Earnings Labs

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Sat, Feb 26, 2022

$17.56

+2.39%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Fox Factory Holding Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to your host, Vivek Bhakuni, Senior Director of Investor Relations and Business Development. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

Vivek Bhakuni

Management

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to Fox Factory's fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. I'm joined today by Mike Dennison, our Chief Executive Officer; and Scott Humphrey, our Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. First, Mike will provide business updates. Then Scott will review the quarter and full-year financial results and then the outlook, followed by closing remarks from Mike. We will then open the call up for your questions. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings release, which went out today at approximately 4:05 Eastern Time. If you have not had a chance to review the release, it's available on the Investor Relations portion of our website at investor.ridefox.com. Please note that throughout this call, we will refer to Fox Factory as Fox or the Company. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that the prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements, and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. Such statements involve a number of known and unknown uncertainties, many of which are outside the Company's control and can cause future results, performance or achievements to differ significantly from the results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Important factors and risks that could cause or contribute to such differences are detailed in the Company's latest Form 10-Q and in the Annual Report or Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by law, the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking or other statements herein, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, where appropriate in today's prepared remarks and within our earnings release, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate our business as we believe these are useful metrics that better reflect the performance of our business on an ongoing basis. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in today's press release, which has also been posted on our website. And with that, it is my pleasure to turn the call over to our CEO, Mike Dennison.

Mike Dennison

Management

Thank you, V, and good afternoon. We appreciate everyone taking the time to join us for today's call. We all thought 2020 was a remarkable year, but 2021 was equally challenging, if not more. And Q4 presented one of the most intense operating environments of the year. We experienced pronounced supply chain challenges and lost production hours, along with being required to shut down one factory in North America due to COVID cases. These challenges kept us from achieving our sixth consecutive record revenue quarter and consequently carried an increased level of backlog into Q1. That said, I'm pleased to report fourth quarter sales of $342.3 million, an increase of 30.5% compared to the fourth quarter sales of last year. The Fox team worked tirelessly and creatively to deliver phenomenal revenue growth. In the fourth quarter, we reported earnings per diluted share of $0.89 versus $0.75 in the same period last year, an increase of 18.7% quarter-on-quarter. We also reported non-GAAP adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.06 versus $0.90, an increase of 17.8% over the fourth quarter in 2020. We continue to prove that our collective resiliency and strength carry us through during these unique times. I am really proud of how the Fox team has demonstrated perseverance, dedication and adaptability in this dynamic operating environment to deliver a near 46% annual year-on-year revenue growth rate, the highest ever since we went public in 2013. We finished the year with annual revenue just shy of $1.3 billion, making it our first calendar year where we eclipsed $1 billion in annual revenue. As these macro obstacles worsened in the fourth quarter, our team continued to out-innovate, outpace and outthink our peers to deliver performance-defining results just like our products. I am happy to report that we also completed the acquisition…

Scott Humphrey

Management

Thanks, Mike. Good afternoon, everyone. I'll begin by going over our fourth quarter and full-year financial results and then review our guidance. Sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 were $342.3 million, an increase of 30.5% versus sales of $262.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Our Powered Vehicles Group delivered an 18.6% increase in sales compared to the fourth quarter of 2020, primarily due to increased demand in their aftermarket channels, including strong performance in our upfitting product lines. Moving to the Specialty Sports Group. SSG delivered a 46.7% increase in sales in the fourth quarter compared to the same quarter last year, due primarily to increased demand across all channels as well as capacity expansion. On a full-year basis, sales were $1,299.1 million versus $890.6 million in the same period last year, an increase of 45.9%. This jump in full-year sales is driven by increased demand across all of our product lines. PVG's growth is primarily driven by strong performance from our upfitting product lines, the inclusion of a full year of revenue from our SCA subsidiary and increased demand in our aftermarket channels. Additionally, our prior year results were negatively impacted by production shutdowns at a majority of our PVG OEM partners due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Fox Factory's gross margin was 31.3% in the fourth quarter of 2021, a 50 basis point decrease from 31.8% in the same period in the prior year. For the fourth quarter of 2021, non-GAAP adjusted gross margin decreased by 40 basis points to 31.6% versus Q4 of 2020. The decrease in gross margin was primarily driven by higher inflationary pressures on all fronts, including labor, material and freight costs. This was marginally offset by favorable product and channel mix compared to Q4 2020, led by higher volume sales in…

