Earnings Labs

Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Sun, May 8, 2022

$6.18

+2.83%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Forrester Research First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Chris Finn.

Chris Finn

Management

Hi, everyone. Before we begin, I want to quickly introduce Tyson Seely, our new Vice President of Investor Relations. Tyson joins us from Keurig Dr Pepper where he ran Investor Relations for the last three years and prior to that he was in IR and financial planning and analysis at Pinnacle Foods. We're very excited to have him on board and look forward to leveraging his expertise as we ramp-up our Investor Relations function. Welcome, Tyson.

Tyson Seely

Management

Thank you, Chris and hello, everyone. Thanks for joining today's call. I'm very happy to be here with Forrester and look forward to making connections with all of you. Earlier this afternoon, we issued our press release for the first quarter of 2022. If you need a copy you can find one on our website in the Investors section. I'm joined this afternoon by our Chairman of the Board and CEO, George Colony and Forrester's Chief Financial Officer, Chris Finn. George will open the call this afternoon and Chris will follow with a financial update. We'll then go into Q&A. Kelley Hippler, Chief Sales Officer; and Carrie Johnson, Chief Product Officer will also join us for the Q&A portion of the call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this call will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as expects, believes, anticipates, intends, plans, estimates or similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the company's current plans and expectations and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause future activities and results of operations to be materially different from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in our reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Lastly, consistent with our previous calls today we will be discussing our performance on an adjusted basis, which excludes items affecting comparability. While reporting on an adjusted basis is not in accordance with GAAP, we believe that reporting numbers on this adjusted basis provides a meaningful comparison and an appropriate basis for our discussion. You can find a detailed list of items excluded from these adjusted numbers in our press release. And with that, I'll hand it over to George.

George Colony

Management

Thank you for joining Forrester's Q1 2022 investor call. We are very excited to have Tyson joining the Forrester team. Welcome, Tyson. Forrester came out of the gate strong in Q1. Momentum of 2021 continued as we delivered our third consecutive quarter of double-digit CV growth. In Q1, we produced double-digit revenue growth headlined by a 14% increase in research revenue. Wallet retention improved to 103%. CV increased by 15% helping us deliver adjusted EPS of $0.45 exceeding our high-end guidance by $0.11, and Chris will provide more color in a few minutes. Forrester's sustained CV growth is partially driven by the success of our recently launched flagship research product Forrester Decisions. As a reminder, Forrester Decisions combine the best of Forrester and SiriusDecisions research. It constitutes a unified portfolio of 15 different research services built around business and technology personas and their critical priorities. Since its launch in August 2021, the portfolio has become the fastest-growing product in Forrester's history winning new logos and migrating existing clients from the legacy Forrester and SiriusDecisions research products. The salesforce has enthusiastically embraced Forrester Decisions. The product is selling at list price and the vast majority of clients have opted into multiyear deals, five to six priorities lay out the critical imperatives for each services persona. The priorities were constructed based on hundreds of customer interviews and they have made Forrester Decisions easier to sell and to buy. The priorities are a shortcut to value for clients. And in addition, they create a clear research agenda for the analysts that serve Forrester Decisions clients. To drive excellent customer experiences with our new portfolio, we made enhancements in Q1 to the Forrester Decisions user interface and search functionality and we continue to streamline how our clients find relevant research. Between search, the priority…

