Jim Reske
Analyst · Raymond James
Thanks, Mike. Since Mike has already provided a high level overview of the quarter’s financial results, I will dive a little deeper into our deposit trends, fees, expenses and then touch on credit. Deposit costs remained low in the fourth quarter. The total cost of deposits did rise in the fourth quarter as expected, but only to 20 basis points, up from 5 basis points last quarter. We calculate our cumulative through the cycle beta through the fourth quarter at only 5.6%. We have previously disclosed expectations of a 20% beta which was informed by our near zero betas through the end of the third quarter of last year, and in fact, our fourth quarter incremental beta was 18%, in line with those expectations. We are, however, revising our cumulative through the cycle beta estimate to 25% by the end of 2023, just to be more consistent with our long-term historical beta. The positive picture for us in the fourth quarter was clouded a bit by our conscious strategy to stay below $10 billion in total assets through year-end. While assets are easy to manage, our concern was that a sudden influx of deposits might inadvertently push us over the $10 billion mark on December 31st and we were able to successfully manage that. So our Durbin impact will be mid-2024 as planned. Midway through the quarter just ended, we did introduce several deposit strategies that have started to have a real tangible impact as the quarter progressed and continue to pull in deposit balances. Fee income was down by $1.6 million last quarter, due almost entirely to a $1.6 million drop in swap income. We feel good about our fee businesses, but fee income will remain under pressure -- remain under some pressure in 2023 due to macroeconomic variables like the housing market, asset values and SBA premiums. Nevertheless, we still expect fee income to be up by about 6% in 2023 over 2022, inclusive of Centric. Non-interest expense improved by $1.6 million from last quarter, in part due to about $800,000 of third quarter expenses that we had identified and previously disclosed that weren’t present in the fourth quarter. While the first quarter of 2023 will be noisy due to one-time items associated with the Centric acquisition, we still expect to hit the previously announced 35% cost save figure. Now in the past, we have not parsed out in our comments the difference between operating expense and total non-interest expense, because intangible amortization wasn’t that material. But we will likely break these figures out more carefully post acquisition. For the full year 2022, our standalone operating expense without Centric, of course, was $224.7 million, up by 7% from 2021 and we expect that in 2023, it will probably be up by another 7% to 8%. In 2023, however, total operating expense will include Centric and then to get to total non-interest expense, we will have to add intangible amortization. That last figure will include the new intangible amortization from the acquisition, which we will calculate at close and disclose with our first quarter results. Provision expense was up in the fourth quarter, but not because of any credit deterioration, in fact credit metrics improved, roughly half the provision or $4.6 million was due to loan growth. The remaining provision expense reflected about $2 million in net charge-offs, which is lower than last quarter, plus about $3.7 million for changes in our economic forecast. All asset quality measures remain strong. At 11 basis points, net charge-offs are lower than last quarter and charge-offs also came in lower for the full year. Compared to the end of last year, Non-performing loans are down from 80 basis points to 46 basis points to total loans, non-performing assets are down from 59 basis points to 37 basis points of total loans and the dollar balances of non-accrual, non-performing, criticized and classified loans are all down 30% to 40%. If a credit recession is looming, we have yet to feel it and if it does come, we are starting from a very good position. On a different note, our tangible book value per share grew by $0.32 to $7.92 and our tangible common equity ratio improved by 13 basis points to 7.79% due mostly to our strong earnings capacity, but also reflecting a $4.6 million reduction in accumulated other comprehensive income. Finally, our effective tax rate was 19.98%. And with that, we will take any questions you may have.