Earnings Labs

First American Financial Corporation (FAF)

Q1 2013 Earnings Call· Fri, Apr 26, 2013

$70.43

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome and thank you for standing-by. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode until the question-and-answer session. A copy of today's press release is available on First American’s website at www.firstam.com/investor. Please note that the call is being recorded and will be available for replay from the company’s investor website and for a short time by dialing 203-369-1472. We will now turn the call over to Craig Barberio, Director of Investor Relations to make an introductory statement.

Craig Barberio

Management

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us for our first quarter 2013 earnings conference call. On today’s call, you’ll hear from our Chief Executive Officer, Dennis Gilmore and our newly appointed Chief Financial Officer, Mark Seaton. At this time, we would like to remind listeners that management’s commentary and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements such as those described on page four of today’s news release and other statements that do not relate strictly to historical or current fact. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and the company does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that may occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made. Risks and uncertainties exist that may cause results to differ materially from those set forth in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause the anticipated results to differ from those described in the forward-looking statements are also described on pages four of today's news release. Management’s commentary contains and responses to your questions today may also contain certain financial measures that are not presented in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles including personnel and other operating expense ratios. The company is presenting these non-GAAP financial measures because they provide the company’s management and investors with additional insight into the operational efficiency and performance of the company relative to earlier periods and relative to the company’s competitors. The company does not intend for these non-GAAP financial measures to be a substitute for any GAAP financial information. In today's news release that we filed, which is available on our website, www.firstam.com, the non-GAAP financial measures disclosed in management’s commentary are presented with and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Investors should use these non-GAAP financial measures only in conjunction with the comparable GAAP financial measures. With that, I will now turn the call over to Dennis Gilmore.

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Craig and good morning and thank you for joining our earnings call. I will begin with a review of our first quarter highlights, provide a few comments on the outlook and then Mark will cover our financial results in more detail. Total revenues in the first quarter were $1.1 billion, up 19% compared to last year. The increase was driven by strong refinance and resale closings and our title insurance segment. Our earnings per share were $0.33 including net realized gains of $0.05 per share. In terms of market outlook, we continue to see strength across a majority of our business lines. The resale market continues to grow as we closed 12% more orders than we did in the first quarter of last year. In addition, the average revenue per resale order was up 11% over last year due to higher real estate values. Most importantly, however, the spring selling season is off to a strong start. So far in April, our resale orders are running 4% higher than March and up 21% compared to last year. In terms of the refinance market it has been relatively steady during the last four months with open orders averaging 2,800 orders per day. So far in April our refinance volumes have increased to approximately 3,300 orders per day, driven by a decline in mortgage rates. Although, refinance volumes are down from their mid-2012 peak, we believe that the low rates will support good volumes throughout 2013. Revenues in our National Commercial division were 87 million, up 7% from last year, despite the fact that some transactions were pulled in to fourth quarter due to the anticipation of higher tax rates in 2013 and we're seeing broad strength in our commercial market with a healthy pipeline of transactions. Our results in…

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Dennis. Total revenue in the first quarter was $1.1 billion, up 19% compared to the first quarter of 2012. Net income was 36 million or $0.33 per diluted share compared with net income of 31 million or $0.29 per diluted share in the same quarter of last year. The current quarter results include net realized investment gains of $0.05 per diluted share compared with net realized investment losses of $0.01 per diluted share in the prior year. In the title reinsurance and services segment direct premium and escrow fees were up 16% compared to last year, due to a 12% increase in the number of closed title orders and a 4% increase in the average revenue per order. The average revenue per order increased to $1,373, as the average revenue per order for resale transactions increased 11%, while the average for commercial transactions increased 14%. Agent premiums were up 29%, reflecting the normal reporting lag in agent revenues of approximately one quarter. The agent split improved to 80.0% of agent premiums, a slight reduction from 80.2% last year. Information and other revenues were down 2% compared to last year, driven by a lower demand from title related services in Canada largely offset by demand for the company’s default information products. Personnel costs were $317 million, up 14% primarily due to higher staffing levels required to support the increase in order volumes as well as an increase in revenue generating employees. Other operating expenses were 189 million, up 10% from last year primarily due to higher production related expenses and temporarily labor cost that resulted from higher order activity. The ratio of personnel and other operating expenses to net operating revenue declined slightly to 78% compared to last year, reflecting the continued trend of improving operating leverage. In the…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Bose George with KBW.

Bose George - KBW

Analyst · KBW

Just a couple of questions, if you want just start with the commercial reserve strengthening charge, just curious if you could provide any more detail on what drove that and should we just think of that as one-time in terms of what could happen down the road.

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

This is Dennis. Really what happened in the first quarter is we had a few large commercial claims that were mechanical in nature from policy years 2006-2007. We always will have experience of large claims on our business that’s inherent, but what I think is pretty unique here is the group that we saw in the first quarter. So while I can't guarantee it obviously, I think it’s unlikely that it will reoccur.

Bose George - KBW

Analyst · KBW

And then actually wanted to go back to the comments you guys made just on the increase in revenue per order on resale and commercial, is that being driven by rising prices or bigger transaction or something else.

