Ed Meyercord
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is open
Thank you, Stan, and thank you all for joining us this morning. Today, we announced Q3 results towards the midpoint of our expectations. Revenue was consistent with Q2 despite Q3 being typically a seasonally weak quarter for Extreme. We landed on revenue $251 million versus the guidance of $247 million to $257 million and had non-GAAP earnings of $0.08 per share. Our Agile Data Center and Automated Campus were our best performing solutions pillars and grew quarter-over-quarter, highlighting our improved execution and our previously acquired assets. The results and our outlook for fiscal 2020 validate our acquisition strategy and our team’s ability to execute. While it took us longer than expected to achieve the desired performance metrics with our acquisitions, they are clearly visible today. Revenues corresponding with our Avaya assets within our Automated Campus pillar were at $220 million run rate, the sequential growth for two quarters in a row. When we acquired these assets, we targeted $200 million. So, we’re ahead of that plan and we’ve added 10 gross margin points since the acquisition, which was just shy of our 60% long-term target during the quarter. Customers are embracing our Automated Campus solution because of how easy it is to segment and secure enterprise networks that can’t be hacked with our Layer 2 fabric. When combined with our Smart OmniEdge solution with our XMC single-pane-of-glass software, we deliver our fabric to the edge and provide end-to-end visibility, match analytics and security with a single data base for all devices connected to the network and all network elements. In contrast, our competitor’s solutions run multiple OSs and third-party management software and is very complicated and expensive to deploy. Our field is embracing it, our partners are embracing it and our customers are deploying it. Our teams and partners who achieve their master specializations and are our technology solutions are growing significantly. And in terms of our product roadmap in our Automated Campus, we have more products and a vast roadmap over the next 12 months than we did in the past three years. Customers have confidence in the roadmap and it’s translating into results. Marrying our Automated Campus switching with our wireless and software offerings is helping us drive sales. All-in, our software applications revenue grew 19% year-over-year. Our Agile Data Center business is also performing well. Products and services from our SRA acquisition are at $200 million run rate, well above the $160 million to $180 million that we reset heading into Q1. Agile Data Center revenue was the highest in the past three quarters. Our new products are also driving results in this pillar for used cases such as data center, interconnect, border routing and others aided by SLX 9640 switch. From a vertical standpoint, we’re seeing lots of success in the government and healthcare verticals. In retail, we’re seeing lots of large opportunities going into fiscal ‘20 that are now focused on switching, validating the strategic rationale of our acquisitions. Our biggest Zebra customers were wireless only and are now embracing our switching portfolio. Heading into fiscal ‘20, we’re also expecting to see growth in our education vertical based on strong E-Rate wins and higher ed coming through in fiscal 20. Our E-Rate filing dollars grew 50% year-over-year, some of those opportunities will flow through in Q4 but we expect to see most of that flow through in fiscal ‘20. We continue to win large deals as customers embrace a broader set of our solutions. During the quarter, we had 17 deals over $1 million, representing software products and services across our solutions pillars, similar to Q2. We’re growing our total pipeline of large opportunities for the next four quarters. Asia showed the strongest growth among our geographies, up 21% year-over-year and 5% quarter-over-quarter with a strong pipeline of large deals. In the EMEA region, our field and partner adoption of our Automated Campus solution has gained significant movement when we saw pickup at our Agile Data Center pillar as well. However, in Europe, macroeconomic issues are affecting demand, particularly in German where the uncertainty of Brexit is affecting manufacturing exports. This began to take effect in Q3 and is leading us to be more conservative in our outlook for the next quarter. At the Americas, we experienced continued growth in our government vertical year-over-year. Revenues impacted by softness in the case of K-12 vertical, macroeconomic issues in LatAm along with tough comps in retail and service provider on a year-over-year basis. We continue make progress in our tariff mitigation plans in U.S. To-date, we moved 40% of our product manufacturing to Taiwan for products that shipped into the U.S. to be exempt from tariffs at the end of March. We’re balancing the risk and opportunities of the U.S.