Peter Hutton
Management
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to our Fourth Quarter and Capital Markets Day for 2016. It's a pleasure to see you and to have an opportunity to talk through our results and our outlook. I think we give some good detail in the presentations today, and I'm glad that we're -- in this year, we're also being joined by 5 Executive Vice Presidents, who are going to talk through the impact on their business and what they're doing in the present situation and their outlook for the next 4 years. Safety is a number one priority for Statoil. And as always, I just like to start with a brief safety announcement for everybody. So just to run through this, if an emergency situation should occur while we're here, the evacuation signal is a voice system announcement. Please note that we only evacuate the building should the voice announcement tell us to do so. Please use the fire exits within the venue and follow the signs and exiting at ground level. The assembly point is situated on Bartholomew Close. Okay. The format for today, we have a lot to get through. We will start with a presentation of about 20 minutes each from the CEO and CFO. And then we'll have an opportunity for questions -- Round 1, predominantly from the floor. I'm afraid I'm going to impose the same rigid discipline as we had last year. For this round, there's a lot to get through: half an hour, one question in one part only, but there will be plenty of opportunities in the second round and also at the end of the session. After that -- after these presentations and the Q&A, short break for a sandwich. At 10 past 1, we will gather again, and we'll have a series of presentations from the executive vice presidents. After that we'll have another round opportunity for questions and answers of around 30 to 40 minutes and then, again, opportunity to meet people more informally on the tables outside the room. So once again, thank you very much for attending. I know this is very busy period as well. We're not the only ones reporting, but I think we're the ones who've got most detail in our presentations today. So with that, let me introduce Eldar Saetre, our Chief Executive Officer. Thank you very much. Eldar Sætre: Thank you, Peter. Good morning, everyone. And thanks for coming to this annual event here in London. It's really good to see you all once again. Ladies and gentlemen, our industry is definitely experiencing tough challenging times. In fact, you have lived with the turbulence and tumbling prices for over a year now, a powerful reminder, indeed, of the fundamental cyclical nature of oil. But everyone -- every downturn has its -- is different and has its own characteristics. This one has truly exposed how the industry over many years has allowed costs and complexity to escalate, I would say, beyond sustainable levels. Yes, we face a challenging market but, equally important, we now also have a unique opportunity to fundamentally reset our business. Today, you will see how we are taking down costs faster and with much bigger impact than we planned for earlier. You will also see how we are radically reshaping our project portfolio, positioning Statoil to capture significant value as the cycle turns towards the upside. This is the core of our strategy: resetting costs, capturing opportunities. Hans Jakob will show you the financial details of this plan in addition to our fourth quarter and full year results. And you will also have the opportunity to hear how we are implementing this value-driven strategy throughout our business. Since you will hear a lot about changes today, let me start with one thing that is not changing: our commitment to safe and secure operations. In the last quarter, Statoil regrettably had 3 fatalities related to our operations. These incidents are clear reminders that the safety and security of our people and the integrity of our operations remains our top priority. For the year as a whole, our serious incident frequency came at 0.6, which is a solid result as a statistic, and it gives us clear indications that we are consistently on the right track and have been so over many years now. As you know, timing matters a lot in our industry. And on this day, exactly one year ago, I was appointed the CEO of Statoil. What a timing. And indeed, the perfect timing to make a difference. One of the first things that I did was to make promises to the market. And I hope you will agree with me that we have delivered on those promises. Our efficiency program is already well ahead of the USD 1.7 billion target for 2016. Organic CapEx came in at USD 14.7 billion, a reduction of around $5 billion compared to 2014. Production, adjusted for divestments, increased by 6% year-on-year. And reflecting our commitment to competitive shareholder capital distribution, we also maintained our dividend throughout the year in line with our dividend policy. I am truly encouraged by these results. But let me assure you we are not here today to celebrate, but to accelerate. In 2015, Brent averaged USD 55 per barrel. And so far, this year, we have experienced prices below USD 30. Fortunately, the fundamentals of supply and demand still works, which means that the best cure against low oil prices is actually low oil prices. The middle graph shows the EIA numbers for stock changes, indicating clearly that markets are heading towards a rebalancing. But exactly how long it will take to get there is highly uncertain. Another and more long-term implication of the current market environment is that the oil companies, almost everywhere, are cutting back on their investment programs. And for the first time in history, we are likely -- very likely to see at least 2 consecutive years of cuts. And as a consequence, significant new capacity will not be brought on stream when needed. Adding to this what we know about the decline from existing fields, the time horizons of new project developments and increasing demand further underscores the point that the oil prices are cyclical by nature. When it comes to natural gas, we know that prices are under pressure short term. Medium to longer term, however, we do see a stronger gas market emerging. Declining European indigenous production, markets gradually absorbing new LNG capacity and clearer policy signals of the need for natural gas to replace coal in power generation. This all supports the view that I mentioned we do see an emerging -- emergence of a stronger gas market, and Jens Økland will give you more detail outlook for the gas markets at our gas seminar in London in 2 weeks' time. We are now resetting Statoil to become much more fit for the future. Our strategy will ensure that we are well prepared for a low-price environment, and it will position us to capture opportunities for value growth when the cycle turns and markets rebound, and they