Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome, everyone, to FEMSA's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2014 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] During this conference call, management may discuss certain forward-looking statements concerning FEMSA's future performance and should be considered a good faith estimate made by the company. These forward-looking statements reflect management expectations and are based upon currently available data. Actual results are subject to future events and uncertainties, which can materially impact the company's actual performance. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Javier Astaburuaga, FEMSA's CFO. Please go ahead, sir. Javier Gerardo Astaburuaga Sanjinés: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to FEMSA's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2014 Results Conference Call. Juan Fonseca and Roland Karig are also with us today. And we also have Daniel Rodriguez Cofré with us this morning. As you know, Daniel will be taking over the Chief of Staff and CFO position on April 1, and I will transition to Head of our Corporate Development Efforts at that time. As we normally do during the call, we will focus on the consolidated figures for FEMSA and on FEMSA Comercio's results, as many of you probably had a chance to participate in Coca-Cola FEMSA's conference call yesterday. As you have also likely had the chance to go over our detailed results, we will take the opportunity to focus on the highlights and main trends in our business. However, before we start, I'd like to comment briefly on an important decision made by Coca-Cola FEMSA regarding the exchange rate at which it translates the results of its operations in Venezuela. As you know, we are now using the previously denominated SICAD II rate of VEF 50 per U.S. dollar to translate the fourth quarter and full year 2014 numbers into Mexican pesos compared to an exchange rate of only VEF 6.30 per dollar used for the comparable period of 2013. Previously, we have been unable to adopt SICAD II based on our dialogues with our external auditors, but we have provided additional information in our filings with the regulators using a higher exchange rate to help the market understand what the impact might be if or when we adopted SICAD II or any other exchange rate. Given the current operating conditions in Venezuela, we are now in a position to adopt this higher exchange rate for our quarterly results. This will bring our numbers more in line with economic reality. However, the negative effect on our reported results is significant in the quarter. We believe the market was already applying certain adjustments to the Venezuelan numbers, and therefore, this has not come as a major surprise to anyone. We expect the similar dynamic when we report upcoming quarters, although the impact should be lower given that we'd started using the SICAD rate in the first quarter of 2014, which was already above VEF 10 per dollar since then, so the gap will be slightly less dramatic. Moving on, every year, the February conference call provides us with an opportunity to discuss with you not only the results of the fourth quarter and full year but also share some perspective on the full year trends and performance and talk a little about the expectations for the new year coming. At FEMSA Comercio, the fourth quarter marked a continuation of the moderately improving top line trends that we saw throughout all of 2014. As the challenging year progressed, there was a slight uptick in the comparable sales figures at OXXO quarter-by-quarter. However, at Coca-Cola FEMSA, the recovery in Mexico has been less consistent, with the growth in transactions and solid profitability being the bright spots in what is still a soft consumer environment. Beyond Mexico, Brazil delivered encouraging organic growth and improved margins, and we had a good performance in most markets during the period. All in all, we closed a challenging year on a solid note, we think. Looking at the full year. In spite of the tough operating conditions, we reached some important milestones. At FEMSA Comercio, we set a new benchmark for the opening of new stores reaching 1,132 net new OXXO units for the year, in addition to now 90 new drugstores, bringing our total store to 12,853 OXXOs and 605 drugstores as of the end of 2014. We also announced the acquisition of Farmacon, another strong regional drugstore chain in Northwestern Mexico that will allow us to keep gaining scale and advance in our strategy once the transaction closes. At Coca-Cola FEMSA, we made great progress in the integration of our recent acquisitions in Mexico and Brazil, and we completed our new state-of-the-art bottling plant in Itabirito in the state of Minas Gerais. And this new plant is already allowing us to serve this key territory much better with a broader portfolio and much higher efficiency as well. In terms of the macroeconomic environment in our largest markets, in Mexico we continue to see encouraging data points and several variables such as remittances and industrial production, yet the consumer is only showing very moderate and relative signs of recovery. And as you know, GDP growth expectations for the year continue to be trimmed down, driven in large part by the current oil price environment and still sluggish internal demand. In Brazil, the concern continues to be the pace of growth, but on the positive side, unemployment seems to be trending down. Beyond that, foreign exchange pressure across our markets, owing to a strong dollar, will continue to be in focus. Moving on to our consolidated quarter numbers, and keeping in mind the comment on the Venezuelan exchange rate, during the fourth quarter, total revenues were almost flat, and income from operations grew 1%. For the fourth quarter, the land label participation in Heineken results represents the difference between FEMSA's implied 20% participation in Heineken's full year net income and the figure we reported for the first 9 months. Importantly, for the full year, the land represents FEMSA's actual 20% participation in Heineken's net income, derived from Heineken's full year 2014 numbers reported approximately 2 weeks ago. Net income for the quarter increased 20% -- 26%, reflecting growth in FEMSA's participation in Heineken's net income and a lower effective tax rate. In terms of our consolidated net debt position, it decreased slightly from MXN 49 billion at the end of last year to now MXN 47 billion at the end of 2014. Measured in dollars, we went from $3.8 billion in 2013 to now $2.9 billion. That is a reduction of almost $1 billion, reflecting cash generation at our corporations and the fact that the dividend payment corresponding to 2014 was actually paid at the end of 2013, offsetting the negative effect of foreign exchange movements impacting Coca-Cola FEMSA's cash balance held in Venezuelan bolivars. In