-China trade discussions since our Taiwan standard costs are 4% to 6% higher than in China. Our first WiFi6 products are now commercially available and shipping to customers with important key wins in our stadium vertical. Customer momentum is building with significant growth in our WiFi6 pipeline. We are witnessing partners and customers extending the sales cycles as they evaluate this new technology and potential changes to their switching architecture. Looking ahead for the rest of the calendar 2019, we have a significant number of new products coming to market that we believe will drive growth in revenue and margin from our standard and upgraded products and software portfolio. As we noted at our Analyst Day, we are refreshing 70% of our portfolio over the next 18 months. We have 7 different product SKUs that will be GA [ph] this quarter. This is a record for Extreme. We’re very excited to share our vision of our Autonomous Enterprise and our Connect user conference coming up in two weeks. We will more than double the number of attendees from last year’s highly successful event. Our technical training sessions sold out quickly and we had to expand the number of sessions and capacity to accommodate demand. Last year, customers who attended our technical training, increased their spend with Extreme by over 60% from the previous 12 months. This is highlighting the fact the customers are partners truly engage with our technology, are embracing it and driving significant growth. This quarter, we had several exacting wins. At Brigham Young University, we deployed our Smart OmniEdge solution on 1,250 access points to cover to the 64,000-seat arena. BYU is using our analytics tools to measure granular response times down to each application fans are using and running mobile ticketing and payments on our network as well to drive the truly interactive game-day experience. The state of Connecticut also deployed our Smart OmniEdge solution and Professional Services for its new locations in Hartford, as well as Extreme Professional Services, to provide secure, reliable connectivity at one of its new locations in Hartford. The network will support multiple agencies offering critical services to state employees and residents. With this solution, the state consolidated the management of multiple agency topologies onto one network, while maintaining security and operations through segmentation. In conjunction with defense and health, we launched the Defender for IoT this quarter as a simple security device and service to protect clarity wired and wireless IoT devices from cyber attacks. This is a great example of how we partner with our customers to drive innovative solutions. We were once again named number one in Gartner Peer Insights Customers’ Choice for Wired and Wireless LAN Access; and for Data Center Networking as well. This highlights our competitive differentiation in delivering service and then value of our 100% in-sourced model. We hit a milestone with one of our digital transformation initiatives to take Zero Touch orders from customers and partners touch list orders accounted for 13% of our product orders during the quarter. Our new configure price quote tools are driving productivity with 72% of discount approvals now auto approved and the remaining 28% taking less than a day to get through, a significant performance improvement from three days historically. This means our sales teams have more time to spend with customers. In addition, our sales and supply chain operations teams drove operational efficiency in the quarter by eliminating product constrains. Typically, we expect to see 8% product constraints; in this quarter, we drove this number to 1%. We expect to return to the industry benchmark 5% during Q4, which will contribute to building backlog. Looking ahead, we are conservative into our forecast to account for headwinds that are affecting our usual strong Q4. First, macroeconomic trends in both Europe, as I mentioned earlier, and to a lesser extent in the LatAm region; second, we’re experiencing longer sales cycles in wireless as customers evaluate WiFi6 solutions and potential changes to their switching architecture; third, while our E-Rate filing performance was substantially better this year, timing and deployment is driving more revenue recognition into early fiscal ‘20; we entered Q4 with a relatively lower level of backlog, compared to prior quarters that is leading to a lower revenue outlook sequentially. We expect to finish fiscal 2019, with revenue of approximately $1 billion and up just slightly on a year-over-year basis. Our outlook for fiscal 2020 is to grow in the 3% to 5% range to over a $1 billion in revenue, and we continue to target 60% gross margins. We believe the investments we’ve made in our digital transformation will pave the way for productivity gains and operating efficiency. The combination of growth, increased gross margins and operating efficiencies allow us to target 15% operating margin, exiting fiscal ‘20. I also want to note that our balance sheet remains strong with $157 million in gross cash, and we have $45 million remaining in our share buyback authorization. I’m confident in the Extreme team and our ability to improve execution and operational efficiency as we move forward. With that, I will turn the call over to our CFO, Rémi Thomas.
