Earnings Labs

Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR)

Q2 2014 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 30, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining today's call. With me today are George Colony, Forrester's Chairman of the Board and CEO; Michael Morhardt, Forrester's Chief Sales Officer; and Mike Doyle, Forrester's Chief Financial Officer. George will open the call. Mike Morhardt will follow George to discuss sales. Mike Doyle will then follow Mike Morhardt to discuss our financials. We will then open the call for Q&A. A replay of this call will be available until August 29, 2014 and can be accessed by dialing 1888-843-7419 or internationally 1-630-652-3042. Please reference the pass code 9233923 pound. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this call will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as expects, believes, anticipates, intends, plans, estimates or similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the company's current plans and expectations and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause future activities and results of operations to be materially different from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Some of the important factors that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in our reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company undertakes no obligations to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. I'll now turn the call over to George Colony.

George Colony

Analyst

Good afternoon and thank you for joining Forrester's Q2 2014 conference call. After I get my commentary on the quarter Michael Morhardt, Forrester’s Head of Sales will update on improvements in the effectiveness of performance of the sales force. Following Mike's remarks, Michael Doyle, our CFO would give a financial summary of the quarter and finally we'll all take questions. While there is still not much work to do, there are indications that our efforts to return the company to traditional growth profitability levels are gaining traction. As in the first quarter bookings in revenue continue to strengthen, highlighting improvements in the selling and delivery organizations. At mid year we are running ahead of our plan. Due to the gradual improvement in our business we are increasing our full year revenue and EPS guidance, Mike Doyle will give more details on these changes in his remarks. The foundation of Forrester’s recovery is our strategy of helping large companies succeed in the age of the customer. Our research focuses on supporting the efforts of our clients to win, serve and retain their increasingly demanding empowered digital customers. This unique strategy is elevating our relevance of clients and increasing our market profile. Evidence of this traction was front-end center at our board of clients meeting held in June from IBM to United Healthcare to MetLife. The pressures of demanding customers are pushing large corporations to rethink their organizations, product development and go-to-market tactics. Empowered customers are causing revolution within corporations and they’re turning to Forrester to help them navigate these turbulent waters. I’d now like to update you on segments of our business, starting with sales. The largest groups in the sales force North America West, North America East and premier accounts are having good years propelled by customer related challenges within…

Michael Morhardt

Analyst

Great, thanks George. We continue to see positive signs on the sales front in Q2. Each quarter we are making progress on key areas of the sales organization and introducing new initiatives to improve our results. As George mentioned, in Q2, five of the eight sales teams hit plan and achieved year-over-year growth. We saw an acceleration of growth in our largest accounts. We saw strong and now consistent performance in North America and Asia-Pacific. We saw continued gains in our key verticals like government, financial services, retail and our agency business and we also saw a rebound in our new business organization. Key metrics that we track also show good signs of continued progress. Sales attrition was up a bit, but it was driven by planned increase of consistent performance management. Discounting was down for the sixth quarter in a row. Sales productivity was on track and sales headcount was up 5%, since the first of the year. The overall percentage of reps hitting their first half plan has improved by 20 points. As we mentioned in the last call, we are encourage by the results in the key metrics but we still have work to do. For example our European business had mixed results with some teams performing above the expectations and some below. This continues to be an area of focus and we are encouraged that the changes that we made in Q4 of 2013 and Q1 of this year are starting to take hold. One key area of focus for Forrester and the sales organization in Q2 was capitalizing on the edge of the customer opportunity. The entire sales organization was certified on our market position and product portfolio in Q2. The sales team is now armed and our clients are responding to our messaging. Sales expansion plans remain on track with more sales people added in various geographies to get us closer to our clients. From recruiting to territory creation the sales expansion engine is running as planned. We continue to see improvements in sales rep productivity for those reps who have joined us over the past 18 months. Finally our efforts to improve client renewal rate are gaining stein. To the adoption of our client engagement model we are seeing signs that clients are more engaged which leads to stronger renewal and accelerated enrichment opportunity. Our focus remains the same. Thoughtful geographic sales expansion and a relentless focus on improving productivity. Q2 represented progress on both fronts, but for every area we improve there are many others that we will turn to in the second half for focus. With that I'll turn it over to Mike Doyle for the financial update.

