Kristy Chipman
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead
Thanks, Ken, and good afternoon, everyone. I will begin my remarks with a review of our second quarter results and then discuss our outlook. Sales in the second quarter increased 9.4% to $830 million with comparable sales down 5.7%, driven by a decrease in comp transactions of 5.4% and comp ticket of 0.3%. Traffic to the stores was positive with conversion the driver of the negative comp. The comp ticket decline was driven by lower units per transaction, nearly offset by an increase in the average unit retail price. Many of the categories that underpinned our comp performance in the first quarter continued as customers remained discerning with their discretionary spending. Our version of consumables in our candy and style worlds delivered positive results, but was more than offset by underperformance in other worlds, including the Now world summerset and sports World, including games and toys as a result of the slowing Squishmallows trend. We opened 62 new stores across 22 states in the second quarter compared to 40 new stores opened in the second quarter last year. We ended the quarter with 1,667 stores, an increase of 260 stores or approximately 18%. Gross profit for the second quarter of 2024 was up 2.7% to $271.8 million. Gross margin decreased by approximately 220 basis points to 32.7%, driven primarily by deleverage of fixed costs on the negative comp and a higher year-over-year shrink accrual, partially offset by lower inbound freight. As a percentage of sales, SG&A for the quarter of 2024 increased approximately 60 basis points to 27.7% versus last year's second quarter. This was driven primarily by fixed cost deleverage on the negative comp and the impact of new retention awards partially offset by lower incentive compensation expenses and a nonrecurring stock compensation benefit. As a result, operating income for the quarter was $41.5 million versus $58.6 million in the second quarter of 2023, and operating margin decreased approximately 270 basis points to 5.0%. Adjusted operating margin, excluding nonrecurring items was $37 million and adjusted operating margin was 4.5%. Net income for the second quarter of 2024 was $33.0 million versus net income of $46.8 million last year. Adjusted net income for the second quarter was $29.7 million. Earnings per diluted share was $0.60 and adjusted earnings per diluted share for the second quarter was $0.54, compared to last year's diluted -- earnings per diluted share of $0.84. We ended the second quarter with $328 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments and no debt. Inventory at the end of the second quarter was $640 million as compared to $544 million at the end of the second quarter last year. Average inventory on a per-store basis decreased approximately 1% versus the second quarter last year. Turning to guidance. For the full year, we are comparing against fiscal year 2023 on a 52-week basis as the extra week in fiscal 2023 added approximately $48 million in sales and approximately $0.15 in EPS. I will also refer to comparisons to fiscal year 2024 on an adjusted basis that excludes the impact of nonrecurring or noncash items including asset disposals, retention awards and costs associated with our cost optimization initiatives. Our press release outlines our sales, new store and earnings guidance for Q3 and the full year 2024. So I will focus my commentary on additional details or drivers for that guidance. On an adjusted basis, the midpoint of our third quarter guidance assumes a gross margin improvement of approximately 190 basis points, primarily due to lapping the prior year's shrink reserve true-up as well as efficiencies in our distribution centers and some timing benefits on product margin, partially offset by fixed cost deleverage on the negative comp. SG&A at the midpoint is expected to be 290 basis points worse than the prior year, driven by fixed cost deleverage on the negative comp, modest store labor investments and a small timing shift in marketing. Net interest income is expected to be approximately $2 million for the third quarter and taxes are expected to be approximately 25%. Now on to the full year. On an adjusted basis, the midpoint of our full year guidance assumes gross margin delevers 40 basis points as benefits from inbound freight and lapping last year's shrink reserve true-up is more than offset by higher fixed cost deleverage due to the negative comp. SG&A at the midpoint is expected to be 170 basis points higher than the prior year as incentive comp benefits and cost optimization savings are more than offset by fixed cost deleverage on the negative comp and modest investments in store labor. As a result, adjusted operating margin, excluding approximately $25 million in nonrecurring or noncash items is expected to be approximately 8.6% or deleverage of 210 basis points on a 52-week basis. Net interest income is forecasted to be approximately $12 million for the year, and we expect a full year effective tax rate for 2024 of approximately 25%. With respect to gross CapEx, we now plan to spend between $335 million and $345 million, excluding the impact of tenant allowances. This reflects the opening of approximately 230 new stores, converting about 180 store locations to the Five Beyond format, the completion of expansions in our distribution centers in Georgia and Arizona and investments in systems and infrastructure. For the fourth quarter on a 13-week year-over-year basis, which excludes the extra week in 2023, this full year guide implies the following: Total sales increased between 1% to 5% with an implied comp decline in the mid-single-digit range, in line with the second quarter results and the third quarter guidance. This sales range reflects five fewer shopping days between Thanksgiving and Christmas. It also implies a year-over-year adjusted operating margin decline at the midpoint of approximately 200 basis points due to fixed cost deleverage and a negative comp, partially offset by lapping a shrink true-up in the fourth quarter last year and lower incentive compensation. To wrap up, we know it needs to be done to return the business to its roots and realize its potential. That work is well underway. However, it will take time to be reflected in our financial results. We have a significant growth opportunity ahead, coupled with a meaningful opportunity to improve our comp trajectory and the entire Five Below team is focused on executing against this. For all other details related to our results and guidance, please refer to our earnings press release. And with that, I'd like to turn the call back over to the operator for the question-and-answer session. Operator?