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Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET)

Q3 2015 Earnings Call· Fri, Oct 23, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will be given at that time. As a reminder, this conference call may be recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mark Traylor, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin. Mark S. Traylor - Vice President-Investor Relations & Planning: Thank you, Nicole. Good morning and welcome to Forum Energy Technologies' third quarter 2015 earnings conference call. With us today to present formal remarks is Cris Gaut, Forum's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; as well as Prady Iyyanki, Chief Operating Officer; and Jim Harris, our Chief Financial Officer. We issued our earnings release last night, and it is available on our website. The statements made during this conference call, including the answers to your questions, may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Those risks include, among other things, matters that we have described in our earnings release and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any ongoing obligation, other than that imposed by law, to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect future events, information, or circumstances that arise after this call. In addition, this conference call contains time-sensitive information that reflects management's best judgment only as of the date of the live call. Management's statements may include non-GAAP financial measures or a reconciliation of these measures, refer to our earnings release. This call is being recorded. A replay of…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Blake Hutchinson of Howard Weil. Your line is now open.

Blake Allen Hutchinson - Scotia Howard Weil

Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open

Good morning, guys. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hey, Blake.

Blake Allen Hutchinson - Scotia Howard Weil

Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open

First question, just to kind of understand where we are baseline-wise with the drilling technology sub-segment, given your commentary on the Subsea sub-segment, would it be correct to assume that drilling technologies on a sequential basis was off something on the top line, perhaps greater than 30%? And was that representative primarily of the capital equipment running off? Or would you suggest that that's just kind of what the market is bearing right now? James W. Harris - Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President: Yes, Blake. So, no, we weren't down 30%, it was down significantly in the quarter, but not to that level. And, we did deliver on a lot of the capital equipment in the first half of the year. So, we have had fewer deliveries there, and we are subject more to the lower activity levels. So, as we saw the rig count coming down, of course, that had an impact on the consumable products that we sold in the quarter, and that's reflected in drilling results. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. And then first the well construction downhole products were down as well during the quarter, with just fewer consumable products being sold as our customers really are trying to preserve their cash, and not spend when they don't have to, particularly on items that needs to be expensed.

Blake Allen Hutchinson - Scotia Howard Weil

Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open

And maybe just sticking with this, so we can kind of tuck this away for the recovery scenario, over the initial part of the quarter, were there portions of the order flow in your short-cycle businesses that were showing particular promise or responsiveness to what were higher price decks at the time? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, I think the main point is this, Blake, that with the additional decline in oil prices since the end of the second quarter that was driven by concern about demand for oil, that 20%, 25% additional decline in oil prices did change the mindset of operators, service companies, and drilling contractors across the board. And it changed that mindset to really protecting balance sheet and cash through the downturn and not wanting to spend money where they didn't have to. So, I think that that trend gathered force as the oil price fell and we saw that reflected in the declining rig activity that is still going on as rigs roll off their contracts, and we're going to see that through year-end.

Blake Allen Hutchinson - Scotia Howard Weil

Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open

Okay. And then just, if I could sneak one more in there for Jim, you called out the fact that the restructuring – or excuse me, just adjusting the cost base and the absorption of labor and overhead, especially as we see declines in the fourth quarter, are going to be tough to deal with from a margin perspective. Would you call out certain businesses that we were really hitting that kind of biting, can't-cut-any-more decremental as we saw them in 3Q? James W. Harris - Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President: Yeah, I'd say, I guess the one that I would call out as not having this impact is valves. With the activity levels staying up, those margins have been very resilient. But probably the most pervasive would be in the drilling and the downhole side, as activity levels really are reaching that level where we've taken out a significant amount of the variable cost and in order to achieve greater savings, we are going to have to turn more towards these consolidations to take out that base layer of cost. Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: And also the pressure of pumping part of the business, which has the same dynamics. In fact more acute than some of the other product lines will have also the same issues.

Blake Allen Hutchinson - Scotia Howard Weil

Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open

Thanks. That's very helpful. I'll turn it back. Thanks guys. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: And our point, Blake is that there are some things we can do on the cost side, but we are not going to do things that hurt our capacity capability going forward. Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: And on the flip side, Blake, also if we look at the pressure pumping, the downhole and the consumable products on the drilling side, those product lines will be the first beneficiary when the market stabilizes, and we will see the orders in our portfolio. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Right. Thanks.

