Deborah Cunningham
Analyst
Certainly, Patrick. And I think what Schwab was talking about there, not putting words into their mouth, is that deposit products, number one, don't follow interest rates in an upward fashion on a one-on-one basis. The deposit beta for the last time interest rates rose was about 20%, meaning that for every 1% the Fed raises rates, deposits went up 20 basis points.
The other side of that equation, I think, that exacerbates things along the lines in this particular environment is that banks have more cash than they actually need at this point or want, and the demand for that cash is not high. So they have no real incentive to attract cash by increasing their rates more quickly than they otherwise would. So I think both of those pose to be problematic for those that are offering deposit-type products.
On the other hand, when we look at what the yield curve is providing us with right now, what it may provide us with as investment opportunities next week after the Fed meet. We think that those are pretty substantial at this point, especially since the Fed is expected, and we would expect them, to increase rates at a minimum of 50 basis points next week and then following suit with another 50 basis points, more or less likely in either June or July. You're going to see the return on money market funds following that Fed increase quite quickly.
Generally speaking, as the yield curve anticipates, prime and muni funds that have a little bit more of a laddered approach or they have longer securities generally in a more barbelled fashion out the curve, those catch up more quickly before the movement actually occurs. Whereas government funds which have more on an overnight basis in the repo market, generally speaking, catch up much more quickly as soon as the Fed increases.
So it comes at different points throughout the cycle of sort of the Fed meeting cycle. But generally speaking, in a rising rate environment as long as it's fairly well telegraphed, fairly well anticipated. And certainly, what we have at this point is a Fed that's trying to do that, and communication is key, you end up with money market funds following quite quickly in the path of rising rates and reflecting those higher returns back to customers.