Earnings Labs

East West Bancorp, Inc. (EWBC)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 23, 2020

$124.52

-0.37%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to East West Bancorp's First Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note, today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Julianna Balicka, Director of Strategy and Corporate Development. Please go ahead.

Julianna Balicka

Analyst

Thank you, Eric. Good morning, and thank you everyone for joining us to review the financial results of East West Bancorp for the first quarter of 2020. With me on this conference call today are Dominic Ng, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Irene H. Oh, our Chief Financial Officer. We would like to caution you that during the course of the call, management may make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding events or future financial performance of the company within the meaning of the Safe Harbor Provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may differ materially from the actual results due to a number of risks and uncertainties. For a more detailed description of risk factors that could affect the company's operating results, please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019. In addition, some of the numbers referenced on this call pertain to adjusted numbers. Please refer to our first quarter earnings release for a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures. During the course of this call, we will be referencing a slide deck that is available as part of the webcast and on the Investor Relations site. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded, and we will also be available in replay format on our Investor Relations website. I will now turn the call over to Dominic.

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Thank you, Julianna. Good morning. Thank you, everyone, for joining us for our first quarter 2020 earnings call. Before we go into our financial results, let me take a moment to express that our thoughts are with those who are affected by COVID-19, and thank all the frontline and essential workers for their resilience and perseverance through this difficult time. We at East West recognize that banking is an essential service, and we have been laser focused on supporting our customers and the communities that we serve through these volatile and unprecedented situations. As an organization, we quickly mobilized to ensure continuity of operations and to maintain the level of customer service and responsiveness that our customers have come to rely on. Our associates have stepped up to the challenge impressively, and I'm proud of their entrepreneur spirit and engagement in helping businesses in need navigate these difficult times. To ensure health and safety of our associates and customers, we implement enhanced safety measures, and protocols, and social distancing, first, in Greater China, and then in our domestic locations. About 60% of our 3,200 associates have jobs that can be performed remotely, and they are currently working from home. Meanwhile, our frontline branch staff and operation support teams have been placed on rotation schedules or in split team arrangements, as appropriate. We've reduced branch hours, temporarily closed geographically proximate locations, and are providing personal protection equipment, such as masks, gloves, hand sanitizer and wipes for our associates. For certain employees with jobs that cannot be performed remotely, we added premium paid and enhanced benefits to help them with any additional costs stemming from the pandemic, such as childcare or transportation. Well, everyone is pitching in. For example, for the Paycheck Protection Program, we pull in associates from teams throughout the…

Irene Oh

Analyst

Thank you, Dominic. Turning to Slide 13 for review of our allowance for credit losses, and Slide 14 for a review of our other asset quality metrics. At March 31, our allowance for credit losses totaled $557 million, or 1.55% of loans held for investment, compared to $358 million, 1.03% as of December 31, 2019. Quarter-over-quarter, the loan reserve increased by $199 million, including $125 million from the adoption of the new current expected credit loss model, or CECL accounting standard on January 1, which increased the reserve coverage on loans to 137, up from 103. During the first quarter of 2020, we booked a $74 million provision for credit losses, which increased reserve coverage to $155 million reflecting the deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and outlook as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. We attribute 77% of sufficient [ph] expense in the first quarter reserve belt, and 23% to the $1.1 billion net loan growth in the quarter. The Moody's economic scenarios inform the three models we used to calculate our CECL reserves, and as of March 31, our reserve reflects our best estimate of the future economic environment and our expected losses for remaining [indiscernible]. Furthermore, given the strength of our capital and pre-tax pre-provision earnings levels, we have the capacity to manage any losses that might be above the level of allowance as of March 31, 2020. Turning to Slide 14, you can see that outside from the increase to the reserve in the first quarter, the impact of the pandemic crisis is not yet evident in our other asset quality metrics as of March 31, 2020, and they remain strong. Net charge-offs in the first quarter were a low $900,000, resulting in a net charge-off ratio of 1 basis point of average loans annualized. During the quarter, gross…

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Thank you, Irene. For more than four decades, East West has weathered various credit cycles and macroeconomic environment, emerging stronger on the other side then every single time. I believe that with our strong capital, liquidity position and our loyal customer base, we're entering this cycle from a position of strength. During these unprecedented times, we continue to be focused on the most important task at hand for us; helping our customers navigate the challenges ahead so that they can thrive when this crisis is resolved. I've never been more proud of our associates for going above and beyond in demonstrating our East West culture and values, and I wish to thank all of them for the dedications and commitment. I will now open the call to questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today will come from Ebrahim Poonawala. Please, go ahead with your question.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

Good morning.

