Jack Dunn
Analyst · William Blair & Company
Thank you, Eric, and thanks to everyone for joining us this morning. With me on the call are Dennis Shaughnessy, our Chairman; David Bannister, our Chief Financial Officer; Dom DiNapoli, our Chief Operating Officer; and Roger Carlile, our Chief Administrative Officer. Our results were released first thing this morning, and I hope you've had a chance to review them. If you have not, they are available on our website at www.fticonsulting.com. In the fourth quarter, we continued the momentum we began to see in the third quarter. Revenues were $356 million, up almost 4% from $342.9 million a year ago and up from $346 million in the prior quarter. In aggregate, four of our five segments reported average year-over-year revenue growth of almost 13%, which more than offset the decline in corporate finance restructuring from the prior year's historic levels. This complementary relationship continued to validate our business model, although it will still take time for our pro cyclical businesses, for the most part, to grow into the margins enjoyed by core restructuring at its height. The investments we have made in growing our business in markets outside the United States continue to pay off. Non-U.S. revenues grew approximately 13% as compared to the prior year quarter, reflecting both organic growth and the contributions from the acquisitions we made during the year in Asia. Revenue outside the United States accounted for 21% of our total revenue compared to 19% in the same quarter last year. Our markets in Asia-Pacific and Latin America showed outstanding growth. Asia Pacific revenue grew in the quarter by 63% relative to last year. Our recent acquisition of FS Asia Advisory is off to a strong start. Latin America was also robust, increasing 27% in the quarter year-over-year. As we have said before, we see very attractive opportunities to build our full platform in the global markets, and we expect our non-U.S. business to be a key driver of our future growth. Our adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $69.3 million or 19.5% of revenue. This was down from $80.8 million a year ago on a smaller contribution from Corporate Finance, but it was still a good performance, up from the margins of 18.8% in the second and third quarters of this year. Most of our segments recorded margins that were flat or up compared to a year ago and recent quarters, and Corporate Finance, even though down from the last year, was still one of our most profitable segments. As we announced in January, we decided to unify substantially all of our operations under a consolidated FTI Consulting brand. We recorded approximately $22 million in net special charges in the quarter, most of which related to the write-off of trade names from certain acquired businesses and assets. I will discuss this initiative in more depth later on in the call. We reported GAAP earnings per share in the quarter of $0.23, which included the special charge impacting EPS by $0.33. Excluding the special charge, adjusted earnings per share were $0.56 compared to $0.71 a year ago and up from $0.54 in the prior quarter. The share count in the quarter was 46.7 million, down 4.7 million shares or about 9% from a year ago due to the shares repurchased under our current authorization. It was again a strong period for cash generation. Cash flow from operations was about $99 million in the quarter, the second best quarterly result in our history, and we exited the year with approximately $385 million in cash and equivalents, up from $331 million at the end of the third quarter. And as we speak today, we stand at over $425 million in cash and cash equivalents. We used about $14.5 million of our cash to repurchase 416,000 shares in the quarter under our $500 million repurchase authorization. We have about $209 million remaining under that authorization. For the full year, our cash flow from operations was almost $195 million compared to adjusted net income of $109 million. So as you can see, we continue to be an exceptional converter of net income in the cash flow, a trademark of FTI for a long time and hopefully for a long time to come. This internal cash generation, combined with the funds we raised in the third quarter through our debt offering, provide us with robust resources to invest in our people and our businesses to expand our capabilities and geographical presence and take advantage of opportunities that are presented to us. Now I'll talk about some of the performance of the segments. Revenues in our Corporate Finance and Restructuring segment in the quarter were $113.2 million, a decline of $12 million or 9% from a year ago, but an increase from the $110 million we reported in the third quarter. Our fourth quarter revenues compare against the period that was just half the peak of the restructuring cycle in the middle of 2009, and the market is clearly less robust than it was in 2009. Nevertheless, we did see stronger demand compared to the third quarter, and we are encouraged that the Transaction Advisory practice, under its new leadership, has begun to see an upturn in activity since around midyear, as M&A activity begins to return. Our developing businesses outside the U.S. continue to perform well. Europe had a strong quarter, and FS Asia Advisory maintained strong momentum since they joined us in August. While there's of course some seasonal impact, given the fourth quarter and the fact that companies tend to look at their futures during that period, it is noteworthy that in the fourth quarter, new case openings in bankruptcy matters, non-bankruptcy restructurings and transaction support were significantly