Earnings Labs

First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC)

Q3 2010 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 3, 2010

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the First Financial Bancorp’s Third Quarter 2010 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions) Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ken Lovik, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Please go ahead, sir.

Ken Lovik

President

Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today’s conference call to discuss First Financial Bancorp’s Third Quarter 2010 financial results. Claude Davis, our President and Chief Executive Officer, is unable to join us this morning as he is fulfilling his civic duty by serving on a federal jury. Reading Claude’s prepared remarks will be Doug Lefferson, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Joining Doug today to discuss our operating and financial results are Frank Hall, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Richard Barbercheck, Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer. Before we get started, I would like to mention that both the press release we issued yesterday announcing our financial results for the quarter and the accompanying supplemental presentation are available on our website at www.bankatfirst.com under the Investor Relations section. Please refer to the forward-looking statement disclosure contained in the Third Quarter of 2010 Earnings Release, as well as our SEC filings for a full discussion of the company’s risk factors. The information we provide today is accurate as of September 30th, 2010, and we will not be updating any forward-looking statements to reflect facts or circumstances after this call. I will now turn the call over to Doug Lefferson. Doug?

Doug Lefferson

Management

Thank you, Ken, and thank you to those joining the call today. We’re pleased to announce another solid quarter of performance, reporting that income of $15.6 million, or $0.27 per diluted common share, which included a $0.09 per share charge related to the announced prepayment of $232 million of federal home loan bank advances. We are extremely proud of the fact that this represents our 80th consecutive quarter of profitability, representing a track record of stability and prudent operations through a variety of economic cycles and conditions. Our return on average assets for the quarter of 0.96% and return average shareholder’s equity of 9.06% reflect the strong efforts of our people as we continue to work through an uncertain economy. Before Frank provides further detail on our financial performance, I would like to discuss some key events during the quarter that contributed to our results, as well highlight some initiatives we have underway that we believe leave us well positioned to take advantage of strategic opportunities and continue our high level of performance. As we discussed last quarter, our liquidity position continued to build as loaned paydowns outpace new originations, resulting in a decline of our net interest margin. During the third quarter, this activity repeated itself as commercial banking clients remain hesitant to pursue new initiatives due to the uncertain economic environment. Therefore, we examined various alternatives and put some of our liquidity to use during the quarter to the repayment of over $230 million federal home loan bank advances and purchase of $154 million of agency mortgage-backed securities. Our strong liquidity position also allowed for the continued and planned runoff of non-strategic deposits acquired as part of the Irwin transaction, most of which were higher cost time and broker deposits. We remain diligent in managing the pricing for…

Frank Hall

Management

Thank you, Doug. First I will provide a few comments on some of the operating results of the quarter and the major components of performance and then I will discuss the supplemental information that was furnished separately and is available both on our website, bankatfirst.com in the Investor Relations section and also in an 8-K filed this morning. This supplement is crucial to establishing a clear understanding of our reported results and then understanding the concepts that have a material effect in our current and future performance. Third quarter 2010 GAAP earnings per diluted share was $0.27. The most significant item impacting our earnings for the quarter was the previously mentioned FHLB pre-payment penalty of approximately $0.09 per share. As we further discuss our results, we are sensitive to the fact that when reading our earnings release, it is easy to get lost in the details of the accounting. We have tried to simplify complex concepts as best we can, and I would simply summarize our underlying and strategic performance overall for the quarter as consistent with our expectations and without surprise. Our margin, excluding the impact of non-recurring and acquisition-specific items is down slightly as organic loan growth opportunities are few and suitable investment securities are sparse. Fortunately, this is more than offset by the enhanced yield attributable to the improved outlook on acquired loans, which I will discuss later. Non-interest income is relatively flat on an adjusted basis even after excluding the franchise loan and insurance agency gains on sale. Provision expense on our legacy loan portfolio is relatively flat and approximates our net charge-offs which is consistent with our overall credit view. And our non-interest expense is also relatively flat, adjusting for acquisition related items. I would also note that the pace of decline for the acquisition…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) The first question we have comes from Scott Siefers of Sandler O’Neill. Please go ahead. Scott Siefers – Sandler O’Neill: I guess first question is on the margin. I hope you can just sort of dissect it a little and give us a bit more color on where it’s likely to head. You’ve got a little more (inaudible) impact from the FHLB prepayment just due to the timing in the third quarter. So I guess, first part is how much more improvements will you expect there? And then, maybe just some additional thoughts on the follow-through impact. You gave I guess the expected yields in there from the purchase accounting noise you discussed in the press release. So maybe if you can address both of those and then, just put it simply where do you think the reported FTE margin has gone.

