Ben Brigham
Analyst · Stephens
Thank you, LaToya. Thanks to each of you for participating in Brigham Exploration Company's Second Quarter 2011 Conference Call. With me today, we have Gene Shepherd, our Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President; Lance Langford, Executive Vice President of Operations; Jeff Larson, our Executive Vice President of Exploration; David Brigham, Executive Vice President of Land and Administration; and Rob Roosa, our Director of Finance. Importantly, before we get started, I'd like to encourage you to be prepared such that during the course of this call you can view our conference call presentation which can be accessed via our website at www.bexp3d.com. It includes very helpful information regarding our second quarter results, as well as our plans for the remainder of 2011. We'll be referring to the slides in the presentation during our discussion. It will help you to be prepared with this as we'll flip through some of the slides pretty quickly. During the call, we're going to make some forward-looking statements to help you understand our company's results. In our company's SEC filings and the press releases that were issued yesterday, there are some risk factors that should be noted that might cause our actual results to differ from the plans and projections we talk about today. I encourage you to review our filings with the SEC. In addition, in this call, we may use the terms EUR and probable and possible reserves that we do not include in our SEC filings. We may also discuss de-risked acreage and locations, which include proved reserves as disclosed in our SEC filings. Please refer to Page 2 of our corporate presentation for a cautionary note to U.S. investors regarding the use of these terms. Finally, a copy of our company's press releases as well as other financial and statistical information about the period to be presented in the conference call will be available on the company's website under the section entitled Investor Relations at www.bexp3d.com. So let's get started. First, and briefly, as shown on Slide 3, we reached a couple of very significant milestones recently. We recently drilled our 100th operated Bakken and Three Forks well and we also have now drilled over 1 million feet of Bakken and Three Forks lateral. Congratulations to all our employees and our shareholders. And as shown on this slide, you can see that it's just the tip of the iceberg. Given our delineated inventory, I expect us to drill up to 2,200 operated wells and up to 22 million feet of Bakken and Three Forks play. Now if you'll move to Slide 4, you can see our outline for the call. Our motto is "No Oil Left Behind." We're determined to fully and optimally exploit yjod world-class resource for our shareholders. I'm going to start the call with opening comments and an overview, followed by Jeff reviewing our current and future drillings plans, then Lance will provide you an operational update. Following which, Gene will finish with the financial update. Please skip forward to Slide 8. You can see a description of the investment opportunity we present. Importantly, as you look toward the bottom of the slide, you can see the catalysts that I referred to in our operations press release that highlights the significant potential that we could unlock over the remainder of 2011. These catalysts include further de-risking of the Three Forks in Rough Rider, additional drilling in Montana, our Smart Pad efficiency initiatives and the potential for additional productive zones. If you'll click forward to slide 9, I will review the topics we'll focus on during the call. First, although there's a great deal of turbulence in the markets, the environment remains very constructive for Brigham Exploration, a continued compounding stockholder net asset value. Second, North Dakota experienced a record winter followed by tragic flooding during the spring melt and late May rainstorms. And as a result, several of our Bakken competitors missed their guidance or experienced declines in their second quarter production. Thanks in part to our team at Smart Pad, zipper fracs and the infrastructure build-out, which was only just getting started, We were able to continue much of our operations in the field and as a result, our production was within our previous guidance range, albeit at the lower end. And we were one of the exceptions, and that we generated meaningful sequential growth in production during the second quarter. We believe this is foreshadowing the significant competitive advantage that's our Smart Pads and infrastructure build-out we'll provide that will materially differentiate us in subsequent periods of difficult weather such as early as -- potentially as early as this coming winter. Given that we have 2 fully dedicated frac crews working and given our efficiencies increasingly being generated in the field, which Lance will discuss in some detail, production growth is accelerating in the second half of the year. Third, it's remarkable that we've now drilled 79 consecutive North Dakota wells with an average IP of roughly 2,800 barrels of oil equivalent per day. That's amazing consistency and given that it's just the tip of the iceberg, we have 1,400 to over 2,200 gross wells to be drilled. We've only just scratched the surface of this inventory. Fourth, despite the recent decline in oil prices, our returns remain strong and this is prior to considering our 10% to 20% cost savings initiative we believe we're just beginning to experience in the field with our Smart Pads. Based on the recent prices, a 600,000-barrel well generates about $8.7 million in net present value, will bring an estimated 51% rate of return and paying out in less than 2 years. That's remarkable when you consider that these wells should produce for 25 years. Fifth, our success in Montana, combined with our acreage acquisitions, is growing our de-risk inventory by about 