Ignacio Madridejos
Analyst · Kepler
Thank you, Rafael. And hello, everyone. Let me start giving an update on our growth strategy. First, our main infrastructure assets in North America or US managed lanes and the 407 ETR, are expected to continue delivering a strong revenue growth. And next year, which will add a new relevant asset, the new Terminal One at JFK Airport. Second, we continue to see significant growth opportunities in North America and Toll Road assets. We have a record pipeline of new managed lanes in North America, including the I-285 East in Atlanta and the I-24 Nashville, which are set for bidding next year. Additionally, four more projects are expected to launch the bidding process within the next three years. We also see good opportunities for other infrastructure projects in the US, including airports with capacity expansion needs or greenfield digital and energy infrastructure. We'll continue to be opportunistic in other geographies where we have capabilities and will rotate mature assets when they offer more value to third parties than they do to us. This growth will be funded by a solid cash flows expected in the following years and we will maintain our financial discipline with a focus on value creation for our shareholders. Sustainability is at the core of our strategy and we believe it creates value for the company. To capture that value, we have identified KPIs with the specific targets that we report every year. We are progressing well in all of them. And I want to highlight the 26% reduction in the serious injury and fatality frequency rate versus 2022, a 35.8% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 CO2 emissions versus 2020 and the 26.7% reduction in water consumption versus 2017. We have defined new CO2 reduction targets aligned with the science based target initiatives 1.5 celsius degrees trajectory, aiming to reduce our Scope 1 and 2 absolute emissions by 42% by 2030 compared to 2020 and our Scope 3 absolute emissions by 25%. Our high sustainability ratings are a consequence of the implementation of our strategy and we are very well positioned in all of them leading our industry. Last year, we increased our Toll Road's like-for-like revenues by 19.6% and EBITDA by 19.5%. This data does not include equity accounted assets. In the case of our North American assets, revenues increased by 22.8% and EBITDA by 22.2%. Total Toll Road dividends in 2024 were €895 million, €191 million more than the previous year. And all our North American assets distributed dividends last year with the 407 ETR contributing €321 million, the Texas managed lanes €244 million and for the first time, the I-77 and I-66 distributed €205 million and €89 million respectively. Moving now to the 407 and Toronto area. Traffic grew 4.8% last year, supported by increased mobility in the area. The impact from construction activities on the 401, fewer winter weather events and more promotional offers, mainly in the last quarter of the year. Revenue grew 14% year-over-year and EBITDA 15.1%. The new toll rate was implemented on January 1st with the goal of providing more demand segmentation through more tolls zones and new vehicle classification along with an increase in fees for the first time in five years. Last year, the 407 had a record dividend distribution of [CAD1,100 million] for the 100%, a 15.8% increase compared to the previous year. The Greater Toronto Area Hamilton has a strong long term growth prospect with an expected population growth of 48%, reaching 11.4 million by 2046 compared to 7.7 million in 2021. This growth is driven by continued immigration and a favorable economic climate. Most of this new population is expected to be located along the 407 corridor where multiple urban growth centers are planned, enhancing connectivity and driving economic growth. All these prospects give us confidence on the value proposition of the 407 serving as a reliable solution to congestion in the area. Moving now to the Texas managed lanes. Average revenue per transaction grew by 6% at NTE compared to 2023, 8.8% at LBJ and 12.5% at 35 West, all of which are well above inflation. In January this year, the soft cap was updated for 2025, increasing by 2.9%. We have seen all these assets benefiting from increased mobility in their corridors. Traffic decreased by 2.2% at NTE due to the capacity improvement construction works, increased by 7.3% at LBJ with a strong performance due to lower impact from construction works in the area and increased by 22.3% at 35 West, supported by the opening of Segment 3C in June 2023. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA grew by 3.3% at NTE, 17.2% at LBJ and 36.8% at 35 West, with the latter including $40 million of revenue share in 2024. This strong performance from our Texas managed lanes is underpinned by Dallas-Forth Worth's robust business activity, which keeps bringing new businesses and residents to the region. Last year, the area was the number one destination for move in and the number one location for corporate headquarter relocations. The population is expected to grow by 55%, reaching 12.4 million by 2050. This growth is expressed throughout the Dallas-Fort Worth region, enhancing mobility and driving economic development. The I-66 saw a significant increase in revenue per transaction by 33.2% last year, continuing its ramp-up after opening in 2022 and benefiting from a strong peak performance. Traffic increased by 11.1%, revenue by 47.3% and adjusted EBITDA by 52.3%. Additionally, the I-66 paid its first dividend of $172 million at 100% in December. The I-77 delivered a solid performance in 2024 with an 11.7% increase in revenue per transaction, which was impacted in the fourth quarter by the temporary subsidy of toll rates to support recovery efforts after Hurricane Helene. Traffic grew by 4.7% over the previous year with the last quarter positively impacted by the closure of alternative routes affected by the hurricane. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 5.7%, including $4.6 million of revenue share in 2024 and $5.4 million of extended vehicle payments. The I-77 paid its first dividend of $307 million at 100% last year. I-66's strong performance is underpinned by Northern Virginia's high household incomes and robust job market. The continued build-out of several projects in key areas along the I-66 should continue to support job growth and high incomes in the region. Meanwhile, Charlotte was the number two destination for mov ins in 2024 and the number three fastest growing city in 2023. The region continues to attract companies in key sectors, including technology, finance and transportation. Now turning to our business in India. Last year, we acquired a 24% stake in IRB Infrastructure Trust, the Private InvIT, for €728 million, of which we paid €710 million last year. This acquisition includes a portfolio of 15 road projects and provides us with the opportunity to invest directly in new assets in India. The acquisition was partly funded by the sale of a 5% stake in IRB for €211 million, 3 times the transaction price paid in 2021, resulting in a pretax capital gain of €132 million. We still own a 19.9% stake in IRB, making us the second largest shareholder. IRB had a good performance last year with a 9.4% increase in revenues and a 12% increase in adjusted EBITDA, while the IRB Private InvIT reached €243 million revenues and €114 million adjusted EBITDA. We continue to see good growth prospects in India with a robust pipeline of new toll roads and a strong real GDP growth. Now moving to the Airport business. Last December, we closed the sale of our 19.75% stake in Heathrow for €2 billion, resulting in a profit impact of €2.57 billion, including the fair value of the retained 5.25% stake, which was registered as a financial investment. On February 26th, we announced the agreement for the sale of the remaining 5.25% to Ardian for £455 million. The transaction is subject to complying with the right of first offer, which may be exercised by shareholders and to the satisfaction of applicable regulatory conditions. This divestment aligns with our value creation strategy through mature asset rotation. The New Terminal one reached a physical progress of up to 60% by the end of 2024, remaining on budget and on schedule. The year 2025 is going to be crucial with key project milestones and system integrations. Commercial agreements are progressing with leases signed within our last [sixth] letter of intention and advanced negotiations with several airlines. Last year, NTO closed at $2.55 billion during bond refinancing and total equity contribution so far have been €742 million with €329 million pending. Dalaman Airport reached a new record last year with 5.6 million passengers, a 7.7% increase compared to the previous year. Revenues were €82 million and adjusted EBITDA was €64 million, increasing by 16.2% and 16.6% respectively. [indiscernible] divestment was completed last January for £450 million, resulting in a capital gain of £300 million to be booked in the first quarter of 2025. Our Construction revenues reached €7,274 million last year, which is 3.8% above the previous year on a like-for-like basis. Adjusted EBITDA was €430 million, 95.4% more and adjusted EBIT €284 million compared with €77 million the previous year. Our adjusted EBIT margin was 3.9%, surpassing our target of 3.5%. Budimex continued with a strong performance with an 8% adjusted EBIT margin, Webber maintained a stable margin of 3% and Ferrovial Construction improved to 1.8% due to the absence of losses from large projects. Our operating cash flow reached €291 million last year. We finished 2024 with a record high order book, 49% in North America and with €2.7 billion in pre-awards or projects awaiting financial close not included in the 2024 figures. We maintain our average long term target of 3.5% adjusted EBIT margin. And now, Ernesto will continue with the main financial information.