Frank Hall

Management

Sure. And Scott, this is Frank. I think we don’t give margin guidance but I think you hit on the high points as far as what the key drivers are going to be going forward. We’ve tried to provide more detail as it relates to reevaluation of the acquired assets. On slide 3 of the supplements we break it down by pools of loans that had improvement and the changing yield on the FDIC indemnification asset. Those, we’ve disclosed on that slide what the new yields will be going forward. The table in the earnings release shows what the expected yield was during the third quarter and rough math on the items on slide 3 of the supplement, roughly at 10 basis point improvement on margin going forward. As I said, the organic behavior of the legacy portfolio, there is still some margin stress there as loan demand is still soft and investment security yields are very low. So overall, for the quarter, I would say it was relatively flat when you look at reevaluations and the organic mix shifts there. But we tried to again, add some color to the key drivers in the major components that (inaudible) margin. Scott Siefers – Sandler O’Neill: Okay. And then, I apologize but I just missed this. But on the FHLB prepayment, could you say how many basis points that helps margin in the third quarter?

Frank Hall

Management

In the third quarter, because of the timing, we didn’t slow but it was roughly 4 basis points. Scott Siefers – Sandler O’Neill: Okay. So, most of the impact then would be felt in the fourth quarter just from that specific dynamic?

Frank Hall

Management

That’s correct. Scott Siefers – Sandler O’Neill: Okay. All right. And then, just turning to the accounting changes that hit – it sounds like there’s really going to be no change on the expense line going forward but will have sort of a noise in the provision and the fee income base, specifically the FDIC loss-sharing income. So, can you speak just generally to the amount of volatility we should expect? And then, I guess what I’m getting at is when you look at the last three quarters provisions kind of fluctuated on an adjusted basis somewhere between $21 million and $27 million. Is kind of mid-20 number a good enough run rate going forward? And then, similarly, at least for the last couple quarters, the FDIC loss-sharing income has been in this $15 million to $20 million range. But going back to the first quarter significantly last, what kind of a range should we expect that to come in as we look forward?

Frank Hall

Management

Sure. I’ll address that in two components. The first, the provision expense on our legacy portfolio as you know, that’s based on the output of our allowance model. But generally speaking, the provision expense relative to the charge-offs will coincide with our long-term view of the risk of a portfolio. And again, depending on which loans are charging off and whether or not, there are specific reserves on those particular loans will influence with the ongoing provision expense is. On the covered portfolio, the two contributors to provision expense on the covered portfolio; the first will be any impairments that we have related to loan valuations going forward. So for this quarter, there was $16.1 million worth of valuation impairments. The other component that will flow into that are when we have charge offs on covered loans to the degree that the charge off exceeds the valuation mark. So historically, what you would have seen is that charge off in excess of the valuation mark would be reflected in non-interest expense. It’s now going to be reflected in provision expense. And again, on the impairment, you’re going to see a provision expense for that impairment amount. And then, you will see an estimate for the FDIC indemnification portion of both of those items flow through in the non-interest income item that we discussed.

Operator

Operator

The next question we have comes from Kevin Slint [ph] with Harrier Hawk Management. Kevin Slint – Harrier Hawk Management: My question was somewhat similar on the margin. I’m just trying to understand the FHLB prepayment and the impact on the portfolio. You mentioned four basis points which is a lot different than kind of what was in the initial release. I think you might have mentioned 28 basis points at the time. Can you help understand I guess how to think about that going forward and is there any more detail you could give around that?

Frank Hall

Management

Sure. The previously disclosed number was for a full quarter; 4 basis points was the impact in the current quarter just due to the timing.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) The next question we have comes from Justin Maurer of Lord Abbett. Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: Frank, just on page 3. So in terms of the buckets of loans again, I’m sorry if I missed it. The loans of improvement versus loans of impairment, those loans run off versus assumed to be in the portfolio or is it not related to that?

Frank Hall

Management

Is your question specific to the loans that we intentionally plan to run off those in the Western market? Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: Yes.

Frank Hall

Management

This encompasses all loans. Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: Okay.

Frank Hall

Management

All loans that are valued under 033, under ASC topics, 310-30 [ph]. Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: So what’s the distinction I guess, sorry if I missed it. In terms of those two buckets, the loans of improvement versus with impairment or is it one and the same is just how they are accounted for?

