Earnings Labs

Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR)

Q1 2008 Earnings Call· Fri, May 16, 2008

$6.18

+2.83%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-0.61%

1 Week

+0.58%

1 Month

+7.82%

vs S&P

+13.72%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the first quarter 2008 Forrester Research Earnings Call. My name is Chantele, and I will be your facilitator for today's call. At this time, all participants in a listen-only mode. We will conduct a question-and-answer session towards the end of this conference. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Karyl Levinson, Vice President of Corporate Communications. Please proceed, ma'am.

Karyl Levinson

Management

Thank you. Good morning. Thank you for joining our first quarter 2008 call. With me today are George Colony, Forrester's Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Charles Rutstein, Forrester's Chief Operating Officer, and Mike Doyle, Forrester's Chief Financial Officer. Mike will open the call and provide detail on our financial results for the quarter, George will follow Mike and provide a strategic update on the business and our role-based strategy. After George completes his review, we will open the call up to Q&A. A replay of this call will be available until May 14, 2008, and can be accessed by dialing 888-286-8010. Please reference the participant passcode 68034661. This call is also available via webcast, and will be archived in the investor section at Forrester.com. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that this call will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as expects, believes, anticipates, intends, plans, estimates, or similar expressions, are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the Company's current plans and expectations, and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause future activities and results of operations, to be materially different from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Some of the important factors that could cause actual future activities and results to differ, are discussed in our reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as result of new information, future events, or otherwise. I will now turn the call over to Mike Doyle.

Mike Doyle

Management

Thanks, Karyl. I will now begin my review of the financial performance for Forrester's first quarter 2008 results, the balance sheet at March 31st, our first quarter metrics, and the outlook for our second quarter and full year 2008. As we reviewed in our last call, we had a successful 2007, finishing strong in the fourth quarter, and establishing good momentum going into 2008. Today, I am happy to report that we have continued to maintain a positive momentum, and achieved strong results for the first quarter of 2008. With today's release, we are reporting first quarter 2008 revenues of $55 million, and pro forma operating margins of 14.6%. Revenue performance increased 16% versus prior year, with 2% attributable to foreign exchange. Margin performance was at the upper end of our guidance, and 2 points above prior year. Pro forma earnings per share came in at $0.26 per share, up 30% versus year ago. Now let me turn to a more detailed review of our first quarter results. Please note that the income statement numbers I am reporting are pro forma, and exclude the following items. Amortization of intangibles of $171,000, non-cash stock-based compensation expense of $1.4 million, a net benefit of $68,000 related to the settlement of stock option-related payroll tax exposure, offset by professional fees related to the stock option investigation, and restatement of the company's historical financial statements. Also we continue to book an effective tax rate at 39% for pro forma purposes. The actual effective tax rate for the first quarter of 2008 is approximately 45%. Forrester's first quarter revenue increased 16% to $55 million, from $47.3 million in the first quarter of last year. Let me take you through some of the details behind the increase. First quarter research services revenue increased 15% to $36…

George Colony

Management

Thanks, Mike, and welcome to our 2008 Q1 call. I will be addressing four topics morning. Number one, Forrester's business imperatives, two, projected tech spending for 2008, three, acquisitions, and then finally, I have some concluding remarks. As Mike has noted, we started the year strongly. I am happy to report that we showed strength across all client groups, and across all primary geographies. In addition, all products performed to plan led by our syndicated offerings. Many of the new employees will be added in the second half of 2007 are now fully ramped, and we are staffed to plan for 2008. As we have talked on past calls, Forrester has three business imperatives. Number one, completing the build-out of role-based, two, growing our sales platform, and three, increasing the quotient of syndicated business, what we call Q. After making major strides in 2007 toward roles, we believe that we are now on-track to complete our transition of the new strategy in 2008. Dedicated research groups now focus on each of the 17 roles. The directions of these teams are now goaled on the profitability of their respective roles. Forrester's Events are now targeted at specific roles, a factor in their continued success. As an example, the company held its first event for enterprise architects in the first quarter. 280 paid attendees was well above our plan of 150. 60% of attendees were EA professionals, and the role-based content received, one of the highest scores of any Forrester event. We are tracking the transition to roles with a new metric that Mike outlined roles per client. On a quarterly basis, this metric will show our ability to reach all 12 roles in a user account, and 17 in a vendor account. We have a lot of opportunity here. Forrester's target…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Mr. Jeff Houston of William Blair. Please proceed. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: Hi. Can you hear me?

George Colony

Management

Yes, we can. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: Hi. It is actually should be from the line of Laura Lederman, so I don’t know, its coming from the line Jeff Houston that’s what. Anyway, a few questions. One, following up on the economy, it looks like your business was strong. Did you see any economic weakness anywhere in the business, like financial services or companies that sell mortgage-backed securities, and on the same note, it seems like the vendor business in theory, or in terms of what you sell to vendors would be potentially hit more if the economy were to worsen? How does the vendor business as well?

George Colony

Management

I think you saw the numbers from Google, IBM, etcetera. The vendor business remained very strong in the quarter, Laura. I can't really speculate on where we're headed here, but so far, so good with vendors. Vendor service is definitely weaker and we did see a little bit of tightening on the approval process for contracts, but generally, we didn't feel much of the economy in Q1. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: Why do you think that is? And I realize you said there are three differences in your business from the last economic downturn in tech, but beyond those three changes, in terms of you having a broader product portfolio, and more relevancy and less competition, anything else that you would think, because you are also relatively small, so you wouldn't see it?

