William C. Losch
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Bryan. Good morning, everybody. I'll start on Slide 6. Net income available to shareholders was $36 million, and earnings per share were $0.14 in the third quarter compared to the second quarter's net income of $20 million and EPS of $0.08. Core business net income was $94 million compared to $27 million in the second quarter. While third quarter's bottom line was solid, there were also some significant items. We executed nonperforming loan sales, as Bryan said, approximating $150 million in net book value. Provision impact from loss on these sales was $36 million. We also sold some Visa shares in the third quarter as a -- for a securities gain of $35 million. Expenses related to our restructuring, repositioning and efficiency initiatives were $2 million, down from $17 million in the second quarter; and additionally, a previously announced divestiture resulted in an after-tax gain of about $5 million within discontinued ops. Moving to Slide 7. Take a look at some segment highlights. Pretax income in the regional bank increased to $94 million from $74 million in the second quarter. We booked a provision credit of $22.7 million compared to $13.7 million in the second quarter, as we saw continued credit improvement in our loan portfolios. Revenues were up 2%. NII was up primarily from a higher volume of loans to mortgage companies. Fees were stable. Regional bank expenses declined $6 million linked quarter and were down $15 million from third quarter 2010. In our capital markets segment, pretax income increased to $28 million in the third quarter compared to a pretax loss of $20 million in the second, which included a $36.7 million litigation settlement expense. Fixed income average daily revenues increased to $1.4 million in the third quarter from $1.1 million in the second. Growth in average daily revenues reflects the strength of our extensive distribution network and our substantial penetration of the depository customer segment combined with favorable market conditions. Following the Fed's early August announcement of an extended low rate -- interest rate environment, we saw our customers begin to deploy a greater amount of their excess liquidity, resulting in increased fixed income buying activity. Since we generate the vast majority of our revenue from sales and distribution activities on behalf of our clients, we benefit when there is strong buying activity while avoiding significant negative trading results experienced by the firms. We believe that in the near term, fixed income average daily revenues could stay elevated within this range. However, as always, our performance remains sensitive to interest rate changes and the overall economic environment, among other factors. In our corporate segment, pretax income was $19 million in the third quarter compared to a loss of $27 million in the second. Third quarter included $35 million in securities gains from the sale of Visa stock and lower restructuring expense. In the non-strategic segment, pretax income was a loss of $98 million compared to a loss of $13 million in the second quarter. The increased pretax loss was driven by a higher loan loss provision, primarily driven by the loan sales, increased mortgage repurchase provision expense, as well as elevated cost from the transfer to a new sub-servicer and a negative adjustment in our mortgage warehouse valuation. On Slide 8, we'll take a look at balance sheet and net interest margin trends. Consolidated net interest margin was relatively stable at 3.23% compared to 3.20% in the second quarter. Core business net interest margin was 3.52%. Positive drivers for margin included higher loan volume, lower deposit costs, which were somewhat offset by lower reinvestment rates in the securities portfolio. Over the next several quarters, we expect to defend the margin by replacing lower yielding non-strategic assets with better priced regional bank assets, further reducing deposit pricing and experiencing less of a drag from nonperformers. However, there's likely to be continued pressure with lower reinvestment yields in the securities portfolio, and margin is likely to decline modestly by a few basis points per quarter over the next several quarters. As you can see on Slide 9, loan pipeline trends in our regional bank continue to be encouraging as loan commitments and loans funded are up compared to last year. Although borrowers remain cautious, we're seeing areas of demand from customers in our corporate asset-based lending CRE and mortgage warehouse lending segments. With revenue demand, pricing and structure remains competitive. Our loan yields in the regional bank were relatively stable at 4.01% compared to last quarter's yields at 4.02%. Given the competitive environment, we expect yields will be under pressure. Nonetheless, new loans being booked in the regional bank continue to be better priced than regional banking and non-strategic assets that are running off our balance sheet. Moving to expenses on Slide 10. We were very pleased with our continued progress here. Consolidated expenses declined 6% from last quarter. Regional banking expenses decreased 4% as we continue to implement cost-save initiatives. Productivity and efficiency actions in the third quarter include reductions of FTEs, lower discretionary spending and gaining efficiency from exited businesses. We will continue to evaluate efficiency actions such as consolidating branches and further process improvements, and we should also benefit from technology investments. Over the long term, we continue to target a 25% reduction from the level of 2010 consolidated expenses, mostly by the end of 2013. Moving on to mortgage repurchase on Slide 11. Linked quarter, mortgage repurchase provision expense increased to $53 million from $25 million. Net realized losses matched provision, leaving reserves flat at $169 million. The rescission rate stayed steady in July and August but trended lower in September, reflecting a higher mix of mortgage insurance-related resolutions, leading to higher loss content. In the quarter, the GSEs made a push to resolve by September 30 unresolved repurchase claims based on MI coverage loss. To some extent, this accelerated charge-offs and contributed to third quarter's higher level of losses. Our operational pipeline dropped from $451 million to $418 million with new requests of $200 million and resolutions of $237 million. The operational pipeline includes requests where mortgage insurance cancellations are under review. Once this coverage is lost, it comes out of our operational pipeline, but we continue to consider these loans in the reserve calculation. The GSEs appear to have become more aggressive in their recovery efforts. Quarter-to-quarter, we are likely to see volatility in repurchase expense from the variances in the mix of both inflows and resolutions. Sitting here today, we expect our repurchase inflows to be reasonably steady, resolutions to continue to be strong, and we also still believe we're on the backside of GSE-related repurchase requests. Moving to Slide 12, a minute on private mortgage securitizations. We still have had no repurchase requests from these securitizations to date. We still currently have 4 lawsuits related to private mortgage securitizations, including the FHFA lawsuit. Our private mortgage securitizations have generally performed favorably overall to the industry cohort benchmarks. As you can see on this slide, 66% of private mortgage securitizations are outperforming industry cohort on cum loss, and 81% of these securitizations are outperforming cohorts on 60-day-plus delinquencies. Our mix is different. We did no subprime, and additionally, reps and warranties are generally more limited than for GSE whole-loan sales. Considering the differences between the private securitizations and GSE loans that we've outlined on the slide, we continue to believe right now that our private securitization risk is likely to be significantly less than our experience with GSEs, which continues to be manageable as an earnings headwind. Moving to asset quality on Slide 13. Credit quality metrics continue to be positive. NPAs declined. Net charge-offs, excluding the loan sales, were down. Loan sales of about $150 million and net book value included $126 million from our perm mortgage portfolio and about $24 million from our commercial loan portfolio. UPB on the sold loans was $220 million, reflecting a 47% blended mark on the loan sales. Reserves decreased $74 million, including $12 million associated with the loan sales. Despite several quarters of reserve releases, our reserved to loans remained healthy at $277 million. Given that our credit quality trends are generally favorable, we expect additional reserve releases, but the rate of reserve decrease could slow down depending on the economic environment. Moving to Slide 14. Nonperforming assets declined 22% linked quarter, primarily due to the loan sales and upgrades in our commercial portfolios. In addition to broad-based improvement in our loan portfolios, we expect that the sale of nonperforming should be favorable to overall credit quality metrics in the future. Wrapping up on Slide 15. Our core businesses showed good progress in reaching our long-term bonefish targets as we focus on controlling what we can control with solid trends in the regional bank, continued strong performance in our capital markets business and improving productivity and efficiency. Although the non-strategic segment and mortgage repurchase remain a drag, I'm pleased with the momentum in the bank and in our capital markets business. Bryan?