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Good morning.

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

I just wanted to touch upon credit in terms of -- so you made some good points around capital expense, earnings power. When you look at the loan loss reserves at 1.55 at the end of the quarter, I was wondering if you can talk about what was -- I think you mentioned like Moody's scenarios were a big thing as you sort of updated for CECL reserves. What are you assuming in that 1.55 reserve in terms of the shape of the recovery, your loss rates? If you can speak to that. And in particular, Dominic, I would really love some color around the energy book, the entertainment book; because those are two where there's a little bit high degree of concern around what -- how the losses might transpire or so?

Irene Oh

Analyst

So Ebrahim, I'll start with kind of our allowance methodology for East West. We had utilized Moody's for our stress test and that evolved with CECL, and the scenarios and the models that we used to develop our 331 CECL reserve were what Moody's published on 327. So the shape of that is -- if we're going with letters -- U-ish [ph]. And then, that's what will kind of continue to look at; as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we have three different models for CRE, C&I and then single family. And with the Moody's scenarios as a backdrop, we've also layered in our loss experience that we've had, and certainly, other factors where we look at the portfolio to ensure that we have appropriately reserved for any risks that we see.

Dominic Ng

Analyst

So on the question on -- what are the portfolio that you would like me to highlight, again?

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

So it's two things. Just -- with the C&I book, I said energy and entertainment. And if there is anything else that you're particularly worried about Dominic, that would be great.

Dominc Ng

Analyst

Okay, so energy and entertainment, double E. Okay. What I will start with, just with the energy. We shared with you earlier about we have $1.4 billion of our energy loans outstanding. The vast majority of them are the EMP reserve lending, which obviously we were very much focused on doing more reserve lending because if you look back several years ago, reserve lending was high collateral value, tend to not have as much losses and the losses that happened a few years ago, mainly in the oil services and some of the downstream and so forth. But in this cycle, things are a little bit different. Obviously, we see what the price tag looks like now, what's happening on a weekly basis, we checked out on the oil and gas prices, they obviously do not look very good, even for the EMP production loans. But yes, I said earlier, the majority of our customers do have hedges in place, and for 2020, some of them even extend beyond 2021. We'll see how much of this price depression will continue. I mean, it is lingered on well beyond 2020, obviously, many oil and gas loans, like many other banks will have these challenges; which is temporary for a few months, and then somehow it come back stronger again, or for whatever reason, there are any kind of government stimulus program that potentially can support it, that would change the dynamic. We don't know at this point. So all we can do is that, with the best estimate and being a little bit more conservative and provide as much reserve as we feel is necessary, and that's why we set aside 8% for this portfolio. Moving on to entertainment; I feel very comfortable with the entertainment portfolio today. When we first started, eight, nine years ago, many of our entertainment loans were for theatrical release production, financing, well collateralized by foreign distribution rights, tax credits and so forth. Today, most of our lending, when it comes to content development production or for streaming goes to Netflix, to Amazon, Apple, etcetera. In fact, our entertainment lending in China are predominantly to streaming; television production, and internet streaming companies, contract and so forth. So we do not have much exposure at all, we have no exposure to theatres, we have no exposure -- we have very, very few exposure with movies, and even with the movies, they are fully collateralized and already have completed with distribution rights and tax credit and so forth all available. So we feel that currently we're in a pretty good shape when it comes to entertainment business. So, anything else that you would have any concerns that you would like to ask in terms of the C&I portfolio?

Ebrahim Poonawala

Analyst

So, then only just a follow-up to that. Irene, should we expect -- or what level of reserve bill should we expect from here, if you can talk to that? And thanks for answering the questions.

Irene Oh

Analyst

Yes. Ebrahim, I think that is the question of the earning season for us and for other banks. Honestly, at this point -- and that's why we kind of had discontinued providing guidance, we simply do not have a lot of clarity on that and to even give a range. We want to make sure that we're reserving the appropriate amounts, given the risks in our portfolio, and we'll evaluate. And certainly, as we continue on in the quarter, we'll continue to look at our portfolio to see what's appropriate and book the amount that we think we need to.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Ken Zerbe of Morgan Stanley. Please, go ahead with your question.