10,800 net acres to 235,200 net acres. That's an 11- to 18-year inventory, depending on whether you give us credit for the Three Forks in Rough Rider. We'll discuss the fact that despite our continuing acceleration in our drilling program, recently to 10 rigs, we have grown our de-risk inventory more rapidly than we drilled it. Sixth, we and other operators have now completed 4 successful Three Forks wells in Rough Rider with an average IP of approximately 1,840 barrels of oil equivalent per day. I believe we've clearly de-risked a portion of our Rough Rider area for the Three Forks. And by year end, after we've completed 3 additional Three Forks wells, and other operators have also completed additional Three Forks wells, it's likely that much, if not all, of our Three Forks -- excuse me, all of our Rough Rider area will be de-risked for the Three Forks, providing us with up to 500 incremental net drilling locations. Seventh, we'll discuss in a bit more detail our planned 5.5 Bakken wells per unit pilot, which we will compare over time with the results of our current 4.5 Bakken wells per unit drilling. Eighth, Lance will also discuss some exciting technological innovations we're testing in the field. Who would have envisioned the game changes that swell packers provided. We're very optimistic about working with our leading service company providers. We can capitalize on potential new game-changing technology to further enhance our returns in this play that thus far has responded so well to improving technology. That's one example of the option value that this play provides for us. We stated, and continue to evaluate, other potential resource objectives, and we believe it's likely that some of these will blossom for us. Now skipping forward in the presentation to Slide 10. The commodity advantage for all that has persisted now since 2006, we don't see any indications of that changing for the next 3 to 5 years. Moving to Slide 12 so that you can see why we believe the Bakken and Three Forks is the top resource play in North America. We're fortunate to have an early mover position and be right in the middle of the best areas in the play. So we're in the best play in North America, and Lance will provide production data delineating our industry-leading well performance in this top resource play. Moving to Slide 13, which I believe is a very important slide. This chart shows the very dramatic growth in production we've achieved. North Dakota experienced its coldest winter in years with record levels of snowfall, followed by a tragic 100-year [ph] flooding. Despite those challenges, in part due to our Smart Pads and infrastructure advantage, which Lance will discuss in more detail, we generated strong sequential growth in Williston production during the second quarter. Importantly, we've achieved this growth by barely scratching the surface of our inventory. We've only drilled 6% to 9% of our currently de-risked inventory, depending on whether or not you give us credit for the Three Forks in Rough Rider. With 2 dedicated frac crews and increasing efficiencies, which are quickening our completions in the field, production growth has accelerated dramatically, setting us up for a remarkable second half of 2011. You can see the accelerating trend on the chart after we picked up the second dedicated frac crew. You can also see that our Williston oil production averaged over 13,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in July. Our strong entry into the third quarter as shown on the chart provides good visibility for our substantial growth in average production for the third quarter. On Slide 14, you can see the impact our Williston drilling is having on our company's quarterly oil production volumes, including our forecast for the third quarter. Again, given that our July production in Williston averaged over 13,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and given that we're now in August, we have a good deal of confidence in our Q3 forecast. If you move forward to Slide 15, you'll see our total equivalent production. Our second quarter production was up 88%, relative to the second quarter of 2010 and up 11% sequentially. We expect our third quarter production to be up 28% sequentially. Moving to Slide 16, you can see that our strong growth in production volumes is compounding with strong oil prices that drive a remarkable growth in EBITDA to sequential quarterly records. Given current commodity prices and the visibility we have for our forecasted very strong production growth, the third quarter revenue and cash flow should once again achieve new record levels. On Slide 17, you can see another way the macro continues to be supportive. Differentials for us have stabilized over the last 2 years at $8 to $11 per barrel. But in April, they trended down to about $6 per barrel. This is a $5 per barrel improvement in our net pricing, which helps lead Bakken operators to offset or mitigate some of the oil price decline we've all just recently experienced. As you can see from the chart, the improvement continued throughout the second quarter and is rolled into the third quarter as well. It appears that many of our barrels are piped to the Midwest, which has minimized the impact of attrition surplus on our volumes. On Slide 18, we've overlaid our production growth on a chart with our year-end reserves, the last 3 years as green bars. As some of you know, in 2008, our growth and production reserves into Williston was just beginning to take over. As you can see on the start, production can be a very good proxy for reserve growth. And it's apparent we're headed for another very big year for reserve additions. Again, we've only drilled 6% to 9% of our currently de-risked inventory, but we're just getting started. It's exciting when you think of it from a valuation perspective to roll 6 months forward with the dramatic growth in year-end reserves and production