Greg Silvers
Analyst · Janney. Your line is open
Thank you, Mark. Before we begin on the transaction, I want to spend a second on three core principles that guided our team as we began this process. Number one, underwriting determines value. It’s not what we could pay, but what we should pay. Number two, we self-limited our ski exposure to approximately 10% of our portfolio. And number three, where necessary, we revised or entered into new leases to reflect our underwriting, and several of the rent figures presented today reflect signed agreements that will become effective upon closing. Our unique industry knowledge and relationships permitted this result. Now let me walk you through the transaction. The first couple of pages of the presentation are the disclaimers that Brian referenced in his introduction, and I encourage you to read those at your leisure. But let’s begin on page four, which discusses the overall transaction. As you will see, it is a, approximately $700 million transaction, which includes EPR acquiring the Northstar California Ski Resort and Attractions portfolio along with providing 65% of debt financing to funds affiliated with Och-Ziff Real Estate for the remainder of the ski portfolio. We anticipate an early Q2 2017 closing for this transaction following shareholder approval by CNL Lifestyles. Our outcomes are, as we see there, that we will acquire $456 million worth of assets comprised of the aforementioned Northstar Ski Resort along with 15 attraction assets, and we will provide a $244 million secured financing of five years in initial duration or 65% LTV to OZ for approximately – for their acquisition of 14 ski and mountain lifestyle resorts for approximately $374 million. The next page lays out the sources and uses both for the overall transaction and for EPR. And, as you can see, the top of the transaction, this is an $830 million transaction with $9 million of EPR transaction costs with the sources and uses laid out. You will see on the upper right-hand column that includes $647 million of EPR equity, $62 million of EPR cash, and approximately $130 million of OZ real estate cash. The lower part of the page looks at just the specific EPR transaction, and you can see it as, again, a $700 million transaction of which is financed with $647 million of EPR equity are over 90% equity part of the consideration. The next page discusses the transaction merits. Again, when we looked at this transaction, we focused on the high-quality assets. These are proven assets, they’ve performed, we’ve looked at these, and we’ll talk about our approach to these, but these have always been strong-performing assets. We had a very disciplined approach to this. This went through a two-year process of negotiating, underwriting, and due diligence, and it is in our core expertise. Again, consistent with the themes that we’ve talked about with many of you, what you’ll see as we roll this out is high coverage underwritten to five-year EBITDAR average. This portfolio significantly increases our geographic and operator diversification within our recreation segment, and we are projecting this to be immediately accretive, as I said, with substantially all equity consideration. And, furthermore, this buttresses our continued investment in the experience economy, and we believe will bode well as we move into the future. As we flip now, let’s take an overview of the properties that we will be acquiring. The next slide is some pictures of the Northstar Resort, and if we flip to the next page, we’ll give you some little bit of detail. Again, it is a leading regional destination. This is consistent with our drive to metropolitan ski. This is the primary – it services primarily the San Francisco Bay and Sacramento markets. It’s got a very proven operator, Bell Resorts. We know that name. Extensively, it is a top-tier operator, and we’re very pleased to bring them into our family of operators. With that, there’s been extensive co-investment at the property, and we reference there not only the Ritz-Carlton Northstar Lodge, but the Second Home communities that drive and support this. And as part of that, this is a top year-round resort. This simply is not a ski property, but they have substantial revenue generation all four seasons. Turning to the next page about what we will own, you see that the remaining lease term is 10 years, but they have 30 years of tenant options. There are some specific references to the ski-able acres and the details of the properties along with the retail village, which is master-leased by the operator, and the names that you see there are the underlying tenancies for which sub-lease from them. So a very exciting and, we think, a dynamic property. Flipping to the next page, let’s discuss the attractions portfolio. Again, I want to reference back because there was a point – we underwrote that property. It has a five-year EBITDAR coverage of 1.6. Again, that is during some very difficult years with drought, so we feel that we’ve spent an extensive amount of time underwriting this to where we’ve got a very durable and consistent cash flow along with a very strong operator. As we move into the attractions portfolio, again, you see there’s 15 assets geographically dispersed. Again, I focus you to the bottom right-hand column again, underwritten rent coverage, very strong, 1.8, and the performance of the properties have a very strong CAGR from a revenue generation. So, again, when we put these together, you’ll see the mantras that we’ve talked about with cross defaults, with a cross-collateralization, average remaining lease term of 18 years, and we think we’ve not only got great properties, but great operators and great underwriting. So it’s created that durability that we look for. The