Blake Allen Hutchinson - Scotia Howard Weil

Analyst · Howard Weil. Your line is now open

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open.

Sean C. Meakim - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst · Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open

Hey. Good morning. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hi, Sean.

Sean C. Meakim - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst · Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open

So, I'd like to talk a little bit more about the valves and, just really more broadly, on the midstream and downstream. It'd be great to hear a little bit more about how those end markets are holding up for your product lines. And it sounds like downstream has been a nice partial offset for upstream. And do you think you are seeing it – do you have any better visibility for those end markets, obviously relative to what's a pretty foggy upstream outlook? Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: The downstream part of the portfolio, Sean, and the markets are pretty stable, and we expect that stability on a move-forward basis too. The upstream part of the portfolio has seen lot of softness and we expect to see that softness on a move-forward basis too. Now the refinery part of the market has reached a saturation and at some point they need to upgrade the refineries in Canada, North America, also across the globe. We just don't know when that uptick is going to happen, but we are seeing some signs very spotty at this point of time.

Sean C. Meakim - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst · Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open

Yeah. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We're seeing more downstream investment in the Middle East and that's evidenced by this one contract we have but there are others there as well, as producers in those regions want to be able to sell more products not just crude.

Sean C. Meakim - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst · Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open

Right. Yeah. It seems like we've been waiting for that downstream pick-up forever, but hopefully at some point it will come through. The other thing I wanted to touch on was SG&A. You mentioned the $90 million reduction. At some point when we do get into a recovery, how do we think about growth of SG&A? How much of that would you characterize as structural or efficiency gains as you're improving through the down cycle? And how much is cyclical that you think would need to come back to support the business? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Clearly, a large part of our SG&A reductions are cyclical and would come back in a recovery scenario. But we will have in a recovery scenario other costs that will generate better savings. For instance, on the procurement side, obviously, we're not buying so much in goods coming in at this point in the cycle. So, although we're negotiating good percentage savings on our purchasing side, the dollar savings aren't so much now, but they would be greater then. So, that's why we're saying at least $100 million in cost savings in a strong recovery scenario. And then as we add back SG&A costs as the company grows, we'll be able to offset that cost increase with more savings on the operational side, right, Prady? Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: Yes, of course.

Sean C. Meakim - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst · Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open

And then just one last quick one in a similar vein. Just thinking about working capital, how do you think about the drawdown possibilities in the year-end? And if we stay at current activity levels, what are the additional opportunities through 2016 in terms of what we'd expect from a cash basis? James W. Harris - Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President: So, two comments. First, we do have a fair amount of non-cash charges in our earnings. So, even as earnings approach breakeven, we have the opportunity to generate good free cash flow even in that scenario without pulling down working capital. We feel like our biggest opportunity going into 2016 is in the inventory area, our turns have come down from around 2.7 times to this last quarter of about 1.4 times on the much lower activity. We did see in the quarter, our first reduction of about $15 million of inventory, which was a good move, it's hard to get that engine going from growing to shrinking, but we have turned that corner, and we'd expect to see that accelerate into 2016. And it's fair to say at these activity levels, we believe that over the next – I'm going to call it two-year period, because it takes a while to move the inventory at slower, when activity is slower, there's probably $200 million of opportunity to take inventory or working capital off of our books over the next two years. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: And I would just add Sean that we've been averaging so far this year, $30 million per quarter in free cash flow after capital spending. And we think that we can maintain that average rate of free cash flow per quarter – clearly through 2015 and through 2016.

Sean C. Meakim - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst · Sean Meakim of JPMorgan. Your line is now open

