William C. Losch
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Great. Thanks, Brian. Good morning, everybody. I'll start on Slide 6. Net income available to common shareholders for the first quarter was $41 million. Diluted EPS was $0.17 a share. Pretax, pre-provision net revenue was up significantly, both linked quarter and year-over-year, as we continue to manage what we can control to improve operating leverage. Total revenues, you'll see, we're stable with higher capital markets revenue, offsetting lower net interest income. And expenses were down 11% linked quarter as we continue to see the benefits of our efficiency efforts, with salaries down 7% linked quarter, and pension expense down significantly as expected. Loan loss provision was flat to last quarter's level at $15 million, as the credit quality continues to be strong and improving. Moving to segment highlights on Slide 7. Our core businesses continue to show solid performance. And as Brian mentioned on the Slide 4, our core businesses delivered a 12.6% return on tangible common equity and a 1.08% ROA for the quarter. In the regional bank, our net income rose 5% on a linked quarter basis. Revenues in the bank were down 6%, driven by a decrease in net interest income and from seasonal declines in NSF fees. But expenses in the bank also decreased 11% linked quarter, driven by our efficiency efforts. Salary expense was down 4% in the bank and the lower pension expenses there were the most significant drivers again. In the capital markets business, our net income was steady at $12 million. Fixed income average daily revenues was up slightly at $1.13 million in the quarter compared to $1.09 million in the fourth. Expenses were up 7%, reflecting higher variable comp and a FICO reset that normally occurs in the first quarter. Net loss in the non-strategic segment narrowed to $10 million in 1Q '13 compared to $15 million in the fourth. Pretax pre-provision net revenue, you'll note, was breakeven, a milestone that we've been working towards for several quarters. Revenues were up 30% linked quarter and included a $2.4 million gain related to a LOCOM reversal on a TRUP loan that paid off. Expenses were down $1 million or 3%, even as we added $5 million to our litigation reserve for some existing matters. As expected, our mortgage repurchase provision expense was 0 for the third consecutive quarter and our loan loss provision in the non-strategic segment was relatively flat at $17 million in 1Q '13. Turning to Slide 8. As Brian mentioned, our net interest income and our NIM was under pressure this quarter. Our net interest income decreased 5% linked quarter and the margin was lower than anticipated at 2.95% in the quarter compared to 3.09% in the fourth. There are several moving parts in the results this quarter, some of which were expected and some of which were larger than anticipated. As expected, fewer days in the quarter, a seasonal decrease in loan fees, lower reinvestment rates in the securities portfolio, partially offset by continued declines in deposit costs, led to about a 4-basis-point decline in aggregate linked quarter for those factors. Three additional factors, totaling about 10 basis points, led to the greater-than-expected NIM contraction in the quarter. First, commercial customer deposit inflows, which were then held as excess balances at the Fed versus buying securities were much stronger than forecasted, resulting in about a 2-basis-point impact on the NIM; second, changes in our capital markets inventory hedging versus 4Q resulted in a 3-basis-point reduction; and third, lower loan yields, mainly driven by a larger-than-expected quarter-to-quarter decrease in loans to mortgage companies, led to a 5-basis-point reduction. As I look at it from a fundamental perspective, we continue to believe that we are managing our balance sheet appropriately for the long-term. If you look at the chart in the upper right, it shows our net interest spread, our loan yields minus deposit costs declining at a modest rate. Though competitor pressures continue to drive loan pricing and yields down across the industry, we believe our bankers are maintaining good discipline on both price and structure. The quality of credits we are putting on the books versus what is running off is better, though the yield differential is and will be a challenge near-term. Our pipelines are strong and we're taking share, which will serve us well over time. And our loans to mortgage companies will ebb and flow based on industry mortgage origination volumes and movements in loan rates. As one of our higher-yielding loan portfolios, it may have a meaningful impact quarter-to-quarter on net interest margin or loan growth, but the profitability metrics continue to be very attractive. Over the long-term, we continue to be positioned very well for rising rates and our asset sensitivity will drive meaningful revenue over time. While this positioning may cause pressure in the near-term, we do not foresee making significant changes near-term to change our sensitivity profile. Sitting here today, our forecast for the rest of the year calls for a quarterly