terms of dividends paid during -- to be paid during 2015, we will be submitting to shareholders our proposal for an ordinary dividend payment of MXN 7.35 billion, representing a full pass-through of the dividends we expect to receive from Heineken and Coca-Cola FEMSA in 2015 as well as a portion of the free cash flow generated by FEMSA Comercio in 2014. This results in an increase of 10% over the amounts corresponding to 2014 and 2013, reflecting our commitment to increase cash returns to shareholders as the business continue growing. We also like to take the opportunity in our third conference call for the year to talk about expected levels of capital expenditures. Here are our comments: For 2015, CapEx at Coca-Cola FEMSA should reach about $850 million. For FEMSA Comercio, we should deploy approximately $430 million, remaining with the stable range as a percentage of revenues. Adding an estimated $70 million for our logistics and refrigeration business, we will reach a consolidated total of approximately $1.35 billion in total CapEx for the company. Now moving on to this quarter operations and beginning with FEMSA Comercio. We opened 458 net new stores during the fourth quarter, slightly a little bit more than the last year fourth quarter, reaching 1,132 net stores openings in 2014, as we mentioned before. During the fourth quarter, revenues increased 12%. Same-store sales were up 3.3%, a slight improvement versus the trend of the first 9 months of the year. And it was encouraging to see that average traffic was now positive and contributed 50 basis points to this growth, which had not been the case for a while. Gross margin expanded 80 basis points, again, driven mainly by an effective collaboration and execution with our key supplier partners as well as some more efficient use of promotional-related marketing resources. In terms of operating margin, this quarter, FEMSA Comercio posted on uncharacteristic contraction of 60 basis points, and I'd like to spend a few minutes on that. As you may recall, in the fourth quarter of 2013, operating expenses grew below revenues as a result of a very tight containment, and this allowed the operating margin to expand 100 basis points, which now represents a very tough comparison. That's to start with. Beyond that, this quarter's contraction reflects the strong growth in new stores for the quarter; expenses related to the incorporation of Doña Tota; the strengthening of FEMSA Comercio's business and organizational structure as we prepare for the growth of new operations, particularly drugstores; and certain one-off charges, including those related to losses caused by hurricane Odile that hit Baja California Sur a few months ago. The main message here, we believe, is that most of the pressure on the margin comes from factors that are not structural or recurring. For its part, Coca-Cola FEMSA had an operational solid quarter with improving transaction trends and robust profitability in Mexico and Central America, complemented by a very strong volume performance and improved margins in South America. If you were unable to participate in the conference call yesterday, you can access a replay of the webcast for additional details on the results. And before we talk a little bit about the outlook for 2015, we should also comment on the subject of OXXO gas service stations, which we mentioned in our press release. As we described in the press release, this is a business in which we have been participating for 20 years, providing services and assets through agreements with third parties that own PEMEX franchises. The difference is that now, with the new regulatory framework resulting from the energy reform in Mexico, we're not going to be able to own PEMEX franchises ourselves, and we have, therefore, agreed to acquire 227 of them from these third parties. And we intend to grow this business going forward by leasing, acquiring or opening more gas stations in the future. By providing above-industry service, we have been able to build a strong brand, which, coupled with potential gains in scaling what is a very pragmatic food industry, contribute to make an attractive business case for us. We want to say that while this is a business with lower structural margins and the rest of FEMSA Comercio, it offers the potential for compelling returns, well in excess of its cost of capital. And we're excited to pursue this additional growth avenue that fits well with our business platform and our operational skill set; while we close the transaction, you will see the numbers being consolidated with FEMSA Comercio's, but we will also provide you with additional information to facilitate your understanding and monitoring of the business. And finally, on a very long opening remarks, let me talk a little bit about our broad expectations for 2015. For FEMSA Comercio, we expect net OXXO openings to once again exceed 1,000 units. In terms of same-store sales growth, we are encouraged by the gradual trend from the end of last year and considering the undemanding comparable base, we are more optimistic that in this year we could move closer to the mid-single-digit range with traffic being less of a drag and perhaps coming in slightly positive at times, as the negative impact of the telephony category becomes less and less relevant and is gradually mitigated by the growth in the services category. We also expect to open approximately 100 new drugstores in addition to the more than 200 that we are acquiring with Farmacon. We already mentioned some incremental growth in the OXXO gas business in addition to the more than 200 PEMEX franchises that we already operate. So while structurally OXXO operating margins still have potential for moderate expansion in the medium term, we need to factor in a little pressure from all this growth in lower-margin but high-return new businesses. For Coca-Cola FEMSA, we expect moderately improving trends in Mexico, even as the much-awaited consumer recovery remains still elusive. In Brazil, we're optimistic about our improved return of our portfolio that is now being enabled by the new plant in Minas Gerais. And we are generally constructive on the business plans for this year. In fact, we have optimistic business plans for most of Coca-Cola FEMSA's markets for 2015. However, the foreign exchange volatility we have been experiencing the past few months has forced us to temper expectations a bit across margins. So in sum, from the perspective of FEMSA, we see many opportunities to drive growth, but we are cautiously optimistic about the year that begins. However, the macro, in general, and foreign exchange in particular will probably be, in our conversations, more than we would like throughout the year. But there are many things within our control, and we will keep making progress on those and working hard as we always try to do. Basically, with that, now I would like to open the call for your questions. Operator, please?