stronger than in the third quarter, especially with regard to matters in the financial institutions and services sector and retail. Adjusted segment EBITDA for Corporate Finance was $28.9 million in the quarter, equal to 25.5% of revenues. Margins were not as high as the extraordinary levels we enjoyed last year generated at the height of the restructuring cycle, but 25.5% margin is still a very respectable figure. We continue to manage the restructuring and bankruptcy side of the business through the down cycle and benefited from the actions we took early in the year to bring our resources in the line with the new reality of the market. The Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment had an excellent quarter. Revenues increased more than 14% compared to a year ago to $81 million from $71 million. While two large cases remain important contributors to this segment, they are beginning to tail off to lower rates of activity compared to the peak levels, so the fact that we were able to not only replace those revenues but actually grow meaningfully is a very good indicator of perhaps a strengthening market as well as our relative strength in that market. There was a solid increase in the overall level of litigation activity. Our core litigation practice in the U.S. grew almost 20%. Regulated industries maintained their strong performance, especially the Healthcare practice, and Trial Services sustained their improved results, while the Asian investigations practice continued to recover from the slower periods during the credit crisis and really is getting stride. Adjusted segment EBITDA in Forensic/Litigation was $18.9 million, equal to 23.4% of revenues, up from $16.6 million a year ago. Adjusted segment EBITDA margins were flat compared to a year ago and consistent with recent quarters. The Economic Consulting segment rebounded from a slow summer as the momentum in antitrust and strategic M&A that we saw in September continued through the quarter. As a result, segment revenues increased to $64.4 million from $63.2 million a year ago and $59.4 million in the third quarter. Our European practice continues to gain momentum and had far and away its best revenue quarter ever, with revenue increasing 44% over a year ago. Adjusted segment EBITDA for Econ was $12.9 million or 20% of revenue, about the same as last year. Adjusted EBITDA margins in the quarter were consistent with our performance over the course of the year and are impacted by investments we're making and continue to make in our European and Canadian practices to take advantage of market opportunities that we see there. Technology had another excellent result in the fourth quarter. Revenues increased almost 24% to $47.7 million, driven by increased litigation, investigations in bankruptcy activity, strong direct licensing revenues and continued success of our new Acuity Document Review service offering. All of these served to offset lower M&A Second Request activity. Adjusted segment EBITDA in the quarter increased 32% to $17.9 million, and the adjusted segment EBITDA margin in the quarter was an excellent 37.4% due to the strong revenue. We have aggressively managed expenses to maintain margins in the face of the continued pricing environment for our hosting business. Strategic Communications had a solid result in the quarter. Revenues increased 10% to $50 million, driven by a strong performance in the U.S. and Asia-Pacific from strategic advice on the one hand and natural resources trends on the other. They recorded the fifth consecutive quarter of net annualized retainer wins, but growth was restrained by weak demand for capital markets work. Adjusted segment EBITDA margin was 14.9% in the fourth quarter, flat with last year due to a higher proportion of pass-through revenues, which can carry relatively little margin. We have constantly sought to build the premiere practices in their respective fields, and we're very pleased that their stature has been recognized continually by their peers and industry followers. For example, our Corporate Finance/Restructuring practice remains the largest global crisis management firm by a wide margin according to The Deal magazine. Global Competition Review magazine ranked our Economic Consulting team again number one amongst competition specialists. And this segment's International Arbitration practice was named the leader in Expert Witness Research category by Who's Who Legal. Finally, our Strategic Communications practice continues to be a leader in its industry. It was recently ranked by mergermarket at the top of the M&A league tables by transaction volume and was named PR Firm of the Year by the Financial Times/mergermarket for both Europe and Asia. In Europe, it's been the leader on the league tables for a record 10th time. We look forward to even greater success for our practices as we unite them, many for the first time, under the common brand of FTI Consulting. We have made over 25 acquisitions over the past five years and have taken great pains to seamlessly integrate these outstanding firms into the FTI infrastructure, while retaining their key professionals and brand equity. With much of the behind-the-scenes work now completed, the final step is to pull these entities into one organization from an external perspective and harness the power of more than 3,500 employees in 26 countries under one mantle. This will be an important initiative for us in 2011. Going to market under one brand will enable us to better provide comprehensive solutions to our clients from our exceptional range of skills and capabilities. It will also enhance our ability to gain traction in regions where we are