Peter Smith
Analyst · Cowen
Thank you, Mac, and good afternoon everyone. I’ll now provide a review of our fourth quarter and full year results and then review our financial outlook for 2017. Turning to Slide 10, you will see the fourth quarter and the full year 2016 revenue for the total company and our segment revenue details. Total revenue for the fourth quarter of 2016 was $101.9 million, up 6% compared to $95.7 million in the prior year. We had strong growth in our Business Solutions segment driven by the completion of IT consulting project in the quarter, the benefit of the CPI increase on the Banco Popular master service agreement as well as a minor increase from a recent Accuprint acquisition which closed in the December. We also continued to benefit from the year-over-year impact of our Processa acquisition. Total revenue for the full year 2016 was $389.5 million, up 4% year over year. With respect to our segment mix, in the fourth quarter merchant acquiring net revenue decreased 1% year over year to approximately $23 million, driven primarily by the Q2 contract change with Oriental bank from the merchant acquiring segment to the payment processing segment and it also reflects the anniversary of the FirstBank transaction in November. As we've experienced throughout this year, revenue growth was impacted positively by the ongoing transaction growth offset by a lower average ticket as well as other merchant mix shifts driven by the continuation of higher volumes at merchants with lower net revenue contribution, such as large retailers and the government. For the full year, merchant acquiring grew 7% year over year to $91.2 million. Payment processing revenue in the fourth quarter was $28.8 million, up approximately 4% as compared to last year. Revenue growth was driven primarily by increases in our ATH debit network and card processing volume, Processa revenue and the contribution of the Oriental contract change I referenced. As Mac mentioned, we had a contract modification that required us to defer approximately $2 million of revenue in the quarter. The modification clarified and expanded the scope of our project and extended the timeframe for delivery into 2017. As a consequence, the approximately $4.5 million in deferred revenue at year end related to the project will be recognized ratably over the approximately three remaining years of the underlying processing contract. This revenue is factored in our 2017 guidance. In the quarter transaction growth in Puerto Rico was resilient, growing approximately 8% year over year and this elevated transaction level has continued into January in part driven by increased processing of electronic payments by government agencies. We also continue to see the benefit from the mid-2016 legislative initiatives requiring the acceptance of electronic payments for small businesses. While this increased volume that we've experienced the last few quarters is encouraging, it is difficult to assess whether it will be sustained given the macro-economic uncertainty. Additionally as we anticipated, we experienced modest client losses in the quarter in Latin America of approximately $0.5 million. For the full year, payment processing grew 3% to $111.5 million driven by the same reason I just mentioned. Business Solutions revenue in the fourth quarter was strong increasing 12% to $50 million. Our growth was driven by completed IT service projects in the quarter which added approximately $2 million more than last year as well as the government tax hosting service contract signed in the year. Additionally we benefitted from the impact of the increase in the CPI index and a partial month from the Accuprint acquisition. For the twelve months period, Business Solutions grew 4% to $186.8 million. Moving to the next Slide number 11, you'll find a reconciliation of our adjusted EBITDA. We incurred severance expense of approximately $0.7 million along with share based compensation of approximately $1.8 million. Additional adjustments of $5.9 million in the quarter reflect debt extinguishment expense related to our refinancing, a software asset write-down and a fee paid to resolve a software maintenance contract matter. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $47.6 million, an increase of 2% from $46.6 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 46.7% and this represents a 200 basis point decline in our adjusted EBITDA margin compared to the prior year. Our Q4 adjusted EBITDA growth and our adjusted EBITDA margin percentage are explained in more detail on the next slide. 