Carl Mellander
Analyst · Simon Leopold from Raymond James. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Thank you, Börje. And good morning, good afternoon, everyone. Before diving into the specifics per segment, I would like to make a comment when it comes to comparability. Last year, not least in Q1 last year, we had, as you know, a number of extraordinary items, provisions, write-downs of assets and so on, which we reported on clearly in that report. And since then, we've had a series of restatements as well, latest now the IFRS-16 restatement of previous periods. So now, as we come out of that period and these restatements, new accounting standards and these ex-o items from 2017, we had the intention now to go back to a more simplified way of reporting. We will not have an adjusted set of results on top of – the reported, instead, we will go for a simplified structure with reported numbers and reported excluding restructuring. And this is what you will see now going forward here when we compare also with the last year. So let's look first of all at networks. Sales down 2% at this point if we adjust for FX then, with a certain regional mix, which Börje already explained to a large extent, then good momentum in North America, Latin America and Middle East, and certain markets, while Mainland China is decreasing in size. If we look at the gross margin, driven by further penetration of the Ericsson Radio System, but also significant cost out. I mean, in the services delivery side, we see that it's now exceeding 40%, excluding restructuring, with an operating margin then following also at 13.5%. So clearly, it is a sign that the investments in R&D are paying off now. We continue here, of course, to invest in R&D for a leading portfolio, and then continue the transitioning into ERS fully. The objective is to fully transition into ERS during 2018 for additional competitiveness. Then our cost out will also continue, and we believe these items are the roadmaps towards the 2020 target of 15% to 17%. If we move to Digital Services. In – within the top line number and decline of 3%, you see that there is mix here with legacy products and the services related to that have decreased further. But we can record growth on FX-adjusted terms in the new portfolio, which hasn't been the case some of the earlier quarters. A strong improvement in gross margin here also in Digital Services, and it's really the cost out. It is the cost out program that is now becoming very visible in the Digital Services P&L as well. A secondary reason is the mix with them. A little bit lower proportion coming from the large transformation contract, but that's more of a limited effect. Operating margin still shows a loss of SEK 2 billion in the quarter and it is an improvement from previous periods, but still a large loss, which we are working extremely hard to turnaround of course. And – so the activity with cost reductions continue with very high intensity across service delivery, but also SG&A. And, we're working on – ways of working in efficiency in R&D as well. At the same time of course it is also an investment area selectively in cloud-native portfolio and, of course, leading into 5G. If we move to Managed Services. The strategy here is, of course, to turnaround Managed Services from a previously loss making position by addressing low performing contracts, the 42 of which now 31 have been completed, but also to take out costs in the service delivery, of course. And, among other things, doing that by investing in automation and machine intelligence to enable further improved cost customer experience, but also of course cost-out. And this strategy has now become visible in terms of P&L result in this quarter, where we actually strongly improve the gross margin and also record a profit on operating income level. Looking at Emerging Business and other. A couple of different businesses within this segment. One is the media side where, as you know, Media Solutions will deal with One Equity Partners will close in end of Q3. And, from that point on, we will retain then the 49% ownership and that will be reflected in how we report this as in terms of share of earnings. But, the media side, I should say, they have also improved the cost situation quite dramatically from last year. But still there is a SEK 500 million loss from Red Bee and Media Solutions combined in the quarter. Other parts of Emerging business here. The IoT and UDN investment areas are showing both growth and improved profit contribution as well. And as you know, the target here is to reach a breakeven profitability. But this is, of course, an investment area and growth from these new areas is an important indicator here, of course, of success to come. Okay. So to summarize that going into gross margin bridge here on this slide and, of course, lets takeaway first of all the ex-o items as we reported them in Q1. And then as you can see, all segments contributed to the improved gross margin leading up to the 35.9%, excluding restructuring. And, you can see the graph here showing, actually the gross margin has been rather stable between 29% and 31% for quite a few quarters now with a sharp increase in Q1, and based on mainly the cost reduction and ERS rollouts. Operating income. So the