Mike Dennison

Management

Thank you, Scott. We are incredibly proud of the way our team has delivered stellar results in 2021 through their sheer perseverance, commitment and impeccable execution. As we celebrate our success, we completely acknowledge the multi-dimensional challenges ahead of us, be it from pandemic or macroeconomic factors. Hence, we will continue to make significant investments in products, people and technology, all while maintaining a fortress balance sheet. We believe our world-class team, financial discipline and our relentless focus on delivering best-in-class products to our ever-growing base of performance-driven enthusiasts will enable us to continue delivering against our consumers and shareholders' expectations. I would now like to open the call for questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Larry Solow with CJS Securities.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Yes. It's Pete Lukas for Larry. You discussed price increases in the latter portion of 2021 to keep up with inflation. How have these been received by customers? And do you think it was enough considering the acceleration that you have seen in inflation?

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes, Pete, good question. This is Mike. My perspective is, throughout kind of the Q3 period, Q2 and Q3 period, we started to implement price increases that took effect in Q3 and Q4 across the board, basically in every product line that we have. At the time, we felt those would be -- would offset the inflation we were seeing in costs, in all functions of our business. I think we did a pretty good job. It's always a spectrum of how much our customers will accept price increases. In the end, we got all the price increases accomplished that we were looking for at the time. So the answer is yes. We were successful in doing it. I would say it covered the inflation that we saw at the time, but inflation continues. And so whether or not we have to do more price increases in Q1 is really the question. And that answer is yet to be determined. Parts of our business have more price elasticity than others. And so we'll have to be very thoughtful about where we deploy those price increases in the first part of this year. But clearly -- and I've said this in prior earnings calls, the dynamics of our world today mean instead of doing annual price increases, you might have to do quarterly price increases and we're well equipped to go do that if that's necessary. So, there's always a little bit of a lag between inflation cost that occur in our factories and getting the pricing to our customers to cover those costs. I think that's going to continue to persist as we understand inflation and how it goes forward.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Great. Helpful. And next, can you speak on the ongoing capacity expansion in Taiwan for specialty sports? And are you able -- can you update us on the transition to manufacturing power vehicles? Is most of that heavy lifting complete? And do you think that this becomes a tailwind for you going into '22?

Mike Dennison

Management

I think in both cases, Taiwan and in Gainesville, there's a tailwind going into '22. In Taiwan specifically, a lot of that capacity expansion was done in the back half of last year and is coming online now. So, there's still productivity objectives. The team is out working. But as you can see in the growth rates of SSG, that capacity has been not only delivered on time and where necessary, and has therefore, allowed us to grow probably faster than most of the people in that industry, most of the companies in that industry. But I think we're well positioned for '22 based on the capacity that we've added. So, we're in really good shape in Taiwan for 2022. In Gainesville, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we did get the rest of the Watsonville transfer to Georgia complete in the quarter, which obviously caused us lots of challenges in the quarter because it's just not easy to do when you have so much robust demand and created some of the incremental backlog that we saw in the end of the quarter going into Q1. So, that transfer, that -- the last lines have been moved. We're just doing cleanup in Watsonville now, which really sets the table for 2022 and what we have to go do in Gainesville, which as Scott and I have talked about in the past, will deliver 250 basis points to 350 basis points of margin expansion in our legacy business. So yes, we're really excited to get that done. It wasn't fun. It was pretty painful, but we've got that achieved, accomplished, and we're kind of ready to go.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Great. And last one for me. Given the rapid growth in sales and employees you've seen over the last 18 months in the challenging labor market, can you update us on where we are today? Is the bulk of the hiring done? And have you seen -- what have you seen in terms of increase in attrition and turnover, if any?

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes. Both of those answers are a bit geographical. So in Taiwan, we've had significant increases in workforce to deliver the results that we've delivered. It's pretty sustainable. It's pretty predictable in Taiwan. The team has done a great job and a very low unemployment country, by the way. Their unemployment rates are near 0. So some of our capacity expansion means diversifying our footprint in Taiwan, so we could get to fresh labor pools, if you will. And I think the team has done a great job of doing that. So, I think -- when I think about labor in Taiwan, I'm pretty comfortable with where we're at. I do think the risk in Taiwan is a function of Omicron or COVID in some variant. Taiwan has been spared a lot of that pain that the rest of the world has undergone. And we always have to be aware that, that could be a significant headwind, if something materialize in Taiwan. Don't know that it will, but we should just keep that in mind. In terms of Gainesville, employing people in North America has been more challenging throughout the last year. It hasn't gotten worse. It's just been an ongoing challenge of people returning to work, wanting to return to work. And of course, as you know, at the very end of Q4 and early Q1, the Omicron variant made it very difficult to run large population factories. So more so than kind of the turnover of employment from just normal turnover or your normal labor turnover, I'd say COVID had an oversized impact on trying to keep a workforce predictable in North America.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Anna Glaessgen with Jefferies.