2016 adjusted EBITDA was $187.6 million, an increase of 1% as compared to last year and adjusted EBITDA margin was 48.2%. Moving to Slide 12, you will see a year-over-year adjusted EBITDA bridge for Q4. Starting from the left column, the bridge begins with the adjusted EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter of 2015 of 48.7%. Moving to the right, first, we were positively impacted by 20 basis points from a revenue mix which was then offset by approximately 100 basis points from the contract modification I referenced. Third, investment expense increased year over year by approximately 40 basis points primarily due to incremental investment expense related to personnel hire to support our Latin American growth initiatives. Fourth, operating tax increases were approximately 30 basis points or approximately $0.3 million in Q4. We no longer receive an expense offset related to maintenance expense, reimbursements provided for in the Popular merger agreement and this impacted us approximately 50 basis points. The impact of this maintenance reimbursement item will anniversary in the third quarter of 2017. The combined impact of these referenced items resulted in adjusted EBITDA margin of 46.7% for the fourth quarter of 2016. Moving to Slide 13, adjusted net income in the fourth quarter was $31.2 million, a decrease of 6% as compared to the prior year. Our effective tax rate in the fourth quarter was 10.9% and includes the impact of discrete tax items in the quarter that increased the rate relative to the earlier quarters in 2016. As a reminder, last year's quarterly tax rate in Q4 was 2.6% and reflected favorable impacts of tax planning initiatives put in place in the quarter. For the year-to-date period we had an effective tax rate of 9.9% as compared to 9.7% last year. Q4 adjusted earnings per share was $0.43, a decrease of 2% from $0.44 in the prior year and primarily reflects the higher tax rate in the current year quarter that’s partially offset by the benefit of a lower diluted share count as a result of our share repurchase program. Year-to-date adjusted net income was $124.7 million, up 1% and adjusted earnings per share was $1.67, up 5% from $1.59 in the prior year. Moving on to our year-to-date cash flow overview on Slide 14. Net cash provided by operating activities was approximately $168 million or a $5.6 million increase as compared to the prior year, and this includes the impact of restatement related expenses, settlement timing and other working capital timing differences. There has been an approximate $4 million decrease in restricted cash as we substituted $4 million of our unused revolver to satisfy our card network cash collateral requirement related to our card processing business. Next, we spent approximately $16 million on the Processa and Accuprint acquisitions. Capital expenditures year-to-date were approximately $42 million. This slightly exceeded our expectations and was primarily driven by unanticipated customer demand in the quarter for new point of sale terminals pursuant to existing customer contracts in Latin America. Next, we paid approximately $23 million in principal debt payments and other borrowings as well as approximately $8 million for the credit waiver amendment fee and debt issuance costs related to our recent refinancing. These outflows were partially offset by an increase of approximately $11 million in short term borrowings. And finally, year-to-date we paid cash dividends to stockholders of approximately $30 million and repurchased approximately $40 million in common stock for a total of nearly $70 million return to our shareholders. We have approximately $80 million available for future use under the company’s share repurchase program and we recently announced another $0.10 dividends to be paid on March 20, 2017 to shareholders of record as of March 1, 2017. Our ending cash balance as of December 31 was $52 million, an increase of approximately $23 million from our 2015 year end bounce. Moving to Slide 15, is a summary of our debt in the fourth quarter of 2016. Our quarter ending debt position was approximately $612 million comprised of the $52 million of unrestricted cash and approximately $663 of total short term borrowings in long term debt. Our weighted average interest rate was approximately 3.2% and our net debt to trailing twelve month adjusted EBITDA was 3.4 times reflecting the amended credit agreement which limits the cash applied to the net debt calculation to $25 million. As of December 31, total liquidity which includes unrestricted cash and available borrowing capacity under our existing revolver was $120 million. At this time, I’d like to provide you with an update on the status of our government receivables. Our receivable balance at December 31 was approximately $18 million which is essentially flat with the balance at the end of 2015 and the balance from Q3. Given the government's fiscal status we continue to monitor our receivables diligently. Moving to Slide 16, I will now provide a review of our 2017 guidance. We expect revenue to be in a range of $390 million to $400 million representing growth of zero to 3%. Our adjusted earnings per share outlook of $1.50 to $1.63 represents a range of negative 10% to negative 2% as compared to the adjusted earnings per share in 2016 of $1.67. On a GAAP basis, earnings per share is anticipated to be between $0.92 and $1.06 and a reconciliation to our adjustments -- to reconcile the GAAP EPS range to non-GAAP adjusted EPS outlook is provided in the earnings release. I will explain our key underlying assumptions now. First, the current fiscal situation in Puerto Rico presents a forecasting challenge for us but we are committed to sharing our estimates and assumptions throughout the year. That said, with respect to the revenue range we project a modest decline in Puerto Rico transaction volumes over the year as anticipated austerity measures are implemented. The impact of the Accuprint transaction is anticipated to deliver approximately two percentage points of growth in 2017 and the impact of the recent CPI index increase is anticipated to contribute approximately half a point of growth. As a reminder, the Oriental contract change that was effective this past June will have a 1% negative revenue impact through the anniversary in the first half of 2017. And finally, the range includes the anticipated client attrition in LatAm that we discussed last quarter which is anticipated to occur throughout the year. With respect to our segment revenue mix, we anticipate merchant acquiring net revenue to be slightly negative to low single digits year over year. This estimate reflects the year-over-year impact of the Oriental contract I mentioned, and the anticipated reduction in Puerto Rico transaction and sales volumes. Our payment processing segment growth is anticipated to be flat to low single digits depending on the timing of the client migration that I previously mentioned. And finally the Business Solutions segment revenue growth is anticipated to be low to mid single digits reflecting the addition of Accuprint, the CPI index impact and other IT projects expected to contribute during the year. With respect to the Puerto Rican government revenues which are approximately 7% of our total revenue, we’ve only planned for revenues based on existing contracts and have not included any potential new business or other changes to our contract since we have limited visibility into either at this time. It is important to note that a majority of our government service contracts renew in June 2017 and we have assumed that we will renew them without significant changes. Regarding margins and profitability, I want to highlight four items that are affecting our outlook: First, a lower revenue mix contribution resulting from the loss of high margin processing revenue, that is only partially offset by new business and the Accuprint acquisition; second, increased investment expense in Latin America to improve our product set and delivery capabilities; third, increased compliance and information security related expenses; fourth, increased interest and operating depreciation expenses. Additionally, in 2017 as I mentioned earlier we will continue to be negatively impacted by the termination of the maintenance expense reimbursements provided for in the Popular merger agreement throughout the first half of this year. We expect these expense increases to be only partially offset by cost and productivity actions in our plan. All of these items are considered in our guidance and combined we believe will generate adjusted EBITDA margins in a range of 46% to 47% or approximately a 100 to 200 basis point decrease in our adjusted EBITDA margin. Our operating depreciation is also anticipated to increase approximately $4 million to $32 million primarily reflecting increased point of sale terminal purchases which are depreciated over a shorter time period. As I referenced, our cash interest expense is anticipated to increase in 2017 by approximately $4 million. Approximately $2.5 million is related to our existing swap that went into effect in January and the impact of our recent refinancing. Also, we have planned for a further $1.5 million increase based on consensus LIBOR projections. Our projected stock compensation expense is $9 million to $10 million and reflects a third year of our restricted stock program and thus the first full year of vested related expense. Our effective tax rate is anticipated to be between 9.5% to 10.5% and this guidance does not reflect additional share repurchases. Weighted average diluted shares are estimated to be approximately 73.5 million shares for the year. Our capital expenditures for 2017 are anticipated to be in a range of $35 million to $45 million and this includes continued investment in our infrastructure. For further clarification in our guidance we have not included any estimates for the PayGroup transaction. In summary, we remain focused on our growth initiatives and improving our business on a sustained basis. We do anticipate some headwinds in the year as Promesa related austerity measures are implemented and look forward to competing for potential 2017 government led IT and payment initiatives in Puerto Rico as they arise. We look forward to updating you on our progress and outlook as the year unfolds. We will now open the call for questions. Operator, please go ahead and open the line.