Frank Hall

Management

Right. It’s how they’re accounted for. So if you look at the total of those two buckets that represents all of the loans that we have acquired and accounted for under this accounting announcement. And just to give you the split overall, 90% of the loans that we acquired are accounted for under this guidance. So the sum of loans with improvement and loans with impairment represent 90% of all loans that were acquired. Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: But again, how are you defining it? How are those defined?

Frank Hall

Management

Sure. We group them in pools, and each pool is valued on a periodic basis and we’ve aggregated them here, just the pools with improvement and the pools with impairment. If you’re looking to draw a line around it and say, loans with impairment are all out West, that would not be a fair way to summarize these. They really are specific to the individual loans within each pool and what the expectations around future cash flows are. So, loan type, commercial real estates, or C&I, I mean those are ways that they are subcategorized within pools, but overall we’ve just distinguished between improvement and impairment here. Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: And is that a static measurement, meaning, are we going to see this each quarter, that loans are moving from one bucket to another, or this is just kind of a snapshot and this is how you’ve categorized them going forward?

Frank Hall

Management

Right. So, what will happen is periodically we will do the re-valuation. and yes, we will show what the improvements and impairments are. One quick item to note on that, though, is if we look at the pools of the loans that are part of the loans with impairment category, if there is improvement in those categories, first we’ll recapture the impairment, and then if there’s improvement past that, then that will become a yield enhancement. But yes, we’ll provide clarity around the valuation and what that means on a go-forward basis. Justin Maurer – Lord Abbett: And then just on the NIM, so I’m clear as well, the 10 bips on the go-forward deal enhancement, if you will, plus the 4 bips on FLHB, assuming not (inaudible) you said you don’t give margins guidance, but if it’s at a minimum flat, we should be up at least 14 bips [inaudible], right?

Frank Hall

Management

We’ve highlighted the key influences of the margin, yes, I want to steer clear of giving guidance there.

Operator

Operator

The next question we have comes from John Barber of KBW. John Barber – KBW: A few weeks back, you put out a press release that you’re building a new regional hub in Columbus, Indiana. I was just wondering if you could talk about how you fit in that market and why you think it’s attractive?

Frank Hall

Management

Sure. Columbus, Indiana, Doug can add some more color to this as well. But Columbus, Indiana was the headquarters of Irwin Union Bank, which we acquired last year. So, our market penetration there is significant and it is reasonably close to Indianapolis. But no, it’s a market that we have a significant presence then and a long-term commitment to.

Doug Lefferson

Management

That’s exactly right, Frank. This is Doug. It is a market that we know quite well, that we already have a significant presence, it’s an important market to us. We have some hubs in some other regions like Dayton, Ohio and areas like that. So it really is, again, an established market. We’re really just trying to serve clients and we think that there is the opportunity to grow there. Our announcement last week was kind of a partnership with the Cummins Incorporated. They’re bringing about 350 new high-paying jobs to the region. So it’s an area that is, Columbus, Indiana is kind of a unique community with some unique opportunities so we’re excited to continue our business there. John Barber – KBW: Okay, thank you. And Doug, you mentioned that you’re not willing to chase new business. In your opinion, do you think competitors are kind of acting irrationally? Is it pricing, is it structure that they’re compromising on? Just how should – what are you seeing?

Doug Lefferson

Management

I think that comment was really around some public fund pricing. It really just reflects, I think it’s a more general comment about how we’ve operated historically and how we’ll continue to operate, which is disciplined pricing. We’ve seen different periods over certainly my 24-year career of individual players being aggressive or times in the market when people are aggressive. There is some of that going on now, but that’s typical to the market and we’re just really going to stick with our disciplined practices which have served us well. John Barber – KBW: Okay, thanks. And last question, you talked about some strategic initiatives, but how do you think about M&A, FDIC assisted and also unassisted deals?

Frank Hall

Management

Sure, this is Frank. I would tell you that we are well-positioned to take advantage of any opportunities that come along. We have fully integrated all of our acquisitions. As we’ve said previously, we’ve built a very capable and scalable infrastructure to deal with acquisitions and we’re prepared be they assisted or unassisted.

Operator

Operator

The next question we have comes from Bryce Rowe of Robert W. Baird. Bryce Rowe – Robert W. Baird: Frank, I guess just to follow up on the conversation there with Justin, can you distinguish between the types of covered loans in which you’re seeing the improvements and types of loans in which you’re seeing the impairment, the loan type, etcetera, is there a way to do that?