Anna Glaessgen

Analyst · Jefferies.

I believe in the prepared comments, you said looking forward to easing in the back half on supply chain headwinds. I guess could you put a finer point on what's embedded in the 2022 guidance around this? Are you embedding meaningful improvement or maybe more moderate? Any perspective would be helpful.

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes, Anna, we're embedding pretty moderate improvement. I don't think we're going to assume that the improvement happens until we actually see it. I think Scott and I both believe and the team believes that we'll see that easing in Q2, but that's not really forecasted into our numbers at this point. So if we saw more easing, if we saw an increased pace of easing, I think that would just help us. But we tend to run fairly conservative in our estimates and our estimates are a reflection of kind of what we see today versus what we hope to see sometime in Q2.

Anna Glaessgen

Analyst · Jefferies.

Great. And then turning to the inventory growth, pretty significant in the quarter. Could you maybe unpack this growth, maybe how much is related to cost inflation versus higher units compared to last year?

Scott Humphrey

Management

Yes. Sure. Anna, this is Scott. I think it's a combination of things, and I don't have percentages for you. But if you look in our K, our backlog was up almost $100 million compared to the end of last year. So the demand is there, and we've been bringing in more inventory. Obviously, you get over some of the supply chain challenges that we've had over the last six months or so, just getting product in the door. And so, yes, we are experiencing some material inflation that's part of that big increase. Part of it is still to do with moving -- basically moving the Powersports inventory that was out in Watsonville over. So getting lines up and running and ready to go with material in Gainesville is almost having inventory in two places to service that customer. So, there's a number of factors playing into that big increase in inventory, but you are correct that we have seen some material cost increases.

Mike Dennison

Management

And I would only add, Anna, to that, the port congestion that everybody experienced in late Q3 and very much so in Q4 doesn't make it easier to try to drive continuity of supply. So it means -- it causes you to be more protective in your supply chain and probably take on more inventory just as a function of trying to push it through a gate that is not very wide, meaning lots of boats in the ocean, not a lot of spots in the ports. So, I think that nuance is one that had to play out in Q3 and Q4. And I think that's starting to abate already. So, I think you see that sort of improve kind of back half of this quarter and into Q2.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Rudy Yang with Berenberg.

Rudy Yang

Analyst · Berenberg.

I think in your prepared remarks, you mentioned it will now take about five months to eight months to fully meet demand, whereas in previous quarters, I think that number was eight months to 10 months. Is that a factor of demand strength decelerating at all? Or is it just kind of due to higher capacity on your end or just kind of being able to move more of your backlog?

Mike Dennison

Management

That's also -- Rudy, it's a good question. That's really a function of an industry dynamic as well. So keep in mind, that's not just us because we're one part of it in the industry. There are other people have to deliver on their components as well to actually fulfill that demand. And when I say five months to eight months, it's a function of -- a quarter ago, it would have been eight months to 12 months, but we've got a quarter further down the road. And so we are seeing that improvement. I think you should continue to see improvement in the reduction of that number throughout the course of 2022. That would mean we're tracking to a healthy recovery in the industry. And again, I think that's a function of not just us but other people. Clearly, we've been able to do really well in SSG because of the capacity we've added and our ability to manage that continuity of supply to produce goods. So, I think we're doing better than most. And as a function of that, we're able to make sure that we are not the long pull -- the long pole in the shed relative to our customers to be able to get their bikes put together. So, that's what I think is going on there.

Rudy Yang

Analyst · Berenberg.

Got it. That's really helpful. And then I know it's kind of an unfortunate and kind of a recent situation. But could you maybe just talk to your thoughts on how the whole Ukraine situation could possibly impact your business? I think from my understanding, Ukraine is a large exporter of neon gas, while Russia sources a large amount of palladium, which are both used in the creation of chips. So just curious any thoughts you could share on discussions around the potential impact?

Mike Dennison

Management

I think the implications that -- and I agree with you, it's a pretty dire and sad situation. I think the implications are more indirect for us. We really don't have relationships in either of those countries at this point. And the indirect impact in the commodities is yet to be determined, but I don't think it's going to be that significant relative to aluminum and steel, which is really the basis of our business. So, I think what we're cautious of is potentially cyberattacks and other things that could happen, that would have some sort of implication in our world. But from a standpoint of demand or our ability to fulfill that demand, I don't really foresee any major issues.

