Jamie Welch
Analyst · UBS. Please state your question
Good morning, everyone. And welcome to ETP 2.0. Thank you for joining us today. With me is Tom Long, who joined ETP as our Chief Financial Officer, following the merger of Regency with Energy Transfer Partners, that was completed last week. I am also joined by Kelcy Warren; Mackie McCrea; John McReynolds; and other members of our senior management team who are here to help answer your questions after our prepared remarks. We’ve got to change things up for the call this morning. With me sitting in anchors chair, Tom, will assume that role from next quarter on. We had an extremely business quarter in quarter one and we have even more than usual to talk about this morning. I'll begin with highlights from the first quarter then give a rundown of new growth initiatives and recent developments. We will then update you on our continued execution on already announced growth projects. I'll then invite Tom to provide a brief summary on Regency’s quarter one performance. We will finish with a discussion on our and update on the Regency merger and then ETE’s highlights. Following that we will take questions. As a reminder, we will be making forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities and Exchange Commission Act of 1934. These are based on our beliefs, as well as certain assumptions and information currently available to us. I'll also refer to adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow or DCF, both of which are non-GAAP financial measures. You'll find a reconciliation of our non-GAAP measures on our website. Let me start with quarter one results, I will discuss first standalone results and highlight those on a pro forma basis for the merger. We had a very good quarter overall and for the most part tracked street estimates for key ETP direct segments. Adjusted EBITDA on a consolidated ETP basis pre-merger totaled $1.15 billion, which is down $57 million, compared to the first quarter of 2014. However, please recall that first quarter 2014 benefited significantly from the Polar Vortex that was hardly if it all present in first quarter 2015 and from the sale of our AmeriGas unit ownership stake and the sales of ProLiance that occurred in 2014. Distributable cash flow attributable to ETP partners as adjusted totaled $692 million, a decrease of $52 million from a year ago on a ETP standalone basis, but above street consensus. Pro forma with the Regency merger combined adjusted EBITDA was $1.37 billion, compared to $1.34 billion for quarter one 2014. Pro forma DCF was $857 million in the latest quarter versus $844 million a year ago. Now let's go over the individual segment results. In the Midstream segment, higher volumes offset commodity price declines. I'm sure that probably surprises some people. Adjusted EBITDA on a standalone basis increased by $27 million, compared to the same period a year ago, primarily driven by an increase in fee-based revenues on assets recently placed in service in the Eagle Ford Shale and Permian Basin, and to a change in contract terms on our Southeast Texas system to fee-based from non-fee based. We also experienced lower SG&A expense in the Midstream segment due to a reduction in employee costs. Pro forma for the Regency merger adjusted EBITDA from Midstream grew by $82 million to $319 million. Gathered gas volumes on the ETP systems totaled almost 3.7 million MMBtu per day, which is up about 1.1 million MMBtu per day versus the same period last year. NGLs produced and equity NGLs continue to increase last quarter. ETP standalone production was up about 66,000 barrels per day, compared to the first quarter 2014 and pro forma for Regency, NGLs produced were up nearly 132,000 barrels a day. In the Liquids Transportation and Services segment, adjusted EBITDA increased by $38 million, compared to the same period last year, which was a nice beat versus street estimates. NGL transportation volumes on our wholly-owned and joint venture pipelines increased from a year ago by more than 131,000 barrels a day. Three quarters of that was due to an increase in NGL production from our Jackson processing plant and volumes transported to our Mont Belvieu facilities via our Justice pipeline. The remainder was from volumes transported out of West Texas on our Lone Star pipeline system as producers ramped up production. Transportation volumes totaled 438,646 barrels a day in the last quarter. Average daily fractionated volumes increased more than 69,000 barrels a day from a year ago to 226,041 due to the ramp-up of our second 100,000 barrel a day fractionator at Mont Belvieu, which was commissioned in late 2013. All-in-all, we realized significant revenue increases for transportation and processing and fractionation. In our Interstate segment we are delighted to report that adjusted EBITDA comparisons were very positive and exceeded street expectations based on high margins. We expect high margins to continue as we see the level of natural gas