Daniel Lee
Analyst · Chad Beynon from Macquarie. Please go ahead
No, it’s a great call. It’s – I hate to put good spin on a pandemic, but it kind of happened at a good time for us. We had started to focus on operations pretty intensely early this year after having kind of not a great second half of last year. And part of that was we decided we needed to change the marketing approach at Rising Star and perhaps, also at Cripple Creek, and we installed the Konami system into both in the later part of last year. By the time we were forced to close in March, we had started to develop data from that. And then we took the pandemic period where we were closed for three months and sadly, we had to lay off most of our people, but the people we kept, we were very focused on kind of reinventing the way we operate and that led to a number of decisions. We closed the Christmas Casino, a satellite Casino we had in Cripple Creek. It was something we tried, it didn’t work. And so we recognized that it wasn’t working and closed it. It did seem to increase our revenues a little but not enough to offset the additional costs from it, and recognize it was kind of a gradual closure. We - just before the pandemic required everything to be closed in Colorado, we scaled it back to only operate a handful of hours a week. And when it reopened from the pandemic, we did the same thing. And the reason we did that was we wanted to retain the license because it’s tied to one of the mobile sports betting licenses. And so we went to the Gaming Commission and said, we want to fold this license back into Bronco Billy’s. Technically speaking, Bronco Billy’s has now three different licenses in the one building, which allows us to have three skins for mobile sports betting. And so through the third quarter, we were continuing to operate the Christmas Casino, but only a handful of hours a week without the burger bar in it or anything operating. So it was really at a minimal cost to retain the license. And then in September, we had gaming commission approval to close it completely, which we did, which gives us a benefit of reducing the gaming tax rate back into Bronco Billy’s for complex reasons. But – so that was one of the things we did. And then looking at the Konami system, we had gotten up to speed on it. We had good data for it. We had used it for years at the Silver Slipper, and that’s very, very good. There’s a number of different slot systems recognized. And at Rising Star and at Bronco Billy’s, we had 20- year-old systems, they were really out of date. And if you look at the different slot manufacturers, a number of those systems started out as kind of accounting systems or control systems. The Konami system kind of started out as a marketing system that also provides accounting and control, but it was marketing first, and that was why we opted to go with it. And we had a lot of data, and we said, okay, let’s reevaluate this. And so for example, at Rising Star, in particular, we found we had a lot of customers that when we added up everything we were doing for them with free buffets and free hotel rooms and everything else, we were upside down. We were not making money. So we fired a bunch of our customers, if you will, or we basically scaled back what we were doing for them. And then we focused more on the customers that really matter and did more and better stuff for them. So, while we were closed, we reinvented all that stuff, both – we introduced new loyalty programs in both Rising Star and in Cripple Creek, continued to fine-tune the one we have at the Silver Slipper. And then we also opened very cautiously. We weren’t sure. We knew we would only have half the slot machines roughly, and we knew that there were limitations on our table games and so on and limitations on the seating in our restaurants. We didn’t know whether customers would show up or not. So we were very careful in our staffing and in our hours of operations. And so as we reopened – little things like not operating table games at 5 o’clock in the morning. We could look at the new marketing systems we had and see that on a typical mid-week morning, we had more dealers than we had customers at 5 o’clock in the morning. So it just said don’t operate the table games in the wee hours of the morning. And so a lot of that stuff – and frankly, the pandemic allowed us to get rid of what I’d call some sacred cows. Bronco Billy’s is a good example. They had a $0.49 breakfast that was available for 12 years. And every morning, you’d see kind of the same handful of local people, and they’re having breakfast. And I always wondered, are they really gambling? And if you brought it up, everybody was like, that’s one of our touchstones. That’s one of the reasons we’re successful. Well, as we reopen from the pandemic, that small coffee shop only had half the number of seats. So we said, well, let’s not have the $0.49 breakfast because our seating is limited anyway. And guess what, we’re doing fine without a $0.49 breakfast, and of course, we lost money on that. We no longer offer the two for one buffet special at the Silver Slipper midweek. The buffet in Indiana lost money, for years and years lost money. Indiana did not allow us to open a buffet at all, and we’re doing fine, and so they actually did us a favor. So I mean, if you get into the details, the Silver Slipper in the quarter and two of the months in the quarter were the best months in its 15-year history. But if you look at the whole quarter, the revenues were up 10.5%. I think that’s good marketing. And remember, we