Ralph L. Schlosstein
Management
Okay, let me just conclude with a few comments about the overall M&A environment in our business. As I observed many times on this call, it is a mistake to judge M&A activity or Evercore’s performance on the basis of one or even two quarters. Consequently, the measure of M&A activity that I prefer is the trailing 12 months dollar volume and the trailing 12 months number of announced transactions. For 15 consecutive quarters ending the first quarter of 2014, this measure was essentially between $2.2 trillion and $2.6 trillion were essentially flat. In the second quarter of 2014, the most recent quarter, this measure was $3.06 trillion. The first time it has been above $3 trillion since the third quarter of 2008. By contrast, as Roger pointed out, the number of announced transactions on a trailing 12-month basis, number of transactions, not dollar volume, which is a more important driver of advisory revenues, is still essentially flat. So the logical question, which Roger talked about, is, are we really seeing the beginning of a long expected recovery in M&A activity? And let me make a couple of comments on this. First, there is no question, it’s mathematical that the first half of 2014 was stronger than the first half of last year, which I might point out was a particularly weak six month period. The dollar volume of announced transactions, as Roger said, was up approximately 70% or around $700 billion and, as Roger pointed out, this increase incurred exclusively or almost exclusively like 97% in transactions larger than $5 billion. The number of announced transactions, which once again is a more important driver of revenues, was essentially flat. The dollar volume and the number of closed transactions as opposed to announced transactions also was still essentially flat, which has resulted in essentially flat revenues for the industry as a whole. If the momentum of announced transactions that we saw in the first half continues, we would expect that announced transactions will be followed in future quarters by increased closings and some increase in industry revenues. With respect to Evercore, we just finished our strongest quarter ever in terms of the number of announced transactions and, as Roger indicated, our backlogs on both risked and unrisked basis remains strong. So if the industry-wide momentum continues, we would expect that this trend could have a positive effect on industry revenues and if we sustain or continue our market share on Evercore as well. Obviously, the existence of any inceptive recovery and its strength is always difficult to predict and it’s equally difficult to predict if this recovery occurs whether industry-wide and Evercore revenues will begin to be affected in the second half of this year or next year. One thing we can say confidently however is that it is always easier to predict the past than the future. Thanks very much. We will now take any questions.