demand continue to drove supply for the Gulf Coast and as Mexico increases its significant volume growth plans from the U.S. Intrastate volumes were allow from a year ago due to lower production from shippers in the Barnett Shale. However, we continue to see tremendous opportunity to capture meaningful transportation volumes for Gulf Coast LNG projects to Mexico and to petrochemical markets along the Gulf Coast. In our Interstate segment transported volumes decreased by about 192,400 MMBtu per day, due to warmer weather along the Panhandle pipeline and along the Sea Robin pipeline as a result of a customer maintenance-related outage. Adjusted EBITDA for the Intrastate segment decreased about $23 million from a year ago, resulting from the lower level of new Bakken loan activity given the extreme backwarded curve that occurred during the unusually cold weather in quarter one 2014. SXL had another solid quarter in a challenging market environment with a $13 million increase in adjusted EBITDA compared with last year's first quarter. This mainly reflects expanded crude oil marketing margins and higher crude and products pipeline throughput volumes, partly offset by lower terminalling results. The Retail Marketing and Fuel Distribution segment contributed $129 million of adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter, which includes approximately $44 million from Sunoco L.P. and $85 million from the remaining Retail Marketing and Fuel Distribution assets we plan to dropdown to Sunoco L.P. over the next 24 months. The latest dropdown we announced last month included just under one-third of our legacy Wholesale Fuel Distribution business. This is entirely qualifying income. Merchandise sales more than tripled and fuel volume sold grew by 35% as compared with last year's first quarter. This is in large part due to the Susser acquisition at the end of August along with the Aloha and [Tigermarket] [ph] acquisitions. However, the prior year benefited significantly from market dynamics connected to weather and other products supply opportunities, which offset some of the improvement from acquisitions in the year-over-year comparison. Typically quarter one is the slowest quarter for Retail and while we believe this dynamic continued in 2015, the Retail segment did delivered solid results and exceeded its internal budget. From an operational perspective, we delivered same-store Retail fuel growth in our Pad 1 region and while our strikes sites in Texas and surrounding regions were impacted by demand declines in the Permian Basin and surrounding areas. Our continued strong growth in Houston and I-35 Corridor largely offset it on a same-store basis. We also delivered strong growth in same-store merchandise sales in all markets except for the impact of tobacco in Virginia markets where demand is most affected by tax regulation. The $170 million drop in EBITDA versus a year ago in the all other segment was mainly due to the disposition of our investment in AmeriGas and the sale of ProLiance in April 2014 that I mentioned earlier. And a $21 million lower contribution from our investment in PES, which is filed to go public. These three items drove most of the decline in adjusted EBITDA from first quarter 2014 to the first quarter of 2015. Interestingly, if you added back the prior EBITDA contribution from AmeriGas and ProLiance, our total adjusted EBITDA for 1Q 2015 would have actually exceeded adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter 2014. On transactions and dropdowns we had a couple of significant transactions with our affiliated partnerships that concluded in the last 60 days. In March, we completed the previously announced Bakken-SXL transaction with ETE. As part of that transaction, ETE transferred 30.8 million ETP common units, ETE's 45% interest in the Bakken pipeline project and $879 million in cash to ETP in exchange for 30.8 million newly issued Class H units issued by ETP. When combined with the existing 50.2 million class H units, ETE is entitled to now receive 90% of the economics of the GP/IDRs of SXL. In connection with this transaction, ETP also issued 100 class I units, which pay distributions in order to reduce the IDR subsidies from ETE to ETP by $55 million in 2015 and $30 million in 2016. In April, we concluded our second drop-down of assets from our retail marketing segment to Sunoco L.P. ETP contributed a 31.58% interest in Sunoco, LLC, which is a wholesale fuel distribution business. Sunoco L.P. paid $775 million in cash and issued 795,482 new SUN units valued at $41 million to ETP in exchange. We intend to drop all of the remaining wholesale distribution and retail marketing assets of Sunoco, Inc. to SUN over the next 24 months. Yesterday, we announced the transferred SXL of 30% interest in the Bakken project effective as of April 1st. As a result of this transfer, ETP now holds a 45% remaining stake and Phillips 66 owns 25%. We will give you a more detailed Bakken update shortly. Now before we