refurbished that casino late last year so it’s in very good shape. But EBDIT [ph] more than doubled. It was up 116% because of some of the things I was talking about. Or put another way, our revenues were up about $2 million, and our EBDIT was up $3.5 million. So we had both revenue increase and expense savings. At Rising Star, our revenues fell about 15% because we weren’t comping as aggressively to lower-yielding players than we used to. That probably the principal reason in there and reduced hours of operation and not operating the buffet at all. But last year, it barely made money, and this year, it made $2.4 million. So I won’t even try to calculate the percentage increase, but it kind of was big. And – or another way of looking at it, Rising Star had EBDIT that was 24% of revenue, which is where it ought to be in a regional casino. And it’s the first time in many, many years that we achieved that there. By the way, the same measure at the Silver Slipper is 32% this year, and it was 17% last year. Norm in these markets is usually in the mid- to high-20s. Bronco Billy’s. We had the Christmas Casino. We had a new marketing plan. We had lower expenses a lot of things going on. Revenues were about flat, off 2.5%, but EBDIT, again, more than doubled from $1.06 million to $3.4 million and so a lot of things came into play there. The margin would be 43%, which would be abnormally high. Last year it was 19%. But there is also one other unusual thing that happened there in that when you have one of these loyalty programs, you go through some pretty complicated math required by GAAP to accrue a liability for the points that you’re giving out. And one of the assumptions is what portion of those points are going to be redeemed. A lot of them never get redeemed, so you have some math figuring that out. Well, we started that – when we acquired Bronco Billy’s four years ago, we started a system and you started that accrual. Now we changed the program to a new program. Well, part of doing that was we changed the points completely, and so we told people really as a marketing reason, we said your points are going to be worthless if you don’t come in and use them. And we first told them that early in the year as kind of an incentive to get people to make an extra trip. And then the pandemic hit, so then we gave them additional months because we didn’t want anybody to feel like they got screwed, and after we proudly told everybody, please come in and use your points, please come in and use your points. We finally said, okay, we have a new program now and your old points are worthless. Years ago, I lived in Brazil when they had cruzeiros and all of a sudden they went to cruzados and it was kind of the same thing. At one point you just say the cruzeiros are exchangeable for a while, and at some point, they’re not. My cruzados just went away. They had such hyperinflation, they had to do that once in a while. So nevertheless, because we had maybe guessed a little bit too conservatively on what portion of points would be redeemed, we ended up with about $400,000 of accrued liability related to points from the old program. And since they are no longer redeemable, that ends up with a credit in the quarter. That’s real income. It’s just a shifting of income from past quarters. So another way to put it is, in the past quarters we had perhaps slightly understated the income of Bronco Billy’s, and we caught up this quarter. So there was a $400,000 unusual thing in there. And if you back that out, the margin was still 36%, and the income was still up pretty nicely. And then in Northern Nevada, that’s our toughest spot. We’ve got two casinos up there. One is the Grand Lodge Casino in the Hyatt, Tahoe, which is a luxury hotel on the north shore of Lake Tahoe. And people do fly to Lake Tahoe to the vacation in the summer or ski in the winter. And in the pandemic, people are hesitant to fly, and that hotel also does a fair amount of meeting and convention business. And obviously, that’s off a lot with the crisis. And so the hotel’s occupancy is off and that affects us in the casino. And then in Fallon, it’s the home of the Top Gun Naval Air Station with – they do a lot of training of carrier pilots and so on. And the Navy has been restricting most – almost all of its personnel to the base for the same reason. They don’t want to spread – people in the Navy necessarily travel, they don’t want to spread COVID into the community nor do they want their pilots getting COVID from the community. So to reduce the transmission rates, they’ve restricted travel off the base, and that is not helpful to us. So our revenues in northern Nevada in the quarter were off 35%. We do have pretty tough cost controls up there. So while our revenues fell $2.2 million, our income only fell $1.1 million in northern Nevada. At corporate, our corporate expense was down about 18%. Part of that is – we have a few expenses that we used to carry at corporate that we’re now allocating to the properties because we found out that, that’s pretty much the norm amongst our competition. So there’s a little bit of an adjustment there. And in our corporate expenses, a little below last year, maybe not quite as much as this shows because we’ve got some allocation stuff going on there. When you add it all up, our EBDIT was up 115%. And frankly, a good chunk of that is sustainable. I don’t know if all of it is sustainable. I mean things are going pretty well. At first, back in July, which was one of the best months in our history, I thought, well, maybe it’s the