Chris Finn

Management

Thanks George, and thanks again to everyone for joining us. There is no question that the year is off to a great start. As George mentioned, we delivered strong CV growth of 15% in the quarter and overall revenue growth of 10%, driven by the strength in our research business. In the quarter, we exceeded our guidance for revenue, adjusted operating margin and adjusted EPS. Specifically, for the first quarter our key metrics continue to be strong with improvements in wallet and client retention compared to the prior year period. Sales productivity also continued to increase and I'm encouraged by our growth in sales headcount. Let me walk you through our results in more detail starting with revenue. Total revenue increased 10% to $125 million compared to $113.8 million in the prior year period. As I indicated, this growth was largely driven by our research business. Specifically, research revenues increased 14% compared to the first quarter of 2021 as a result of the aforementioned double-digit growth in CV. Further, wallet retention increased 14 points compared to Q1 last year and was up one point over our previous quarter representing our sixth sequential quarter of wallet retention growth. Client retention and client count were also both up from Q1 of last year. Although, it did decline slightly from Q4 due to elevated churn within our smaller vendor clients. To this end and looking forward, we believe there may be continued noise around client count and retention as we migrate our legacy base to the Forrester Decisions platform. But with that said, our wallet retention metric continues to improve showing that we are keeping and enriching our larger clients. Part of the enrichment story has been the success of our Forrester Decisions platform, as clients that migrate to our new platform have…

Operator

Operator

Our first question or comment comes from the line of Andrew Nicholas from William Blair. Your line is open.

Andrew Nicholas

Analyst

Hi, good afternoon. I wanted to start by touching on a few references in your prepared remarks and in the release about the macro headwinds. I understand that that would make sense certainly in terms of conservatism for the rest of the year. But I'm just curious, are you seeing anything, kind of, with boots on the ground now in terms of those headwinds impacting your business? Obviously it doesn't look like that in terms of the first quarter results, but thinking about maybe the first four or five weeks of the year that's leading you to mention that, or organic just tied to conservation through year-end?

Chris Finn

Management

Yeah, thanks. This is Chris. That's a good question. So, yeah, as we indicated in the call I think there's still a lot of uncertainties in the current environment as we mentioned Ukraine-Russian war, COVID driving continued lockdowns in Asia and elsewhere, height inflation, a tight labor market, the risk of recession. I think really it's given that it's still early in the year our view is that it's a prudent course to really just hold our guidance at this juncture given all the uncertainties, we do have full confidence that we can navigate all these challenges that we've done over the last three years and believe we can deliver on the guidance that we reiterated today with the possibility of updating the guidance later in the year as we noted. But at this point we're just taking the stance that we're going to wait and see how these uncertainties unfold. And I'd call out that a large part of our top and bottom-line beat this quarter was also driven by the one-time revenues we noted. And there's not necessarily things that are going to repeat per se and can cause some lumpiness in our results. And we were conservative in forecasting those items in the first quarter. We continue to be conservative as we forecast those items going forward.

George Colony

Management

Andrew I think, we think we believe there'll be more clarity after Q2. So we'll give you a better direction then.

Andrew Nicholas

Analyst

All right, great. Thank you for that. Nice color. And then I just wanted to spend a little bit of time for my follow-up question on Forrester Decisions. I think, George in your prepared remarks you talked about it being a benefit to both up-sells but also new logos. Is there a benefit that's disproportionate between the two that you're seeing from Forrester Decisions, or is it pretty broad-based across all those different types of growth vectors? Thank you.

Carrie Johnson

Analyst

Hi, Andrew this is Carrie Johnson. If we're talking about the split between new business versus existing migrations the bulk of Forrester, well, it's both but we are seeing really healthy uptake from our existing client base and that's where we're seeing a lot of the bookings benefits to revenue benefit where those deals are mostly multiyear, selling at/or above list price and they're also a pretty healthy contract value increase as they migrate to the new portfolio.

Andrew Nicholas

Analyst

Great. Thanks again.

George Colony

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comment -- comes from the line of Vincent Colicchio from Barrington Research. Your line is open.

Vincent Colicchio

Analyst

Yes. Good quarter, guys. Yes, I'm curious your contract value very strong year-over-year growth. Sequential growth slowed a little bit. I'm wondering, if that's -- is there anything to look into that, or should it pick up again in the Q2? And that's my question.

George Colony

Management

Yes, Vincent, I think we did see good strong growth in contract value and our expectation is as we move forward we'll see that pick up obviously, in revenue as we move forward.

Vincent Colicchio

Analyst

And then I'm curious, for Forrester Decisions, are you seeing the strength is it broad across all the functional areas you're targeting, or are there some like many things in life some areas where you're seeing a lot more strength than others?