update you on existing growth projects, we have a couple of new ones to share with you. The Revolution project, we are working on this significant new project. We expect to be making an announcement about this new project located in the Marcellus in the very near future. The project will not only serve the gathering and processing growth vehicle for ETP in the Northeast, but also bring gas volumes to our Rover pipeline and liquid products to SXL’s Mariner East project. So stay tuned. On Monday, we were excited to announce a fourth NGL fractionator at Mont Belvieu, Frac III and IV are currently under construction. And they will provide offtake for the new Lone Star Express pipeline that I'll update you on in a moment. Frac III is a 100,000 barrel a day facility that we expect to place in service this coming January. Frac IV will have a capacity of 120,000 barrels per day and it is expected to come online in the fourth quarter of next year. These two projects will bring our total fractionation capacity to 440,000 barrels per day at Mont Belvieu. Both fractionators are fully subscribed by long-term fee-based contracts. We will continue to evaluate further fractionation expansion opportunities, both at Mont Belvieu and elsewhere. Now turning to a couple of relatively new growth projects that we have mentioned before in passing. First of all, there is a Bayou Bridge project that we are pursuing with Phillips 66. Bayou Bridge will directly link Nederland to refining markets in Lake Charles and St. James, Louisiana. We are pleased with the results of the open season and are optimistic about moving forward on the project and hope to make an announcement in the in the near future. As we stated on our last call, we view this project as a natural fit with the Bakken project which we will talk about shortly. We are continuing to expand our interstate pipeline capacity to carry gas from the Permian basin into Mexico with a pair projects Trans-Pecos and Comanche Trail that will pick up supplies from multiple interstate and intrastate pipeline at the Waha Hub, including ETP’s vast inter and intrastate pipeline network and deliver the natural gas to the board. ETP will be an owner and manage construction and operate the header in both pipelines. We expect both of these to be in service in the first quarter of 2017. The Trans-Pecos pipeline includes 143 miles of 42 inch intrastate natural gas pipeline and a header system. It will interconnect with Mexico's Ojinaga pipeline at the border near Presidio and will provide nearly 1.4 Bcf per day of pipeline capacity with a 6 Bcf a day header system. It is expected to cost about $700 million. The Comanche Trail pipeline will include 195 miles of 42-inch intrastate natural gas pipeline from the Waha Header to the border just south of El Paso and connect with the San Isidro pipeline. It will provide at least 1.135 Bcf per day of capacity and is projected to cost about $600 million. We are excited not only to be a part of these two significant projects but also to be a large player in delivering gas volumes throughout pipeline network to the 6 Bcf per day Waha Hub for ultimate delivery to Mexico and other potential markets along the board. At the end of March, we closed on the King Ranch project acquisition from Exxon Mobil for total purchase price of $370 million. This acquisition includes a 750 million cubic feet a day gas processing plant of 42,000 barrel per day NGL fractionator, an 8-inch NGL pipeline that delivers products to Corpus Christi and the ETC KR pipeline, which consists of 165 miles of 16 to 24-inch mainline and gathering pipelines. This project gathered gas from ETP’s Eagle Ford system, the Conoco Lobo system and the ETC KR pipeline. Residue gas is delivered to our HPL system, to the Agua Dulce Hub and the NGL’s are transported to end users including DOE and the ASO and Refiners in Corpus Christi. This gives us the opportunity to transport additional Eagle Ford volumes through our existing system as well as Vicksburgvolumes and from other areas of South Texas. This acquisition also provide a platform for adding new processing and fractionation facilities as needed in South Texas. Moving out to existing growth projects that have just gone into commercial service but will do so before year-end, starting with the Lone Star NGL projects, which are now 100% owned by ETP, following the merger with Regency. I’ll start with the quick progress update on Mariner South, which is a partnership with SXL. Mariner South integrates SXL’s existing Nederland Marine terminal and pipeline from Mont Belvieu to Nederland and ETP's Mont Belvieu fractionation and storage facilities. As we reported last quarter, this LPG export-import facility started operating in January and we are now capable of loading the full capacity of the facility. Moving next to the Eagle Ford and Eaglebine rich gas production areas where two new 200 million cubic feet per day cryogenic gas processing plant projects are underway. The REM