will. I think of this in terms of 3 priorities. First, faster and deeper cost reductions. Rather than depending on what we believe to be an expected oil price in the future, we want to shape a company that is competitive at all times. We were early movers, starting back in 2013, and have now reinforced those metrics by taking a transformational approach to our cost base. And at the same time, we will continue to demonstrate strict financial discipline. In this way, we enable ourselves to act on my second priority: preparing to invest in what I call the next and our next-generation portfolio. Since last year's CMU, we have challenged every single project at hand to get below a USD 50 per barrel breakeven. I can assure you, it seemed like a very tough challenge at the time. But now, we see real success, radical change. So far, we have reduced breakeven oil prices at our operated opportunity set to USD 41 per barrel. In some cases, both CapEx and breakevens has been reduced by up to 50%, and we are not done yet. As an additional tool to strengthen our financial capacity, the board has decided to propose the introduction of s scrip dividend program through the AGM in May. I will return to this later in my presentation. Finally to my third priority, capturing the upturn in the oil and gas prices. Our plan positions Statoil for delivering value creation and staying competitive in a low-price environment. But even more so, it offers attractive value-creating opportunities when the commodity market rebounds. And to achieve this, 2 conditions needs to be in place. First of all, that our efficiency gains are -- must be sustainable, even when the heat one day is turned back on in our industry. And secondly, we must actually invest in attractive projects in order to deliver volumes to benefit from this price recovery. So let me add some numbers to this story. By targeting unplanned losses, we have been able to improve regularity in our operations. Compared to 2013, unplanned losses are down 50%, and we have sustained this level for 2 years in a row now. This represents around 50,000 barrels per day, adding almost USD 700 million to our pretax cash flow last year. On cost efficiencies, our target for 2016 was USD 1.7 billion, measured against the cost base of 2013. Having already realized $1.9 billion, we are now increasing the 2016 target by another 50% from $1.7 billion to $2.5 billion annually. And finally, flexibility matters a lot. In fact, it is truly golden in times of uncertainty. With a large share of operated assets, we are in the driver seat on this flexibility, and we will continue to use the flexibility to the extent necessary. Included in this flexibility is also a further tightening of our priorities within exploration, which Tim will discuss in more detail later today. The combined effect of the measures that I've just shown you adds up to more than USD 10 billion in improved pretax cash flow for 2016. Ladies and gentlemen, we have now arrived at my favorite slide of the day. I said at the outset that we are taking actions to reshape our company, and here you can see how. In 2013, the average break-even price for our operated projects, pre-FID with plant start-up by 2022, was USD 70 per barrel. Today, we have reduced to this to USD 41, precise number, an improvement of more than 40% or almost USD 30 per barrel. We are reworking concepts. We are challenging solutions all the way from the reservoir to the market, and we are renegotiating contracts to capture falling rates in the supplier markets. 82% of the CapEx in this portfolio now has a breakeven price below USD 50 per barrel. And we will hunt for even more. In fact, I am now challenging every new project with an ambition to pursue profitability below USD 40 per barrel. One example is Johan Castberg, where we so far have been able to reduce the break-even price from above USD 80 per barrel to below USD 45 per barrel and almost half the required CapEx so far. For Johan Sverdrup Phase I, the break-even price is further improved and is now below USD 30, truly a world-class project. And Margaret has the pleasure of elaborating further on both of these projects, and she will also show you more examples in her presentation. As you have seen, we have a clear plan to create value for our shareholders. And as a part of the plan, we are also firmly committed to maintaining a competitive capital distribution, in line with our dividend policy. The board has decided to recommend to the AGM to maintain the dividend of USD 0.2201 per share for the fourth quarter of 2015. And the board's intention is to keep the dividend flat for the first 3 quarters of this year. In addition, the board will propose the introduction of a 2-year scrip dividend program, starting from fourth quarter 2015. We maintain our dividend policy, while adding the options for shareholders to reinvest their dividend into newly issued shares at a discount of 5% for the fourth quarter 2015. In addition, the scrip program will strengthen the company's financially -- financial flexibility and capacity to invest in high-quality projects in a timely manner. The Norwegian government supports the proposal and will match the take out from other investors, thereby maintaining its ownership at 67%. Towards the end, let me offer some comments on how Statoil plans to be part of the low-carbon future. First of all, Statoil welcomes the Paris Agreement. We firmly believe that the oil and gas industry has to be part of the solution. Our ambition is to be a leading company in terms of carbon-efficient oil and gas production, and we believe this increasingly will be a competitive advantage as tighter carbon regulations comes into effect. Since we met last year, we have also established new energy solutions as a business area, with a mandate to gradually build a business within renewable energy. I see this as a long-term growth opportunity for Statoil and the starting point is our current business within offshore wind. So allow me to summarize what you have heard this morning. Resetting costs, capturing opportunities: that is the core of our strategy. We will deliver faster and deeper cost reductions, increasing our annual efficiency target by 50% to $2.5 billion by 2016. We will cautiously manage our financial flexibility, in light of the current uncertainty in our core markets and in light of our commitments to shareholder capital distribution. As early movers on cost efficiency, we are also now shaping our next-generation portfolio. More than 80% of the CapEx in our operated opportunity set has a break-even price below USD 50 per barrel. Finally, Statoil is positioned for value creation even in a low price environment, and we are well placed to capture the full gains when the oil prices recovers. Thank you very much for the attention. I leave the word to Hans Jakob Hegge.