Jiayuan Xu
Analyst · China Renaissance
Thank you, Tiezheng, and hello, everyone. Welcome to our first quarter 2025 earnings call. Let's go through our key results for the first quarter. To be mindful of the length of our earnings call today, I encourage listeners to refer to our first quarter earnings press release for further details. China's macro environment remained uncertain in the first quarter due to global trade tensions. However, there were some encouraging signs. China's GDP grew by 5.4% year-over-year, while retail sales rose by 5.9% in March. Total social financing expanded 8.4% in March, up from February. Additive manufacturing PMI remained above 50% in February and March, signaling continued recovery momentum. On the regulatory front, we are pleased to see policies supporting consumption and consumer finance, including increased liquidity and credit supply to boost consumption. Against that backdrop, we delivered a solid domestic performance by leveraging our operational powers and tech strength. Our China business achieved an increase in take rate from 3.3% to 3.4% sequentially, thanks to our strong partnerships with 114 funding partners that led to a 10 basis point decline in funding cost. On the credit front, day 1 delinquency also improved by 10 basis points to 4.6% and our 30-day loan collection rate held steady at 89%. Turning to our international markets. Although GDP growth in Indonesia and the Philippines showed marginally due to trade tensions and the tariff uncertainty, the overall economy remained resilient, bolstered by a large population with solid domestic consumption demand. Unmet credit demand for underserved communities in our foodprint market continues to support our strong growth trajectory. Our total international transaction volume exceeded RMB 3 billion for the first time, up 36% year-over-year and 5% sequentially. Outstanding loan balance rose to RMB 1.9 billion, up 46% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Our cumulative international borrower base has now reached around 8 million Notably, our unique borrowers sold to a record high of 1.7 million in the first quarter, marking an impressive 106% year-over-year increase. As a result, revenue from international markets increased to RMB 711 million, up 19.5% year-over-year. And for Indonesia, while we experienced some seasonal impact in March due to Ramadan, growth continued at a measured pace in the first quarter. Indonesia's consumer confidence index stayed above 120, maintaining its high level for nearly 2.5 years. Unemployment also reached its lowest level in the past 10 years during the first quarter. The change in the interest rate cap imposed at the end of 2024 has had a limited impact on our business as our average loan tenure in Indonesia is less than 6 months. Moving forward, we will closely monitor potential effects from macro economy and domestic uncertainties. Our transaction volume in Indonesia reached RMB 1.8 billion, up 10% year-over-year, while outstanding balance hit RMB 1.2 billion, up 18% year-over-year. Our user base continued to expand with unique borrowers reaching 671,000, up 32% year-over-year. With the interest rate cap overhang resolved, we allocated more resource to marketing and focus on quality growth, driving an increase in our new borrowers to 312,000 this quarter, up 69% year-over-year and 4% sequentially, bringing cumulative borrowers in Indonesia to 5.3 million. We also continue to diversify into off-line consumption loan under the multifinance license we acquired, broadening our reach to near-prime customers through scenarios like mobile phone and electronic purchase. All of these efforts drove solid growth in Indonesia amid the seasonal impact of Ramadan. Now let's zoom in on the Philippines, where we achieved rapid growth and profitability despite Q1 being the traditional low season. In the fourth quarter, our transaction volume in the Philippines reached RMB 1.2 billion, up 118% year-over-year and 18% sequentially. Outstanding loan balance also grew to RMB 693 million, up 142% year-over-year and 26% sequential increase. It accounted for 37% of our international loan balance compared with 23% in the first quarter of 2024. Our outstanding performance in the Philippines has been driven by several key factors, including ongoing improvements in risk management and deeper collaboration with major e-commerce platforms to expand buy now pay later offerings. Our excellent asset quality has consistently attracted institutional funding partners. This quarter, we onboarded the Union Digital Bank as funding partner with several additional institutions in the pipeline. The percentage of loan facilitated by local financial institutions remained around 70% for the quarter. Buy now Pater business continued to grow, contributing 30% of Q1 volume, up from 19% in 2024. Going forward, we are confident of maintaining rapid transaction volume growth in the Philippines as we cement our rules in the country, further expand our funding sources and diversify our business models. Moving on to our financial metrics. This quarter's operational excellence resulted in a strong financial performance. Net revenue for the quarter reached RMB 3.5 billion, marking a 10% increase year-over-year and a 1% increase sequentially despite the low season. Net income was RMB 738 million, representing a 39% increase year-over-year and an 8% sequential increase. Meanwhile, sales and marketing expenses rose by 18% year-over-year to RMB 530 million as we continue to strengthen efforts to acquire new borrowers of higher qualities in both China and international markets. Leverage ratio, defined as risk-bearing assets divided by shareholders' equity improved to around 2.7x. Our total liquidity position consisting of cash and cash equivalents plus short-term investments remained strong at RMB 8.5 billion. Next, a brief update on our ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value. Since 2018, we have continuously returned value to our shareholders in the form of share repurchase and dividends. Recently, our Board of Directors approved our seventh annual dividend in the amount of USD 0.277 per ADS, reflecting a EPS increase of 17% year-over-year. This dividend was distributed on May 7, 2025, bringing our total dividend distribution to shareholders for fiscal year 2024 to USD 70.3 million. In summary, strong execution of our local excellence and global outlook strategy drove continued growth in the first quarter of 2025 despite macro headwinds and seasonal softness. We remain confident in capitalizing on China's recovery while maintaining momentum in our international expansion. As such, we are reiterating our 2025 full year revenue guidance of RMB 14.4 billion to RMB 15 billion, representing 10% to 15% growth year-over-year. With that, I will now hand it over to Q&A. Operator, please continue.