The free cash flow generation has definitely been impressive. Yeah. Thank you for all the detail. I appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of George O'Leary of TPH & Co. Your line is now open. George O’Leary - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc.: Morning, guys. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Morning. George O’Leary - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc.: Just wanted to drill down a little bit into the Drilling & Subsea segment a little bit further, if I could. And then, I had a pressure pumping question in there. So, I guess, if you compare and contrast the drilling with downhole, the two reporting units that were down sequentially, which was down more materially on the quarter? I'm not looking for quantitative guidance, but just qualitatively, which was... C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: They were down pretty close and both being tied to drilling and completion activity. George O’Leary - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc.: And was flow equipment essentially in line with those in terms of the magnitude quarter-on-quarter? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Flow equipment – the pressure pumping, obviously what's going on in the pressure pumping market out there for the service companies, and as we all know, really struggling on the pricing standpoint. I think those companies are doing whatever they can, not to spend money and particularly on maintenance items that need to be expensed. So, that business is a struggle for our customers, and as a result, they're not wanting to spend any money they don't have to. So, we're seeing demand down there more sharply. George O’Leary - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc.: Okay. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: All right. That's short-term, right. At some point, you need to start…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rob MacKenzie of IBERIA Capital Partners. Your line is now open.

Rob J. MacKenzie - IBERIA Capital Partners LLC

Analyst · Rob MacKenzie of IBERIA Capital Partners. Your line is now open

Thank you. I guess Jim, question is probably for you, but anyone else feel free to jump in. From a standpoint of M&A, with you guys kind of hovering at or below breakeven levels of revenue, does that change how you think about potentially buying companies in order to consolidate facilities and put more volume through your existing plants? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Acquisitions are a key part of our strategy, we have a strong financial position. So, we continue to view ourselves as acquirers and consolidators. And I think we have a stronger financial position than many other companies of our size. So, we think we're entering a phase in the cycle where more opportunities for acquisition are developing; but our experience has been that in order to actually reach agreements on valuation and get things done, that has more often happened as the recovery begins to kick-in. And as folks have better visibility on the end of a downturn.

Rob J. MacKenzie - IBERIA Capital Partners LLC

Analyst · Rob MacKenzie of IBERIA Capital Partners. Your line is now open

Okay. Thanks. In terms of your revenue guidance for the fourth quarter, would we expect to see kind of the distribution of where the fall comes from to be similar to what we saw from 2Q to 3Q? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: I think the important thing about Q4 is, a lot of it is driven by this paradigm of not wanting to spend money, budgets being exhausted. Let's wait until next year, things slowing down. In a way, it's going to be a two-month quarter. We're going to get to mid Thanksgiving – mid-November and there's going to be a lot more discussion we think with our customers and their customers about the two Hs; hunting and holidays. And I think that is going to cause and be associated with not much going on from a business standpoint, and a lot more discussion of the two Hs and low activity, as we go into the year, and just waiting for next year, coupled with not wanting to take delivery of a lot and put it on your balance sheet at year-end, and just help your working capital as everybody is trying to show the best cash flow they can, right.

Rob J. MacKenzie - IBERIA Capital Partners LLC

Analyst · Rob MacKenzie of IBERIA Capital Partners. Your line is now open

Right. But I guess, so my question is more along the lines of which – are the same product lines we saw weakness in likely to stay being weak? And, for example, would valves remain fairly defensive on a go-forward basis? Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: We expect the valves business to be still stable in the fourth quarter. The product lines which are exposed on the completion side, which is the pressure pumping, the downhole part of the portfolio will see a decline. And also the drilling consumables side, the customers are trying to preserve cash, I think we expect to see some decline. Also our backlog is also depleting over the year, and we will see some backlog depleting too in the fourth quarter.

Rob J. MacKenzie - IBERIA Capital Partners LLC

Analyst · Rob MacKenzie of IBERIA Capital Partners. Your line is now open

Is most of the backlog still in Subsea? Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: Subsea and Drilling.

Rob J. MacKenzie - IBERIA Capital Partners LLC

Analyst · Rob MacKenzie of IBERIA Capital Partners. Your line is now open

Okay. Thank you. I'll turn it back.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of David Anderson of Barclays. Your line is now open.

J. David Anderson - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst · David Anderson of Barclays. Your line is now open

Hey, Cris. I guess, first, kind of a little bit bigger-picture question. Obviously, we've been hearing about the Thanksgiving slowdown happen from a lot of people here, so I don't think that's a huge surprise. But in your experience, on the other side of this, somebody earlier today said they were expecting a huge first-quarter pick-up – hearing about so-called budgets being reloaded and people going right back to work. Others are talking about a delay. As budgets kind of do come out, people kind of look at balance sheets, you kind of hinted about that a little bit a few minutes ago. How are you kind of thinking about how 2016 could progress? So, let's just take oil prices out of this. But right now, the way budgets kind of get set, when do you think people actually do start getting back in activity? Would that be kind of later first quarter, from what you can tell for right now? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. David, I think it's going to be a slow start to the year. I think we end the year with low momentum and that carries over to the first quarter. But, it's going to be low, people are going to kind of be waiting to see what happens with oil prices. So, start-out slow and we're hopeful that we kind of reach the bottom here, things level outs and then gather momentum as the year goes on.

