John Weinberg
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open
Thank you, Ralph. Market conditions for M&A remained favorable in the fourth quarter of 2017, as the drivers for a healthy level of activity remained in place. Low interest rates, available credit, high equity prices, synchronized global growth and strong business confidence. Multiple catalysts, including strategic consolidation activism and sponsor activity all motivated client activity during the fourth quarter. This resulted in steady performance in key metrics. The number of transactions announced globally in 2017 increased 2% year-on-year, while dollar volume of announced transactions decreased 1% versus the 2016. Announced volumes declined 16% year-on-year in the U.S. However, the number of transactions increased 13%. The decline in volume was driven by a decline in the announced value of transactions greater than $5 billion. While default rates remained at record lows, the size of the leverage finance market is at record levels and continues to grow, sustaining restructuring activity across selected industries globally. U.S. equity issuance increased 4% in 2017 relative to the prior year. U.S. equity trading volumes continue to decline in 2017 and were down 10% year-over-year. This trend coupled with reduced research budgets and MiFID II regulatory changes are creating headwinds in the sell side marketplace. Let me quickly review the results of our Advisory business in greater detail. First full year advisory fees were $1.3 billion, 21% higher than a year ago and the highest in our history. For the fourth quarter, advisory revenues of $374.8 million are up 8% year-over-year. The composition of advisory revenues for the quarter and the year reflected strong contributions from multiple sectors and capabilities. As Ralph mentioned, we are advising on the two largest M&A transactions of the year, Qualcomm Incorporated on Broadcom Limited $129 billion unsolicited takeover and the Board of Directors of Aetna and its $77 billion sale to CVS Health. Capital Advisory grew rapidly as we experienced the strongest results in our history for our businesses focused on primary and secondary transactions for private equity and alternative investment firms. Underwriting revenues increased $44.7. In restructuring, we continue to see opportunities concentrated in select industries, principally in retail and energy. We ended the year with 87 advisory senior managing directors. The productivity of our senior - of our advisory senior managing directors globally for the 12 months ended 12/31/17 once again improved from a year - from the year ago period. Strategically we expect to build on our momentum. With our recent talent additions as key sectors, such as industrials, we are now more comprehend - we now more comprehensively cover the more important verticals in M&A, deepening the foundation of our Advisory business. We also see the opportunity to add to our global strength and are particularly focused on increasing our scale in Europe. Since the beginning of 2016 we've added 15 advisory senior management directors on a net basis, through promotions and recruiting. Our internal promotions have impacted our senior level coverage across a range of industry verticals, in particular industrials, healthcare and TMT. In addition to boosting our sector coverage, we have also enhanced our capital advisory services. Similarly, senior level external recruits have strengthened a broad range of client offerings. We now have a market leading strategic shareholder advisory group and activist’s defense team. In addition, we added strength in capital markets, financial institutions, industrials and restructuring. Geographically in Europe we are in position - a position of strength, building upon our acquisition of Lexicon Partners, with a steady addition of talent, both from external recruits and internal promotions. These new SMDs are actively working to build pipelines and to add productivity, driving future growth. Of note, most of the senior managing directors are still in the ramp-up phase of productivity, with plenty of room to grow as they mature on our platform. We will continue to add talent, adding depth and breadth to the sectors we cover and the capabilities we offer to our clients. As we look ahead to 2018, we continue to be encouraged by strong global economic growth, potentials of strategic actions by our clients given the U.S. tax reform and by increased participation from financial sponsors. There is an expectation by many that 2018 will bring large cap and global cross-border M&A and drive the market, as well as stronger volumes in Europe. Our backlog continues to be strong. Now let me turn back to Ralph to address equities and investment management.