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Yeah really on the resale side its being driven by the increase in home values, that's probably the biggest driver because the fee per file is really a function of the price of the home and on the commercial side we are just seeing larger transactions than we have last year. So it’s really just a function of higher asset prices.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jim Ryan with Morningstar.

Jim Ryan - Morningstar

Analyst · Morningstar

I was just -- I had a question on the refinance of an orders, it’s down 7% per day, I assume that's year-over-year, is that correct?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Yes, that's year-over-year from first quarter of ’13 relative to the first quarter of ’12, down 7%.

Jim Ryan - Morningstar

Analyst · Morningstar

What's the change do you know on a sequential basis from the fourth quarter?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Sequential basis it was down 14% so we've seen a deceleration in refi activity in the last few months and that's a trend that's kind of been happening since the December of 2012. But just in April, we are starting to see a surge in refis as mortgage rates have come down during the month.

Jim Ryan - Morningstar

Analyst · Morningstar

Okay. And one final question, I would like to know if you could get a better handle on the total C&I revenues to your total revenue. Now I know that you -- what you report there is what comes through your national order system, but I am wondering on a direct basis I know you can't do it for agents, what would you guess to be about the percent of C&I revenue compared to total title revenue?

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

Jim, we don't break it out and I don't want to just guess at that number. The number we are using right now is coming from our National Commercial division itself, so maybe offline I'll take a look at it and we can get back.

Jim Ryan - Morningstar

Analyst · Morningstar

Okay, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from John Campbell with Stephens Inc.

John Campbell - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens Inc

So just two quick questions here. First, so on the HARP extension to 2015, I mean obviously good news, but if you guys could just talk a little bit about kind of what that means for you guys and maybe just give us an idea kind of where your heads at as far as just that total bucket or total pool of remaining HARP refis?

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

Sure. This is Dennis. We are pretty optimistic right now. I think the HARP program gained momentum in ’12. I think that momentum will continue into ’13, number one. Number two, it's clearly its benefit for us going in to ‘14 and ‘15 and I think it's a broader probably trend on our refinance right now. When we started the year, we were expecting a fairly steep drop off in refinances with current reduction rates, the HARP extension. We're a little more optimistic now in our refinance volumes going throughout the year. So we actually think we're going to have a pretty good trend on refinance down but a more positive trend than we started the year.

John Campbell - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens Inc

Okay, great. And then, did I hear you guys correctly in that you are seeing that those purchase or resale volumes trending up 21% year-over-year in April?

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

We did. We’ve got a good start to spring. We're optimistic that that will last well under the summer. We were up 21% year-over-year right now.

John Campbell - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens Inc

And then, 1Q was 13%?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, the first quarter was -- our opens were up 13% on the resale side relative to the first quarter of 2012.

John Campbell - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens Inc

Okay. And so, I mean, if you take a look at the [MBA] expectations out there, I think they are looking for 18% year-over-year for ‘13. I mean where do you guys stand against that?

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

Again, I think we're trending at their forecast now, right now, maybe a little better. The real question will be how long does it last and we are encouraged by now with what we're seeing.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Mark DeVries with Barclays. Your line is open.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Yes, thanks. What about to the increase in the provision rate for the current policy year relative to 4Q, it looks like it was 5.6% versus 5.1% in the fourth quarter?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

There is nothing that’s specifically led to it. The last couple of years, ’10, ‘11 and ‘12, we've been around 5%, 5.0%. I think we are just looking at 5.6% in 2013, because we have just taken a considerably view going into the year. Certainly if the experience performance better than that, we will take it down.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Okay. So 5, 6 is the run rate for 2013, we should expect?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I would say that for the current policy year, I think 5.6 is appropriate. When you just look at what we are actually provisioning on the P&L, probably 6.5% to 7% is probably a more reasonable estimate in terms of what to expect for the remainder of the year.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Okay. I apologize if you covered this, but what was the percentage of opening close orders that were refi in the first quarter?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

In the first quarter the percentage of refi was 64% in Q1, that’s on the open side, on the closed side, it was 70%.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Okay. And through April so far you can look in same mix?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

April, it’s a little bit lower, April is probably 62% or 63% on the open side, similar on the closed.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Okay. How much revenue are you currently generating from default information products and how do you expect that to trend in 2013?

Dennis Gilmore

Chief Executive Officer

Let me answer the broader question if Mark can cover the actual revenue amount, (inaudible) actually here in this segment. We have seen an overall reduction in our TSG business in our default world up from the foreclosure moratoriums etcetera, but we have offset that by a nice uptick in our default information business that’s associated with workout short sales and modifications. So it's been a nice offset for us.

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

And in the first quarter, we had 47 million of default revenue.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Okay great. And then finally, what's your outlook for commercial volumes in 2013?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

They are actually strong and to say we continue to be strong, we’re actually quarter-over-quarter up 7%, that was with that pulling effect we saw late early in the first quarter and we are seeing strength right now across all marketplaces and asset classes right now. So, what I would anticipate modest growth in our commercial business in 2013.

Mark DeVries - Barclays

Analyst · Barclays. Your line is open

Okay. With this 7% grow, that would kind of be in the ballpark?

Mark Seaton

Chief Financial Officer

Again we don't give the specific forecast, I would just say we expect modest growth in the business across there.