J. David Anderson - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst · David Anderson of Barclays. Your line is now open

And then if we think about your drilling technologies business and sort of the consumables in there, obviously we're going to have a lot less rigs being active probably structurally going forward. How does your business kind of reposition itself going forward? I guess I would just assume there's going to be – obviously will be a lot more Tier 1 rigs. Can you talk about maybe the opportunity in the consumables side on that Tier 1 side? I think a lot of people are just kind of wondering how this – with the mix shifting of the rigs in the market, how does that kind of impact your business as we think about kind of a recovery here? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: For our products, Tier 1 rigs use the same kind of handling tools, pump consumables, pump packages as other types of rigs, maybe higher pressures. But the key point is these newer more capable Tier 1 rigs drove faster, right. So, they're handling more pipe, they're pumping more fluids. So, it's all about how many feet are drilled, and as we're drilling longer laterals, as we're doing more pad side drilling unless moving the rigs more uptime on the pumps and more turning to the right. So, that intensity is probably a good thing for us and it provides some offset to the fact that there would be fewer rigs working. But the important thing for us is the trend, the rate of change. So, when the rate of change is rapidly down as it is now, there is not a need for consumables, because they can be used off rigs that are being stacked. But once that flattens out, and then particularly when it inflects and begins to go up and you need to resupply a rig that's been stripped, that's very good for our business.

J. David Anderson - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst · David Anderson of Barclays. Your line is now open

And I guess one last question on the consumables side. Maybe this is a little bit more on kind of flow equipment I'm wondering about. Weatherford was talking about artificial lift sort of hitting that, getting close to that inflection point on customer inventory levels and their own inventory levels. This has been a bit of a subject we've talked about over the years with you guys. Can you help us understand a little bit of kind of – I guess, this is more of a flow equipment question, where kind of the customer inventory is versus your inventory and the rest of the market, and where we are in that cycle? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, I think, we as manufacturers, we and others probably have plenty of inventory that's not an issue. But, as we've been saying, I think, the customers are doing whatever they can to avoid or defer purchasing and so they are definitely working down their inventories.

J. David Anderson - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst · David Anderson of Barclays. Your line is now open

Still more, okay. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Martin Malloy of Johnson Rice. Your line is now open. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hey, Marty. Martin W. Malloy - Johnson Rice & Co. LLC: Good morning. Just along the lines of shifting focus to prepare for an upturn, can you maybe talk to us about any new products that you are introducing that you'd like to highlight that we should pay attention to? Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: Sure, Marty. I think the products which will see the first benefit of the market stabilization would be in the area of pressure pumping, downhole and the drilling consumable products. And they also commercialized several new products this year. For example, in the case of downhole, we're just launching our third-body centralizer, and also a Shorty frac plug, which reduces the operational cost for our customers. In the case of pressure pumping, our objective is to reduce the maintenance cost of our customers. And we're going to launch a couple of new products in that space in the next few quarters. And as you know, during the OTC, we commercialized our 3,000 horsepower pump, which we're going to take the benefit of that during the upscale. Also the power-ends of J-MAC – the J-MAC acquisition, which we did early part of the year, is gaining momentum on the power-ends. Even during the downturn, we have sold several power-ends, which improves the life of the power-end which is available in the marketplace. So, our play during the up cycle is not only to take the benefit of the market stabilization but also commercializing these products, which improves the efficiency and the operating cost for our customers. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman &…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of James Wicklund of Credit Suisse. Your line is now open. James Wicklund - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Good morning, guys. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hey, Jim. James Wicklund - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Cris, you talk about strategy, and you made a point of you're shifting your strategy – and you made it sound serious and important and comprehensive. And I'm just wondering if you could just talk a little bit more about that. I know you're going to lean manufacturing and you're consolidating and closing facilities, and putting things together, and the integration and efficiency. But it sounded like more than that. And you made a point of it being a change and shift in strategy going forward. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. So, let me be clear, Jim, that Forum's strategy is that we are a capital-light, high cash flow generating, consumable-oriented company with strong brands serving the Drilling/Subsea completions markets. The emphasis change in our strategy is a change from managing for the downturn to instead managing for a recovery. And I think that how one manages for those two things is a bit different. So, streamlining our costs but with an emphasis on how we're going to get ongoing benefits from those cuts, while preserving and hopefully enhancing our capabilities from a technical product development standpoint and ability to respond to our customers' shorter cycle process, right? So, that's, I think, the main point, Jim, is a shift from managing for a downturn to managing and positioning for an upturn. James Wicklund - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Okay. Thank you. That's very helpful. Also, if I could, you talk about how M&A is one of the core competencies of your business, and it has been in the past. And you also noticed that it's awful hard to get deals closed in the current market. When do you think M&A really will start to occur? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah, I think that the active period for M&A will be as recovery – the early stages of a recovery. And the reason for that is the seller doesn't feel like they are at the – selling at the bottom. As a buyer, we have visibility that, of how long the downturn is going to last and can bake in some more positive aspects into our valuation. And at that point, valuations are more likely to come into line. And also from the seller's standpoint, having made it through Death Valley there, an opportunity to sell without having to go through that again is attractive. James Wicklund - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Okay. Gentlemen, thanks very much. Appreciate it. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Jim.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Robin Shoemaker of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Robin E. Shoemaker - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · Robin Shoemaker of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open