Frank Hall

Management

We have not disclosed that and I would hesitate to make any general statements around them. Keep in mind that when we created these pools, we had day one valuation assumptions built into them. So as far as categories of loans and the differences in valuation estimates between categories, be it consumer or commercial or commercial real estate, much of those differences were already contemplated in the day one valuation. What this represents is a change in those estimated cash flows over time. So, I’d hate to try to draw any conclusions or lead you down the path to think that any comparison or meaningful information can be derived. This is really just a change from our initial estimates is what this reflects. So, we may have been either too conservative or too aggressive on one pool of commercial real estate and not another. So again, I would hesitate to suggest that there’s any meaningful information to be derived from clumping them together in any particular category. Bryce Rowe – Robert W. Baird: Okay, that’s fair. And then second question, I guess on the $770 million of acquired non-strategic loans, what’s the expected duration there?

Frank Hall

Management

Yes, it’s really hard to say at this point and I say that for two reasons; one, we continue to entertain any sales for those Western markets. So any of the partners that we’ve worked with in the Western states they come back to use and want to buy more loans from us, they’re certainly welcome to do so, so that would shorten the duration. We may have some other strategies along the way that again may shorten the duration there as well. And the prepayment activity at this point has been difficult to estimate and project into the portfolio. So, I would hate to give a number for those overall, but there’s some color on that, if that’s helpful.

Operator

Operator

The next question we have comes from Joe Steven of Steven Capital. Joe Steven – Steven Capital: Frank, we actually had a little bit of a power outage in (inaudible) Mount of St. Louis, so I missed part of the call, but let me sort of ask a question this way. Obviously there are a lot of moving parts, so I did not hear your color commentary but from reading through the release, it appears that operating earnings were in the neighborhood, I’m not asking you for a prediction, but sort of in the neighborhood of $0.37 on the quarter, which appear to be easily above consensus. In your color commentary, did you guys sort of, let’s say, talk around that issue, what operating earnings were, that’s number one. And then number two, NPAs were flat and we’ve actually seen a number of the Indiana banks post some stabilizing good numbers. Do you guys sort of feel that on a macro basis that things in general in most of the markets have stabilized to a pretty fair degree? Thanks Frank. It looks like a good quarter, but I’ll wait for your response.

Frank Hall

Management

Sure, thanks, Joe. Certainly, on operating earnings, your assessment is correct in that, we feel that we delivered strong operating earnings. And again, if the listeners take their time to dig through some of the accounting complexities here, I think that’s what you’ll find, it’s a strong quarter, and we’re very pleased with the outcome. On the NPAs, I would describe them as we have in quarters past, which is cautious optimism and potential volatility, but all of that is related to length of recession and individual borrowers there, but we’re certainly encouraged by the results that we’ve had, and so we haven’t changed our overall credit outlook. Joe Steven – Steven Capital: And Frank, one final thing. On the margin, the Federal Home Loan Bank advance payoffs in the quarter, you said benefited the margin 4 bips. But that was just for a small number of days. You said the ultimate impact on a quarterly run basis, if I’m not mistaken you said was 20ish or something?

Frank Hall

Management

Right, 24. Joe Steven – Steven Capital: Twenty four basis points. Yes, that’s sort of confusing. That’s great. Thank you very much.

Frank Hall

Management

Thank you Jeff.

Operator

Operator

The next question we have is a follow-up from Scott Siefers with Sandler O’Neill. Scott Siefers – Sandler O’Neill: Hey guys. I just wanted to ask one more follow up on the margins. So just trying to get a little sense for timing. So the FHLB advances over a prepaid on August 30th. Could you tell us roughly when in the quarter you purchased the roughly $155 million of mortgage backs?

Frank Hall

Management

Sure. Bear with me for just a moment. Most of those were in, call it, late July, early August.

Operator

Operator

It appears that we have no further questions at this time. We will conclude our question-answer session. At this time, I will like to turn the conference back over to Frank Hall, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Hall?

Frank Hall

Management

Thank you, Mike and thanks to everyone for participating in our call this morning. And thank you for your continued interest in First Financial Bancorp.

Operator

Operator

And we thank you gentlemen for your time. The conference has now concluded. We thank you all for attending today’s presentation. At this time, you may disconnect your lines.