Robin Raju
Analyst · Tracy Benguigui with Barclays. Your line is open
14:41 Thank you, Mark. We are very supportive of the upcoming LDTI accounting reform, which will bring GAAP closer to fair value economics and will improve transparency and comparability for our industry. 14:58 On Slide 7, I would like to provide additional insights into how we beat the changes and how we are well-positioned for adoption. Before I do that, there key points to highlight. First, we expect that the impact to shareholder equity will be lower than our current AOCI balance, which was 2 billion as of year-end. 15:25 We also expect the impact will flow primarily through AOCI, taking into account year-end market conditions. Second, LDTI aligns well through our economic approach to managing the business, due to our conservative interest rate assumptions and fair value approach the setting actuarial assumptions. 15:50 And third, the enhanced LDTI disclosure, which we intend to provide in the early summer will support Equitable’s strong economic standing and competitive position in the market. I will now go through some of the drivers to provide additional details. 16:09 Our year-end estimates are primarily attributable through an uneconomic factors, non-performance risk or NPR. Under GAAP accounting today, our company's own credit spreads impact their liabilities. For example, as the company's own credit spread decreases, the company is required to hold more reserves, and vice versa, which is counter intuitive. We have seen credit spreads now over time, and the impact of NPR is currently reflected in net income. 16:43 While LDTI improved it by shifting this non-economic movement to AOCI, there is some potential sensitivity between now and the transition date in 2023. If credit spreads increased before the transition date, the NPR gains would ship from net income to AOCI. 17:07 Turning to retained earnings, we anticipate a limited transition impact based on our year-end market conditions. While SOP reserves currently account for two-thirds, of our GMIB and GMDB, the impact of fair value in those reserves is largely mitigated due to few offsetting items. 17:29 The first is a favorable offset from increasing our near industry low 2.25% GAAP interest rate assumption to the forward curve, which was 2.5% as of year-end. This demonstrates how conservative interest rate assumptions that Equitable had positions us well for the upcoming accounting change compared to our peers. The second is a minimal impact from aligning to the proposed LDTI discount rate. 18:04 Our current SOP reserve discount is similar to the future LDTI discount rate, as our discount rates takes into account the forward curve, and credit spreads. As I mentioned, the movement in MTR may change where the impact is reflected in the future between retained earnings and AOCI, but we expect our total impact to be less than our AOCI balance regardless. 18:35 Finally, we expect no impact to cash flows, given our hedging strategy is a line for a fair value economics. Under our current GAAP rules, hedging for our economic liability creates a majority of the accounting mismatch between net income and non-GAAP operating earnings. 18:55 Under LDTI, we expect that the asymmetry between our economic hedging and GAAP to be significantly reduced and items such book value, excluding AOCI will be more meaningful for Equitable and our peers. 19:11 I'm really excited about this transition to a more economic approach to GAAP accounting and the validation of Equitable’s economic approach to managing the business. We look forward to sharing further detail at an LDTI [indiscernible], early in the summer, including how disclosures will illustrate the strength of our economic assumptions backing our liabilities. 19:35 We are confident that this additional transparency will be good for the industry and will help investors better understand the risk they are taking when investing in different companies. 19:49 Now, let me turn to full-year results on Slide 8. We had a record year with our retirement and asset management business performing exceptionally well. As Mark mentioned, we reported non-GAAP operating earnings up 2.8 billion this year. Adjusting for non-recuring items in the year, our full-year earnings were approximately 2.5 billion. These strong results reflect AUM growth to a record 908 billion supported by net inflows of 25 billion and favorable equity markets in addition, to the continued mix shift to our capital life businesses. 20:34 Turning to our segment, individual retirement reported operating earnings less notable items of 1.4 billion this year. Excluding the impact of the legacy VA transactions, earnings have increased year-over-year. As you recall, we monetized 1.2 billion for shareholders with the close of the legacy VA transaction and significantly de-risked our imports. 21:02 Further supporting this successful mix is the continued strong performance of our capital-light offerings as we drive record sales and sustain our leadership position in the RILA market. 21:17 For the full-year, first year premiums were 11 billion, up 53% over prior year, which a level we haven't since 2008. The team finished the year strong, setting another record with 2 billion of SCS sales in the fourth quarter. We continue to innovate in-demand and economically sound solutions to help ensure our clients achieve their retirement dreams. 