Carrie Johnson

Analyst

Hi, Vince this is Cary. I'll take this one too. We're seeing -- we're really pleased with the size of every single service right now and we're seeing some strength in some of our services that we've -- like customer experience and B2B marketing executives in particular. But overall, every service has cleared a threshold there sort of booking threshold that we were looking for. Very pleased with it across the board.

Vincent Colicchio

Analyst

And then Kelly, are you continuing to see a return of new clients that had left in the pandemic?

Carrie Johnson

Analyst

Thank you, Vincent for the question. In terms of our win backs, we do continue with that program and we are continuing to win back clients not at the same rate as pre-pandemic because thankfully we've been retaining more of them. But our win-back efforts to continue and that is contributing, to the strength of our new business efforts.

Vincent Colicchio

Analyst

Okay, I will go to the queue.

George Colony

Management

We're all just coming back from Summit, Vincent. And there are a number of clients there who they were former series – sales plan to drop off they've come back to us now. So I think the events go back to being in person that's helping us reconnect, and that's bringing those clients back into our fold, which is best.

Vincent Colicchio

Analyst

Okay. I'll go back to the queue. Nice quarter. Thanks.

George Colony

Management

Thanks. Appreciate it. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question or comment comes from the line of Anja Marie Soderstrom from Sidoti. Your line is open.

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

Thank you for taking my questions and congratulations on another great quarter. First, I'm just curious the number of clients declined sequentially. Is there anything to call out there?

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

Yes. Thanks Anja, it’s Joe . So yes as we move forward I think as we move through the transition of the base of legacy clients over to Forrester Decisions, we do expect to see some lumpiness in a number of clients in client retention. I think we went down sequentially from 78% to 77% on retention and number of clients did dip slightly, but we do expect to be in the high 70s as we continue and go through that migration. As we said before, we're looking at essentially approximately one-third of CV to being FD this year and we're still very much on track at those targets.

George Colony

Management

There was some seasonality...

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And is there any sort of time frame when you expect all the legacy to have transitioned on to the Forrester Decisions or...

Carrie Johnson

Analyst

We're still – Anja, this is Cary. We're still determining the total time line for that. We have -- we're still selling some of our core legacy products. We have discontinued some, but our core research products actually are still available for purchase. So we'll probably have more information for you at the next call on that.

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And then I'm just curious, you mentioned the risks you are seeing and you mentioned the recession. How do you get there in the last recession?

George Colony

Management

What was the last part of that?

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

How do you get there in the last recession

George Colony

Management

In 08, we put free cash right through that recession. Yes, revenue was down maybe someone in the room can help me with this probably was down 3% or so 3% to 4%. It wasn't down that much and we flowed free cash throughout the OA recession. Obviously it was easy good way back here OO recession was much more difficult for us because that was a tech recession essentially. But as I said, I think on the last call the -- our clients are looking for us -- looking to us to help them through higher inflation. There's a change in budgeting, which we help them with budgets during recessions. So we are affected but in times of change and times of challenge that tends to stimulate some -- a good retention of research. So -- so revenue -- our FP&A guys running is down the board now. We were down 3% in revenue in revenue in 08strong cash in that recession. We don’t manage hedge funds…

Chris Finn

Management

Yes. It's early in the year. I think that's the point we're making at this juncture. So it's a little bit to wait to your approach.

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

Yes. Yes I understand. Thanks so much. That was all from me.

George Colony

Management

Yes. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no additional questions in the queue at this time. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Tyson Seely, for any closing remarks.

Tyson Seely

Management

Thank you, Howard and thank again everyone for joining us today. As I said, upfront it really is a pleasure to be here at Forrester and I'm excited to get the opportunities ahead for all of us. I'll be around and available this evening and for tomorrow next week. So please follow up, and reach out with any questions. Thank you.

George Colony

Management

Thank you very much everyone.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a wonderful day.