John Moreira
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Joe and good morning, everyone. This morning, I will review our third quarter earnings results, provide an update on regulatory matters, discuss our balance sheet progress and provide an update on our 2026 guidance. I will start with our third quarter results on Slide 7. Our GAAP and non-GAAP recurring earnings for the third quarter were $0.92 per share compared with GAAP earnings of $0.99 per share and non-GAAP recurring earnings of $1.19 per share in the third quarter of 2025. The decrease in earnings over the prior year is driven by a few items. First, the March 19 FERC decision that reduced our transmission ROE rate to 9.57%. Second, as we stated in our second quarter earnings call, the disallowance of roughly $40 million of CL&P storm costs in PURA's final July decision. Third, due to the sale of Aquarion, we don't have earnings from the water segment. And lastly, we have the impact from a higher effective tax rate this year as compared to last year. These items were offset by rate increases under various PBR plans and capital trackers. I do want to emphasize that while some of these drivers that I have highlighted are headwinds today, however, these are necessary steps to becoming a pure-play pipes and wires, electric and gas utility. These include the resolution of outstanding regulatory issues, recovery of our storm costs and the successful completion of asset sales, which have strengthened our balance sheet and lowered our risk profile. Moving on to a regulatory update on Slide 8. Let me start with the CL&P rate case. Since we filed our rate request in July, we have been encouraged by the engagement we have seen from PURA and other interveners. Our team has responded to thousands of data requests and the questions are thoughtful and in-depth, showing a rigorous engagement from all parties to understand our rate request and how it supports reliability and affordability for customers. As you can see on this slide, 66% of the revenue deficiency is for capital investments in the system. Those are investments to address reliability, resiliency and modernization of the electric grid. Next, we have 17% of the revenue deficiency for the recovery of costs related to annual storm restoration and vegetation management. The proposed veg management will enhance reliability on blue sky days as well as during storm events by reducing the damage and thereby lowering restoration costs for customers. I also want to point out the O&M component of the revenue deficiency of approximately $50 million or 12% of the total request. We are very proud of this number as we continuously seek opportunities to lower our operating costs on behalf of customers. To put this in perspective for you, let's move on to Slide 9. If we had grown O&M at the same rate of inflation since our last rate order, that number would have been nearly $100 million. We run the business as efficiently as possible because we are focused on customer affordability in everything we do. The rate case also includes a variety of other items to address affordability but I'll just briefly highlight one that Joe touched on earlier. In our rate request, we proposed a multiyear PBR mechanism that provides gradual inflation index rate changes on an annual basis to avoid significant rate impacts for customers. This mechanism also includes targeted performance metrics for transparency and accountability. We are very familiar with this type of rate mechanism as we have it in other jurisdictions. Also in Connecticut, we have made substantial progress in the securitization of deferred storm costs. PURA's procedural schedule will provide a final decision at the end of January, enabling cash in the door by the middle of next year. PURA shares our interest in completing the securitization financing as quickly as possible. Lastly, in Connecticut, in October, we filed an appeal in Superior Court challenging 2 components of PURA's July 29 storm cost decision. First, we challenged PURA's denial of carrying charges on prudently incurred storm costs prior to its decision date as articulated in our October 15 court filing. The second component of our appeal relates to PURA's finding that disallowed roughly $8 million in costs based on an extrapolation method of review that was not raised during the proceeding. Moving to Slide 10. I would like to update you on the FERC ROE process. First, on the Section 205 filing. The briefing process was completed at the end of September. We now await FERC's decision on the ROE that would become effective on November 30. Next is our appeal of the retroactive refund. The D.C. Circuit Court approved our procedural schedule, which sets a deadline for the final briefs in early April of next year. With that schedule, we believe that the court could issue a decision in late summer or early fall of next year. We are cautiously optimistic about this case and continue to believe that we have a sound legal argument against the long-dated refund period. However, as we continue to work through the refund calculation methodology, Generally Accepted Accounting Principles may require us to reflect the final refund amount in our financial statements before the case is concluded. In the meantime, we are working with ISO New England, the other New England transmission owners and load serving entities to prepare the refund. This is an incredibly complex labor-intensive process to recalculate 10-plus years' worth of load settlement and billing data. Given these complexities and the significance of this refund process, we know it will be challenging to process these refunds by FERC's deadline of May of next year. Moving to Slide 11. I would like to share the latest affirmation of our financial strategy, which is that our FFO-to-debt metrics remains solid and all 3 rating agencies have Eversource and all subsidiaries on stable outlook. Our latest FFO-to-debt ratios as of June 30 of this year are 15.4% and 16.1% for S&P and Moody's, respectively. We are proud that these credit metrics have continued to improve over the last several quarters. We will continue to manage our FFO-to-debt ratios to be around 100 basis points above the downgrade thresholds. I also want to note that we did assume interest rates moving higher in our long-term guidance. We also have some flexibility to manage how we finance the maturities that are coming due next year. That flexibility comes from the recent sale of Aquarion and the pending securitization of storm costs. We also have hybrids now as part of our capital structure and certainly have room to do more if needed. We are going to use all the tools available in managing our financing needs. As a reminder, while we are discussing debt and interest rates, the PBR mechanisms we have in place in Massachusetts and New Hampshire are inflation indexed, helping to mitigate the effects of a higher interest rate environment. Next, let me reaffirm our 5-year capital plan of $26.5 billion, as shown on Slide 12. This reflects our 5-year utility infrastructure investments through 2030. As we mentioned last quarter, we continue to highlight the increase to our capital forecast, thanks to ISO New England's decision to select our project as a result of their RFP and the potential for AMI investment in Connecticut. We will provide a comprehensive update as part of our fourth quarter earnings call. Turning to Slide 13. We have narrowed our non-GAAP EPS guidance range to $4.62 to $4.70 per share for 2026, which increases our midpoint to $4.66 per share. Lastly, on Slide 14, we remain confident in our ability to deliver earnings growth towards the upper half of our long-term target range of 5% to 7% by 2028. We have consistently delivered on our commitments, advancing key initiatives that are reshaping our growth trajectory. This is supported by constructive regulatory progress, including storm cost securitization, the forthcoming CL&P rate case decision in mid-2027 and the monetization of Aquarion. We are entering our next phase from a position of strength and are confident in our ability to drive higher growth, greater financial flexibility and long-term value creation. With that, I will now turn the call back to the operator for Q&A.