Greg Zimmerman
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Thanks, Greg. At the end of the first quarter, our total investments were approximately $6.7 billion with 369 properties in service and 96.7% occupied. During the quarter our investment spending was $8.7 million and was entirely in our experiential portfolio comprising built-to-suit development and redevelopment projects that were committed prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our experiential portfolio comprises 284 properties with 44 operators is 96.4% occupied, and accounts for nearly $6 billion of our $6.7 billion in total investments. We have three properties under development. Our education portfolio comprises 85 properties with 15 operators and at the end of the quarter was 100% occupied. I now want to update you on the operating status of our tenants, our deferral agreements and rent payment timelines. 63% of our theatres were open as of November 3. Openings continue with restrictions implemented by state and local governments. As of today, only New Mexico prohibits all theatres from opening. However many states, most significantly New York and California have county by county restrictions which precludes some theatre openings. In early October, Cineworld announced that it would close all of its US, UK and Ireland theatres because of the lack of tent-pole films from Hollywood. After that announcement, Regal opened several theatres in New York, and opted to leave some theatres in California open. As of today, two of our 57 Regal theatres are open. The exhibition business faces significant headwinds because of a lack of product. This lack of products and resulting lack of demand and customers makes it impossible to prove they can safely operate and can draw sufficient customers back to support the release of major motion pictures. Because of this dearth of product, we expect the remainder of 2020 will be slow. The current 2020 major film slate, which is subject to change, includes The Croods at Thanksgiving, and Death on the Nile with Kenneth Branagh, and Wonder Woman 1984 at Christmas. We believe Warner Brothers' decision whether to move forward with Wonder Woman 1984 will in large part be based on New York City's reopening schedule and developments in Europe. The 2021 film slate was strong before the pandemic because most films scheduled for 2020 have pushed to 2021, we are optimistic that the projected film slate will provide a strong content platform for theatres to ramp up. This 2021 slate includes, a Quiet Place Part 2, Black Widow, No Time To Die, Dune, Top Gun: Maverick, The Fast and The Furious 9, Spider-Man 3, Ghostbusters After Life, Jungle Cruise, Jurassic World Dominion, and MI7. We don't see evidence of structural changes in theatre-going habits from the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent PVOD releases have had limited success, even without an in-person alternative. The movie going habit bounce back quickly in China and Chinese box office is performing well with strong customer demand for local releases and despite almost no revenue for the first half of the year, a lack of Hollywood releases and capacity restrictions. As demonstrated by the recovery of our experiential tenants, which I'll discuss in a minute, customers want to engage in entertaining affordable experiences. Once they know the operator is open and become comfortable with new protocols, word of mouth spreads and they are returning to experiential assets. We are confident the same will hold true for theatres. As we have said throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, the studio's decision to push virtually every major title to theatrical release in 2021 and 2022 is the best evidence of their commitment to the economic model supplied by the exhibition industry. Tent-pole films costs well over $100 million to produce, so the studios need theatrical release to make money. Simply put, consumers still prefer to see movies on the big screen and don't embrace PVOD as a viable value alternative. Theatrical exhibition remains the preferred medium for consumers and the best format to deliver returns for major releases. I want to spend a minute updating you on our other major customer groups. Approximately 93% of our non-theatre operators are open for seasonal businesses are closed in the normal course. These businesses continue to implement appropriate safety protocols to comply with state and local requirements. Performance remains fluid depending on the impact of COVID-19 in each locale. At a high level, performance has generally exceeded our operators' expectations in the face of a lengthy pandemic, which has created an ever changing hugely challenging environment. Our strategy of owning drive to value oriented destinations is holding strong and our operators are resilient. We have not seen any meaningful impact to our portfolio from these reduced airline travel. All of our TopGolf locations, all of our Andretti Karting locations and all of our family entertainment centers are open. All of our U.S. gyms are open. About 61% of our attractions had opened for normal operations prior to seasonal shutdowns. As we have indicated in past calls, a few of our attractions missed all or part of the season due to governmental health and sanitation measures and the financial feasibility of operating with reduced occupancy and a truncated season. Except for the Kartrite Hotel and Indoor Waterpark, all of our experiential lodging assets are open. Kartrite remains subject to New York State's phased reopening plans. And given that we missed the entire summer season, we are planning for Kartrite reopening in spring 2021. Resorts World Catskills is open. Finally, we believe all of our ski resorts will open on time. Turning to our education portfolio, substantially all of our early childhood education centers remain open. Our operators' ramp-up varies by location and is as you would expect a function of applicable state and local capacity restrictions, the emergence or continuance of hotspots throughout the country, and parents' return-to-work timetables. Substantially all of our private schools remain open utilizing in person, online and hybrid instruction models. Varying state and local requirements have influenced each school's instruction model for the fall semester. Generally, parents have continued to see the value of private school instruction, which has been constructive for school enrolment. As we approach year-end, we'll have more clarity on our operator's plans for spring 2021 in-person, online or hybrid instruction. I want to take a moment to update you on the status of our cash collections and deferral agreements. Cash collections have improved in conjunction with reopenings. Tenants and borrowers paid approximately 35%, 40%, and 48% for July, August and September respectively and 41% for the third quarter versus 24% for the second quarter. Cash collections for October were 43% and were negatively impacted by Regal's decision to close most of our theatres, and because many of our exhibitors are paying a percentage of sales, the lack of product from Hollywood. As Mark will go over, we expect fourth quarter cash collections to exceed third quarter collections. Due to the significant challenges and uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. At the end of the third quarter, we determined it was appropriate to move Regal and one other attraction tenant to cash basis accounting. As we've discussed, our exhibition partners continue to face serious headwinds. The lack of product and reopening restrictions have weighed heavily on current and projected box office performance. As a result, although we had completed appropriate deferral agreements with substantially all of our exhibition customers, we continue to work on additional modifications to some of those deferral agreements. As we noted last quarter, our goal has been to work diligently with our customers to structure appropriate deferral and repayment agreements to facilitate their ability to reopen efficiently and help ensure their long term health while also protecting our position and our rights as landlord. We want to help them through a period where they have significantly reduced or no cash flow, ramping back to a more stabilized cash flow. We've individually tailored each deal taking into account the variables impacting each business, and improved our position through various arrangements. As we enter the fourth quarter, we anticipate our permanent rent reductions will total approximately 5% to 7% of annualized pre-COVID contractual cash rent. However, because of the continuing challenges facing theatrical exhibition, depending on the length of time it takes to bounce back, additional permanent rent reductions may be required. 19 of our top 20 customers are either paying their pre-COVID-19 contractual rent and interest, or have executed deferral agreements. We have made significant progress with the one remaining operator. Between executed agreements and those customers for whom no agreement was required, we have addressed approximately 90% of our annualized pre-COVID contractual cash rent and interest payments. Our agreements are generally structured to ramp up rent and mortgage payments through the end of 2020 and in some cases beyond 2020. Repayment of deferred amounts typically commences in 2021. Depending on the deferred amount, and to allow our customers some breathing room, the deferral repayment period generally extends beyond 2021. The vast majority of our arrangements provide for repayment of all deferred rent. In a few cases, we have provided rent concessions while we've received equal or greater value through additional lease term, additional collateral or other benefits. In virtually every case, our customers have paid and continue to pay third party expenses, including ground rent taxes and insurance. Mark will provide additional color on the revenue recognition and cash collections implications for the remainder of the year. I now turn it over to him for a discussion of the financials.