Ken Zerbe

Analyst

Great, thanks. Good morning. I certainly appreciate all the -- I do appreciate all the new information that you've given us, especially on Slide 18, in terms of what's sort of your current rates. But is there a way you can just sort of combine all this for us? I know you're not giving guidance necessarily. But if we kind of strip out the PPP program and just really look at the core portfolio, how do you envision sort of the net impact of all the deposit and asset changes in terms of your net interest margin going into second quarter?

Irene Oh

Analyst

Well, I want to clarify the impact of PPP wasn't in for the first quarter. So that will be now really a new development for the second quarter. Certainly, with kind of where the fed funds rates are and also longer-term rates, we do expect that the margin and the loan yields will come down. We're doing our darnedest to make sure, on the funding side and on the deposit side, we're lowering rates. That's why we've provided all that transparency, Ken, about the CDs as well, and we're pricing downward of that.

Dominic Ng

Analyst

The second quarter also will be an unusual quarter because we already booked $1.5 billion of C&I loans through the PPP program. So it is not usually a normal quarter. And we -- I mean, once the second program started, we start booking some again. And so clearly, I wouldn't count that as our normal way of originating C&I loans.

Irene Oh

Analyst

I don't think we had in our prepared remarks, so I'll just share that the processing fee income that we expect from the $1.5 billion that we booked is about $40 million.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Michael Young of SunTrust. Please go ahead with your question.

Michael Young

Analyst

Hey, thanks for taking the question. Wanted to just ask on the expense side, obviously good operating efficiency again. But as revenue maybe falls, depending on the PPP program, should we expect that same level of efficiency going forward? And were there any kind of one-time expenses or true-ups this quarter that may not repeat going forward?

Irene Oh

Analyst

Yes, so the efficiency ratio will certainly be a function of the revenue number. When we look at the actual expense during the quarter, I would say there isn't anything that unusual. We are doing our jobs as a management team to ensure that we're looking at all the expenses very carefully. In any environment, we do that, but certainly now. First quarter, there's always some seasonality with payroll costs. So that's a probably about $3 million increase in first quarter. But year-over-year, pretty comparable.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Jared Shaw of Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Jared Shaw

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

Irene Oh

Analyst

Morning, Jared. Just looking at growth, you had a great growth in C&I this quarter, and then you have the PPP loans coming on, and the good SFR growth. Should we assume that that C&I is -- that this growth rate is a little more sustainable? This is different from what you've had in the last few quarters where it seems like you've been de-emphasizing CEI. Is this more a function of just higher utilization from COVID, or is this good sustainable growth at this point?

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Well, the PPP again is in the second quarter, right? So clearly, I can expect second quarter is going to be a nice C&I growth. But if we go back to the first quarter, clearly, the higher utilization is a factor for our C&I growth. We do have new customers that we brought in from other banks, and new deals that we worked on in the first -- in January and February a little bit. But when it comes to March, I think I would say the majority of the growth comes from higher utilization from our customers, private equity funds that just wanted to draw down a little bit more money from the commitment. So those are kind of things that are similar to other banks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Chris McGratty of KBW. Please go ahead with your question.

Christopher McGratty

Analyst

All right, great. Thanks. Good morning.

Irene Oh

Analyst

Good morning, Chris.

Christopher McGratty

Analyst

How you doing? I want to come back to the prior question on the margin, just to make sure I'm conceptually thinking about it. If we exclude the impact of PPP, my memory serves me, and correct me if I'm wrong, that each cut by the fed was around 10 basis points to [indiscernible]. So with six cuts, some pretty meaningful potential offsets. And I know you guys are being aggressive on the deposits. But is that the right way to think? I'm just trying to get a sense of how much of the loan yields have yet to re-price, given the dynamic with fed funds and floors. And so maybe if you could just open up about that, that'd be great.