21:48 In Group Retirement, operating earnings less notable items were 596 million, up 26% year-over-year as we continue to benefit from strong equity markets. We reported gross premiums of 3.6 billion this year with year-over-year growth supported by both first year premiums, and renewal premiums, up 11% and 7% respectively. 22:16 We continue to see the benefit of our advisory leveraging technology to enhance client engagement. That said, our differentiative continues to be our worksite advice model with access to over 8,700 school districts and over 800,000 educators. And we began to see the benefit of this hybrid approach in the second half of 2021 as schools reopened in the fall. 22:44 In asset management. AB has continued to be a driver of capital-light growth for Equitable Holdings, with operating earnings up 564 million, up 38% year-over-year. Importantly, AB continued to drive organic revenue growth, supported by active net inflows of 27.6 billion positive across retail, institutional, and private wealth channels. 23:16 AB’s leadership position in Asia continues to support strong results with approximately one-third of AB’s total net inflows in the year attributable to that market. The continued positive momentum is a testament to the performance AB is delivering to our clients. With over 89% of fixed income and 73% of equity assets outperforming their benchmarks over the past year. 23:45 In addition, strong longer-term performance with fixed income and equities, outperforming their benchmark by 70% and 75% respectively over the past five year. And finally, in protection solutions, operating earnings less notable items were 277 million, up 39% over to prior year. 24:09 Our strategic pivot to more capital-light accumulation [BUL] [ph] drove year-over-year first year premium growth, up 99% in that product. And now represents approximately two-thirds of segment first year premiums this year, compared to only 40% in 2020. 24:30 Turning to the right hand side of Page 8, we have highlighted our success shifting the profile of our business towards more capital-light businesses. Since the IPO, we have improved earnings by 32%, while also improving a mix with continued growth in asset management and over 80% of retirement AUM in capital-light products to today. 24:53 Let me now turn to the fourth quarter consolidated results on Slide 9. Adjusting for notable in both periods, non-GAAP operating earnings were up from 638 million in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 691 million this quarter or $1.64 per share, a 70% increase on a per share basis. 25:20 We benefited from higher net investment income, performance fees, and base fee revenue on higher AUM this quarter, which partially offset a one-time litigation accrual and adverse mortality in the quarter, which remains in-line with our COVID guidance. 25:38 In the quarter, we reported GAAP net income, 254 million as we continue to see the impact of non-economic accounting treatment for our GAAP liability compared to a fair value hedging program. which performed as expected with a hedge effectiveness of 95% in the quarter. As I just discussed a few minutes ago, we look forward to the implementation of LDTI in 2023, which will eliminate much of this accounting asymmetry. 26:07 AUM was a record of 908 billion, supported by strong equity market and positive fourth quarter net flows of 7 billion, led by our asset management business. We have made good progress against our strategic priority delivering 31 million in [productivity days] [ph] and 90 million in general account yield enhancements this year. And we continue to deploy our 10 billion of committed invested capital from the insurance subsidiary to support growth in AB and alternative business. 26:42 This synergy enables us to build a high multiple business at AB, while generating favorable risk-adjusted yields for Equitable’s policy holders. We are excited about the potential for AB’s alternative business in the future. 27:00 Turning to Slide 10. Our strong capital and liquidity positions enabled us to successfully deliver on our 2021 capital management program. Throughout the year, we returned 1.9 billion to shareholders with 540 million occurring in the fourth quarter. This return was supported by a closing of our legacy VA reinsurance transaction in June of last year, which returned an increment of 500 million, and 112 million of 2022 repurchases that we accelerated into the fourth quarter. 27:36 We closed the year with 1.6 billion of cash at the holding company, and a strong RBC ratio of 440% each well above their respective targets. Our successful shift towards capital-light business model and our internal restructuring has increased unregulated cash flows, giving us confidence in our dividends to holding company with approximately 50% coming from non-regulated entities. 28:04 In 2022, we expect a lead to 1.5 billion in subsidiary dividends to support our capital return strategy. Further, our strong financial position allows us to a 1.2 billion repurchase authorization from our board as we continue to execute on our stated capital management target, delivering consistent capital returns, up 50% to 60% of non-GAAP operating earnings under normal market conditions. 28:35 I'll now pass it back to Mark.