Yes. Thanks. So, Cris, going back to your statement about how you've delivered most of your backlog that you had going into the downturn, and now you're, I guess, going forward delivering more recently booked backlog. So, wanted to ask the question about what you've seen during this downturn in terms of pricing weakness or pricing discounts. I think of your products as not having meaningful pricing deterioration in the downturn, but I wanted to see if you would comment on it? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. That's right, far less than the service companies or certainly nothing like drilling contractors. And that's just true of the manufacturing business, in general. Prady, you can comment on what we're seeing from a pricing standpoint. Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: I think, if you look across the product lines, depending on what the product line is, the impact of pricing we are seeing is in single-digits to double-digits in some product lines. If I had to give you the extremes of it, I would say, valves where we have not seen any impact on pricing or even if we have seen it's been a minimal impact on pricing. And then on the extreme end, probably the pressure pumping and the downhole products, again the products where we will see them which are forced are the ones where we are seeing the impact of pricing. However, we've been able to offset part of the pricing pressure with some of the initiatives we have on the operational front, which is the procurement savings. And our procurement savings are in high single-digits across the operations. And some of the things we've done on the operational side, of consolidation of plans and using lean and some of the other initiatives that we've been talking about, all that's helping to offset the pricing pressure and that's one of the reasons why we've been able to hold our margins still in double-digits. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yes. Right. And then just to put a pin in it, probably the average price reduction across the company is upper single-digits. Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: Correct.

Robin E. Shoemaker - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · Robin Shoemaker of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open

Okay. Okay. Good. So, then, in terms of this recovery that we're kind of preparing for – basically, with all that you're doing now, if we assume that you went back to something like the $400 million to $500 million revenue per quarter run rate, where you were in 2014, are you saying that 500 basis points that you're getting now, is that what we would expect in a revenue run rate versus those kind of high-teens margins? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Robin, that is what we're saying that in a recovery scenario where revenue does recover that we feel with this streamline cost structure that we're now working towards, we will be able to save in that scenario 500 basis points. Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: With no impact of – positive impact of any pricing claw-back. So, as the market turns and when we start pulling back the pricing that's on the top.

Robin E. Shoemaker - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · Robin Shoemaker of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open

Okay. All right. That answered my question. Thank you. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: That's what we're managing for. Thanks for the question, Robin.