net interest margin in the range of 2.85% to 2.95%. Some key underlying assumptions on that range are: No material changes in key macro rate assumptions; continued modest loan yield declines due to competitive pressures; loans to mortgage company balances remaining at roughly 1Q levels; limited incremental securities buying with continued lower reinvestment rates; lower excess balances at the Fed; and similar capital markets inventory dynamics. In addition, we expect our consolidated loan portfolio to remain flat as regional bank loan growth offsets runoff in the non-strategic portfolio. Turning to Slide 9. The regional bank balance sheet trends were stable during the first quarter. Average core deposits were up linked -- 1% linked quarter. Our average loans were relatively steady, where we saw growth in areas like asset-based lending, which was up 2% and consumer loans, which were up 1%, offsets again with loans to mortgage companies declining, and we are still seeing elevated levels of loan payoffs. On a linked quarter basis, our net interest spread in the bank declined 7 basis points due to the continued competitive, low-interest-rate lending environment. Our loan pipeline remains solid and was up 33% linked quarter. Our bankers are making a lot of calls and are making high-quality, relationship-oriented loans. We're focused on booking appropriate risk-adjusted returns on all of our deals. We received third-party validation on a quarterly basis related to our pricing and we remain competitive and disciplined. The fundamentals of our balance sheet remains strong and we're well-positioned for solid returns on both assets and capital. Turning to Slide 10, our mortgage repurchase trends. Our provision expense was 0 for the third consecutive quarter, as I mentioned earlier. Linked quarter, our repurchase pipeline declined 22% to $259 million. And our ending reserve was down 21% to $184 million. We saw favorable metrics in the first quarter versus key assumption metrics related to our expectations that you can see in the upper right-hand corner of the slide. Our rescission or our success rate is trending higher. Our loss severity is right in line and our mix is more weighted to expanding where we have better detail and insight into our exposure. Although we saw a linked quarter increase in new requests, based on discussions and information provided by Fannie, we believe Fannie is accelerating, not expanding, it's review of our portfolio to reach substantial completion sooner. Bottom line, we still expect any ongoing ZFE [ph] related provision to be immaterial. We've not been named in any lawsuits, new lawsuits related to our private securitization since October 2012. And we had no loan repurchase requests from our first lien private securitizations. At this time, based on our private securitization origination mix, deal, size, age and performance, we continue to believe that if any losses occur, they should be significantly less than our GSE experience. Turning to expenses on Slide 11. Our positive story here continues. Our total expenses declined 11% linked quarter, as we discussed. Excluding 4Q '12's restructuring charges of $19 million, expenses were down 5% and our operating efficiency ratio improved more than 250 basis points. We're seeing lower personnel costs from lower salary expenses and a decrease in headcount and from freezing our pension program. Additional expense items that declined included FDIC premiums, software, advertising and sponsorship costs. Our companywide efficiency efforts are paying off, and we believe we're on track to implement $50 million of targeted efficiencies and achieve our annualized target expense level of approximately $925 million by the end of 2013. Moving on to asset quality on Slide 12. First quarter loan loss provision, as discussed, was $15 million, flat to the fourth quarter. Net charge-offs were $27 million compared to $20 million in the fourth quarter. You might recall that 4Q '12 charge-offs included a $7 million and $9 million favorable adjustment for lower loss estimates for discharged bankruptcies. On a linked quarter basis, reserves decreased about $12 million, and the reserve-to-loan ratio remains stable at 167 basis points. Total nonperforming loans were up due to the health for sale loan portfolio, which includes repurchased mortgage loans, and nonperforming assets declined slightly from last quarter. Wrapping up on Slide 13. We'll continue to be opportunistic in pulling the levers we need to, to control what we can control, to continue to improve our profitability and returns over the long-term. We've done a good job improving our operating leverage with significant expense efficiencies, more than offsetting revenue challenges, and we'll continue to look for ways to do so. Our core business returns are encouraging, with annualized core ROA at 1.08% and our core return on tangible common equity at 12.6% in the first quarter. The solid returns in our core operating businesses of regional banking and capital markets demonstrate the progress we're making towards our long-term goals. And with that, I'll turn it back over to Bryan.