Ernesto López Mozo: Thank you, Ignacio. And good afternoon, good morning to everyone. I will start reviewing the lines below EBITDA. We start with the depreciation and we see a growth that is due to two main components. One of them is, of course, we have more traffic in our roads and that brings higher depreciation, especially in the I-66 that has a higher value. Also, we have more depreciation from equipment and machinery in construction. We have more owned resources ahead of increased activity in the coming months and years. Also when we go down below EBIT, we go to disposals and impairments. And of course, this is the line where we see the impact of the sale of 19.75% of Heathrow and others like the IRB stake. Going to financial results. We have the financial results from infrastructure projects and here we have an increase that is due to different factors. One of them is [our rigor] [indiscernible] in I-77 and you know that it paid the first dividend. And also, we have higher expenses due to the fact that most of this debt is denominated in US dollars that appreciated along the year. When we look into the ex-infrastructure projects financial result, you see a big income. And here the main component is the remaining stake in Heathrow, the 5.25% has been reflected at fair value, fair value like the price of the 19.75% that was disposed. So this goes through fair value adjustment and flatters this number. In terms of equity accounted affiliates, you see here the growth mainly from the 407 but this incorporates all the different equity stakes we have equity consolidated. Then we have income tax. Here, you have to bear in mind that the capital gain is tax exempt due and have the regular payments in places like Poland and also withholding tax from dividends coming from Canada. So that is the main summary of the net results. We can move on to the following slide where we see the cash evolution. And here we had very solid year with dividends from all our infrastructure assets in the Toll Road portfolio and then other projects in other divisions totaling €947 million. Also, the operating cash flow from construction in tax payments here we have what I mentioned basically taxes in Poland and this withholding tax that I mentioned before that also affected the recurring cash -- tax for the year. And then in terms of investment, as we mentioned in the introduction and along the way, we have invested a lot in infrastructure. Also in this block, we reflect the cash -- the return we get on the cash in hand. That's the reason why it doesn't match with the bulk investment that we commented before when you have the 170 that I was mentioning, right? Then after that interest received on the cash in hand we have the divestments that we have also been mentioning. Regarding shareholder distributions, I will get more explanation of this in the following slide, €831 million. Also, we bought treasury stock at 272 and then we have other cash flows used in financing activities. This has to be seen in conjunction with the banner we have at the bottom, because most of it has been used to pay down debt. And all these brings down with a positive FX effect on the net cash position to a net cash position close to €1.8 billion. If we move to the following slide regarding shareholder distributions, where the first thing that we commented in the Capital Markets Day, we had a guidance so far, distributions to shareholders of €1.7 billion for the period 2024 to 2026. And we have upgraded that to a minimum of €2.2 billion. This could be reviewed upwards. And here, I anticipate one of the questions that you may have. So you may say, okay, well, what happens if you win one managed lane in 2026 where the capital gets deployed five or six years after? Well, that shouldn't be really limiting maybe additional distributions, right? So we will have to analyze all the things that could be won or invested short term and long term but a specific management that is what you all have in mind shouldn't be affecting this distribution. Also, we have considered when we upgraded this, the recent announcements of -- well, the 5.25% in Heathrow remaining and also the sale of AGS. Regarding what we have been distributing along the year, you knew that we had to catch up with distributions from -- in 2023. So this year, we have dedicated €271 million to buybacks from -- I mean, corresponding to that year. Corresponding to 2024, we had €130 million cash dividend and then a share buyback of €430 million. And for 2025, we have announced the regular €570 million, a mixture of dividend and share buyback. It will be cashed out to you, distributed to the shareholders. And then we have also announced an additional buyback program of up to €500 million. So I mean after reviewing this distribution to shareholders announcement, I hand it back to Rafael for the closing remarks.