relatively new and do not have the broad set of relationships and long history of success that we do in markets where FTI is more established. We intend to do this in a deliberate fashion, leveraging the rebranding to inform our clients and prospects of the integrated capabilities of our FTI professionals. We expect to have all our practices migrated into FTI Consulting by November of this year. Let me now turn to our guidance for 2011. This will be a year of improvement and a year of investment. By way of context for our guidance, we are basing our outlook on the assumption that the current environment for our markets continues through 2011 and that the dynamics reflecting our businesses do not change significantly. In terms of the drivers of our business, as most of you know, the keys are bankruptcy and restructuring, capital markets activity, investigations and litigations. If there is one driver that could probably affect our segments across the board more than any other it would be a return to robust M&A activity, and we think we're beginning to see the signs of that. We expect the climate for bankruptcy and restructuring work will continue to be challenged by an improving economy and readily accessible debt markets that will contribute to lower default rates. Recently, the leading agencies have reduced default rates almost by half to below 2% by the end of this year. While this will create similar headwinds for us in 2011 that we experienced in 2010, it should begin to be a tailwind for our other pro cyclical businesses. And again, when you saw their growth rates over the fourth quarter, we're believing to see that. Capital markets activity should be a net positive factor this year across our segments. The M&A environment has obviously improved, as has the calendar for IPOs, and we are seeing a backlog of opportunities to pitch for new work, and certainly people are predicating their 2011 budgets, et cetera, our clients are, on the fact that there will be M&A activity. Although neither are back to their frothy pre-crisis levels, we are encouraged by the direction that the market is going. Because it's tough to make a bet on the capital markets, we are assuming some modest push in this area, but it could be a great source of positive upside for us. On the Investigations side, we expect to see [indiscernible] from the Department of Justice and the SEC, as well as interesting to look at the Financial Services Authority in the U.K. and their new mandate. We also expect to see greater demand for Litigation services. These activities are clearly picking up, as I mentioned, as we look at our core business in the U.S., and we expect to participate in more than our fair share of the cases. The trajectory will likely diverge from previous experience, as corporations and law firms look for new ways to do business, but FTI has always been at the forefront of designing those new ways, and we look forward to, again, working in partnership with our clients to solve that puzzle. As I said earlier, we will look to markets outside the U.S. for a significant portion of our growth this year. The practices we have launched in those markets are seeing good traction and solid prospects. It is also a priority for us to look for further opportunities to invest our capital, similar to what we've done in Asia in the second half of 2010. As a result, we would expect a proportion of our revenue coming from outside the U.S. to continue to increase, both as a positive number and as a percentage of our results. Summing all that up, we are projecting total revenues of between $1.43 billion and $1.49 billion for the year, an increase of about 5% and resulting adjusted earnings per share of between $2 and $2.20. This includes significant continuing discretionary investment in our people, our infrastructure, particularly, in response to demands of our growing international and regional expansion, and, as we talked before, our brands. You should note that these figures do not assume any acquisitions or additional share repurchases. And I'd like to remind you of what we said in our third quarter conference call, namely that we are carrying a $0.04 per share quarterly or 16% per share annual handicap from the disparity between the interest earned on the capital raised in our debt financing versus the higher interest rates we are paying on that capital. It is certainly not our intention to just sit on the cash, but since the timing and contribution from anything we would do with the capital is not certain, we are not incorporating any such actions in our guidance. If we do something that is material and warrants an upside revision, we'll be happy to do so. In conclusion, the successful execution of our strategy to date allowed us to successfully mitigate a meaningful decline in our largest segment during 2010, as we replace the lost revenues through growth in our other segments. We exited the year in excellent financial shape, and our success in building out the breadth of our skills and enabling us to serve clients on a global basis becoming an ever more important competitive factor. We look forward to the opportunities during 2011 to extend and solidify our leadership in each of our practices. The outlook for our markets is excellent. Only the timing remains unclear. Against this backdrop, we will continue to extend our leadership position as we invest to enhance the durability of our long-term business model. We are pleased with the progress we are making in that regard, and we look forward to continued success, but more importantly, for the results and dividends from those efforts. With that, I'd like to turn it over for your questions.