Rémi Thomas: Thank you, Ed. As Ed noted, our revenues of $250.9 million declined 4% year-over-year and 1% quarter-over-quarter and were towards the midpoint of our guidance. Non-GAAP earnings per share was $0.08, towards the low end of our range. EPS was impacted by low gross margin of 57.6%, impacted by the decline in our services gross margin. Our product revenue of $190.8 million declined 6% year-over-year and was largely consistent with Q2, up 1% quarter-over-quarter. Our Data Center and Automated Campus pillars performed in line with our expectation, while our Smart OmniEdge business was impacted by challenging year-over-year comparison in the K-12 and retail verticals, particularly in North America. Services revenue of $60.1 million grew 3% year-over-year, but declined 5% quarter-over-quarter. The higher percentage of multi-year deals, as well as lower pull-through from product bookings impacted our services revenue sequentially. During the quarter, the Americas contributed 55% to total revenue; EMEA, 34%; and APAC closed out the remaining 11%. APAC was our fastest growing market where we see customers embracing our differentiated product portfolio very effectively and leading with software, as Ed mentioned. Globally, government was once again our top performing vertical for the fourth consecutive quarter. This includes both state, local, and federal government in the U.S. and internationally. The next largest verticals were service provider, manufacturing, healthcare and education to round out the top five. Our book-to-bill ratio was slightly below 1 this quarter, which is affecting our Q4 outlook and speaks to lower backlog we have as we enter Q4. We do expect, however, for our book-to-bill ratio to go back over 1, next quarter. Non-GAAP gross margin was 57.6% compared to 57.9% in the year-ago quarter, and 58.2% in Q2. The sequential decline in the Company’s total gross margin was mostly attributable to the services gross margin, which dropped 220 basis points from 61.6% to 59.4% on the back of lower revenue, as I just mentioned. We estimate that tariffs had an adverse impact of 80 basis points to total Company gross margin in Q3, consistent with our estimate entering the quarter. Our non-GAAP product gross margin of 57.1% compares to 57.5% in the year-ago quarter and 57% in Q2. Our product gross margin was flat sequentially, as the reduction in our standard cost and a favorable product mix this quarter was offset by higher than expected discounting. Q3 non-GAAP operating expenses of $130.7 million were up from $127.5 million in the year-ago quarter and from $126.6 million in Q2. The sequential increase in non-GAAP operating expenses was mainly due to higher sales and marketing expenses. On a year-over-year basis, the increase in operating expenses resulted primarily from higher R&D and slightly higher overhead in G&A, given our larger footprint. As a result, our operating margin of 5.6% compares to 9.3% in the year-ago quarter and 8% in Q2. Free cash flow of $12.7 million compared to use of cash of $24.7 million in the year-ago quarter and $23.6 million in Q2. Year-to-date, we generated $63.3 million in free cash flow compared to use of cash of $23.7 million in the same period a year ago, driven by improved collections, improved working capital, lower CapEx and the non-recurrence of one-time integration and restructuring costs related to last year’s acquisitions. We do expect sustained cash flow generation despite the lower level of profitability we expect in Q4. Our total cash balance at the end of Q3 was $156.8 million, up from $140.6 million at the end of Q2. We did not repurchase any stock during the quarter. DSO of 51 days fell 14 days year-over-year and 2 days quarter-over-quarter. On a sequential basis, the strong collections drove DSO lower. Our cash conversion cycle stood at 60 days compared to 51 days a year ago, but down from 78 days in Q2. We also made significant progress in growing out deferred revenues to $187.7 million compared to $156.6 million in the year-ago quarter and $186.1 million in Q2 on growth of services bookings and specifically multiyear renewal offerings. My focus since joining the Company in November 2018 has been to transition our platforms, processes and systems to become more depth at selling and driving software and cloud-based revenue for the Company. These initiatives are now underway as we just went live with our new licensing entitlement platform now currently designing our lead-to-cash process for selling software-as-a-service. Another key initiative is around driving efficiency and taking control of cost actions we need to take to support our business. We’re dedicating more efforts in SG&A to improve our demand planning process, forecast accuracy for bookings, revenue and gross margin, and improved overall operational efficiency. We’re preparing for real changes heading into fiscal ‘20 planning cycle with for example, the introduction of a significantly more differentiated approach to R&D investments in our portfolio, based on the product lifecycle. We expect these actions to position us to achieve a 15% operating margin on an exit run rate by the end of fiscal 2020. Now, turning to guidance. As Ed mentioned, we face several headwinds going into what is a typically seasonally stronger Q4. As a result, we will be taking actions to improve our operational efficiency. With that in mind, we expect total Q4 revenue to be in the range of $240 million to $250 million. Q4 GAAP gross margin is anticipated to be in the range of 52.9% to 55.1% and non-GAAP gross margin in the range of 57.5% to 59.5%. We estimate that tariffs will continue to add up to 100 basis-point impact on our overall gross margin for Q4 ‘19, including the impact of our transition to Taiwan manufacturing for effective products shipping to the U.S. Q4 operating expenses are expected to be in the range of $139.8 million to $145 million on a GAAP basis and $130.5 million to $136.1 million on a non-GAAP basis. The sequential increase in OpEx is primarily related to payroll and variable compensation costs. Q4 GAAP earnings is expected to be in the range of a net loss of $17.8 million to $12.6 million or a loss of $0.15 to $0.11 a share. Non-GAAP net income is expected to be in the range of $2.5 million to $7.7 million or $0.02 to $0.06 per diluted share. In Q4, we expect average shares outstanding to be approximately 118.9 million on a GAAP basis and 121.6 million on a non-GAAP basis, excluding the impact of any shares we may repurchase. With that, I will now turn it over to the operator to begin the question-and-answer session.