George Colony

Management

My view is I don't think this is much of a tech recession. I think that there was so much tightening in '01, '02, '03 in tech, tremendous efficiency in the way tech spending happens. So, we did not obviously see a tech recession in Q1. Although there was a slowdown here, I don't think it will be very severe. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: One final question on the economy, then a different line of questioning. If you look at SAP this morning, if you look at Oracle, their results were not so good. Given your visibility and your views on the whole world, what do you think explains that in terms of the weakness they are seeing, if the tech spending is still healthy?

George Colony

Management

I haven't seen the numbers but we believe that actually software will be the fastest-growing segment of tech in this year, according to our numbers. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: Okay. Switching gears a little bit, can you talk about the new sales [higher]? You mentioned it is up 20% year-over-year. How much of the 20% increase is ramped, and where do you plan to take the head count to for the full year in sales?

Charles Rutstein

Analyst

Sure. Hey Laura, it's Charles. The head count continues to ramp, I would say many of those people are more ramped than they would typically be at this point in the year. As we mentioned on the previous calls, we elected to start hiring for '08 sooner. We saw some of the benefit of that in Q1. The long-term run rate as we said is 15% to 20% growth rate in the sales force headcount, and so you should expect to see that this year as well. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: Final question for me, then I will pass it on. If you look at competition obviously, what is left is your biggest competitor is Gartner. Any changes in terms of the market ability to sustain the pricing increase, and what does that mean for your pricing, in terms of whether you would increase it or not?

George Colony

Management

So, I will call you back, Laura, to the factors we look at. We look at product demand. We look at value delivered. We look at the competitive landscape, which you mentioned with Gartner. We did a price increase both in July of last year, and in January of this year on various pieces of the portfolio. I would say we have not received any significant pushback from clients on those. We are seeing that pricing. As is typically our pattern, we will continue to look at it, and do an assessment for a potential increase in July of this year. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: When you say you took one in July of last year, and January on some of the products, can you give us a sense of, was that on the syndicated products and which ones, can you give us any more color on what specifically the price increase, where it was taken?

George Colony

Management

Sure can. In July of last year, we did sort of a cost of living level increase on RoleView sort of 3% to 5%. We did a little bit more substantial increase on FLB. In January of this year, we increased the pricing on some of the larger user group contracts that is clients who have many, many seats. We also increased prices on data earlier this year both on the consumer and on the business side. Laura Lederman - William Blair & Co.: Thank you so much. Nice quarter.

George Colony

Management

Thanks, Laura.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mr. Bill Sutherland of Boenning & Scattergood. Bill DiTullio - Boenning & Scattergood Inc.: This is actually Bill [DiTullio] for Bill Sutherland.

George Colony

Management

Good morning, Bill. Bill DiTullio - Boenning & Scattergood Inc.: Good morning. Got a quick question. You talked about you classified the available for sales securities from current to long-term. Do you foresee any future reclassifications?

Mike Doyle

Management

It is Mike Doyle. No, I don't. We moved to long-term. Just because it is prudent accounting for this. It is our expectation as I mentioned in my comments that these are going to redeem at par. We have already seen a substantial redemption. We had a little north of $120 million, for example, in auction rates at year end, and our position now is actually it is under $60 million at this point. So, I don't anticipate any further actions, other than as things come up for redemption, we are going to redeem at par, and shift those into other types of securities. Bill DiTullio - Boenning & Scattergood Inc.: But you are fully confident that after this passes, that you will be able to redeem these at par?

Mike Doyle

Management

Yes. Our typical investment practice has been AA and AAA. So, we are fully confident in what we have invested in, the underlying securities are good. The current liquidity in the auction rate market makes it a challenge, since we don't need to try to sell the discounts, we don't plan to. Bill DiTullio - Boenning & Scattergood Inc.: You also talked about that the decrease in other income would be offset and improve margins. Would that come either from the research product, or more events, or a mix of both?

George Colony

Management

It is primarily going to come from research. We have put our emphasis on that this year, and we are off to a good start. So, we are going to see it come from research primarily this year. Bill DiTullio - Boenning & Scattergood Inc.: Okay. One final question. You gave us that new metric of roles per client. Can you give us a feel of where that has been in the past, and have you set a target that you are willing to share with us where you see that in the future? Or where you would like to see it in the future?

Charles Rutstein

Analyst

This is our first stake in the ground on roles per client. We were not client-oriented historically. So we don't have historical data. So, we put a stake in the ground, as a starting point of 3.2, Bill. I think that that is what we use going forward. In terms of a goal, if you look at it theoretically in vendor clients, I think George gave 17. Obviously that would be very long-term goal, but George sets aggressive targets for us. And for non-vendor clients, you have an optimal number of 12 right now. That said, I think it is going to be something that comes over time. If you think, Bill, in terms of size of clients, smaller clients might not have all of the roles, so you could have situations, where you have some clients that don't have all 12 roles, for example. So, we will just have to see as we go. But those are our goals in the longer term. Bill DiTullio - Boenning & Scattergood Inc.: Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Charles Rutstein

Analyst

Thanks, Bill.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) At this time, there are no further questions in the queue. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. George Colony for closing remarks.

George Colony

Management

Thank you very much for being on the call. Hope to see you on the road some time this quarter. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.