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Thanks Mike I'll now begin my review of Forrester’s financial performance of the second quarter of 2014. Including a look at our financial results, the balance sheet at June 30th, our second quarter metrics and the outlook for the third quarter and full year 2014. Please note that the income statement numbers I am reporting are on pro-forma. And they exclude the following items, amortization of intangibles, stock based compensation expense, reorganization costs and net gains and losses from investments. Also for 2014 we are utilizing an effective tax rate of 38% for pro-forma purposes. The second quarter Forrester met revenue pro-forma opt margin and EPS guidance. As George mentioned in our press release and his comments we maintained our positive momentum on top-line performance as bookings and revenue continued to grow year-over-year in the second quarter. As a result we are raising our full year revenue and EPS guidance. I will address each of these points in more detail in my commentary. Regarding Forrester’s top-line performance, revenue growth continued to accelerate with overall revenue growing 5% driven by double-digit growth in advisory and event services revenue. We are beginning to realize the benefits of the additional consulting headcount we added both last year and at the beginning of this year. In addition with the continued increase in sales headcount we expect to see accelerating growth in research services revenue in the second half of 2014. We remained active, repurchasing our shares during the second quarter spending $25.2 million to buyback approximately 684,000 shares. Now let me turn to a more detailed review of our second quarter results. Forrester’s second quarter revenue increased by 5% to 82.9 million from 79 million in the second quarter of 2013. Second quarter research services revenue increased 2% to $52.3 million from $51.3 million…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions). And we have Tim McHugh online with a question. Please go ahead.

Matt Hill - William Blair

Analyst

Hi, this is Matt Hill in for Tim McHugh this afternoon. Just a question on the guidance, it sounded like it was a general better outlook for the second half of the year than what you had initially expected, but is there anything particular in the second quarter that led you to do that or is there any type of split between maybe the research and consulting that is exceeding our expectations at this point?

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Hey Matt, this is Mike Doyle. I would say a couple of things. One I think you’ve hit on both of them. We don't get bookings, you can see both the navi and deferred revenue. What we've been happy with what's happen our booking performances ahead of what we had expected which tends to sort of highlight that we'll probably pickup some better performance in syndicated revenue in the back half of the year and both consulting and advisory and events continue to exceed our targeted levels for them. So I think all of those factors despite some of the comments Mike made about specific regions think overall we're getting just really strong performance out of those areas that I just mentioned and strong performance out of most of our sales growth. So at this point we felt comfortable bringing up revenue guidance for the full year.

Matt Hill - William Blair

Analyst

Okay. And you also mentioned increase in your hiring expectations on the consulting side and on the sales force side. Is there any more color you want to give on that, just the pace of hiring or specific regions or areas that you're really interesting in adding more capabilities in?

George Colony

Analyst

I'll give some preliminary comments, I will let Mike get the specific. Although I don’t think we've gotten as granular on the regional piece, but with our business I think when we laid out the year I don't recall if we put this in our upfront call. But we always felt as if we got momentum going by mid year and we were confident in what we were seeing. We would begin hiring ahead. And the hiring is going to come primarily in sales, but given if you think about the nature of our business now where we hire now it is going to take us let's say six months to get people ramped accessed by early next year throughout in their producing force. So it's just good business sense. And again what we're seeing in the marketplace and something as George motioned we like what we see in the marketplace we like our capability to help satisfy client’s needs. And so I think we felt very bullish on looking forward to trying bring on some more headcount.

Michael Morhardt

Analyst

Yes, Matt. And I will just add on the sales front, the planned hires are across every geography, across every market segment from our largest accounts to our insight sales models. And we're really just targeting those particular territories that we feel going to be the most productive. And so we have prioritized those and we just been sort of running that play for the last 12 months.

Matt Hill - William Blair

Analyst

Okay, great. Those are my questions. Thank you.

George Colony

Analyst

Thanks Matt.

Operator

Operator

We have a question from Bill Sutherland. Please go ahead.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Hey thank you. I wanted to just get a couple of clarifications to start. George was talking about the consulting project group, maybe to Mike as far the headcount are being ahead at 630, so you -- I am not sure what the number was that you all said you’d reached in project consultants?

Mike Doyle

Analyst

I think we did a good job Bill of not giving you a number but that was not by this time. So, I apologize on that front. If we stay with our traditional definition here, project consulting as a group is sitting at a 133, so that’s up 18 from just the prior quarter alone. So that continues to sort of move forward. And we’ve been happy about that. I think George has done a good job sort of pushing that group to get to targeted levels because it was critical for us to almost get ahead there because if you think about the transition that’s going on, we want a research analysts out of project consulting just doing advisory, writing great research, speaking at events, doing inquiries. So, there was a real push to get those folks in as soon as possible. And I think fortunately, we’ve been able to do that and the people we’ve brought on board are actually fantastic.