very generous unemployment that ended at the end of July and business stayed good. And then I thought, well, maybe it’s because there’s no sporting events on television. And in September, there’s probably more sporting events on television than there has ever been in history because every league was playing, and our business remained good. I think there is an element of people who are hesitant to fly. Nobody flies to our places. They drive to them. So we are a local’s place. I know our senior citizen segment, like 65 and older, is off like 30%. And I’m hoping that, that’s people who are nervous, and they’re staying at home, saving up their money for the day they can come back and splurge with us, right? I think there is some pent-up demand in the senior citizen area that has been more than offset by people in their 30s, 40s and 20s, who are coming in and gambling more often and bigger amounts than we’ve seen before. And of course, we’re trying to do our best to make sure we have their names and keep them as regular customers going forward. And I guess one of my theories these days is that maybe some of those people who are " working at home" are not so much working at home maybe. And so we’ve been exploring, having Konami adjust our slot machines so you can sit there and do a Zoom call while you’re playing the slot machine, which is actually technologically something you could do, but we’re not actually doing that. I’m joking about it. But anyway, things are – we’re pretty good, and I think a good chunk of it is sustainable. I will tell you, if you take the $12.5 million of EBDIT and multiply it times four, you get $50 million. The third quarter is seasonally a little stronger than the other quarters. So you shouldn’t just multiply times four, multiply times 3.5 or something, right? But then I’ll also point out that we had two of our mobile sports skin agreements up and running. There are four yet to go. They all seem to be taking longer than those companies that told us originally, but they are getting there little by little. And when they’re all up and running, we get $7 million a year of minimum rent. And if any one of them does more than the minimums in the agreement, then it could be more than that. But it’s a percentage of their revenues, and each one is slightly differently defined. But when you add them all up, it’s $7 million a year. We had $2 million of the $7 million in this quarter – it was like $2.5 million. This year, it ends up because it’s not material enough yet. Our auditors have kept it as in the entities like the Indiana licenses in Rising Star and the Colorado license in Bronco Billy’s. That’s why we gave you the numbers both with it and without it. We anticipate in the first quarter that we’ll have most, if not all, of these up and running, and we’ll probably break it out as a separate segment because it really has very little to do with the casino. If somebody uses their cellphone to make a bet in Gary, Indiana, well, that’s 200 miles away from Rising Sun, and it has nothing to do with Rising Sun. So it’s a segment of our company that is already important. It’s going to be pretty material going forward, and will become even more material if one or more of these states approve internet gaming, which is legal in a few places, but not where we are yet. And Internet gaming is actually two times what mobile gaming is in any market where I’ve seen both so far. And so it’s an important segment and a point of growth going forward. The other pretty busy thing we’ve had is, we’ve – we are still in the contest for the Waukegan Casino license. There are three proposals. It was originally five. It’s been winnowed down to three. The consultant that the city had hired rated our proposal best on just about every criteria, except it noted that we were a small company trying to do a pretty ambitious deal. And so we thought we’d answer that. And knowing that if you have a good deal, it’s financeable. And we also thought it was perhaps an overhang on our stock a little bit because people wondered how the hell are you going to pay for that. And so we entered into a deal with a pretty significant private equity firm, multibillion dollars of money under management. They have experience where they’ve financed greenfield casinos before, and they’ve committed to provide most of the financing on a project financing basis. Subject to lots of things. They’ve got additional due diligence to do. We could actually use somebody else’s money if it was cheaper. We’d have to pay a little breakup fee and so on and so forth. But part of the reason to do it is to give comfort to Illinois that this is financeable and if they choose us, this will get built. And so I think that’s pretty important, and frankly, it’s a good relationship for us to have. It’s a good company, and it probably is the right way to finance it. And it also allows our investors in our company or our lenders not to get too concerned about us making a $300 million proposal in a company our size. At the end of the day, we’re expected to come up with $25 million that goes into a special purpose subsidiary as equity and – or a special purpose vehicle as equity. And the private equity firm makes a term loan to it, and there’s a convertible bond piece, and there’s an equity piece. When all the dust clears, we should own no less than 60%. We get management fees that are in part off the top and part off of income, and we should make a whopping return on our $25 million. But our worst case is you lose $25 million, and we’re sitting on $35 million.