II product plant is scheduled to go in service in July and we have moved up the in-service date on both the 24-inch volunteer pipeline and East Texas plant from January of next year to the fourth quarter this year. These two plants will expand our Eagle Ford and Eaglebine processing capacity from about 1.4 Bcf per day currently to about 1.8 Bcf per day. Rover pipeline, we are on track and on budget for the 3.25 Bcf a day Rover gas pipeline project. We have purchased all the major materials and we are on schedule and on budget with our right-of-way acquisition and in the process of finalizing various agreements and construction contracts. Pending regulatory approval, Rover still expected to be in service from the Marcellus and Utica production areas to the Midwest Hub near Defiance, Ohio by the end of 2016 and from the Midwest Hub to markets in Michigan and the Union Gas Dawn Hub by mid 2017. We expect to receive the drop in environment impact statement from the FERC by June. We are on 65% of the Rover pipeline in partnership with AE-Midco and we’ll manage construction and operate the pipeline. Bakken pipeline. We are also continuing to advance the Bakken pipeline project. Our project team is currently focused on permitting and right-of-way acquisition in anticipation of construction later this year and through 2016 subject to the timing of permits and regulatory approvals. We are seeing good progress in our permitting and regulatory proceedings. And so we continue to plan for an in-service date by the end of 2016. Commercially, based on shipper commitment that we have contractually secured today, our project scope now provides for aggregate takeaway capacity out of North Dakota of approximately 470,000 barrels per day. That takes us closer to our ultimate target of 570,000 barrels per day. We remain in active discussions with multiple parties about additional shipping commitments. So we are optimistic about the prospects to continuing to build upon our current commitments and to achieve 570,000 barrels per day levels. The Lone Star Express NGL pipeline and conversion project is now under construction. ETP will build 533 miles of 24 and 30-inch natural gas liquids pipeline from the Permian basin to Mont Belvieu and also convert Lone Star’s existing West Texas 12-inch NGL pipeline into a crude oil/condensate line. The new NGL line should be in service by the third quarter of 2016 and the NGL line conversion should be ready in the first quarter of 2017. CapEx update, ETP invested about $1.2 billion during the first quarter in growth CapEx projects with a majority allocated to our liquids transportation services, midstream and intrastate segments. When you include our indirect growth capital expenditures at SXL and Sunoco L.P., quarter one consolidated growth CapEx was more than $1.6 billion. With the ETP and Regency merger now complete and with some additional growth projects, we are now forecasting full year 2015 CapEx for ETP in a range of $5.6 billion to $6 billion. With SXL taking a 30% interest in the Bakken pipeline project, that removes approximately $500 million of CapEx from ETP’s 2015 growth CapEx budget. As a result, the SXL’s CapEx has increased to a range of $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion. Before moving on to discussing our distribution and Regency's results, let's take a quick look at ETP’s liquidity position. We were very active in quarter one. On a GAAP basis, we ended the quarter with a standalone debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.25 times and approximately 4.75 times pro forma for the Regency merger before synergies. Under our credit facility, the ratios were 4.05 times on a stand-alone basis and 4.62 times on a pro forma Regency merger basis. We issued a total of $2.5 billion of new senior notes in early March and three tranches, with interest rates ranging from 4.05% to 5.15% and maturities ranging from 2025 to 2045. This enabled us to reap our outstanding amounts on our revolving credit facility. We then increased the capacity on our revolver by $1.25 billion to $3.75 billion in total. As of March 31, we had no outstanding borrowings on that facility. We also raised approximately $135 million of equity during the first quarter, under both our ATM and DRIP programs. In addition to these financings, the drop-down of almost 31% interest in our wholesale fuel business to Sunoco LP gave us cash of $775 million in April and the Bakken SXL transaction with ETE gave us net cash proceeds of $817.3 million. These financings and transactions with our affiliate partnerships gave us ample liquidity to support the growth initiatives of ETP now that the Regency merger is closed. We have no plans at present to do any overnight equity offerings in the foreseeable future and we have no other debt maturing this year. Now, I will turn it over to Tom, who will give you an overview on Regency's results for the first quarter and provide a brief update on legacy Regency growth projects.