Irene Oh

Analyst

Yes. So a lot of -- normally, we provide, as part of our investor relations deck, kind of the breakdown of our loan book by index and how much is fixed. And we can share that with you afterwards. That's not part of our earnings release deck this quarter. And the composition hasn't really changed. So if you look at that, a lot of the C&I loans, vast majority, and then also the CRE loans, have re-priced at the end of the quarter. So when we look at really where the opportunities are, one niche change. We also, with kind of the volatility and where rates were, took advantage, and entered into some lower costs, kind of pay fixed swaps to kind of help reduce our funding costs as well. So there are things that we've done to take advantage of kind of the dislocation in the market, and to help as far as on the funding side. Kind of to add to my earlier kind of prepared remarks, I think our opportunity really is on the cost side of what we can do to lower that in a more rapid pace. But I think if, round numbers here, if we look at it, ex-PPP, we do think that the min can go to a little over 3% because of our ability to take down the deposit costs. And we'll outperform, let's say 10 basis points over 25 rate cuts.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Brock Vandervliet. Please go ahead with your question.

Brock Vandervliet

Analyst

Thanks very much. Good morning. Just a follow up on an earlier expense question. Do you kind of view this as -- I know you're looking at expenses all the time, but do you view this dislocation as exactly that, or something that may be more lasting and warrants a harder look on the expense side?

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Well, I think that no one really knows this pandemic. In fact, that's reason why most banks are not providing guidance, because we really don't know how's it going to turn into. Is it going to be sitting at home for another month or so, or is it sitting at home for another three months? And when the economy does come back, is it a V shape or U shape? To what extent people can -- some industries have a hard time to come back because lifestyle changes, and so forth. There are many, many, many questions out there that people would need to ask. And then how does the economy return into after the pandemic? And no one knows. We have the opportunity to look at what's happening in China because our Greater China team started dealing with the pandemic in late January, when it was a -- pretty much a whole country complete shutdown, and for an extended period of time. We saw that the factory workers are going back to work, banking is more or less now getting back like usual. But then there are still certain types of business are not doing as well like others. So we're going to need to look at what's going to happen to U.S. because U.S. is not China. So behavior are going to be different. At this stage, I think you can sort of rest assure. East West has always been very proactive in managing our business. So we feel it's appropriate to take a much more aggressive reduction of expenses. We would definitely want them looking actively into it. And if we see that is something that we're not sure what it is, temporary or permanent, I think that we would not be unwise to start taking down, let's say sooner infrastructure to hurt our long-term growth opportunity. We're always nimble. While we're always nimble and we move really, really fast, the fact is we are much more long-term driven in terms of looking into sustainable, profitable, and attainable growth in the long run, more than just any kind of quarter-by-quarter kind of results. So that's the kind of philosophy we have. And that's what we're going to do. And watching it on a daily, weekly basis, and see what we need to do.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Lana Chan of BMO. Please go ahead with your question.

Lana Chan

Analyst

Hi, good morning. I wanted to see if you could give us how much of your loans has had payment deferral so far.

Irene Oh

Analyst

Sure, Lana. If I look at the numbers here -- well, I'll start with C&I and commercial real estate or commercial loans. As of March 31, the actual modifications and forbearances were actually pretty low, about $80 million. As of today, we probably doubled that, so $160 million. I would share though, on top of the $160 million, there probably another $400 million, as far as loans, where we're having conversations with borrowers who have asked for some sort of modification. I'll also add that, in the month of March, we wanted to make sure that we could help our business customers, particularly the small business customers who were suffering with the shut ins and the frenetic nature of things then. And then we did offer a kind of accommodations for them, largely to help them, give them the frenetic nature of what was happening more so than from the perspective of concern about the cash flow. So that's something that we also did as well. So those numbers are a little bit higher. But it was short term in nature. On the single family side, we have also -- and we're in states where there are a lot of kind of other programs from governors as far as modifications put in place. If we look as of March 31, the total amount of deferred payments was about $7 million on a balance of approximately $400 million. Now, I don't have that specific today, but certainly, those numbers have come up from there.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Gary Tennor of D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead with your question.

Gary Tennor

Analyst · your question.

Thanks, good morning. I'm just wondering if you could just talk about how you're planning to fund the PPP loans. Will it be through a balance sheet liquidity or through one of the programs?

Irene Oh

Analyst · your question.

Yes. At this point in time, we have strong deposits, and we are funding the PPP program through our liquidity that we have. We do expect though that we would likely -- we filed the paperwork -- will likely, with those loans, pledge them, and use the PPPL program to fund part of it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from David Chiaverini of Wedbush. Please go ahead with your question.