Robin E. Shoemaker - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · Robin Shoemaker of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open

Yes. Yeah. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Mike Urban of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Michael Urban - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Mike Urban of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open

Thanks, good morning. Wanted to come back to your comments around the change in focus and how you're managing the company here going forward. So, certainly seems like a shift from playing defense a little bit to maybe a more offensive kind of approach. You've gone through some of what that entails. Kind of interested in why and what's the – you know, what gives you the confidence that now is the time to do that? I would actually tend to agree with you. You kind of want to zig when others are zagging. But it seems like everyone else is still zagging, and playing defense, and kind of settling in for a potentially protracted downturn here. So, again just wondering kind of, why you're taking a bit of a different course? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Well, I think one important point is, we have the advantage of a strong balance sheet, strong cash flow and don't have to worry about the existential questions, right. So, that gives us the luxury of looking ahead and planning for what we should be doing rather than what we have to be doing. That's an important element of it. Secondly, we view ourselves right at the forefront, right at the leading edge of our business being tied to what's happening in activity levels or even the trend in activity levels in real time. So, unlike say some of our big capital equipment brethren, who have very long lead times for their equipment and long cycle backlogs, we work in a very real-time shorter response on this basis. So, we will be able to through our products, see the benefits much more quickly. But we need to position the company to realize those benefits and to have a…

Michael Urban - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Mike Urban of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open

And if it is turns out that you're wrong in that view, and we are settling in for an extended downturn here, perhaps lasting well into, if not all of, the next year, do you have to shift gears again? Is there an incremental level of retrenchment? Or do you feel like with what you've already done plus the initiatives you announced today, that you've got a sustainable cost structure anyway. And you're still okay – again, given some of the things you highlighted, you have a good balance sheet, and you are pretty comfortably free cash flow positive? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We're definitely free cash flow positive and we have a strong balance sheet. And I think as we said just getting to a point of stability, even if it's at a low activity level, that would be better than this constant deceleration that we've been in here for a long time. So, at some point, it does need to bottom out, and we think that we're getting closer to that. I would be very surprised if we continue to see the rig count declined the way it is for another year. I think it might be at zero by that point.

Michael Urban - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Mike Urban of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open

That's the good news. It can only go to zero. That's all for me, thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Chase Mulvehill of SunTrust. Your line is now open.

B. Chase Mulvehill - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Chase Mulvehill of SunTrust. Your line is now open

Hey. Thanks. Good morning. So, let's see, just one last question. Most everything else has been answered. And you hit on this on the working capital. I think – did I hear the number that your inventories – you thought you could get them down by $200 million? Was that right? James W. Harris - Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President: Yes. Chase, over a two-year period. With activity as low as it is, I don't want to imply that, that's easy. Obviously, customers have to demand it, but we do believe that we have that much in terms of inventory that we can bring down and at these activity levels where we should be. So, it is the $200 million opportunity.

B. Chase Mulvehill - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Chase Mulvehill of SunTrust. Your line is now open

And so, I guess, if we kind of look at that over the next couple of quarters, how should we be thinking about inventories and total cash from working capital? James W. Harris - Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President: Yeah. I think that probably the best way to think in terms of cash flow Chase is, as Cris said earlier that $30 million run rate on free cash flow after CapEx, there may be some quarters that would be a little better and some a little less, but it will average around that $30 million number.

B. Chase Mulvehill - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Chase Mulvehill of SunTrust. Your line is now open

Okay. All right. That's all I have. Thank you. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Chase.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our last... C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: One more question.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our last question comes from the line of Brandon Dobell of William Blair. Your line is now open. Brandon B. Dobell - William Blair & Co. LLC: Hey. Good morning, guys. Thanks. Just, two quick ones, did you guys think about the performance in North America versus international markets? How do you expect that to look as you work through Q4/Q1? And is there a concern that there's going to be a longer duration on how long it takes the international market to find a bottom or some stability? C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. I think, we're closer on the North America market, particularly U.S. market here. And I think that will reach bottom first. International, there are a lot more forces in play, including national oil companies that have bigger countrywide issues to deal with, particularly in areas outside the Middle East, big economic issues that could impact their spending plans for longer. So yeah, I think, there is that difference. Prady Iyyanki - Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President: In the costs of international, they're still stable. And the Middle East is still pretty stable, West Africa and North Africa are still seem to be stable. The deal we have – the Egypt deal, which we received in the third quarter is another good sign, so they're spotty markets in international, which are still pretty stable.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time, I'll turn the call back over to Cris Gaut for any closing remarks. C. Christopher Gaut - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we appreciate your interest and your good questions. And we will talk to you next quarter. Thank you very much. Thanks, Nicole.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. That does conclude today's program. You may all disconnect. Have a great day everyone.