operating income, of course, was – had a negative impact coming from the capitalization effect, which we have talked about many times; and also a volume drop which, as Börje described, mainly is FX related. Gross margin strongly improving, and then we are investing in R&D and taking out cost in SG&A as you can see in this bridge. And on that topic, if you go to the next slide, you can see how R&D and SG&A have developed more in – a little bit more in detail. In R&D, capitalization hit the R&D line by SEK1.1 billion on a year-over-year comparison. And then, of course, the investments we do in networks and some reductions in Digital Services ended up at SEK0.9 billion increase of R&D. SG&A SEK0.6 billion is the number that Börje already mentioned, which is really coming out of the SEK10 billion program. And this translates into the SEK2.5 billion in run rate achievements against SG&A target of SEK3 billion being a part of the SEK10 billion. Free cash flow, strong cash collection in the quarter, this went well. And among other working capital items, we saw a certain buildup of inventory. This is, however, the usual seasonal pattern between Q4 and Q1. So this we're working hard to bring down, of course, as we deliver to customers in Q2. And you see here, we have ended the period with better net cash as well as gross cash position further building financial resilience in the company. As we mentioned the dividend that will be paid in April, SEK3.3 billion that's not included in these numbers here. Okay, planning assumptions, finally. Some of which are unchanged, including the raw and equipment market for this year is minus two. We introduced a CAGR here, more or less based on external institutes, also a positive CAGR from the period 2018 to 2022. Important to keep track of currency movements, as you know, we are dependent on the U.S. dollar movements. So we provide here again the rule of thumb we have used before. When it comes to the short-term seasonality on top line, the typical seasonality growth in sales is still 9% from Q1 to Q2, and that could serve as a starting point. We also talk about the cost savings. As you know no change there and we remind everyone that OpEx can vary between quarters in accordance with seasonality. We stick to the restructuring estimate of 5% to 7%, and Q2 will be a little bit higher than Q1, which was SEK1.2 billion in restructuring. Media Solutions, I've already mentioned. And finally, then, when it comes to the capitalization impacts where we provide the details here, just a reflection that you can see that going forward, the delta impact all capitalization will be less impactful on the P&L. Thank you, and with that back to you, Börje.
Börje Ekholm: Thank you, Carl. So just to summarize in closing, a year ago, we set out our new focused strategy. And we have since then executed on that plan. And it is good to see that we are executing and we are now starting to see the effects of the plan. At the same time, we are of course not yet satisfied as we have not yet reached the goal of 10% operating margin. And we still have a long way to go to our longer-term margin of about 12%. But what we see is we see cost efficiencies coming through in the P&L with lower SG&A as well as expended gross margin, we have a cost-out at the end of the first quarter reaching a run rate of SEK8.5 billion, and we're confident to reach the SEK10 billion target by the end of the second quarter. And as we go forward, we will put – we will institutionalize the way we work in order to continue to have the focus on being cost efficient, although we will not provide any additional targets per se. Our target of reaching 10% operating margin by 2020, we are working long and feel comfortable to reach that. During the quarter, we have seen good performance and stable performance in networks, expanded gross margin driven by cost-out and increased penetration of Ericsson Radio System, as it is a very competitive platform that puts the customers by investing in ERS, they get their networks ready to migrate from 4G to 5G through a simple software upgrade. And we see that's having good traction with customers. We're also continuing to increase investments in R&D year-over-year, as we make sure we have a very competitive product portfolio that will drive long-term gross margin. We have seen reduced losses in Digital Services. Thanks to a much better gross margin, which is the cost-out in service delivery getting effect, we're also seeing that we are increasing our efficiency and reducing complexity in R&D, which has allowed us to save a little bit on R&D investments here as well. We continue to invest for the future within Digital Services, and we do that in our new 5G-ready and cloud-native portfolio. We have also been able to turnaround Managed Services. That is thanks to primarily cost-out, but also to the contract review. And Q1 is normally a difficult cash flow quarter. So we're very – it's very good to see that we could generate the positive free cash flow during the quarter and being in a stronger financial position than we entered the quarter, which is very good to see. So I would summarize by saying we have seen encouraging steps forward or improvements, but there are a lot more work that needs to be done. So with that, thank you.