Jim Teague
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open
Thank you, Randy. Our businesses continued to perform extremely well during the second quarter. We reported over $2 billion of EBITDA for the second quarter. Our distributable cash flow was 1.6 times coverage. Cash flow from operations for the second quarter was $2 billion was more than fully funded both our CapEx and our distributions. So as we sit halfway through the year, our distributable cash flow totaled $3.3 billion, providing $1.35 billion in retained cash. Second quarter results reflect the ongoing recovery in demand for hydrocarbons as the global economy continues to reopen some COVID lockdowns. Our liquids pipelines transported 6.4 million barrels a day in the second quarter. Our natural gas pipelines transported 4.2 billion BTUs a day for the second quarter that equals 2019 volumes. Summing it all up in crude oil equivalent, we transported 10.2 million barrels a day. Our fractionation volumes remained strong at or near record of 1.2 million barrels a day. Our propylene production for the second quarter of 2021 was a record 113,000 barrels a day, and liquid volumes handled by our marine terminals for the second quarter were 1.6 million barrels a day, which continues to lag pre-pandemic first quarter 2020 performance of 2 million barrels a day, primarily due to the weakness in crude oil exports. Really, this would be expected as strong prices, backward-dated markets and lower inventories at Cushing are signaling that volume needs to stay at home at least for now. In short, it shows that markets worked. This time last year, we were slipping deeper into the pandemic. It looked and felt like a black hole to some. But by this time last year, we had already returned to our headquarters office in what was virtually an empty Downtown Houston. We set protocols. We started wearing masks before they were mandated. We put plexiglass around our cubicles. We insisted on keeping our distance. And we had hand sanitizers all over the building. But I really think it was a competitive advantage being back, because we worked as a team, we’ve moved products for our customers and our producers. We were buying and selling. We were arb [ph] in the system and collecting on steep contango in about every product we touched. We were determined in the middle of the pandemic to make money, not make excuses. If fast forward to today and the environment and sentiment are completely different. In the second quarter, crude averaged $28 a barrel, and as we all know, traded severely negative on April 20, 2020. Almost overnight, rig counts dropped from 800 to less than 250, producers shut in significant amounts of production and the Texas Railroad Commission held an own land hearing on mandatory proration that was attended by 35,000 people worldwide. I gave testimony to this hearing, and I was very straightforward and probably wouldn’t have been as much so had I known we had 35,000 people listening. Today, WTS sits at $72. Natural gas has more than doubled from $1.75 to around $4. Rig counts have returned to 500 and growing. Producers are self-financing their capital, paying down debt, and returning funds to their shareholders. Just to give you an idea for a couple of key products. We won’t go through all of them. This time last year, ethane was selling at $0.18 a gallon. Today, it’s $0.33. Propane moved from $0.35. Today, it’s what, $1.09, Brent. Eagle Ford Natural Gas prices up though, our gross processing spreads in the Permian, in particular, have gone from around $0.22 to $0.50 a gallon, responding to significantly increasing demand. Wholesale gasoline has moved from $0.75 to $2. It was as low as $0.50 in March of last year. And refining utilization has moved from an anemic 70% at the low to over 90%. Crude and product inventories have gone from a hard to imagine 3.6 billion barrels, at least 600 million barrels of overstocked to below normal levels of 2.8 billion and continuing to fall. The economies are recovering and demand for virtually everything is increasing worldwide, pressuring supply chains. Our cash flow – while our cash flows are markedly different largely because of the movement in all commodities from steep contango into backwardation. Our businesses and our employees prove time and time again that they will perform regardless of the environment, are today in what feels like something like hyper-growth. While a press release has a lot of details or bullets this way. During last year’s collapse, we leaned hard on our marketing teams. And we said at the time, our storage was worth its weight in gold as we took advantage of steep contango arb in the system, coupled with a significant cost cutting by our operations. This year, with prices and volumes up considerably, our assets are who is leading the way with significant increases in volume for gathering and processing, pipeline transportation and exports, and what I’ll generate is described as fairly steady. Moving to an update on capital. We expect our growth capital for 2021 to be $1.7 billion. We haven’t changed, I don’t think, Randy. For the rest of 2021, we continue to be on schedule to complete our Acadian gas system to Giles, the expansion of our ethylene and propylene pipeline systems, and the construction of our natural gasoline hydrotreater. Our growth CapEx in 2022 and 2023 projects currently sanctioned is $800 million and $400 million respectively. But we expect these to increase as some of the projects under developer – development are sanctioned. The long-dated capital is largely around our PDH 2. We couldn’t be more pleased with the market fundamentals and momentum that we see in our petrochemicals business. The reopening of global economies has caused a surge in demand for propylene due to high demand from durables, which has caused the refinery grade to polymer-grade spread to widen from $0.15 a pound historically to $0.40 a pound. Our petrochemicals and refined products segment contributed five out of the total six financial and operational records. The strong performance of our petrochemicals business was led by our propylene segment, which offset lower results from our octane enhancement due to a planned turnaround. Our Mont Belvieu propylene splitters achieved record throughput of 98% of nameplate, with strong margins, and our PDH plant operated at an average of 112% of nameplate following the planned maintenance in the first quarter. Finally, we recently closed on a transaction acquiring the ethylene storage business from NOVA. This transaction, although it didn’t take a lot of cash is meaningful in that it is yet another milestone and the development of our petrochemical hubs, which is a key in furthering our petrochemical growth strategy. We feel very good about our strong position and our momentum in the midstream petrochemical space. We’re pleased with how our assets and our people performed again last quarter. We have been outspoken about why we have been bullish on prices for well over a year, and have been preparing accordingly. The global inventory excess is that came with the global pandemic for the most part been exhausted. And it’s nice to see both supply and demand participating in what we believe will be a very strong extended recovery cycle. We expect continued upside in demand, both in the U.S. and globally, and appropriate production increases from the healthy U.S. E&P industry. With that, Randy?