David Gamsey
Analyst · Needham
Thank you, Scott, and good morning, everyone. Let's begin on Slide 7. Our fourth quarter revenues were $212.6 million flat versus the prior year and up 1.8% to $216.3 million on a constant currency basis. This was compared to exceptionally strong revenue growth of approximately 36% in the fourth quarter of 2021. On a sequential basis, revenues grew approximately 3% compared to Q3 2022. In our Americas segment, revenues of $188 million were up 3% from Q4 2021 which is incremental to the strong Q4 of 2021, which was up 26.7%. We saw a slowdown in hiring begin in late November in the U.S. which was more pronounced and earlier than we anticipated. U.S.-based growth, which represents like-for-like hiring within our existing base went slightly negative though we were able to overcome and still achieve growth through our new logo and upsell performance. In total, Americas represented 88% of consolidated revenues in the quarter. In our International segment, revenues of $26.2 million were down 17.6% from Q4 2021 as we cycled over a strong Q4 of '21, which had 83.8% year-over-year organic growth. On a constant currency basis, our Q4 revenues would have been $3.5 million higher or down only 6.6% year-over-year. Demand in our EMEA region continued offset by lower volumes and negative base growth in our APAC and India regions. Several countries within the APAC region continued to feel the impact of COVID-19 restrictions during the fourth quarter. Most of those restrictions have now been lifted, and as a result, we now expect to see some recovery in these regions, primarily Hong Kong and China in the next several months. In the fourth quarter, year-over-year revenue decline from existing customers was $13.7 million and can be attributed to both our Americas and International existing customer bases. Revenues from new customers contributed a positive $8.3 million or approximately 4% to our year-over-year growth. Upsell was also a positive contributor to our growth. Revenues from our acquisitions contributed $5.4 million during the quarter as we lapped our corporate screening and MultiLatin acquisitions from November 2021. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $70.3 million, an increase of 1.2% compared to Q4 of 2021, during which we grew adjusted EBITDA by over 55%. FX also had an impact on profitability and on a constant currency basis, our adjusted EBITDA would have been approximately $1.2 million higher or $71.5 million. On a sequential basis, adjusted EBITDA grew approximately 10% compared to Q3 2022. Flat year-over-year revenues in a difficult FX environment impacted our adjusted EBITDA growth rate. However, despite these factors, we were still able to expand our adjusted EBITDA margin by 40 basis points year-over-year to 33.1% and an impressive 190 basis points on a sequential basis. As Scott mentioned, we have effectively executed our cost savings playbook to address the near-term demand environment, leveraging our flexible cost structure and removing costs from the business as we saw demand shift. Specifically, we began taking measures to reduce our overall cost structure including rationalization of facilities and selectively lowering headcount throughout the organization to match demand. Given our technology and automation efforts as well as our move to a hybrid working model for our employees, we do not anticipate these costs coming back into the business even as demand grows. Our cost savings approach enables us to continue to remain agile and responsive as the macroeconomic environment evolves in the coming months. Additional headwinds which we had identified and discussed last quarter and which we were able to grow over included year-over-year increases in insurance premiums and third-party verification costs and the mix impact of integrating acquisitions with historically lower margins. Adjusted net income decreased 3.4% to $45 million from $46.5 million in Q4 2021. This was primarily attributable to higher interest expense and an increase in depreciation and amortization associated with investments in the development of our proprietary platform, partially mitigated by our interest-bearing deposits and our interest rate hedge. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.30 for the quarter. The adjusted effective tax rate for the quarter was approximately 24.3%, consistent with prior periods. Now, turning to Slide 8. Versus the prior year, our full year 2022 revenue increased 13.7% to $810 million or 15.2% to $820.3 million on a constant currency basis. This was in addition to cycling over exceptionally strong revenue growth of 39.9% in full year 2021. In our Americas segment, revenues of $695 million were up 15% from full year 2021 driven by acquisitions and new business growth. In total, Americas represented 85% of consolidated revenues for the year. In our International segment, revenues of $122.6 million were up 7.5% from full year 2021. On a constant currency basis, our International revenues would have been $9.8 million higher or 16.1% year-over-year. The increase in revenue was due to contributions from acquisitions and new customer growth offset by negative base growth in India and APAC in the second half of the year. In