next slide is just a list of the properties, and you’ll see that they’re very geographically diverse. They’ve been in operation for a number of years, and they’ve proven and we’re able to underwrite, in fact, a long history of their performance. Again, when we look at these, you will see – the details not on this, but the consistency of how we do things in this portfolio will be a manifest as we enter into this transaction with reserves for seasonal reserves with maintenance CapEx reserves to make sure the ongoing kind of maintenance of the property. And we’ve stylized these as EPR-styled leases, and you will see that reflected throughout this portfolio. As we move into the mortgage transaction and with the OZ real estate, again, with the backdrop of the idea that we wanted to maintain our ski portfolio at approximately 10%, we talked to various parties who were interested in this transaction. OZ Real Estate had its experience in the ski industry. We felt that was very important, and we finally, kind of, structured a deal with them, the terms of which are laid forth on Slide 15. Again, this is a very regionally diverse ski and mountain resort portfolio, nine states, including British Columbia, over 12,000 acres and important, 120 million live within five hours of portfolio resorts. These are the type of ski properties that we understand and understand how to underwrite. If you look at the structure of the loan, again, it’s a five-year term with three 30-month extensions, 8.5% interest rate, a 1% origination and exit fee. We have a commitment for some future improvements. The features of the loan is, again, 65% loan-to-transaction value. It’s a fully cross-collateralized pool, it’s 2.5 times underwritten coverage, property level rent-to-interest payment with the EBITDAR coverages of the property is even higher on that point. So a very conservatively underwritten loan. Again, we have some protections with this. For the first four years, we have a complete make whole of all interest payments if they should refinance or sell the properties. So we’ve structured a very conservative transaction that allowed us to execute on this deal without increasing the risk or exposure to our underlying shareholder base. The ski portfolio is detailed on the next slide, and you will see there’s two major operators, that being Boyne and Triple Peaks, and they have a very diverse, geographically diverse portfolio. The deal structure is on the next couple of pages, and while it could be a very complicated deal, we’ve kind of laid it out here in simplistic terms so that everybody can understand the way that this is a three-step structure. One that OZ Real Estate will purchase the ski properties for $130 million in cash and a note. Then we will buy that note and the remaining assets from CNL for $647 million of stock and $53 million in cash. And upon the transaction closing, shortly thereafter, CNL will distribute the EPR shares to their underlying shareholders. Again, for that equity consideration, we do have an equity-based collar on that, which is 7.5% down, 12% up, based upon a 10-day VWAP ending on the second day before closing. When we look at the next page, we take a look at the actual yields and coverages, and you can see on that, it’s a very attractive deal. On the attractions in Northstar, the initial yield, this is on annualized cash rents and interest, is a 9.35 with an underwritten coverage of 1.8. And on the mortgage it’s an 8.5% with a 2.5 times based upon existing rent streams over interest payments. Again, the overlying EBITDAR coverage would even be higher. So, the overall deal, as we see, is $63.3 million of annualized cash rents and interest at a 9.05 yield. I should also mention that this does not include any percentage rents which, say, a significant number of these leases have that opportunity. So what is the impact to us? The next slide details the projected accretion, and you can see we’ve laid it out here with respect to the collar where we detailed the base case, which is the 73.78, which was the 10-day VWAP leading into the date of signing. So the low case, of which we would issue 7.5% down as 68.25, which would be 9.5 million shares. The high case being 82.63 or 7.8 million shares. So the low end of the case is $0.18 of accretion, the base case being $0.22, and the high case being $0.28. Important to that is the assumptions that we detail here. Again, this is the rents and interest per our previous slide that there are certain noncash GAAP revenue adjustments of approximately $1.2 million. This is a full-year perspective for this accretion. Actual 2017 will be lower based upon the actual closing date, assumes the cash portion of our consideration is financed with 10-year debt that we’re going to have certain additional G&A expenses, and that we’ve excluded transaction costs for the illustrative purposes here. What does that do to EPR? The next slide gives you a little bit of a pro forma segment mix and you see, overall, our entertainment segment moves from 52% to 46%. As expected, our recreation segment jumps up from 21% to 32%, and our education segment moves down from 23% to 19%. On a net income basis, again, kind of consistent with what we saw on the asset side, entertainment moves to 49% from 53%, recreation steps up with this investment from 22% to 30% and education moves from 23% to 19%. Again, what we are more balanced as a complete entity across all of our segments. Turning to the next page, looking at our pro forma top 10 customers, you will see – and we actually have also pro forma’d out for what are announced and planned Imagine dispositions, you will see that, again, our top 10 customer list moves from 64% to 60%. We introduce a couple of new – three new tenants into that