Operator

Operator

We'll go now to Ryan Sundby with William Blair.

Ryan Sundby

Analyst

Mike, something with the plant changeover and then the COVID shut down, you had some backlog that carried over into Q1. Any way to help us kind of understand how big that was? And does that all just get worked out in Q1?

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes. I mean we've carried over $220 million of backlog from Q4 into Q1. That's probably a record backlog for us, which means -- it kind of reinforces the statement that demand is incredibly strong. I think your question is, do you relieve that backlog in Q1? I don't think there's any way we can relieve all that backlog in Q1. So, we're going to do our best to try to mitigate that over the next couple of quarters and very solid, strong communication with our customers. But that's a big number. So on one hand, that's -- it's great to have backlog because it's hard purchase orders that we see relative to our customers. It's hard because it puts just more pressure on that Gainesville productivity implementation that we're driving for this year.

Ryan Sundby

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then just on Shock Therapy, any color there in terms of size and growth for the overall business and how it maybe fits with Fox? And then just maybe a bigger picture question on acquisitions. This is now a couple of smaller ones at [indiscernible] outside bands. What's the strategy there in terms of kind of targets you're looking at in size? And are these smaller deals, the ones that kind of makes the most sense right now?

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes. I'll take the last question first, Ryan. I think when we target -- when we go out and look for acquisitions, we're looking for larger acquisitions, typically. What happens, though, in our business, a lot of inbound happen -- occurs and some of these smaller companies approach us via various means to say, hey, we think we'd be a good part of the Fox family and we think we can be accretive to your business. And in Shock Therapy's case, both their innovation and tuning and products on powersports, as well as the way that they've gone after servicing that business, they actually drive a bigger aftermarket business in that product line than we did in that space. So, we're learning a lot from them. It has been a fantastic acquisition, albeit very early days. In terms of sizing, it isn't a large acquisition. Think about it as kind of a $20 million a year business today, growing at or probably above the current PVG growth rates. So it's going to grow nicely with us. It's not large. It's really the technology and some of the thinking that we're getting from Shock Therapy that we can use in the rest of our business that is so meaningful. And from a margin perspective, it's not dilutive. So it's a good -- it's not -- it doesn't harm us from a margin perspective. So, we think it's all good. But in general, as we go look for potential acquisitions, we're looking at larger ones. You've heard me say before, I'd rather do a big acquisition than a small one. It's just sometimes these present themselves and they're really, really conducive to where we're going as a business.

Ryan Sundby

Analyst

Got it. Makes sense. Last one for me. Just to follow up on Pete's question, Mike, I think in the script, you understated that you were open to maybe evaluating your pricing strategy. I just want to make sure I fully understood that. Was that just in terms of being more nimble, pricing more often? Or is there something bigger picture that you're referring to?

Mike Dennison

Management

It's really around being more dynamic, so that we can actually adjust our pricing to reflect market events or macroeconomic events, things that occur, that require us to be as fast and responsive in that area as we can. Historically, this business hasn't had to be that nimble or that dynamic. And I just think we're kind of in a new world. So building the skills, processes and systems to be able to do that as part of the stuff the team is working on every day. So, that was what I was getting at with Pete.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll go now to Scott Stember with C.L. King.

Scott Stember

Analyst

It sounds as if in power vehicle side, that I guess the upfitting and the aftermarket businesses did really, really well. But it sounds like the OEM side, whether it was with the on-road/off-road stuff, that was probably a little bit less than you wanted to supply chain. Can you just maybe talk about how that performed? And how that dynamic or narrative should change as we get into '22 and we move throughout the year?

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes. Good question, Scott. So when we think about the issues around our automotive OEM business, don't think about it relative to necessarily our continuity supply or our ability to produce. It's really around the rest of the components they need to put on a truck to get a truck sold. So as you probably heard from other press reports and insights, those companies are still struggling to get their supply chains to effectively respond to the demand, and we felt that in Q4. So it really wasn't a function of us. It was just a function of kind of continuing ongoing chronic challenges they were facing, which caused their demand signals to us to change. I think the upside is, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we're launching new vehicles, new platforms. Folks, partners of ours are expanding their product portfolios to a more global sales channels, which is great for us. So that expands volumes. And I think, eventually, these guys will figure out how to get their supply chains working more effectively, and that will help us. So, do I expect that to happen in Q1? To some extent. But I think that's going to be an ongoing battle that we'll face for the first half of the year. And hopefully, they see the same easing of the supply chain that we expect to see somewhere midyear.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Got it. And as far as the timing of the launches of some of these products, the Bronco Raptor, can you just give us an idea when we -- when you should start shipping product? Is that the typical third? Is it the fourth quarter of '22? And maybe on the Toyota products as well.