total, International represented 15% of consolidated revenues during the year. For full year 2022, year-over-year revenue from existing customers increased by $25.3 million and can be attributed to strength across our Americas business in the first half of the year, offset by the impact of slower hiring and the effects of changes in foreign currencies. Revenues from existing customers in our Americas segment remained positive for the year, but declined in the fourth quarter. Revenues from new customers contributed $35.4 million or approximately 5% to our year-over-year growth. Revenues from acquisitions contributed $37 million during the year. Adjusted EBITDA for full year 2022 was $248.9 million, an increase of 10% year-over-year. Overall revenue growth attributable to new and existing customers primarily during the first half of the year, selective price increases, cost reductions implemented primarily in the second half of the year, acquisitions and cost structure benefits due to increased automation, operational efficiencies and operating leverage were partially offset by those items previously discussed. On a constant currency basis, our adjusted EBITDA would have been approximately $3.4 million higher or $252.3 million. Our adjusted EBITDA margin was solid at 30.7% for the full year 2022. Adjusted net income increased 9.9% and to $156.5 million from $142.4 million in full year 2021. This was largely due to the drivers of our adjusted EBITDA growth offset in part by interest expense and an increase in depreciation and amortization. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.03 for the year, an increase of 2% year-over-year. Excluded from the adjusted net income calculation is the $11.4 million gain associated with our interest rate swap, which represents the difference between the fair value gains or losses and actual cash payments and receipts. On a pretax basis, this represents $0.07 per share for the full year. We have excluded this positive gain from our adjusted net income from comparability purposes. The adjusted effective tax rate for the year was approximately 24.7%, consistent with prior periods. Slide 9 is included to demonstrate our track record of delivering growth across the business cycle. We are very pleased with our 3-year track record with a total compound annual revenue growth rate of 19%, illustrating the strength of our operating model. Turning to Slide 10. You can see our history of adjusted EBITDA growth and margin consistency. Over the last 3 years, our total compound annual adjusted EBITDA growth rate was 26% with a high quality of earnings. Despite the softening hiring environment in the fourth quarter of 2022 and flat revenues, we still expanded adjusted EBITDA margins 40 basis points to 33.1%, underscoring our ability to manage costs through our dynamic and flexible cost structure. Turning now to cash flow, leverage and capital allocation on Slide 11. We ended 2022 with a record level of cash and cash flow from operations as well as a healthy balance sheet with very low leverage. We continue to prioritize deploying our capital in ways that create the most value for our shareholders, including returning a portion of our cash through our share repurchase program. For full year 2022, cash flow from operations was a robust $212.8 million, up 43% year-over-year due to our strong cash flow conversion which we expect will continue going forward. During the year, we spent $28.5 million on purchases of property and equipment and capitalized software development costs and $60.5 million under our share repurchase program. In the fourth quarter, operating cash flows increased 8% to $70 million. We spent $6.2 million on purchases of property and equipment and capitalized software development costs and $58.3 million under our share repurchase program. We started and ended the year with total debt of $565 million and grew cash and cash equivalents to $392 million up $99 million year-over-year after funding the Form I-9 Compliance acquisition and after repurchasing approximately $61 million in stock. We also have $100 million in untapped borrowing capacity under our revolving credit facility with no outstanding balances. Based on our full year 2022 adjusted EBITDA of $249 million, we had a net leverage ratio of 0.7x as of December 31. Over the last 12 months, net leverage has declined from 1.2x. Our debt structure has us well positioned for the rising interest rate environment. We have an interest rate collar with approximately 50% of the long-term debt capped at 1.5%, 1-month LIBOR rate through February 2024 and we have no principal payments due before 2027. We further hedged another approximately 20% of our long-term debt earlier this month. Our interest rate exposure on the unhedged amount of our debt is currently offset by our interest earnings on cash deposits. Our strong balance sheet, ample dry powder, low leverage and expectations for continued free cash flow generation enable us to flexibly deploy capital. We continue to evaluate M&A opportunities that align with our strategic priorities, which include adding or expanding vertical capabilities, expanding internationally and acquiring complementary solutions, data or technologies. Using a thoughtful and targeted