Roger C. Altman
Analyst · Douglas Sipkin with Susquehanna
Good afternoon, everybody. Hi. Well, you can see through Ralph's comments that the firm's Investment Banking business performed strongly in the third quarter. It was the strongest third quarter which that side of the business has ever had. Revenues reached $161 million, up 26% from the quarter a year ago and down 11% from the second quarter. Keep in mind that the second quarter of this year was the second best quarter the firm ever had. Advisory fees represented 94% of that total, but the remainder accounted for by Institutional Equities, Mexico equities and our investment in G5 in Brazil. Our Advisory revenues included 31 fees of $1 million or more. That compares to 30 such fees a year ago, and on this measure, it's the third best quarter in the firm's history. The overall number of fee-paying clients was 136, down slightly from the third quarter of last year, and that's our fourth best quarterly total ever. For the 9 months, we received -- of this year, we received fees from 269 clients. That compares to 255 for the first 9 months of last year. Revenues from underwriting transactions were $6 million for the third quarter and $24 million for the 9 months. And you can see this is starting to become a meaningful factor for the firm. And our Private Funds Group, one of our relatively newer businesses, generated $6 million of revenue for the quarter, which is its best quarterly result ever. Productivity-per-partner, a metric which you know, those of you who follow us closely, we pay a lot of attention to. Productivity per partner for the rolling 12-month period, which is the way we always measure it and discuss it with you, was $10.2 million, up quite sharply from $7.2 million a year ago at this time and essentially the same as the second quarter. Many of you know that Evercore generally ranks #1 on this metric among publicly owned investment banking firms. We had another strong year in partner recruiting, and I'm referring to it that way because it's finished for 2013 now. And for the year-to-date, we added 5 new partners from the outside: Scott Kamran for software; Matt McAskin for healthcare services; Keith Magnus for Singapore, the new office we've opened; Nigel Dawn, who will be running a very interesting business for us involving secondary market transactions, involving financial sponsor interests, like LP interest and, in some cases, entire sponsor organizations; Fernando Soriano, who's just now coming onboard, who will be covering Latin American and Mexican multinational corporations for us, working with our colleagues in Mexico and Brazil. In terms of our competitive position, the firm's share of the total fee pool, specifically all advisory revenues reported by publicly owned firms, hit an all-time high of 5.2% during last quarter, meaning second quarter of 2013. We don't have all the data for the third quarter yet because, of course, we require other firms to report, and then we have to analyze what they do report. But it is likely that this share increased further during the quarter which just ended. On the league tables, we slipped some during the third quarter mostly because of the $130 billion Verizon-Vodafone transaction, in which we did not participate. But more generally, our position remains strong on that standard. Through 9 months, for example, using ratings based on the number of transactions, the only independent firm in the world ahead of us was Lazard. And as you know, I'm sure you know, our P&L and everybody else's P&L is more influenced by the number of transactions on which we advise than by how big or small they are. Finally, let me say a word on the broader environment. First, on the numbers. Global M&A volume in terms of announced deals and in terms of completed deals, those 2 totals are essentially flat over the 9 months of 2013 versus the 9 months of 2012. For the third quarter itself, announced volume was up substantially and completed volume was down meaningfully. Now you might ask, why is Evercore doing so well in a flat environment like this? And there are 2 central explanations. Number one, we are gaining market share, as my statistic on the -- our share of the fee pool corroborates, gaining market share. Number two, the region of the world which is strongest in terms of overall M&A, the overall M&A volume, is the U.S. market. U.S. volume for the 9 months was $776 billion on an announced basis, for example, versus $580 billion for the 9 months of 2012, so up very nicely. Now that is the market where Evercore is strongest just because of our history. We've done a great deal of globalizing over the past 7.5 years and have -- obviously now got 1,000 people and very substantial operations all around the world. But we do remain a U.S.-centric firm in many respects, and so we're strongest in the market that's strongest. So those 2 factors tell you a lot about why Evercore continues to steam ahead and grow very handsomely, even when the broader environment is flat. Now going forward, my own view, macroeconomic conditions are neither strong -- oh, I'm sorry, macro -- I'm sorry, macro conditions for deals are neither strong nor weak, which is obviously another way of saying they're flat. But they're not -- they're just not red hot, but they're not poor either. And anybody who says they're poor, I don't quite understand that. Interest rates, of course, remain very low. They've moved back down, as you know, over the past few weeks. Ten-year treasury hit a high of 3.05%. It's now in the 2.50% range. Share prices, of course, are high, more or less at all-time highs. Historically, high share prices generate deals, low share prices don't. Yes, growth itself, economic growth itself is on the weak side, but seen as slowly, if not glacially, improving, but nevertheless improving. So the macro environment is reasonable. Will it get better? Well, of course, at some point, it will. But exactly when that is, I don't know. And if I did know, I could be phoning this in from my 400-foot yacht, which parenthetically I don't have. But the outlook for us remains, as Ralph said, a good one. Obviously, this is a strong year for the firm. Overall, when it's over, it will have been a strong year for the firm. And we're very pleased with the firm's progress on Investment Banking as a whole. I'm going to hand it back to Ralph.