group being Premier Parks, OZ Real Estate, and BASIS. And we also moved off the top 10 Imagine Schools, Children’s Learning Adventure, and Southern Theaters. So, a fairly dramatic impact for our top 10 customers. Turning to the next slide, we wanted to spend a second and continue the dialog that we’ve had with many of you about our rationale for why we continue to invest in our recreation segment and this experience-based economy. So on Slide 24, why recreation? Again, we see good alignment with consumer spending trends and recreation as a percentage of total spend continues to grow. The demographic shifts that are occurring aligned with the investment strategy that we have. Baby boomers are entering into their peak leisure years and millennials are focused on this type of experience rather than an economy of stuff, and we feel that our recreation segment plays into the strength of that demographic shift. Again, because of our unique industry knowledge and relationships, we think that it creates and advantageous position along with that the assets are difficult to replicate creating and sustaining long-term value. All of these things drive our long-term performance and our underlying thesis of creating a portfolio that provides consistent and reliable cash flows. Turning to the next slide, as we look at our ski sector overview and what’s going on in that industry, you can see from the charts on the left, there continues to be durable demand, but relatively fixed or declining supply. This allows the bottom half of that chart, which shows increasing revenue per visit on a 4% CAGR, and that’s 2002 through 2015. The trends continue to work in our favor. As you see, we are transitioning to a four-season business. Again, it removes some of the volatility out of the property that is very well represented by the Northstar property as a four-season asset. Expanding the season pass network, which stabilizes revenue and enhances customer value proposition, focusing on the beginner experience, again, an improving technology, whether that means snow-making, customer marketing or interaction, and social media, there’s – these trends continue to get better. Turning to the next slide, we do not, however, we would be remiss if we would fail to acknowledge the weather risk. We think that we have an approach to that and think that we can underwrite that. What we look at, as we see on this slide is an initial filter. We avoid high EBITDAR volatility and you see that with high coverages. We seek clear, proven position in the ski sector. That being that daily accessible metropolitan daily ski and stabilizing attributes, whether that be season pass, proximity to large population, significant snow-making, and off-season reserves to stabilize and remove some of the volatility. Under our underwriting, we take a very long-term approach. We actually underwrite and analyze weather patterns. We stress each of these properties, so that, as I said, modeling determines underwriting, underwriting determines rent. So, again, we are cognizant of making these durable and reliable cash flows. With that, we try to overlay credit support and structure, equity contributions from our operator, partner with multi-asset operators to create diversity within even an operator portfolio. We cross-default those portfolios and then we structure seasonal reserves to allow us the maximum security within our cash flows. Our overall viewpoint is as is stated, that favorable risk-adjusted returns can be achieved by looking beyond the headlines and underwriting actual risk. But to do that, you have to go under the hood, spend the time, and underwrite all of these risks. Turning to the next page on an attraction overview, again, why we like recreation. As you see, in the chart to your left, there continues to be solid and sustainable growth in recreational spending. That’s a 4% CAGR, which is very strong in today’s environment. The trends we’re seeing, again, themed environments creates an immersive environment tied together by a central theme. Again, people want this kind of congregate entertainment and experience. Experience-driven technology, we’re gaining new offerings such as surf simulators, which provides skill-based entertainment venues and segmented solution. Attraction programming is relevant across all age segments, so we’re not trying to approach a specific group, but tailoring these to many of those demographic sets that we talked about earlier. The next page is a summary of this in which we want to talk about just the major points. Again, we talk about focused growth. We are again focused in our core segments. This is a segment of ours of which we have developed over the years a high-level of expertise, and it is employing that expertise and that underwriting skill to a transaction that we maintained our discipline on and we think we’ve delivered. These are quality assets. We think that we have underwritten them to increase their durability, but they are fundamentally very strong assets. It increases our diversification, again, both in terms of geography and in terms of operator. Again, expected to be immediately accretive on a 90% equity basis, which we think is unique offering. And again, we are the leading REIT investor in the experience economy. We are at the forefront of this, and we think that wave is only beginning. What are the next steps for us on the next slide. Again, the initial Form S4 and proxy filing will get filed in late Q4 2016, because the transaction does require a vote by CNL shareholders. We expect that vote to occur in late one – late Q1, or early Q2, followed by a closing in early Q2. With that, why don’t I turn it back over to Mark, so that he can discuss guidance for the remainder of the year and for 2017.