David Chiaverini

Analyst · your question.

Hi, thanks. So I had a follow up on Slide 18, where you provided the spot rates on deposits. I was wondering if you could provide the spot rate on loans. And then I had a follow up on the loan modifications and deferrals. How far out are you going? Are you doing three months? And are you willing to go further if the lockdowns persist?

Irene Oh

Analyst · your question.

So I'll start with the forbearances and the modifications for single family. Most of the ones that we have done are three, and we'll roll that forward to another three if the borrowers need it. On the commercial side, it varies much more so. But at this point in time, I don't think we've done any modifications or have any plans to that are beyond six months. Certainly, if the customer needs it, if the environment is very different, we will extend that out. And we're very flexible as far as from the perspective of what we need to do to limit our lost content. On the spot rate of the loans as of April 21, I don't believe I have that information in front of me, David. Julianna and I can get that for you after the call.

Dominic Ng

Analyst · your question.

I want to add also for these single family mortgages, because the LTV is so low, as I highlighted earlier, that we actually only have 6% of our customers in the single family mortgage portfolios that have more than 60% LTV. So it's actually quite comfortable to make any kind of payment deferral arrangement because if we tack on these additional deferrals, and the LTV would still be extraordinarily low, so the loss likelihood is zero. And we have very, very similar situation for our commercial real estate, obviously, with a very, very low LTV again, all across the board. Again, any kind of deferral, if we need to make, it really doesn't make any difference in terms of potential losses going forward. So we are very, very comfortable about working with these customers to help them on this temporary transition. And frankly, many of our commercial customers, let's say in the hotels, and hospitality, and restaurant business, do get PPP so that they will be able to get by with the PPP funding for the next two months or so. So hopefully, they will not even need to get much help from us. We'll see.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Dave Rochester of Compass Point. Please go ahead with your question.

David Rochester

Analyst · your question.

Hey. Good morning, guys.

Irene Oh

Analyst · your question.

Good morning, Dave.

David Rochester

Analyst · your question.

I appreciated all the color on some of the social distancing exposures in the deck. Was just wondering if you had your total for leveraged loans as well. And just to follow up on energy credit, how far along are you guys in that spring red determination process, and how much are you seeing those lines come in as a part of that, and where's your price deck now? Thanks.

Irene Oh

Analyst · your question.

So, Dave, I'll start with the leveraged lending exposure. As of March 31, we had about $1 billion in leveraged lending. And historically, and kind of related to that, we've had a Term B portfolio, and that, as of March 31, was $960 million. Obviously the leverage lending of the Term B portfolio correlate quite a bit together. On the energy loans and kind of the spring redetermination, we've started that process, from our conversations and the feedback we're getting from the team and the evaluation that we're doing, about 20% in. Some of those lines certainly have been cut, and we expect that that will continue.

Operator

Operator

Our final question today comes from Lana Chan, as a follow-up, with BMO. Please go ahead with your question.

Lana Chan

Analyst

Hi, thank you. Just wanted to follow up with the follow-up plans for continuing with the stock buyback, given the COVID situation.

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Well, we obviously have plenty of capital, in fact. And so finally, I think in early March, we made the announcement of the buyback program. Didn't last long because by the time we got through less than two weeks, this earnings period coming soon, so we in the dark period, and then wasn't able to execute. But in the meantime, right around the same time, we all get locked down and sit at home. So from that perspective, I think that we will continue to evaluate with our Board. I mean, we already got the authorization of $500 million. We have only used up hundreds, some odd, millions. We still have plenty of capital. But at this stage right now, we will continue to evaluate. And then as feel that the stock price is at the level that warrants for us to potentially do more buyback, we will definitely consider that. And so we'll just take it week-by-week, and then look at the market condition, and then go from there. I think the beauty is that we have the ability to do it, and we have plenty of capital to do it. But we also don't have to do it because our profitability is still pretty strong right now.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Dominic for any closing remarks.

Dominic Ng

Analyst

Once again, I want to thank every one of you on getting on the call. It's really a challenging time for a lot of people, due to the pandemic that's going on and affecting people's life. And we hope that in July, when we have our calls, everything gets back a little bit more normal. Hopefully, at that time, we'll have a much more positive conversation we can talk about. Looking forward to talk to all of you in July. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you very much for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.