Sandro DiNello
Analyst · Compass Point. Please proceed with your question
Yes. Hi, Dave. Nice to hear from you again. Well look, the – from Flagstar’s point of view, if we were – as we run the business independently, the way we look at the warehouse business is, we take as much as we can get in the warehouse. So whatever the market gives us, we're going to take. And so, when the mortgage market is really strong, our balances are going to be higher when it's less strong, they're going to be a little bit lower. Now, in the meantime, given the upcoming combination of our two companies, we are looking at every opportunity that we can expand the lines that we have with existing customers and also to talk to customers who were too big for us previously. So I think we can mitigate some of the natural reduction and balances that we might see in a smaller mortgage market, because of the business combination. But really when you look at the Flagstar balance sheet, you can't – don't get too focused on just the warehouse business, because what we've been able to prove quarter-after-quarter, is that, if warehouse goes down, something else goes up and it depends on where the opportunity is. And that's the beauty of the diversified commercial business model that we have. And that's why our net interest income is very consistent over time. And if you look at that, look at it quarter-over-quarter, you'll see that we're going to be $180 million net interest income plus or minus 5% to 10% every quarter. And if you believe that, that is a run rate for Flagstar, then don't get focused on any one line of business, because in any given quarter builder finance may be lower or higher and warehouse may be lower or higher, but we managed to the total. And then we managed to the net interest margin, and we've been able to show a very stable net interest margin throughout all the economic scenarios, whether you're talking about before the pandemic or in the pandemic or now, our net interest margin went up 8 basis points this past quarter. So we managed to the total and we don't worry about what might be weak or strong in any particular area that we look for the opportunities to offset that in other areas. And then when you add the consistency of the mortgage business that Lee spoke to, if you can get yourself comfortable, that the guidance that – well, the results that we've had recently and the guidance that he's comfortable giving you, that's there, and as he said, the combination of what we're doing in our commercial banking businesses and the mortgage business, I'm just talking about Flagstar now, you get yourself very comfortable I think that $2 a share for this company on a quarterly basis is pretty possible. And when you convert that to the combined company, that's a contribution of $0.50 a quarter to the total, so that's $2 a share contribution coming from Flagstar to the NYCB total on a combined basis. That's what's powerful here. And that is look for talking about the synergies that you asked about. And it's hard for us to answer that question right now. But I ask you don't focus on what the possibility is, look – just focus on today, right, if you believe NYCB can make $0.30 a share a quarter, and if you believe Flagstar on a converted basis, based on the exchange ratio can make $0.50 a share, now you've got $0.80 per share per quarter over $3 a year. I mean, look, the value here – I think the value potential is just outstanding.