Roger Altman
Analyst · Steven Chubak with Nomura
Good morning, everyone. The firm had its best first quarter ever in investment banking. You all know about the seasonality of this business for us and everybody else and it was major factor. So for example fourth quarters are always stronger than first quarter so that’s been the case with us for many, many years and I don’t see any reason why it will continue to be. So by first quarter standards this was very good. Investment banking revenue was up 70% to 214 million on a year-over-year basis up from 125 million a year ago. Operating income 47 million more than double last year’s first quarter, of the 214 million in total first quarter revenue advisory fees were 155 million of that, the year-end 35 fees in excess of 1 million which is about 10% above the year earlier level. The number of fee paying clients increased to 151, which is the 30% increase from 116 level of year ago. We participated in 10 underwriting transactions during the quarter and 12 other capital rising transactions in the later primarily represent fund raising for sponsors and secondary transactions for owner of LP interest. A 35% of our total banking revenue was generated by clients outside the U.S. with Europe being particularly healthy. Productivity of our partners, as you know we watch this very closely we consider it one of the most import measures, rose 20% year-over-year to 12 million, about a good figure. We finished the quarter with 73 senior managing directors, a call that we promoted six internally at the end of last year. As Ralph said, 2015 is shaping up as a particularly strong recruiting year, nine senior bankers accumulated to join the firm in 2015 and to give the flavor of this, yes on the one hand of course 20 years old as of last month, but we still have a lot of building out to do. So, we recruited a head of the new oilfield services group, a new chemicals group, a new power and utility’s group. We added on our technology team in London, we added to our equity capital market’s team, both in New York and in Silicon Valley, added to our insurance team, added to our restructuring team. All so far in 2015. Now as in the past, if we have an outsized recruiting year there will be two P&L effects, generically speaking. There will be short-term bump in our comp ratio and there will be faster medium term growth. We feel good about 2015 as a whole, in other worlds the outlook for the whole year in terms of investment banking, its possible there will be a little more seasonal than usual, meaning backend loaded but we will see on that. In terms of the environment, M&A volume levels are healthy, this is a good moment in the cycle both global announced volume, and I’m referring to dollar volume and U.S announced volume are about 13% year-over-year, that’s a wide way to look at it. They maybe down a bit from the fourth quarter but just like our own results are seasonal, M&A volume as a whole as a seasonal completed transactions volume was up 13% globally year-over-year, down interestingly about 5% in the U.S. year-over-year. The number of announced deal, not the volume of them in dollars but the number was down about 3% year-over-year. So when you put all that together you say to yourself the same thing which we said on the last earnings call, which is what’s really going on in the M&A market is the average deal size is increasing. When you see dollar volumes go up and the number of deals down or flat then by definition, the average deal size is going up and it’s an interesting dynamic because in a super strong market you’d see both go up. I have three files comments, our energy business remains very strong. There is a shift in composition of it from what we call the A&D sector which essentially means selling assets, for example like acreage, shifting over to corporate transactions, for example stock-to-stock mergers but the energy side of the equation is really quite good. As I said a moment ago, Europe base strengthening both generally for us and our backlog remains quite healthy. Back to Ralph.