George Colony

Analyst

It’s a very high quality group.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

So you’re there as far as where you want that group today size wise?

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Another seven hires. We’re almost there, but seven more hires between now and end of Q3. It will be a full staff. So we were running ahead of schedule but we’re not all the way up to the final number, but we will be there.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Now, help us think about the relationship of this rapid and I realize some of this activity is displacing revenue generated previously by your research guys. But how do we think about this very rapid growth in the consultant headcount and the advisory revenue outlook for at least the component of advisory that's project consulting? And then actually for clarification purposes, is that where that will all be groups like?

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Yes. So in terms of if you think about our two revenue streams that we highlight, research is still our syndicated that bucket is still syndicated research. So it includes RoleView, it includes FLB, it includes the Data.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Okay.

Mike Doyle

Analyst

But within the advisory and event services bucket, advisory services and event bucket that we have it includes both project consulting and our advisory. And the end game what you are seeing right now is we still have what I call the hybrid situation where we still have the analysts who do deliver project consulting that were all just shrinking dramatically right, the project consulting folks were bringing on or taking that on. The analysts will still do advisory consulting and our analysts have over performed on the advisory consulting side of it, the short one to two day kind of experiences, they've over performed. So when it's all done, I think where we going to get to, it's going to be more than sort of one-for-one equals two, I think what we're seeing is better productivity out of the analysts. I think the project consulting organization will drive more productive project consulting. And I think we're going to see better utilization even though we're going to a project consulting organization because we have at the moment a better work stream to fill than a typical consulting organization. So the hope is that one plus one here is going to more than two on this, Bill.

George Colony

Analyst

Yes Bill the big picture is that at the end of the day we are going to get better research and we are going to get better consulting out of this new equation we built. And you can already see that in research right, 69% increase in the number of documents, readership is up, so the research is improving, more of it, it is better. And customer sat, research we are getting back from the consulting side shows that there is higher sat with the consulting products we are doing. So it’s good on both sides of the equation.

Michael Morhardt

Analyst

And I think in Mike’s comment, but what we were finding before Bill is that our analysts were stretched so and we would get a great project consulting assignment and our ability to deliver that quickly with an analyst who was writing research and doing inquiry and maybe something else was difficult whereas by having a team I think is a greater confidence level that we can move quicker and get to things but I will let Mike comment maybe a little bit on that.

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Yes. All of those things that Mike mentioned and plus as George mentioned, the satisfaction is up, the size of the deals are up across the broad the sales people feel very comfortable when selling consulting now, knowing that the resources are at the background of delivering consulting projects and the clients are very satisfied with it.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Yes, I mean being an analyst, I am tempted to take your consultant headcount times are reasonable, sales number. And it seems like you’d have incredible acceleration as these guys get productive but and that’s where I get filed up knowing how much they are kind of just replacing with the research people that are handing it over.

George Colony

Analyst

There is definitely an element to that Bill and will tell you probably our own internal model is evolving. I would say that it is better than what we had expected. But there is no question, there is a, when you look at it theoretically, you would say alright. So they are picking up project consulting work that research folks use to do and therefore we've essentially just added a cost delivered the same revenue we had before right. And that's a way to look at it. What we're seeing though is we're expanding the amount of product consulting we can deliver and by the way we are getting more advisory consulting out of the analysts we have. And then the intangible on all of this which George was very direct about is as we write more research and higher quality research and we've got more touches what's the impact on role of research in terms of greater visibility which we're seeing and what is that translate into in terms of revenue. And that's the intangible it's hard to remodel, but it is very real.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Yes. Just a couple more, on events I noticed you had a whole bunch of more events last year's second quarter. Could you remind us did you all eliminate some small of them or moved them?

George Colony

Analyst

What we did and it's a little bit of the accounts methodologies. We did combined some to hold them at the same sort of venue. So what happens is, it's not a direct drop in the numbers of events. We probably did term some tiny ones but then we also are co-locating a number of events.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

So, what can you give us a rough idea to year-over-year comp for event revenue?

George Colony

Analyst

I think overall revenue year-over-year is just down a bit if I recall.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Okay. I know how that can move around.

George Colony

Analyst

Yes.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

From quarter to quarter.

