverage through our security, and a weighted average coupon of approximately SOFR plus 505 basis points. Through our ABF team and the broader KKR network, we have developed deep relationships, which allows us to access niche sectors that we find attractive within the ABF market and to structure deals that many market participants are unable to execute on due to transaction size, complexity or platform capabilities. One example of an asset-based finance deal that we originated during the quarter was the purchase of an approximately $10 billion pool of seasoned private student loans from Discover Financial Services. This portfolio is focused on prime borrowers or co-signers and has an average FICO score above 750. KKR Credit and another large manager jointly led and structured the multi-billion dollar deal with FSK committing $94 million. The trend of well-performing portfolio companies proactively seeking re-pricings continued during the third quarter. We have also experienced instances of companies seeking overly aggressive price reductions or structural amendments, which don't align with our return or risk thresholds. In those situations, we have proactively chose to be repaid. When we look at aggregate trends across our portfolio companies, we observed a 13% year-over-year EBITDA growth rate at portfolio companies in which we have invested in since April of 2018. Additionally, the weighted average and median EBITDA of our portfolio companies was $237 million and $121 million, respectively, as of September 30, 2024. As of the end of the third quarter, non-accruals represented 3.8% of our portfolio on a cost basis and 1.7% of our portfolio on a fair value basis. This compares to 4.3% of our portfolio on a cost basis and 1.8% of our portfolio on a fair value basis as of June 30, 2024. Brian will provide further details on this during his comments. We also believe it is helpful to provide the market with information based on the FSK assets originated by KKR Credit. Non-accruals relating to the 88% of our total portfolio, which has been originated by KKR Credit and the FS KKR Advisor were 2.2% on a cost basis and 50 basis points on a fair-value basis as of the end of the third quarter. This compares to 2.4% on a cost basis and 60 basis points on a fair-value basis as of June 30, 2024. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Brian to discuss our portfolio in more detail.