approach, we will continue to selectively invest in technology, automation, product innovation and sales initiatives that drive organic growth. Additionally, today, we announced that our Board of Directors has increased our existing $150 million share buyback program by an additional $50 million. We believe that at the current stock valuation, share repurchases are an excellent use of our capital. As a reminder, we currently have $392 million of cash on our balance sheet and we generated operating cash flow of $213 million in 2022 and $70 million in Q4 alone. No shares under the existing plan will be purchased from Silver Lake or its affiliates. Through February 23, 2023, we have repurchased $75.7 million of common stock or approximately 5.8 million shares. Including the increased authorization, we have $124 million remaining under the program. Especially in today's environment, we believe it is important to maintain a healthy balance sheet, conservative capital structure and flexible leverage profile. With significant dry powder and consistently strong cash flow generation, we expect to fund future acquisitions from available cash on the balance sheet. We routinely evaluate our capital allocation priorities to achieve a balance between M&A, returning capital to our stockholders and investing in the continued growth of the company to maximize shareholder value. Slide 12 introduces our guidance for full year 2023. Based on the current environment and discussions with our customers, our 2023 guidance assumes that existing macroeconomic conditions, foreign currency headwinds and hiring trends that we are currently experiencing will continue through most of 2023 with modest improvement in the second half of the year, along with easier year-over-year comps. Specific to our existing customer base, our guidance assumes a continuation of the slower hiring environment we began to experience in late November. We expect customer retention to remain in line with our stellar historical performance of over 96% and successful execution of upsell and new logo additions consistent with prior years offsetting macro-driven base declines. As a result of the above, we expect to generate full year 2023 revenues in the range of $770 million to $810 million resulting in flat to negative 5% year-over-year growth, all of which is organic. On a constant currency basis, we expect revenues of $774 million to $814 million, with the high end of the range exceeding prior year results. As a result of the cost savings actions taken in Q4, we anticipate full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to slightly over 31%. We expect 2023 adjusted EBITDA in the range of $240 million to $255 million, representing negative 4% to positive 2% year-over-year growth. This further demonstrates our commitment and ability to manage costs and maintain what we believe are industry-leading margins. We expect our 2023 adjusted net income to be between $145 million and $155 million, primarily due to the previously discussed factors. This year, we are introducing adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to provide additional visibility into our business. We expect our 2023 adjusted diluted EPS to be between $1 and $1.07. This assumes the continued execution of our share buyback program. We have included a summary of these and other selected modeling assumptions on Slide 12. Looking now at the quarterly phasing of our 2023 guidance. Based on actual financial results to date, we expect Q1 year-over-year consolidated revenues to decline 8% to 11% as the macroeconomic headwinds previously described continue and we cycle over Q1 2022, which saw exceptionally high revenue growth of 44%. We do have seasonality in our business. And historically, the first quarter has typically been our slowest quarter of each fiscal year. In Q2, we expect sequential revenue growth, though it will still be negative on a year-over-year basis. We will also be cycling over a double-digit revenue growth in Q2. We anticipate adjusted EBITDA growth rates to slightly exceed revenue growth rates for the full year. Regarding the phasing of adjusted EBITDA margins, we expect Q1 adjusted EBITDA margins to be between 27% and 28%, consistent with Q1 of the prior 2 years. Please keep in mind that Q1 typically represents their lowest margin quarter as a result of seasonality. Starting with Q2, we expect adjusted EBITDA margins above 30% and to improve in the second half of the year following a similar pattern to 2022. We expect our full year adjusted EBITDA margins to be approximately 31%, additional evidence of our focus on managing the business for profitability and leveraging our flexible cost structure. We remain confident in our proven formula to grow above our underlying market and reiterate our long-term organic revenue growth target of 8% to 10%. We will remain vigilant on dynamically managing our cost base and focus intently on the things we can control. We have successfully managed through challenging times in the past, notably during the 2020 COVID-related downturn and have a strong operating discipline and proven track record around doing so. We remain confident in our resilient operating model. Scott, I'll now turn the call back over to you.