George Colony

Analyst

Right. So actually revenues is up just a bit 2%.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Okay. And then Mike Morhardt, I was interested in like comment about Europe being stronger with some of the sales people and not. So it's not a macro issue as far as you guys can see?

Mike Doyle

Analyst

No, it absolutely isn't built. We have -- we went to a different structure there more of a regional structure at the end of last year -- beginning of last year and made some changes on the leadership front in Q4 m Q1. We're starting to see the good signs of those changes that we've made but our work is not done. But by no means a macro economic trend the opportunity is there as George pointed out it's a question of execution.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

Okay.

George Colony

Analyst

The (inaudible) still is the Head of sales in Europe.

Mike Doyle

Analyst

That's correct.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

He is not in place yet Okay. And then just kind of looking at client the just the client totals every quarter going back. It has been kind of flattish declined a bit after the downturn but are you all kind of managing a little bit the retention of clients you want to retain. We're focusing on those and you're doing a little bit of a sorting process if you will. And that's one reason the clients are flat where it’s obviously trying to pick up?

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Bill you are exactly right. That's exactly what we're doing. So the net new headcount that we've added over the last year has really been focused on moving these particular sales executives into regions so they can pick up accounts so the overall account load, a number of accounts per rep dropped because we feel strongly investing in the existing accounts is going to improve our revenues and our client retention and that's proven to be true. We have an expanded our new business efforts at all over the last year sort of maintain them. So overtime we'll start to address hat but the opportunity is still great with our existing client base, and we’re looking to improve retention first and reach those businesses and also bring on new clients but not at the same rates that we’ve done in the past.

Bill Sutherland - Emerging Growth Equities

Analyst

All right. Okay. I think that covers it. Thanks guys, good work. I appreciate it.

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Thank you.

George Colony

Analyst

Thanks Bill.

Operator

Operator

And we have Vincent Colicchio online with the question. Please go ahead.

Vincent Colicchio - Noble Financial

Analyst

Yes. You said that five of your eight segments in sales I think you said meet or beat expectations anything that we should be concerned about and the other three I am sorry for missing, is there any pattern I think I think you’ve done fairly well in recent quarters, but anything you can say would be helpful.

George Colony

Analyst

Yes. I guess reading between the lines I think Vince you can see that there ones that we’re little worried about. So Europe continues to be an up and down story. As we mentioned we’re seeing some pockets some really strong performance and then some others that need we need to work on. New business as we mentioned we made some changes earlier in the year. We saw that rebound considerably in Q2 and they were just off a little bit at the end of the quarter and then we do have a group that focuses on our partner organizations either independent partners that we have we created a group just to focus on them, it’s not a huge part of our business, but we do count it as one of our sales organizations and they miss by a very small amount. So a couple of groups the new business part and the European part is the area that we continue to focus on the partner piece I am sure that it’s going to come back and it’s not a material part of the business.

Vincent Colicchio - Noble Financial

Analyst

And then in terms of transitioning the sales force what portion of the sales force is now physically based where the accounts or located and when do you think the transition will be complete?

George Colony

Analyst

It's great question Vince. I don't necessarily have the exact percentage. I would say over the last six months or for the first time in 2014, we have a decrease in a number of individual tier base in Cambridge, where we had a lot of our sales force located. But we continue now as we start to expand the sales organization, not necessarily targeting new cities, we do that, but it's doubling down in specific studies whether it’s Chicago or Denver or Seattle or LA where we might had a very small presence and now we're building a presence there. So most of the new hires are taking place and that’s just an inside sales executive, those hires are taking place in the field.

Vincent Colicchio - Noble Financial

Analyst

Okay. And George or Mike I know that you mentioned that you have nice pipeline on the acquisition side. I know historically you guys had a lot time finding reasonably priced acquisitions. Has that changed at all?

George Colony

Analyst

I think we've been surprised by the number of and I mean pricing from our step always feels reasonable event, just does. But the reasonable look at, reasonable pricing I would it's really not bad right now; I mean we have some good prospects out there. And I’m not announcing anything, nothing happened, but there is -- I’d say our portfolio is looking pretty good right now for the moment.

Vincent Colicchio - Noble Financial

Analyst

Okay, that's it for me. Thanks guys.

George Colony

Analyst

Thanks Ben.

Operator

Operator

And we have no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Mike Doyle.

Mike Doyle

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much. So thanks everyone for joining the call. Again, we are happy with the quarter but more happy that we're taking guidance up for both revenue and EPS. And we look forward to seeing a number of you when we get out on the road over the course. Thanks again.

George Colony

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.