Mike Dennison

Management

Yes. The best way to probably couch that is when you hear about when they believe they're going to have vehicles produced and in dealers, you back that up six months or so, and that's when we start producing product to supply that demand signal, maybe a little bit less than that. But you can always back those up. If it's a '23 Bronco Raptor, that means we're going to be shipping product this year, for sure.

Scott Stember

Analyst

All right. And then just last question related to guidance. You gave a lot of puts and takes. But how should we think of the gross margin within the context of your guidance? Just trying to effectively model to get down to the number.

Scott Humphrey

Management

Yes. I mean, remember now that we're fully moved from Watsonville, we should start to see PVG margins improving on the legacy side of the business as we get everything under one roof. And that will be really helpful. I think, again, as Mike alluded to earlier, I think our guidance tends to be more conservative, the earlier in the year than we are. And as he also mentioned, we built in some supply chain, inflationary cost pressures into that -- into those numbers. And so when you're trying to back into it, from a guidance perspective, I think it would be probably fairly similar to 2021. And we also gave you EBITDA guidance for the full year of 20% to 22% and the end of this year, just above 20%. So it's going to be similar, probably from a guidance perspective to what you saw full year this year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Alex Perry with Bank of America.

Alex Perry

Analyst · Bank of America.

Congrats on a strong quarter. I guess just first, can you give us a bit more color on the revenue guidance and how you're sort of thinking of growth between PVG and SSG? What are you seeing in the end markets? And do you think that there will be a divergence between sort of end market growth and sort of sell-in in 2022?

Mike Dennison

Management

I'll start the answer to that, Alex, and then I'll let Scott jump in too. When we think about historical growth rates, we always talked about mid- to high single digits in SSG as kind of the expectation. Right now, we're kind of living in a world where it's low double-digit growth rate in how we look forward. That will probably eventually return to mid- to high single digits. But for now, you should be thinking kind of low double digit. And in PVG's case, we used to always say low to mid-double-digit growth and we've been higher than that. So, they will continue to probably be higher than that for the foreseeable future and at some point, probably return to a more normalized growth rate. But based on all the product launches and based on the efficiencies in Gainesville and the backlog, which we mentioned earlier at $220-plus million, that growth rate is going to be pretty substantial.

Scott Humphrey

Management

Yes. And I think the one other thing that I mentioned in prepared remarks was you saw a big increase in Q4 for chassis that we brought into our upfitting businesses. And last year, at this time, we were scrambling for chassis. So feeling really good about their potential growth in 2022 as they continue to grow really rapidly.

Alex Perry

Analyst · Bank of America.

Perfect. That's really helpful. And then just a follow-up on sort of the gross margin. Maybe, is there -- is the assumption there that sort of the freight and raw material and labor inflation that you're seeing and you sort of saw throughout 4Q '21 continues with you for the rest of the year? Are you sort of using the exit run rate as your assumption on a go forward? And then maybe, I think in the past, you've quantified the benefits from the transition to the new facility in Georgia. Maybe just give us an update there, if that's changed at all.

Scott Humphrey

Management

Yes. And Mike mentioned this earlier, that hasn't changed. Our thinking hasn't changed. Obviously, now from Q1, we're finally going to get to see that factory running at capacity. And so potentially, we'll have updates for you in the next couple of quarters as we get in and see how the metrics look once everything is in place, which it is now. So -- but I think -- remind me the first part of your question was just on gross margin overall throughout the year. I think Mike mentioned we were fairly conservative, but I think, for sure, because we just experienced some cost inflation in store, we are still dealing with it in Q1. And so I think we feel like there will be improvement in the back half of the year and maybe even earlier than that, but we would like to see that start to happen before we are committing to that.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions in queue at this time. I would like to turn the program back over to Mike Dennison for any additional or closing remarks.

Mike Dennison

Management

Thank you. And thanks, everyone, for taking the time and having the interest in Fox Factory. We look forward to another quarter. And we'll report to you in the next 90 days, give or take. And with that, have a good evening.

Operator

Operator

This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.