Scott Schenkel
Analyst · Evercore ISI
Thank you, Ariane, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to share our fourth quarter 2025 performance, which exceeded the high end of our guidance range with bookings and revenue up 11% and EBITDA margin expansion of nearly 4 points. As Ariane mentioned, our outperformance was driven by sustained market strength through year-end and disciplined execution across the company. We grew share in the U.S. for both hotel and Vrbo and held lodging share globally. We also saw continued strength from B2B, which was a meaningful driver to our overall performance in the quarter. Our booked room nights were up 9%, driven by continued strength in the U.S. and sequential acceleration in EMEA, where B2C once again saw its fastest growth in nearly 3 years. Growth in rest of world slowed as geopolitical issues in Asia weighed on growth in multiple quarters. Gross bookings and revenue grew 11% to $27 billion and $3.5 billion, respectively. The impact from foreign exchange was roughly in line with expectations, adding slightly over 1 point to bookings growth and about 2 points to revenue. Moving to our segment performance. B2C gross bookings of $18.3 billion grew 5%, driven by sustained momentum both domestically and internationally. B2C revenue of $2.2 billion grew 4%. Consistent with last quarter, bookings growth exceeded revenue growth primarily due to book-to-stay timing as the majority of our revenues are recorded at the time of stay. B2C EBITDA margins were 31.5%, up approximately 6 points from last year, driven by significant marketing leverage. Margins were further supported by disciplined overhead management as well as continued growth in our high-margin advertising revenues. B2B gross bookings grew 24% to $8.7 billion, with continued double-digit growth across all regions. Rapid API was again the largest contributor to growth and benefited from increased marketing activities with some of our largest partners. B2B revenue grew 24% to $1.3 billion, while EBITDA -- B2B EBITDA margins were 24%, down approximately 1 point. As we have stated previously, we will continue to prioritize investments to support future growth, which may modestly weigh on near-term margins. Moving to our cost structure, where we again leverage meaningfully across all our categories. Cost of revenue was $342 million, up 3%, but leveraging 1 point as a percentage of revenue, driven by continued efficiencies in payments and customer service. Total direct sales and marketing expenses were $1.7 billion, up 10%. We saw significant leverage in our B2C business with direct sales and marketing down 5%, leveraging 0.5 point as a percentage of B2C gross bookings. This was offset by growth in B2B expense, which reflects partner commissions and is recognized at the time of stay. Overhead expenses were $640 million, roughly flat versus last year while leveraging over 2 points on revenue. As a reminder, last year, we implemented a series of cost reductions, which had a meaningful impact on the margin in the back half of the year and expect those actions to favorably impact the first half of '26. Additionally, we've already taken action in January with our product and technology organizations to simplify and become more efficient. While we'll be using much of the savings to strategically rehire in key areas like AI and machine learning, these type of actions will favor margins as well. Turning to profitability. We delivered fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $848 million with a margin of 24%. The nearly 4 points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion was driven by revenue growth, expense leverage and cost out, particularly within B2C direct sales and marketing. Adjusted EPS of $3.78 grew 58%, outpacing EBITDA growth due to share repurchases and a lower tax rate. Moving to our cash position. We ended the quarter with $5.7 billion of unrestricted cash and short-term investments, and we remain committed to maintaining debt levels consistent with our investment-grade rating. Free cash flow for the year was $3.1 billion and reflects the strength of our operating model and disciplined execution of our strategic priorities. In Q4, we utilized $255 million to repurchase 1.1 million shares of our common stock. And since 2022, we have repurchased over 45 million shares, reducing our share count by 22% net of dilution. We remain committed to returning capital to shareholders. We intend to continue opportunistic share repurchases at a pace similar to recent years and today are raising our quarterly dividend by 20% to $0.48 a share. Turning to our outlook. Our guidance reflects strong bookings momentum as we enter Q1 while remaining appropriately cautious given ongoing macro uncertainty. For the first quarter, we expect gross bookings growth to be between 10% to 12% with revenue of 11% to 13%. At current exchange rates, this assumes foreign exchange tailwinds of approximately 3 points to bookings and 4 points to revenue and implies stability in growth at the upper end of the range. For EBITDA, we expect EBITDA margins to be up 3 to 4 points. As a reminder, the first quarter is our lowest EBITDA quarter, so the benefits of our prior cost actions will have an outsized impact in Q1 relative to other quarters. For the full year, we expect gross bookings growth to be between 6% and 8% and revenue of 6% to 9%, including 1 and 2 points of FX tailwind, respectively. Similar to our Q1 guidance, the upper end of our range implies stability in growth on an FX-neutral basis, while the lower end of the range reflects a more cautious view given the dynamic macro environment. We experienced variability in bookings during 2025, and our '26 outlook assumes a more seasonal cadence similar to what we saw in 2024. Regarding EBITDA margins, as we noted last quarter, we expect a more moderate pace of expansion in 2025 as we lap the benefits from our 2025 headcount reductions and marketing optimization. With this in mind, we do expect full year margins to expand by 100 to 125 basis points as we maintain cost discipline while selectively reinvesting in growth initiatives. In closing, I'm proud of the progress the team delivered in 2025, driving faster site performance, a leaner cost structure and more efficient marketing, all of which strengthen our confidence in the outlook shared today. With clear momentum across our strategic priorities, we are well positioned for long-term profitable growth and remain confident in our ability to execute and create shareholder value in 2026 and beyond. With that, we will now open the call for questions.