and to think about what that implies as to our company's valuation as the market moves forward one more year. On slide 19, we've added, with the yellow ovals, our undrilled inventory and you can see that despite our continued acceleration with the drill bit, we've grown our inventory faster than we've drilled it. The first number in the oval is the inventory, assuming no credit for the Three Forks in Rough Rider, while the second number includes the Three Forks locations. Jeff will discuss our inventory further. The growth is occurring through acreage acquisitions and our step-out drilling successes such as our recent wells in Montana. I think it's clear, we've delineated attractive Three Forks economics for portions of Rough Rider area with the 4 wells we and other operators drilled. And by year end, with significantly more wells completed, we will likely be specifically delineating the economics for a much and potentially all of those locations as part of our de-risk core inventory. Now taking a look at the economics. Slide 20 shows that the returns in this play remains strong even with the recent decline in oil prices. Keep in mind that these returns are prior to the cost efficiencies that we're beginning to generate in the field with our Smart Pads, which Lance will discuss further later in the call. Despite the recently reduced drift, a 600,000 barrel of oil equivalent well generates about $8.7 million in net present value. That's over the capital cost and a rate of return of about 51% with a payout of less than 2 years. Slide 21 shows that even at lower oil prices, this play generates solid returns. And again, this is prior to our cost efficiencies that we're beginning to generate in the field. In addition, we get excellent support from our hedges. For example, we've aggressively hedged our oil volumes to address commodity price risk. Based on the midpoint of our production guidance, we have 56% of our second half 2011 oil volumes hedged with a floor of $69.41 per barrel and $3.9 million of our 2012 oil volumes hedged with a floor of $71.40 per barrel. Even without hedges, we estimate that these wells generate a 29% return at flat $75 oil. Again, before our 10% to 20% cost reductions in the field and before any potential changes to service cost structure that would occur as a result of reduced prices. Slide 22 is our chart of production curves for all of our North Dakota, Bakken and Three Forks wells. Our more recent wells continue to outperform. Lance has some excellent data that he'll discuss that delineates our outperformance relative to our peers. Now a few comments on our density pilot projects. And we'll start with a quick update. Slide 23 shows in map view our Brad Olson #2H, which had an approximate 4-well spacing distance from a well completed one year prior, the Brad Olson #1H. We subsequently brought online the Brad Olson #3. And if you forward to the next slide, Slide #24, you can see the production performance for these wells. The Brad Olson #2, as shown in green, which was completed a year after the Brad Olson #1, shown in Orange. We have previously shown this slide, but the production is now updated here. However, it's a little misleading given that we shut in the Brad Olson #2 well during periods that we were refrac-ing the Brad Olson #3H in order to report pressure data to identify potential communication. By the way, our data indicates that the pressures in the Brad Olson #2H were not materially affected by the frac-ing of the Brad Olson #3. The next slide, Slide 25, shows the same well's performance with the downtime removed from the wells. Without the distortion created by the downtime, you can see how well the Brad Olson #2H has performed, despite its approximate 4-well spacing distance from the Brad Olson #1H and despite the fact it came online one year later. It slowed longer and almost double the ore of the #1H, and is producing right on track despite, again, coming on a year later. We believe this indicates no material competition between these wells. You can also see that the Brad Olson #3 is performing as well or even better than the prior 2 wells. Slide 26 is an illustration of our current spacing plan for our wells in the play, which provides for 4.5 Bakken wells per unit. We have additional density pilots underway for this plan. Slides 27 to 29 show our current interpretation of the frac drainage areas on our 3D geologic block diagrams with our current 4.5 well Bakken spacing pattern for both our Rough Rider and Ross areas. As you can see on these slides, we may be leaving a little behind with the spacing. If you move forward to Slide 30, you can see our spacing plan for a potential 5.5 Bakken well and Three Forks density unit. We have the density pilot that we'll drill this year, utilizing this pattern. We'll record microseismic and pressure data on these projects, and our objective is to accumulate as much quality data as early as possible such that we can optimize our development plans and thereby optimize our net asset value creation for this world-class resource. Slide 31 illustrates this potential 5.5 Bakken well development, along with associated potential 3/4 pattern on our 3D geologic block diagram. Again, we want to begin monitoring the production from these density pilots as soon as possible so that we can optimize our future development plans. We'll be drilling and completing these wells later in this year. Slide 32 is a map of our Stacked 1,280-acre units in our Rough Rider area. Our concentrated position in the best areas of the play provides us with the opportunity to achieve substantial efficiencies in the field via our Smart Pads. Lance will discuss that further. We have the opportunity to drill about 112 spacing units with our Smart Pads, which represents more than 896 gross wells. That concludes my portion of the call, and I'll now hand the call over to Jeff to provide you with the drilling plan update.